1 PMs/Main Slate
HOU/ATL
Texans have a great P matchup, and a meh RB matchup.
Falcons have a great RB matchup, and a bad P matchup.
Stroud has a great pass potential, Pierce has a bad run potential.
Ridder has a bad pressure rate situation, and a bad pass potential. Bijan/Allgeier have a great run potential.
Pace of play is 3rd (good), O/U rank is 8th (meh).
- Injuries - HOU - On D, CB/DT Griffin (95%)/Collins (60%) are Q. CB Stingley (98%) is out for 3rd week. On O, C Green is out, Ts Tunsil/Jones are Q. WR Metichie is Q.
- ATL - On D, LB Andersen (95%) is out for 2nd week.
Pierce is 5.2K, which is extremely cheap for a guy that has 20+ opp upside, but I do not think HOU plays with a 2+ possession lead like they did vs Pit, he has a much worse run matchup, with a semi banged up Oline, and he has yet to hit 60% of snaps. I'll fade, but if you want to paint the right scenario, I can see him being successful at that price. Stroud has been great, the WRs are definitely a bit under priced as a whole, the problem is all 3 play 70%~ of snaps, have targets between 17-22.5%, and airyards between 9.35-12.33 --- there is not much separting them, I think I would resort to using just 1 in a small game stack, and my lean would be Woods, as he is the cheapest, and probably the lowest projected ownership %. Schultz has some things going for him when looking at playing him in a tourney. He has had his snaps drop from 75%~ the first 2 weeks (in losses/positive pass scripts), to 59%~ last 2 weeks (in wins/negative pass scripts), personally, I think they play in a positive pass script, ATL has been one of the worst at given FPs to TEs, he has 4 RZ targets on the season, and a decent aDOT for a TE at 6.65, at 3.4K I like it (kind of more than the WRs too).
Bijan is in a sexy spot, I think they play with a lead, he has not had less than 5 targets in a game, while also averaging 6 yards per rush attempt, he has a huge floor/ceiling combo, and I'm for it. Allgeier has had his snaps drop every game since week 1, but this could be the first game since week 1 where they are actually in a positive run script, for tourneys, if I'm jamming in Bijan, I may want a lineup or 2 with allgeier to hedge, and give me some leverage at a super low %. Also if he hits, at 4.7K, you'll be able to get monsters elsewhere. I'm most likely going to pass at WR here and move aong, but I'll mention London has a 18% target share, and an ok aDOT of 9.62, those look like decent numbers, but the volume just isn't there.... Hollins has a 15% target share, so not much less thann london, but has a much bigger aDOT of 14.65, and he is super cheap... if hunting for a HR, at 3.3K, I get it... Joonu is a slightly smaller version in most categories compared to Pitts (and last week he was money in the showdown slate), but he isn;t much cheaper than Pitts, and the only thing pitts has going for him, is a great te aDOT of 11.9, if you think this game somehow becomes a shootout, Pitts/Hollins are more favorite sides.
CAR/DET
Panthers have a bad P/RB matchup.
Lions have a great RB matchup, meh P matchup.
Young has the worst main slate pressure rate situation, and a bad pass potential. Sanders? has a bad run potential.
Goff has a great pressure rate situation. Montgomery/Gibbs? have a great run potential.
Pace of play is T-11th (meh), O/U Rank is T-4th.
- Injuries - CAR - On D, S Woods (86%) is out for 2nd week, LB Thompson (100%) is out for 3rd week, CB Horn out for 4th week, CB Jackson (95%) is Q.
- DET - On D, S Gardner-Johnson (100%) is out for 3rd week. Lions have a lot of questionable secondary pieces, but a handful of them may be returning from absences (LB Okwara/CB Moseley/S Joseph). On O, WRs St.Brown/Reynolds are Q.
