Divisional Plays...

emkee

The Truth Is Out There
Playoffs: 3-1 (+5)

Some nice matchups this round.

Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots

The play...

Chiefs +4.5 (2 units)

Thoughts a little later on.

:popcorn:
 
Thanks fellas.

Many think the Panthers are the ones being disrespected by Vegas in this round, imo it's the Chiefs.

Spread is 3-points too high.

Always scary betting against Brady and may regret it but it had to be done.

Pats have entered the playoffs off a loss only 3 times in the Brady-era, they are 1-2 ATS (0-2 ATS last 2).
 
This is not the 2004 Patriots who beat a Steelers team in the playoffs that was riding a 15-game win-streak.

The 2015 version is very flawed.

The always reliable Elo has the spread at 0.5...
 
Line is set in the 'Twilight Zone'.

Last 2 seasons, faves of exactly -5 went 3-15-1 ATS.

Faves between 5 and 6 went 22-42-1 ATS.
 
Was that simple in the early game, one of those 'why did I bet against Tom Brady' moments.

Only QB left in the playoffs that can decipher and beat any of the current playoff defenses.

Big play on deck tomorrow, gonna sit on the line for a bit and see where it goes.
 
adding...

Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers

The play...

Seahawks +2.5 (3 units)

:shake:
 
I like that they got to keep a normal Sunday/Sunday schedule for this game. Since 2005, road teams in the divisional round are 9-3 SU and 12-0 ATS when they get to keep a normal schedule:

season >= 2005 and p:playoffs = 1 and op:playoffs = 0 and p:day = Sunday and day = Sunday
 
Thanks fellas.

Panthers played the worst strength of schedule in the league if you take everything into account.

If you just take W/L into account they played the 4th worst SOS overall, still the worst of all the playoff teams.

Yeah, they beat the Hags earlier in the season but the Hags were without 6 key members of their defense.

Hags blew that game more than the Panthers won it. Scam's rating after 3 quarters in that game was below 16.

Hags have their entire defense this time around and got rid of defensive liability Cary Williams, gonna be the best D Cam has seen all year.

Panthers offense is somewhat smoke and mirrors, it has one of the worst completion percentages in the league which is big in this game -

Hags' defense is good against the pass and the run, if they can contain Stewart and take away Cam's 1st reads, dude gonna force those frustration throws.

Russell is the 2nd best QB in the playoffs, his playoff record does not lie and the Hags have been a better road team than home team this season.

We shall see.

Worth noting that the Panthers are missing 2 of their best DB's, Tillman and Benwikere.
 
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