Hawaii see -7.5 +102 (looking to get -7 or better)
Under 73 -105 (anything better then 72) (8x)
Really Hawaii has played only 2 quality teams at home Nevada and Purdue. In those games they scored 41 and 42 and failed to cover big DD spreads . Oregon State walks in with a better defense then both of those programs and probably will make an effort to establish the run with Bernard to keep it away from Hawaii's offense. One problem is Hawaii is very tough against the run see Purdue and Nevada's numbers running the ball. Oregon State off a tough home win vs rival Oregon has not impressed me on the road...smoked @ Boise State 42 -14 , lost @ UCLA while winning @ Stanford , @ Zona , and @Wash. The true story though is the offense really struggles away. So much they only won @ Zona cause the starting QB was out (17-10 ) , they won @ Wash when Stanback got hurt as they trailed 14-10 at the half. Purdue and Nevada can throw the ball better then Matt Moore and company so I wouldnt expect more then 24 pts. With Hawaii I would expect 38 -42 points at most. If they get a chance late I think Hawaii might run the ball with a lead rather then throw. Oregon State was dogged at Boise and Wash by 8 points so this line is actually real cheap. Hawaii has shown they are every good as Boise IMO...so I am looking for 38-24 game...
Houston - 4-108 (10x) or ML -180
Kolb said after the loss at SoMiss that Houston would run the table and see SoMiss in the Championship Game...well here they are. Kolb is a senior and you know this means alot to him. Houston is trying to avenge a loss @ SoMiss and lets face it they are the better team. They get a home game here being played @ Reliant Stadium. I would play this game up to -6 as I expect a TD win here by the Cougars. Kolb was able to throw for 330 yards in the 1st meeting and SoMiss benefited from good field position. They also have 2 weeks to prepare. This is a team that beat Ok State and lost by 1 @ Miami. The Golden Eagles are young at QB and RB and that inexperience wil hurt them along with there over reliance on there defense. Last 2 years Kolb has thrown for 300+ against SoMiss and 2 years ago as 17 pt dogs lost in ot @ SoMiss. His only poor game was a Freshman so thi sis his 5th start versus them...and lately SoMiss has shown a few holes in there pass defense....
West Virgina-8 -110 (was hoping for -7 but exploded today to -10) (10x)
Just look at it like this we have a double edges sword. WVU losing at home presented value in the line cause this surely would have been double digits and should be. It also makes you wonder about there motivation since they really cant win the Big East now but they dont want to lose 2 straight at home IMO. The bottomline is RU is still young and struggles offensively on the road. WVU is tough to run about 3 YPC and that presents a problem for Rutgers. While RU is tough against the run this is a different type attack. RU had trouble winning @ USF and @ UNC and lost @ Cincy how in the world can they win @ WVU off a home loss??
Pat White did hurt his ankle but I expect him to be okay. For all the talk about the win vs Lville remember they made huge comeback by pressuring Brohm and won by just 3 as 6 pt HOME DOGS. They were dogs at Pitt by 6 while Lville/ WVU was -10. True Pitt was playing well when RU came to town and RU started the spiral . I know its different teams but WVU won rather easily @ Rutgers last year. Definetly getting a sleeping giant as WVU scored only 19 pts and lost at home...hoping for -7 but will play under -10...... and how much better is say RU then Pitt and terms of a spread?? Think about it...WVU and Lville are basically 14 pts better then Pitt on a neutral field where does RU fit into the equation...??
Army +21 -120 (5x) Lean ov 49 -101
Last few weeks Army has fallen apart but I thought they played well in spurts @ ND. They managed wins @ Baylor and were a goal stand away from winning @ A&M. Army did some good things that day 5 drives of more then 10 plays and 3 drives of 50 + yds (50 , 76 and 80). For whatever reason starting with Rice the Army squad just began to unravel. This is it though for Army after a disappointing season where expectations were higher. Then can erase alot but defeating Navy and I am hoping they play like they did back early in the season. Take the AF meeting where I feel the final score is so misleading...Army about to take the lead mid 1st Q fumbles and watches it go 98 yds the other way and that semed to deflate them. Next thing you know AF is hanging FIVE 2nd quarter TDs on them (the only Q the offense scored)....If Army puts this season behind them focuses on this game and keeps there defense off the field for long stretches I think they can make this a game. They apppeared to be okay defensively against the AF run attack so maybe there is hope..Navy has been smoking hot but plating teams like Temple , Duke and EMU who just cant defend the option helps..Army at least has experience doing so....