At best I'll one-off a player from Carolina, but I may full fade. I'll start with Thielen, he has a 22% target share, and 7.73 aDOT, this is in a game where I think the script will dictate high volume, and he is STILL relatively cheap --- But I kind of have an issue with him being healthy through 4 games where his competition for targets balloon his target share, as Marshall has missed a game, mingo has missed 1.5 games, Chark missed a game, I have no issues if you want to continue to go here, I just think he will be a bit to popular for my liking. Pass on Marshall, his aDOT stinks at 4.39, and with all 4 healthy, he is probably the odd man out. Chark has a massive aDOT of 16.4, revenge angle, and is playing 90%+ of snaps since fully returning, he makes some sense. The last one, the cheapest, and who I like the most as a one-off (if going here), is Mingo. In Weeks 1/2 he had a 21% target share and a 14.77 aDOT, that's ridiculous, especially when he is almost min priced... even in week 3 when he got hurt and played just 33% of snaps, he got to 6 targets.... very nice. Hurst is splitting time, has just 10% target share, pass. I need to stop talking so much about carolina before I go overboard on a side/team I kind of don't really want. Now having said that (lol), Sanders is coming in this game with 0 injury designation, going into the last week, he lead all RBs in targets, in those 3 games he had a neutral to negative script throughout, and he still averaged 60%+ of snaps..... I think he goes virtually unowned, he is a back with 5 target floor potential, and should get any goal line work (if they get there), not bad for 5.2K.
While I think Goff can succeed, I don't know how I can trust playing him in a matchup where the panthers look like they're going to get smoked, plus the pace stinks. The WRs are banged up, the one you want is slightly dinged up AND jameson is returning (may eat a tiny bit into his share), and while I like LaPorta, he is kind of expensive, and again, I want to avoid the receiving options --- just want to note he is #2 among TEs in target %. My bet is that Montgomery + Defense is the way to go, and if the receiving options don't score early, they can be duds for you. Montgomery in his 2 healthy weeks is averaging 75% of snaps, 26.5 carries, and 1 target.... in ppr formats, that doesn't feel good, but 100+, 1+ may be an absolutely floor this week, so I want him. Kind of like Bijan/Allgeier, if mass entering, and going overweight on Montgomery, I will pivot in a lineup or two with Gibbs.
TEN/IND
Titans have a good RB matchup, meh P matchup.
Colts have a good P matchup, bad RB matchup.
Tannehill has a meh pass potential.
Richardson has a meh pressure rate situation. Taylor?/Moss have a bad run potential.
Pace of play is 10th, O/U Rank is T-6th.
- Injuries - TEN - On D, DT Tart (53%) is out, DE Autry (62%) is Q. On O, WR Burks is out.
- IND - On D, DE/LB/CB Paye (65%)/Leonard (67%)/Flowers (99%), are all out. DT/DE Buckner (60%)/Lewis (30%) are both Q. On O, T Raimann is out.
Tannehill is under 5K, but I still don't know if I can play him, and if I do, I'm going for a full game stack, as the colts will have to keep up for him to hit, because if this team is playing with a lead, they'll have 0 issues running/bleeding the clock. Speaking of Henry, he may be the definition of boom or bust this year, I think the titans can contend here, and that means he won't be crossed of my list. Just because I don't want to play Tannehill, doesn't mean his receiving corp doesn't look nice. While I was very big on Hopkins last week without Burks, the script kind of got away from him, so it semi burnt me. He was also slightly banged up, limiting him to 53% of snaps... despite that, he still had a 23% target share (which actually lowered his season average), and a massive aDOT of 18... he is also the lowest he has been priced all year... I really really like him again. We don't need Chris Moore when the price of him and Westbrook are pretty similar, and Westbrook is the WR2/doubled him in targets --- but for tourneys, I guess you can take a shot on Moore if you want, as he still play 79% of snaps, I'll stick to Westbrook, who lead the WRs in snaps, and tied Hopkins with a 23% target share, and had a good aDOT of 10.17, he is a great one-off punt play or for a super cheap game stack option. Chig had a fine aDOT last week at 7.67, but still, his target shar was just 7.44%, his season numbers are 5.54, and 6.72%,, I think I'll pass...
If you want to try and get cute/play this Indy backfield, you may get away with it at super lower ownership... the problem is we really can't predict Taylor's share/usage, and he doesn't really come at a discount for the expectation of it not being his normal load..... we also don't know the redzone usage with Richardson being a vulture, I'm fading him/moss. Pittman/Pierce continue to be the 100% snap guys, with downs at 75%~. Looking at the 2 games with Richardson, Both Pierce/Downs are very cheap, with different issues, downs is more popular from an ownership%, but he runs less routes per dropback/less snaps, and has a smaller aDOT of 7.3, Pierce runs more routes per dropback, has a good aDOT of 12.8, but only has an 8% target share.... for tournaments, I don't mind Pierce as a salary relief/punt option in a lineup or two. Pittman is the best of both worlds, he has a 25% target share, with an aDOT of 9.63, he isn't as priced up as some of these other options, but idk if I will be having much of him. The colts play 3 TEs, and while 1 has a 17% target share with Richardson, he also has an aDOT of 0.63, in fact, no TE is over 1.05 aDOT... that's brutal, pass.
