BetCrimes1984
CTG Big Brother
Under 186.5
- all my stats based on opening lines & regulation scores.
Detroit
- is U/O 7-1 at an average of 182.6 points in the 1st games of B2Bs this season.
- is U/O 11-6 (1 pt off 12-5) at an average of 187.0 points in SU wins this season, as opposed to U/O 4-4 at an average of 191.2 points in SU losses.
- is U/O 7-1 at an average of 170.8 points in their last 8 regular season games vs NJY: U/O 4-0 at an average of 168.7 points when played at home.
- is U/O 4-2 (1 pt off 5-1) at an average of 188.3 points in ATS wins as the Fav, as opposed to U/O 4-6 at an average of 192.1 points in ATS failures as the Fav, this season. Given my recent chase of DET's 1st fav result in awhile, I noted that when Favs return in such a situation, they usually return in force, so the pointers (from "stat-land") are there for DET to cover this line as the Fav.
- is U/O 7-2 at an average of 189.3 points off an Over result this season.
New Jersey
- is U/O 5-0 at an average of 180.8 points off a game that totaled 210+ points this season (U/O 6-2 at an average of 181.6 points in the same spot for all of last season). Their last game totaled 219 points.
- is U/O 3-1-2 at an average of 187.6 points off a road loss, as opposed to U/O 5-4 at an average of 202.4 points off a home loss, this season. Their last game was a road loss.
- is U/O 8-2 at an average of 184.0 points off an Over result, as opposed to U/O 5-8-1 at an average of 204.1 points off an Under result, this season. Their last game was an Over result.
I've said it before of New Jersey, and I say it again: to me they're not a team built to rack up huge numbers of points consistently: their record off high scoring games the last few seasons proves it - I've already won w/3 of their Unders hitting them off a 210+ point game this season, and thats partly why I'm right back in the same spot again. With Krstic out - responsible for 20.9% of Jerseys points in their last 5 contests vs Detroit, which werent high scoring anyway - that fact is surely compounded by his absence. Only Detroit's general home bias for Overs this season keeps my bet small.
- all my stats based on opening lines & regulation scores.
Detroit
- is U/O 7-1 at an average of 182.6 points in the 1st games of B2Bs this season.
- is U/O 11-6 (1 pt off 12-5) at an average of 187.0 points in SU wins this season, as opposed to U/O 4-4 at an average of 191.2 points in SU losses.
- is U/O 7-1 at an average of 170.8 points in their last 8 regular season games vs NJY: U/O 4-0 at an average of 168.7 points when played at home.
- is U/O 4-2 (1 pt off 5-1) at an average of 188.3 points in ATS wins as the Fav, as opposed to U/O 4-6 at an average of 192.1 points in ATS failures as the Fav, this season. Given my recent chase of DET's 1st fav result in awhile, I noted that when Favs return in such a situation, they usually return in force, so the pointers (from "stat-land") are there for DET to cover this line as the Fav.
- is U/O 7-2 at an average of 189.3 points off an Over result this season.
New Jersey
- is U/O 5-0 at an average of 180.8 points off a game that totaled 210+ points this season (U/O 6-2 at an average of 181.6 points in the same spot for all of last season). Their last game totaled 219 points.
- is U/O 3-1-2 at an average of 187.6 points off a road loss, as opposed to U/O 5-4 at an average of 202.4 points off a home loss, this season. Their last game was a road loss.
- is U/O 8-2 at an average of 184.0 points off an Over result, as opposed to U/O 5-8-1 at an average of 204.1 points off an Under result, this season. Their last game was an Over result.
I've said it before of New Jersey, and I say it again: to me they're not a team built to rack up huge numbers of points consistently: their record off high scoring games the last few seasons proves it - I've already won w/3 of their Unders hitting them off a 210+ point game this season, and thats partly why I'm right back in the same spot again. With Krstic out - responsible for 20.9% of Jerseys points in their last 5 contests vs Detroit, which werent high scoring anyway - that fact is surely compounded by his absence. Only Detroit's general home bias for Overs this season keeps my bet small.
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