Cal -16.5 -105 1st half (5x)
The Cal defense has been a disappoint at times this season but Stanford has scored more then 10 points once in the past 2 months. They did it @ Wash another team w/o its starting QB. They needed a pick 6 and somewhat flukish 75Yd TD pass to get 20 points that day. Otherwise they have 0 , 3, 10 on the road . The 10 was @ ND and the TD ws in the 4th Q on I believe a HB option pass. So after 2 losses and playing bad run defense I expect Cal to just jam it down Stanfords throat.....expecting 21-3 or so at half...
TCU -14 -120 (5x) could middle line exploded to -17.5
Played this early on thing TCU is starting to click offensively now that they are healthy and blowing teams out. AF seems to be regressing and was torched at home by TCU last year. Chances were they werent going to score much here so I could see a 31-14 or 35-14 win ....only rpoblem is now this line is running and I might just middle somekey numbers.. AF has lost @ 2 of the weaker conference opponents (UNLV and SDST)....and you just cant run on TCU...should be a long day for them....
Under 50 -105 SJST (3x)
Expecting alot of running here. I think Fresno defense can play well as long as it doesnt stay on the field long. While SJ impressed me by holding Boise to just 23 pts a few weeks back...Fresno had scored 21 or less on the road until facing LTech who is awful defensively...
UCLA +14 -111 (5x)
Felt this line should have been closer to 10 pts. Everything is clicking for USC now but they have still struggled on the road in conference play outside of Stanford. UCLA seems to have regained some momentum with wins over Oregon State and @ ASU. Lets see if the Trojan offense can score on a solid defense ...expecting a 27-17 game....looking at under 48..
Looking at or Played but havent commented:
Ohio U +3.5 -115 (6x) ML +139 (2x)and Under (lean)
(Big favs) Louisville -27 -105 and Cal -28 -105 as well as 1st Half.. -16.5 -105 on both
Under 73 -105 (anything better then 72) (8x)
Really Hawaii has played only 2 quality teams at home Nevada and Purdue. In those games they scored 41 and 42 and failed to cover big DD spreads . Oregon State walks in with a better defense then both of those programs and probably will make an effort to establish the run with Bernard to keep it away from Hawaii's offense. One problem is Hawaii is very tough against the run see Purdue and Nevada's numbers running the ball. Oregon State off a tough home win vs rival Oregon has not impressed me on the road...smoked @ Boise State 42 -14 , lost @ UCLA while winning @ Stanford , @ Zona , and @Wash. The true story though is the offense really struggles away. So much they only won @ Zona cause the starting QB was out (17-10 ) , they won @ Wash when Stanback got hurt as they trailed 14-10 at the half. Purdue and Nevada can throw the ball better then Matt Moore and company so I wouldnt expect more then 24 pts. With Hawaii I would expect 38 -42 points at most. If they get a chance late I think Hawaii might run the ball with a lead rather then throw. Oregon State was dogged at Boise and Wash by 8 points so this line is actually real cheap. Hawaii has shown they are every good as Boise IMO...so I am looking for 38-24 game...
Houston - 4-108 (10x) or ML -180
Kolb said after the loss at SoMiss that Houston would run the table and see SoMiss in the Championship Game...well here they are. Kolb is a senior and you know this means alot to him. Houston is trying to avenge a loss @ SoMiss and lets face it they are the better team. They get a home game here being played @ Reliant Stadium. I would play this game up to -6 as I expect a TD win here by the Cougars. Kolb was able to throw for 330 yards in the 1st meeting and SoMiss benefited from good field position. They also have 2 weeks to prepare. This is a team that beat Ok State and lost by 1 @ Miami. The Golden Eagles are young at QB and RB and that inexperience wil hurt them along with there over reliance on there defense. Last 2 years Kolb has thrown for 300+ against SoMiss and 2 years ago as 17 pt dogs lost in ot @ SoMiss. His only poor game was a Freshman so thi sis his 5th start versus them...and lately SoMiss has shown a few holes in there pass defense....