NYG/MIA
Giants have a great P/RB matchup.
Dolphins have a great P matchup, good RB matchup.
Jones has a bad pressure rate situation, and a meh pass potential. Barkley? has a good run potential.
Tua has the best pressure rate situation, and the best pass potential. Mostert/Achane have the best run potential (a lot of this is because of the inflated game vs DEN, but still)
Pace of play is T-4th, O/U Rank is 3rd (good).
- Injuries - NYG - On D, LB McFadden (72%) is Q. On O, RB Barkley/TE Bellinger are Q. C/GT Schmitz/Lemieux/Thomas are all out.
- MIA - On D, CB Needham is set to return. LB Phillips (71%) is Q (missed 2 games this year). On O, T Armstead is still out. G Jones is set to return, Gs Cotton/Williams are Q.
This is a weird game, because the matchups are good/pace is good/total is good, miami's TT is #1, so you almost want some type of piece at a minimum, and Giant bring backs are super cheap, the discussion falls on leverage/ownership want.
Jones is cheap, will probably be super popular (rightfully so), as he has an amazing projected game script, and has rushing floor/upside. My problem is what I said above, plus he really has been good for 2 of the 16 quarters he's played.... my gut is telling me to take a stand against the ownership, and hope he continues to fail. Wandale is priced at the minimum, and will probably be 20%+ owned.... do you just lock him in, and go different elsewhere? Maybe.... you could go double leverage, and take another giants WR, hoping robinson has a bad game, or not as good as a teammate, I'm struggling. Hodgins should not be played with him being more expensive than the WR1 slayton. I think Campbell is the pivot off Robinson for tourneys, and Slayton off Hodgins. Those are the 2 I'd chase if going here. Waller continues to look great on paper, 90%+ snaps, a good TE aDOT of 8.52, a target share of 18%, I hate that his price went up after a 3-21 performance making him the TE4 on this list, but it also wouldn't surprise me to see him finish as the TE1 this week, I'm fine with him. I can't even talk you off Breida, giants just have value everywhere... he is low 5Ks, and is inline to play 75%+ of snaps, can should see at least 4 targets and is playing against his best defensive matchup.... a TD, and he may be optimal immediately. Ugh, I want to be contrarian, but idk how much I can be.
Achane played 60% to Mostets 40% of snaps...was that because miami was getting blown out? While the game was within 2 possesions, they both had about 10 opporutnities... so it seems like a split regardless. In his 2 games, Achane has had more opps than mostert, and has been way more explosive. I can see the arguement of going with Mostert, as they both can easily beat the other in FPs, and will be less owned, but I really think Achane has a much higher ceiling, so I do still lean that way. Look, if you can play Hill, you do it. He is 7th in the NFL in target% at 30.3%, yet he has the highest aDOT of them at 13.38, while seeing 7 RZ targets as well. My redraft leagues are so upset with Waddle... I know in tourneys he will be the lowest owned dolphin, so maybe you can pray for a breakout game, but he is so expensive for a 12% target share guy... he has an aDOT of 10.75, which is fine, but for 1500 more you can get hill... and if you realllly want, there's this guy who plays like 50% of snaps, but has a target share of 12%, and an aDOT of 10.31, does this not sound exactly the same as waddle??, oh and he is less than half of his price. Berrios. Can't do it. Smythe keeps failing, but he is an 80% floor snap guy, in a great offense, a decent aDOT of 6.93, and is 3K, I'm fine if you go here.
NOS/NEP
Saints have a meh P matchup, and a bad RB matchup.
Patriots have a meh P/RB matchup.
Carr? has a good pressure rate situation, but a meh pass potential. Kamara has a meh run potential.
M. Jones has a great pressure rate situation, but a bad pass potential. Stevenson has a bad run potential.
Pace of play is 1st (great). O/U Rank is 9th (bad).
- Injuries - NOS - On D, CB Adebo (100%) is Q, missed last 2 weeks. On O, T Young is out, T Hurst is Q, Carr is Q, and TE Johnson is out.
