Short on time again, quick notes game by game
NOS/ATL
-All value in any NOS side for DFS, we've already seen them play for nothing, so no worries on that front, and the top end guys are out.
-Bijan feels like the safest must start, the guy has hit atleast 27 opps in his L3 (and 4 of his L5) ---- in those 4 games he was never fewer than 7 targets HELLOOO.
CLV/CIN
-It is a great matchup for the backs, but they split, and none even hit 50% number, I worry, maybe if mass entering in tourneys. Fannin got hurt early last week, and Njoku was out --- both are now out... even with fannin eating up an injured 8% target share Juedy hit 30.5%/11.8 metrics, HELLLOO -- if you want to try the floor TEs Cannella/Bates/Whiteheart, be my guest, but just give me jeudy.
- not really sold on the WRs here, but Burrow is locked for 30+ pass attempts, and they do garner 47.5%~ of his targets since his return (only looking at the games both played in), imo though they do feel a bit expensive. That includes C. Brown too, he now has an elevated price after dismantling bad D's (ARI/MIA) but he has had a nice PPR floor, so I don't hate him
DAL/NYG
- Is there anyone here to challenge Blue for volume? He is 4.3K and an absolute steal. No problem if you prefer a Dak + Lamb and/or Pickens stack.
- Dart continues to be undervalued, and idk why, he has a solid rushing floor giving him good upside in a plus matchup. It was w/ winston, but the last time one of the 2 WRs were out, Hodgins had a 20.7% target share, and that was with both Wandale/Johnson making up an additonal 45% target share -- I think you can play Slayton, but I am going in on Hodgins, his most recent start he hit an 80% snap share too. Pass at RB, there is so much value elsewhere, why take a time share?
GBP/MIN
- Not playing players vs MIN D, plus the snap counts could be very low for most starters --- maybe Golden could be intersting?
- Jefferson and Co's. prices are so insanely low --- I don't want it with JJ not even hitting 25 pass attempts in any of his L4 starts (twice under 20), even a 40% target share is just 8 targets, and nobody is getting a 40% target share --- most likely, especially adding in the fact that this will not be a shootout. If mass entering, maybe taking a shot on this is a +EV play, but that's it. Mason + DEF is more likely the way to go.
IND/HOU
- Not taking IND players with Leonard + HOU D
- I want to play Collins and co, but scared of limited volume/blowout --- kind of like JJ, I would play a small amount if mass entering.
TEN/JAC
- Ward has 3x'd+ this salary in 3 straight games, and in 2 of those he didn't even hit 30 pass attempts, and Chig has quietly been his favorite target despite barely moving in price, he has hit atleast 6 targets in those 3 straight games, w/ a team lead 4 RZ targets -- worth noting Jefferson is out too, and he made up 11.5%~ targets in that span --- you can take stabs with Dike/Ayomanor, but I'll stick mostly with Chib.
- Tuten is back, and I am not paying 7K+ for Etienne, and his possible 20 tops opportunity potential. The "Big 3" WRs for JAC all saw 78%+ snaps and over the L3 they make up a combined 88% target share, none less than 25.9% --- that's insane but also kind of sucks because we don't know who it will be in any given week --- Washington does lead in RZ targets, imo I will be taking 2 of them rearranging across which ones across lineups.
I'll get to the 4pms asap if I have time
