Commanders vs. Eagles Discussion Thread

Agree. There will be blind Philly money here and bet the favorite money. Going to let that flow in all week. Will actually be out in Vegas this weekend, so I think I can find a 6. Might also tease Buffalo and Washington together. Don’t think either team gets blown out and both are live to win.
 
Eagles are currently the fav to win it all? That's not the way I'm seeing it. I would put both Buffalo and KC ahead of them.
 
Injuries are gonna be huge as far as the line regardless of your flavor. It will likely change daily.
 
Hulu said:
Eagles are currently the fav to win it all? That's not the way I'm seeing it. I would put both Buffalo and KC ahead of them.
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Believe it's because they're a heavier favorite in this round than KC .

Current lookahead prices are Chiefs -125 ML over Eagles , and BILLS -120 ML over the Eagles ...( Small chalk )
 
skanless13 said:
Riggins was such a badass
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One of my all time favorite players , never liked the COMMIES but used to collect jerseys..
Zero disrespect to their wonderful fans !!!

Wish they would have went with Washington Americans or Red Wolves
 
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It really comes down to the health of Hurts and Mitchell. Without Mitchell the Eagles elite pass defense will look more of like what it looked like last few mins vs Rams. They had no answer and lost vs no huddle.

If he’s back, and Hurts is 80%, they should win comfortably. This is a bottom barrel rush defense that has no answers or personnel to stopping the run.

You have to throw out whatever they did to the Lions practice squad players inside the dome that week. Detroit was on pace to let the 9ers drop 50 on them a couple of weeks prior if it wasn’t for a couple bad picks by Purdy and 7 points missed by that bum Moody. If it wasn’t for a silly Baker fumble the Skins were on pace to hang 13 on the road at Tampa.

But this thread really needs some up the date minute stuff on what we can expect from Hurts and his legs, if anything. No point in betting this game if Kenny Pickett is going to have to come in because Hurts, who is pretty washed overall as a player at this point in his career, is one play away from coming in.
 
Jayden Daniels will be the 6th rookie quarterback to start a Conference Championship game. The previous five went 0-5 SU, with four passing touchdowns and nine interceptions. No rookie starting quarterback has ever made the Super Bowl, let alone won it.

Previous Rookie QB Results:

  • 2022 Brock Purdy (left injured)
  • 2009 Mark Sanchez: 2 TD, 1 INT
  • 2008 Joe Flacco: 0 TD, 3 INT
  • 2004 Ben Roethlisberger: 2 TD, 3 INT
  • 1999 Shaun King: 0 TD, 2 INT
 
Shawn Hochuli is listed as the main official for Commanders/Eagles. Philly is 5-0 SU under Nick Sirianni and Jalen Hurts with Hochuli as the main official.

Hochuli has refereed four Washington games, and they are 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in those games.

The under is 63-45-3 (58%) with Hochuli as the main official since 2018, the 2nd-best official to the under, behind only Bill Vinovich.
 
Inspekdah said:
It really comes down to the health of Hurts and Mitchell. Without Mitchell the Eagles elite pass defense will look more of like what it looked like last few mins vs Rams. They had no answer and lost vs no huddle.

If he’s back, and Hurts is 80%, they should win comfortably. This is a bottom barrel rush defense that has no answers or personnel to stopping the run.

You have to throw out whatever they did to the Lions practice squad players inside the dome that week. Detroit was on pace to let the 9ers drop 50 on them a couple of weeks prior if it wasn’t for a couple bad picks by Purdy and 7 points missed by that bum Moody. If it wasn’t for a silly Baker fumble the Skins were on pace to hang 13 on the road at Tampa.

But this thread really needs some up the date minute stuff on what we can expect from Hurts and his legs, if anything. No point in betting this game if Kenny Pickett is going to have to come in because Hurts, who is pretty washed overall as a player at this point in his career, is one play away from coming in.
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Mitchell said he's playing. Hurts will play, not sure how much he will be running it though
 
Less Anyone Forget... (I NEVER HAVE!!!) 44 Years Ago...This Coming Saturday The 25th.


Da RAIDERS Beat The Big Favorites (the eagles!) In SB XV. Less anyone forget...the eagles had beaten Da RAIDERS 10-7 during the regular season.