- NEP - On D, CB Gonzalez (99%) is out, CB J. Jones (80%) is Q, missed last 3 weeks. On O, Ts Reiff/Brown are Q. RB Stevenson is Q.
Kamara came back last week and had a 75% snap share immediately, 25 total opps, FOURTEEN of which were targets, is that a product of Carrs shoulder? If not, then we may see it again, if so, it probably isn't healed, and we may see it again. Either way, if a RB is even projected 20+ opps, and 8+ targets (both much lower than last week), he should be considered. Personally, I think his shoulder is fine ---- all 3 of the NOS WRs had aDOTs over 12.5, on 20 targets... if the narrative is about his shoulder, and the matchup being tough, I can see the arguement in being overweight on a WR... specifically Olave. I can see him getting under 5% ownership (which may be high), but the guy has a really good target share of 27.75%, and a great aDOT of 13.63, in a game where the pace is great, and I think will be in a bit of a positive script. He isn't that cheap though, I don't see the need to pivot to Thomas, but he can be a cheaper option to this offense, that will be even lower owned than the others --- Juwan Johnsons shiity 9% target share needs to be dispersed too. All tiny bumps to projections.
Seeing Rhamondre in the 5K range kind with an injury designation kind of has me salivating despite a poorish start to the year. He arguable has an 18~ opp floor, with no lower than 3 targets a game, I have no problem going here, while nobody else will be. The only WR I think worth mentioning is Parker, as every other one struggle to even get over 50% of snaps. Parker is 80%+, he is in the 3K range, has a ok aDOT of 9,47m target share of 15%. Henry is getting a bit to expensive for me, but he does have a decent 15% target share, a good TE aDOT of 8.39, and plays 80%+ of snaps, so I get it, but not with LaPorta/Waller/Andrews a little bit more expensive than him. I have no issues with punting and going Gesicki, he is almost min priced, he sees 60%+ of snaps, a great TE aDOT of 10.85, but again, just as a salary relief/punt option.
BAL/PIT
Ravens have a meh P/RB matchup.
Steelers have a bad P/RB matchup.
Lamar has a meh pressure rate situation. Gus Bus? has a good run potential.
Pickett? has a bad pressure rate situation, and the worst pass potential of the main slate. Najee/Warren have the worst run potential as well.
Pace of play is 6th, O/U Rank is 10th (bad).
- Injuries - BAL - On D, CB Worley (60%) is out, LB Oweh (46%) is out for 3rd week. DE Ojabo (59%) is out for 2nd week, S Washington (82%) is out for 3rd week. CB Humphrey may return. On O, T Moses is doubtful, T Stanley is Q, WR OBJ is Q, RB Hill is Q.
- PIT - On D, LB Highsmith (78%) is Q. On O, G Daniels is out, T Moore is out. TE Freiermuth/WR Johnson are out.
I'm never a believe in BAL RBs, and if you don't know why, feel free to ask.... but if you want to argue that Gus Bus is playable, I see the reasons why, I just won't be doing it. If Bateman/Obj both take the field, could I see one doing well/hitting a HR? yes, but I don't want to play a guessing game, and in the game both were fully healthy (week 2), none hit 60% of snaps, I'll pass for now. Flowers has a really good target share of 28%, but some of that is because his teammates at WR haven't been on the field as much, he also has a low aDOT of 6.07, so while he can get there in PPR formants, he could also dud you, I'm fine with whatever stance here, but I'll be underweight. In Andrews 3 games played, he has a 22.5% target share, he is obviously Lamars favorite target, he has a decent aDOT of 6.5, and he is still priced in the 5Ks, he is one many (unfortunately) TEs I like this week.
Pass on PIT backfield, they are in a true timeshare, and we need one to get hurt before we are comfortable. With Johnson out, Pickens had a 26% target share last week, with an ok 8.86 aDOT, I think he is a fine play, and can be kept on your list. Austin however comes in significantly cheaper, had a massive aDOT of 15.4, and a target share of 18.5%, both of these guys also see slight upticks with no Muth now too... Austin>Pickens, although I'm fine with both.
4 PMs/Main Slate Cont.
PHI/LAR
Eagles have a great P/RB matchup.
Rams have a good P matchup, bad RB matchup.
Hurts has a good pressure rate situation. Swift has a great run potential.
Williams has a meh run potential.
Pace of play is T-11th (meh), O/U Rank is 2nd (great).
