Dog's Breakfast

Oct 18 con't

Abreu O 1.5 TB +155
Bregman O 1.5 TB +160
Altuve O 1.5 TB +155
Alvarez O 1.5 TB +135

0.5u

Maldonado O 0.5 TB +170

...I don't foresee Scherzer going deep and I like my chances with these swingers facing Heaney/Dunning in long relief. Chapman could cash all these bets for me in one inning. If it gets out of hand, I hope Bochy lets Aroldis be the inning eater..hard on my ticker to watch that guy pitch.
 
Think you outta go ahead and throw Brantley in there, he seemed to really get locked in last game, has fantastic numbers vs scherzer and they moved him into the 2 hole. Love getting plus money on him ov 1.5 h/r/rbi and 2+ bases. Agree with your strategy tho, I like houston and played Brantley and Alvarez (how can ya not play him practically every game?).
 
chipnotized said:
In for a penny, in for a pound banker.

Oct 18 con't

Brantley O 1.5 TB +155
Click to expand...

My bad. Fucker screwed up my sweep. Great job w the others. Think after I got you to add Brantley we had the only 2 Stros without hits w him and Bregs. Still a good night and I think another good chance for more the same 2marro. Liked tucker at bats tonight then after all the walks he ripped that one his last at bat, def thinking bout putting him in play 2marro, with Yordan of course! Playing that dude every day!!
 
271-360
+ 43.30u

Oct 21

0.5u each

Castellanos O 0.5 RBI +175
Stott O 0.5 RBI +185
Harper O 0.5 RBI +155
Schwarber O 0.5 RBI +180
 
276-365
+ 47.39u

BOL Boost
Odds Booster - Daily Booster - Cross-Sport Booster - Was +347 - PHI Phillies & PHI Flyers Both Win - NOW +400
 
Oct 27

1u

Tex F5 -0.5 -105

Boost on the dubious bullpens (BOL)

Odds Booster - Daily Booster - MLB Booster - Was +163 - ARI/TEX - Team Scoring 1st Wins (No) - NOW +190
 
Oct 31

BOL Boost

Odds Booster - Daily Booster - MLB Booster - Was +100 - TEX/ARI - Both Teams Combined 19+Hits - NOW +120

...the HRE is set at 27.5, juiced to the Over. With these quote/unquote "starting" pitchers, I like this extra 20%.
 
Dipping my toes in the college hardball pool this year:

All lines at -115 unless stated otherwise
0.5u each

Ohio St/BC U 12.5
SEMO/Dal Baptist O 12
FGCU/TCU U 13.5
WVU/Stetson U 13.5
K-St/Cali U 12.5
Northeastern +120
 
chipnotized said:
Dipping my toes in the college hardball pool this year:

All lines at -115 unless stated otherwise
0.5u each

Ohio St/BC U 12.5
SEMO/Dal Baptist O 12
FGCU/TCU U 13.5
WVU/Stetson U 13.5
K-St/Cali U 12.5
Northeastern +120
Click to expand...
Just noticed this...

Looking forward to the selections.
 
College
4-2
+ 1.4u

...sticking with the 0.5u sizing for now--controlling risk rather than maximizing profit

Feb 18

Clemson -185
V Tech -143
Ari St -175
UCSB -163
Tex Tech -115
CS Fullerton +200
Northeastern +105
LBSU -120
Cali -119
 
College
7-8
+ 1u


Feb 22

MLB Pre

0.5u

LAD/SD U 10 +100
...I'd like to pretend there's some sort of angle here, but I'm just itching to bet ball and I miss Lefty.
 
College 8-9
+ 0.85u

Mar 1

1u each

Purdue/East Caro U 13
Campbell/Ga Southern O 10.5
Coastal Caro -2.5 +110
Bama -1.5 +100
 
With the proliferation of futures offerings at books, I can foresee myself deploying most of my hardball bankroll in the season-long markets and leaving the daily grind behind in a few years. In that spirit, I'm throwing a few futures wagers in this season:

6u
Red Sox -- Longest Win Streak U 6.5 -120

5.5u
Rockies -- Longest Win Streak U 4.5 -110

2.5u
Any Team Longest Loss Streak U 13.5 -115
 
2024 scheduling notes for reference:

June 8-9 -- Phillies and Mets play in London (eye on the total)
....the league front-loaded their out of division games so they can stay closer to home before and after London

Twins have fewest games against teams that had a winning record last year (73)

Red Sox play 3 series in Pacific time zone before playing in Boston

Teams playing over 100 games against winning teams from last year: Bos; Mets; Col; SF; Pit; Wsh; StL
...league average--90

Tigers travel +5000 miles more than last year
 
0-1
- 0.5u

Mar 29

1u each

Oak -1.5 +230
Col -1.5 +300
SF -1.5 +205
StL -1.5 +300

AJ Puk--Mia Records Win +200
Javier--Hou U 14.5 Outs +140
Kwan--Cle U 0.5 Singles +160
 
6-8
+ 1.06u

Mar 31

1u each

Pit/Mia F5 O 4.5 -103
Det/CWS F5 O 4.5 +100
KC F5 +108
Min/KC F5 O 4.5 +102
StL F5 +155
 
