Br@ssknux
Pretty much a regular
Well, the final week of the college football regular season was a disaster as far as the win/loss record. 4-10-1, which brought the season total of the games I wrote up this year to a few games UNDER .500.You might recall that my initial group of games I liked was much more voluminous than usual. There was a total of 36 games I liked, which I whittled down to 14. Overall, had I written up all 36, the record would have been 20-15-1, which means the games I jettisoned went 16-5. I can sure pick 'em!! In a last ditch effort to get back to the.500 mark, I give you the following. Fade if you must. I certainly can't argue with that strategy.
Friday:
1. North Texas +9 @UTSA: These two teams played earlier this year and I was on the wrong side of it then, as I laid points with the Roadruners. It made sense because UTSA was a mismatch for the UNT defense, or so I thought, until the Roadrunners fumbled and bumbled their way to a single digit point performance in the first half and then had to score late just to get the outright win. Much like the first game, the offenses should have a major edge over the defenses. UNT ranks 33rd or better in every major offensive category and the UTSA defense leaves a lot to be desired. They've had some bad pass D performances against teams that can only jokingly be called "adequate". They've also been lucky with facing backup QBs on offenses. such as Jared Zeno at UAB, the Lyddy kid from La Tech and the 4th stringer at Rice. Despite all that, they still manage to be 88th in yards per play against, 81st in yards per pass attempt and no ability to pressure the passer, so Austin Aune should have plenty of time to be comfortable back there, and his rank of 11th in the country in yards per pass attempt lines up pretty well against that weak UTSA pass defense. On the flip side, the Mean Green will have a devil of a time getting the Roadrunners off the field, but the back door will be wide open, even if UTSA is up big(say, 15 points).
Probably gonna pass on the Pac 12 game. I was tempted to play USC when the line dipped below 3, but with my luck, this will be the week that the referees call illegal man downfield during the many times Caleb Williams escapes the pocket. Also, I'd hate to be on the business end of a potential cosmic regression to the mean when it comes to turnovers, with USC having been blessed with an obscenely out of whack turnover margin. That game could go either way, so I'll avoid the despair or watching USC luck their way into the playoff, although I must admit, I'd rather see them in there than Ohio State
Friday:
1. North Texas +9 @UTSA: These two teams played earlier this year and I was on the wrong side of it then, as I laid points with the Roadruners. It made sense because UTSA was a mismatch for the UNT defense, or so I thought, until the Roadrunners fumbled and bumbled their way to a single digit point performance in the first half and then had to score late just to get the outright win. Much like the first game, the offenses should have a major edge over the defenses. UNT ranks 33rd or better in every major offensive category and the UTSA defense leaves a lot to be desired. They've had some bad pass D performances against teams that can only jokingly be called "adequate". They've also been lucky with facing backup QBs on offenses. such as Jared Zeno at UAB, the Lyddy kid from La Tech and the 4th stringer at Rice. Despite all that, they still manage to be 88th in yards per play against, 81st in yards per pass attempt and no ability to pressure the passer, so Austin Aune should have plenty of time to be comfortable back there, and his rank of 11th in the country in yards per pass attempt lines up pretty well against that weak UTSA pass defense. On the flip side, the Mean Green will have a devil of a time getting the Roadrunners off the field, but the back door will be wide open, even if UTSA is up big(say, 15 points).
Probably gonna pass on the Pac 12 game. I was tempted to play USC when the line dipped below 3, but with my luck, this will be the week that the referees call illegal man downfield during the many times Caleb Williams escapes the pocket. Also, I'd hate to be on the business end of a potential cosmic regression to the mean when it comes to turnovers, with USC having been blessed with an obscenely out of whack turnover margin. That game could go either way, so I'll avoid the despair or watching USC luck their way into the playoff, although I must admit, I'd rather see them in there than Ohio State