- Injuries - PHI - On D, DTs Tuipulotu (11%), Cox (70%), LB Dean (61%)/CB Maddox (60%) are out for 4th/3rd weeks, On O, RB Penny is doubtful, G Jurgens is out.
- LAR - On O, T Noteboom is out, T Jackson is Q.
Swift at worst looks to be in a 60/40 split from here on out. In his 2 games with Gainwell, he has averaged 18 opps (3t/g), he has been so efficient, and philly has already proven that they can run on tough defenses.... he is priced similarly to Mostert/Achane/Kamara, and I think is a great tourney pivot in a perceived tougher environment. I have said for what feels like 2 years now, that Brown/Smith are so similar in terms of advanced stats. That is slowly starting to separate, and the price isn't completely reflect in that. Brown on the season has a MASSIVE 35% target share, with a sick 13 aDOT. Smith has a great aDOT of 13.31, but his target share is just (I say just, but it is still good) of 24%. Do I think Smith is still a fine play in a vacuum? Yes, but give me the 11% more target share at just $600 more dollars all day, he also sees more RZ targets. Goedert has a target share of 16%, and an ok aDOT of 6.47, he practically plays 100% of snaps, and is cheaper than Henry (another reason why to fade him), I don't have a problem going here, not sure how much I will even have though.
I do not know what to do with the Rams now that they have Kupp, Does tutu become unplayable? Is Nacua overvalued at 7.7K? Is Kupp now going to be in a full role, if not or if so, how can we pay 8.6K for him.... All these uncertainties to create leverage, as nobody will be fully investing in them, but I'm not sure how I'm approaching this myself. Higbee is cheap enough at 4.1K, he has a 16% target share, and a bit better aDOT of 7.42... the script is projected to be better for him than Goedert, while being a smidge cheaper, but do those numbers reduce a smidge with Kupp back? Yeah, probably, so like goedert, I don't have a problem going here, not sure how much I will even have though.
CIN/ARI
Bengals have a great P/RB matchup.
Cardinals have a great RB matchup, good P matchup.
Burrow has a great pressure rate situation (prove it now...), Mixon has a good run potential.
Dobbs has a good pass potential, Conner has a great run potential.
Pace of play is 9th, O/U Rank is T-4th.
- Injuries - CIN - On D, DE Henrickson (68%), CBs Awuzie(73%)/Taylor-Britt(89%) are all Q. On O, WR Higgins is Q.
- ARI - On D, DE Ledbetter (64%) is out for 2nd week, LB woods may return. On O, G Hernandez is Q.
While I know Mixon has a really good matchup, and plays 75%~ of snaps, he has hit over 18 opps just once in 4 games, and in his last 2 weeks, he is averaging just 1.5 targets/g... both those things kind of concern me, I feel like I always miss Mixon's big games, so this might bite me, but I'll be underweight. If Burrow fails this week, I'm done with him. Chase is turning into a better version of Zay Flowers (I know i know) as statistically, his aDOT has been really bad for his standards, 7.27, but still maintains a great target shar of 28.5%, I don't hate him at all, and without higgins for most of week 4 his target share ballooned to 33%, but he is the same price as Brown, and look above at his statistics. Maybe as a pivot in a lineup or 2 I'll go to chase, but I'll be underweight. If Higgins is ruled out, I may lock in boyd. There is no deep threat on this team without him other than Boyd, last week he had an aDOT of 10.14, and a great target share of 26%, he is in the 4K, can't beat that. Pass at TE, even last week, none had a target share above 8, and the aDOTs were pathetic.
Arizona has been really competitive this year, and sadly Conners snap share has declined week to week, which directly has decreased his opportunities, while playing in 3 straight games without more than 2 targets... I might regret it, as he is just 5K range, and has a great run potential/matchup spot, but I may fade him. Everybody and their mothers is on Michael Wilson this week (humble brag -- I mentioned him post week 1. Unhumble brag --- I ditched his ass after a poor week 2). I am not chasing it, he has just a 13% target share, and played less snaps than Rondale Moore this week... and not for nothing, Hollywood Brown does not break the bank, he is almost an everydown player, has a good target share at 26.4%, with a good aDOT of 11.75, just give me him. DK is just refusing to change Ertz price, but he has now had 3 games with atleast 8 targets, giving him a 25% target share, he has a good TE aDOT of 7.67.... he is 3.5K Draftkings!! Hellooo... no issues going here.