Mar 31 con't

1u
2-teamer +240

Mia in reg -126
Min in reg -112

0.5u each

Schwarber--Phi O 0.5 HR +475
Mullins--Bal O 0.5 SB +500
Betts--LAD O 0.5 SB +850

1u

Bos/Sea 1st inn O 0.5 +115
 
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11-13
+ 4.06u

Apr 1

1u each

Atl/CWS F5 O 4.5 +100
Wsh F5 -0.5 +115
KC F5 +132
LAA F5 +105
Cin/Phi F5 U 4.5 +110
Det F5 +117
Tor F5 +120
SD F5 -0.5 +120
Sea F5 -0.5 +120
Ari F5 +107
SF/LAD F5 O 4.5 -106
 
Apr 1 con't

1u
2-teamer +148

Rosario--Wsh O 0.5 TB -160
Pasquantino--KC O 0.5 TB -190

0.5u
Wade Jr--SF O 0.5 HR's +1000
 
GL this year Chip. Will be watching, occasionally tailing from the sidelines. Sure miss Lefty, hopefully he comes back around.
 
14-20
- 1.64u

Apr 2 con't

0.5u each

Fraley--Cin O 0.5 Singles +120
De La Cruz--Cin O 0.5 SB +250
Biggio--Tor O 0.5 Singles +175
Ramirez--Cle O 0.5 HR's +525
 
chipnotized said:
Apr 2

1u each

NYM F5 -0.5 +110
Tor F5 +138
Oak F5 +117
Click to expand...

man a's ff yesterday cost me a 8 team parlay! i was so mad at myself having those losers in it! lol. they committed 5 errors, that more than runs they have scored in any single game! i had heard ok things bout the kid pitching, obviously he didn't get much a chance but he walked 4 on top the 5 errors and they got shut out by Houck who i'm not even that high on!!! they prob will win it today, lol. i really like sox pitcher Bello, although i recall last year he was going thru a stretch where i was cashing his out or k total game after game, then he went to oakland and inexplicably got blown up!! think maybe i should just stay away from a's games!! i kinda thought coming into the year might be a team who be a decent bet on team as the perception is clearly awful and think they have some good young pieces, some showed pretty well late last year. i know i shouldn't reach to one game but last night really made them sour on me!! i can't forgive them anytime soon, def not against a pitcher i was super early to the party on, i always get partial to those guys, lol. considering some bello props today, can't imagine last years blow up was anything other than a fluke. what you see in A's today??
 
2daBank said:
man a's ff yesterday cost me a 8 team parlay! i was so mad at myself having those losers in it! lol. they committed 5 errors, that more than runs they have scored in any single game! i had heard ok things bout the kid pitching, obviously he didn't get much a chance but he walked 4 on top the 5 errors and they got shut out by Houck who i'm not even that high on!!! they prob will win it today, lol. i really like sox pitcher Bello, although i recall last year he was going thru a stretch where i was cashing his out or k total game after game, then he went to oakland and inexplicably got blown up!! think maybe i should just stay away from a's games!! i kinda thought coming into the year might be a team who be a decent bet on team as the perception is clearly awful and think they have some good young pieces, some showed pretty well late last year. i know i shouldn't reach to one game but last night really made them sour on me!! i can't forgive them anytime soon, def not against a pitcher i was super early to the party on, i always get partial to those guys, lol. considering some bello props today, can't imagine last years blow up was anything other than a fluke. what you see in A's today??
Click to expand...
I've got Oakland as one of my early season buy low teams..plus they haven't sewered a parlay for me yet this year!

I'm back fading them for tomorrow though..just coz perceptions are low doesn't mean they're gonna put together a win streak!
 
chipnotized said:
I've got Oakland as one of my early season buy low teams..plus they haven't sewered a parlay for me yet this year!

I'm back fading them for tomorrow though..just coz perceptions are low doesn't mean they're gonna put together a win streak!
Click to expand...

yea i had them as buy low also then they committed 5 errors in 4 innings. lol., so of course they turn around tonight and for the second time facing bello who i like a lot they knock him around!! go fucjing figure!! i knew it would happen but i couldn't face my guy. shocked he somehow managed to hit 6k's. i damn near played that but decided to just stay the hell away from them til my emotions get our the way! lol. i smashed props in mlb and the nit tonight, 7-2 on the nit games and something like 9-1 on mlb ;)
 
2daBank said:
yea i had them as buy low also then they committed 5 errors in 4 innings. lol., so of course they turn around tonight and for the second time facing bello who i like a lot they knock him around!! go fucjing figure!! i knew it would happen but i couldn't face my guy. shocked he somehow managed to hit 6k's. i damn near played that but decided to just stay the hell away from them til my emotions get our the way! lol. i smashed props in mlb and the nit tonight, 7-2 on the nit games and something like 9-1 on mlb ;)
Click to expand...
No doubt they're going to look like a bunch of drunken slo-pitch players in the middle of a red eye, but that's how it is with young teams.

I'd expect nothing less from ya in the prop markets...I'd better start checking in more frequently!
 
i assume you not even gonna bother looking at salami's next few days with all
the rain forecasted all over ?
 
2daBank said:
you don't think mize gonna pitch well or just think he on short pitch count?
Click to expand...
More pitch count...if he's mowing them down, he may go a full 5, but it's more the plus price on any variable occurring that has him on the bench before 15 outs.
 
chipnotized said:
More pitch count...if he's mowing them down, he may go a full 5, but it's more the plus price on any variable occurring that has him on the bench before 15 outs.
Click to expand...

fair enough, i love his k prop and the price on tigers but how mize will do is def the biggest unknown, gl today
 
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