West Virgina-8 -110 (was hoping for -7 but exploded today to -10) (10x)
Just look at it like this we have a double edges sword. WVU losing at home presented value in the line cause this surely would have been double digits and should be. It also makes you wonder about there motivation since they really cant win the Big East now but they dont want to lose 2 straight at home IMO. The bottomline is RU is still young and struggles offensively on the road. WVU is tough to run about 3 YPC and that presents a problem for Rutgers. While RU is tough against the run this is a different type attack. RU had trouble winning @ USF and @ UNC and lost @ Cincy how in the world can they win @ WVU off a home loss??
Pat White did hurt his ankle but I expect him to be okay. For all the talk about the win vs Lville remember they made huge comeback by pressuring Brohm and won by just 3 as 6 pt HOME DOGS. They were dogs at Pitt by 6 while Lville/ WVU was -10. True Pitt was playing well when RU came to town and RU started the spiral . I know its different teams but WVU won rather easily @ Rutgers last year. Definetly getting a sleeping giant as WVU scored only 19 pts and lost at home...hoping for -7 but will play under -10...... and how much better is say RU then Pitt and terms of a spread?? Think about it...WVU and Lville are basically 14 pts better then Pitt on a neutral field where does RU fit into the equation...??
Army +21 -120 (5x) Lean ov 49 -101
Last few weeks Army has fallen apart but I thought they played well in spurts @ ND. They managed wins @ Baylor and were a goal stand away from winning @ A&M. Army did some good things that day 5 drives of more then 10 plays and 3 drives of 50 + yds (50 , 76 and 80). For whatever reason starting with Rice the Army squad just began to unravel. This is it though for Army after a disappointing season where expectations were higher. Then can erase alot but defeating Navy and I am hoping they play like they did back early in the season. Take the AF meeting where I feel the final score is so misleading...Army about to take the lead mid 1st Q fumbles and watches it go 98 yds the other way and that semed to deflate them. Next thing you know AF is hanging FIVE 2nd quarter TDs on them (the only Q the offense scored)....If Army puts this season behind them focuses on this game and keeps there defense off the field for long stretches I think they can make this a game. They apppeared to be okay defensively against the AF run attack so maybe there is hope..Navy has been smoking hot but plating teams like Temple , Duke and EMU who just cant defend the option helps..Army at least has experience doing so....
Cal -16.5 -105 1st half (5x)
The Cal defense has been a disappoint at times this season but Stanford has scored more then 10 points once in the past 2 months. They did it @ Wash another team w/o its starting QB. They needed a pick 6 and somewhat flukish 75Yd TD pass to get 20 points that day. Otherwise they have 0 , 3, 10 on the road . The 10 was @ ND and the TD ws in the 4th Q on I believe a HB option pass. So after 2 losses and playing bad run defense I expect Cal to just jam it down Stanfords throat.....expecting 21-3 or so at half...
TCU -14 -120 (5x) could middle line exploded to -17.5
Played this early on thing TCU is starting to click offensively now that they are healthy and blowing teams out. AF seems to be regressing and was torched at home by TCU last year. Chances were they werent going to score much here so I could see a 31-14 or 35-14 win ....only rpoblem is now this line is running and I might just middle somekey numbers.. AF has lost @ 2 of the weaker conference opponents (UNLV and SDST)....and you just cant run on TCU...should be a long day for them....
Under 50 -105 SJST (3x)
Expecting alot of running here. I think Fresno defense can play well as long as it doesnt stay on the field long. While SJ impressed me by holding Boise to just 23 pts a few weeks back...Fresno had scored 21 or less on the road until facing LTech who is awful defensively...
UCLA +14 -111 (5x)
Felt this line should have been closer to 10 pts. Everything is clicking for USC now but they have still struggled on the road in conference play outside of Stanford. UCLA seems to have regained some momentum with wins over Oregon State and @ ASU. Lets see if the Trojan offense can score on a solid defense ...expecting a 27-17 game....looking at under 48..
Looking at or Played but havent commented:
Ohio U +3.5 -115 (6x) ML +139 (2x)and Under (lean)
(Big favs) Louisville -27 -105 and Cal -28 -105 as well as 1st Half.. -16.5 -105 on both
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