NYJ/DEN
Jets have a great P/RB matchup.
Broncos have a good P matchup, meh RB matchup.
Z. Wilson has a good pass potential.
Russ has a meh pressure rate situation, but a great pass potential.
Pace of play is 8th. O/U Rank is T-6th.
- Injuries - NYJ - On D, CB Reed (98%) is out,
- DEN - On O, RB Williams is Q.
Jets have had a RB get to 50% of snaps just once... Cook got 50% week 1, that is so gross. But if what they are saying is try, and Hall's training wheels are now gone, he is extremely cheap for this matchup, and I have no issues with him. We have 2 options at WR, and both are also cheap for projected matchup/volume, so I don't hate either, and while this isn't as good as MIA vs NYG, it has a similar feel. Wilson has a massive target share of 33%, with an okay aDOT of 9,28, and he is 6K, I think I want to be underweight, because most of the field will go here, but I don't mind it. Lazard is the other choice, both are playing a lot, he has a weaker target share of 15%, but he hass a massive aDOT of 15.31, and we've seen this defense get torched.... he is under 4K, and again, I think most flock to micheal wilson... I will be overweight lazard. Conklin has been fine, he has a 16% target share/6.72 aDOT, but he doesn't run a ton of routes, and Ertz is priced right above him, i'll pass.
We unfortunately don't know the Jav Williams news yet, if he is in, he will go unowned, if he is out, I think jaleel is the guy, who will also go unowned, the matchup isn't great, but from a volume/ownership standpoint, I know mind Jaleel is no Jav, if mass entering, and strictly for tourneys. Sorry Mims, but no WR last week had over 35% of snaps unless your name was Sutton or Jeudy. I still can't stomach paying 1.1K more for jeudy when in the 3 weeks with sutton, he's played less, and has jsut a 19% target share, compared to suttons 26%. Sutton or nothing for me until further notice. Pass at TE.
KCC/MIN
Chiefs have a good P matchup, meh RB matchup.
Vikings have a good RB matchup, meh P matchup.
Mahomes has a good pressure rate situation, and a great pass potential.
Cousins has a meh pass potential.
Pace of play is 2nd (good), O/U Rank is 1st (great).
- Injuries - KCC - On D, DE Dickerson (44%)/LB Bolton (88%) are Q.
- MIN - On D, LB Davenpot (62%) is Q.
Fast pace, best O/U, semi close spread. What's not to like?
I want to play a lot of Mahomes, he just hasn't had a big game this year, and at 8.2K, you need more than 24 points. I will probably be similar to the field here. They played 4 WRs between 46 and 61% last week, and that didn't count Toney at 24%.... it is a crapshoot. I've stuck behing MVS but he has seen his snaps drop last 2 weeks to 53%~, I don't want him, I don't want Toney and his pathetic snaps. It leaves me with Moore/Watson/Rice. Smoore has been steady, with an ok aDOT of 9.73, but just a 11% target share, and he is the most expensive WR of the bunch. Watson/Rice have quietly increased their playing time this year, and Watson has a massive 21 aDOT, with a 9% target share, he is the HR punt hitter imo. I personally think Rice's role will continue to increase as a rookie, as it has already too, his aDOT is weak at 5.84, but the last 2 weeks (where he hit 50% of snaps), he had the best target share of 18%... give me just watson/rice in my mahomes stacks. Kelce hit his year high of 79% of snaps last week, despite being limited week 2, his 3 weeks have led him to have a 25% target share, tops among TEs in that span.... he can always be considered. Pacheco hit 60% of snaps last week, is projected to be in a simialr script, and had 23 opps (3 targets), he is just 5.7K, and can be a great pivot of Mahomes if he fails. Fine with that in some lineups, paired with KC D too.
I've backed Mattison since Akers arrival, and in a passing script, he actually has shown ppr potential, I don't think I want him this week though, and his snaps have slipped a bit. JJ is a savage, and I'll never talk you off of him, he has a massive 31.5% target share, with a good aDOT of 11.09, and minnesota has the highest pass/run ratio in the league. Osborn/Addison are still similar in metrics, give me the cheaper osborn all day. Hockenson 20% target share means so much with the volume this team throws at, but I hate his 5.87 aDOT... while I'm fine with playing him, I'd rather go down to andrews/waller/laporta, or up to Kelce.
