affinity
Pretty much a regular
I'm on Alabama TT over 36. Nothing else, may bet at half, but I'm going to basically just be a fan for this one
I've taken Bama -6.5 1H and if it cashes, that will be it for the game.
I agree with your analysis that Bama is going to play keep-away in the 2H and Cinci is going to take chances and be very aggressive.
With those variables in mind and Bama not being the same team they were last year, I'm staying away from a full game bet. I just don't see this being a blowout (ie covering 2+ TD's) unless Bama has an absolutely electric 1H.