Da RAIDERS had to win THREE times as a WildCard. Home for Houston, Then Cleveland, Then The Heavily Favored sd chargers. (Revenge Game 4 The chargers @emkee )


Another fun fact...washington beat Da RAIDERS 35-31 In The Regular Season, Only To LOSE To Da RAIDERS In the SB That Season...(83-84)


Come On Man! It's Like Six Degrees Of Kevin Bacon!!!
 
Loves2kickass said:
I'm staying away from the side here. The play for me is under 47.5 for an above average wager.
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Teams from the same division who are playing in the Conference Championship game are 1-7 (86%) to the under since 1983.

Wild Card round teams who are playing in a Conference Championship game have seen their CC game total finish opposite of their Divisional Round total 23 of 27 (85%) times since 1990. Last week Philadelphia game total was over & Washington game total was over, thus the matchup this week is under no matter which team wins the game.
 
Vapster said:
Seeing 4.5 Now.

When you are on a roll, you're on a roll... Skins +195 ML

🤘

Washington +4.5
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I havnt paid attention to line all week but figured since the jump if it hit 7 I’d prob do points and ml, anything less than a td and it just a smallish (compared to so bets I make in playoffs other years) Washington ml not bothering w points cause it really feels like it goes one of 2 ways, if it within number late I’ll take all the plus money they wanna give on Daniels to win it (maybe with a ertz td for fun) or eagles click and bust it open, think it more likely it close but regardless I feel like better risk reward betting whatever I would ats on the ml I see around +250, I don’t care how it turns out that feels like best choice, not super confident or anything but feels way closer to -200 at the very most, I think -175 give or take 10 cents more accurate and the lower side if Philly center can’t go or is severely limited compared to what he can do, I havnt seen most recent injury report but didn’t spy

I will prob use ats money on some props, think there a few decent options game and player that can maybe pick off and win regardless of outcome and the game props I liked mostly plus money, just really starting to look at players stuff since I been busy with personal crap and havnt been worrying much about it, i pretty much figured if I liked the Washington side I’d be better waiting all week regardless so here we are. Im no line reader expert by any means but can’t see the ml going higher from here before kick, that would shock me I gotta think commanders take money today especially if the eagles center comes out looking bad in warmups.
 
Loves2kickass said:
Teams from the same division who are playing in the Conference Championship game are 1-7 (86%) to the under since 1983.

Wild Card round teams who are playing in a Conference Championship game have seen their CC game total finish opposite of their Divisional Round total 23 of 27 (85%) times since 1990. Last week Philadelphia game total was over & Washington game total was over, thus the matchup this week is under no matter which team wins the game.
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It is absolutely the only way I’d play it but dunno how excited I’d be bout it in 4th qrtr. Think matchup wise 47.5 feels high to me and it should play out most the game that way, practically every commanders game involves some 17+ play long ass drive or 2 and other that chew up chunks of time and don’t end in anything after taking the max amount of plays to get a few 1st downs. 2 extremely good defensive coaches that getting a 3rd crack against the offenses gotta favor the d’s. If Philly center ends up not being able to play all the way thru game or struggles commanders interior dline be a problem I think.
 
Like last week, I've come around to Wash a bit more as the week went on. We see these types of runs from time to time, but rarely from such an unexpected franchise.

Going through their schedule, they had one bad stretch all year. Their road playoff wins were very impressive. Do they have one more left in them?

No clue lol.
 
Capaholic said:
Like last week, I've come around to Wash a bit more as the week went on. We see these types of runs from time to time, but rarely from such an unexpected franchise.

Going through their schedule, they had one bad stretch all year. Their road playoff wins were very impressive. Do they have one more left in them?

No clue lol.
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Lol. Tough call
 
On the Eagles today........both ML to finish two parlays and laying the points........respect JD a TON, as the kid is simply special.......but I just cannot get past the soft schedule of Washington, the millionth road game in a row and the Eagles HF advantage........add into the fact that the Eagles O-Line just fukkin raod-graters....

Tip my cap if JD and this team can prove me wrong
 
That guard being out against Carter is huge. Carter is the best interior linemen in football and has been a menace.
 
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