CFL Syndicate 2025

It seems like the books are set on BC-2.5 and with BC a small home dog next week that indicates a play on Edmonton tonight. So I retract my thoughts on BC tonight and will wait for an opportunity for confirmation. I might play Edmonton tonight but I can’t do this at the moment. I have to see Edmonton play offense and have success. If Edmonton is going to win or cover I believe the game will be close until the 4th quarter but that’s just guess.
Crazy. CFL here we go! Maybe over as well because scoring this week has been calm
 
Edmonton in their two matchups has a difficulty scoring vs BC. The opposite to that is +15.5 and I’m going to pull the trigger if Edmonton scores. No matter the line


Of course I like the higher line but I gotta see competitive competition first. So far it’s not here but in the CFL things change quickly.
 
Results through Week 6

Sides 4-7 -4.085*
Totals 2-6 -5.33*
Parlays 3-2 +1.75*
Live 1-9 -5.07*

Overall 10-24 -12.735*

1-8 over the past 2 weeks. Ive never had a start this bad. Its going to take some work to climb out of this hole. Can't hide it...just have to fix it.


Futures
0.5* Hamilton to win season series vs Toronto +200 - Hamilton leads 1-0, next game labour day
0.25* Ottawa under 10.5 RSW -104 - 1-5 after week 6
0.5* BC Lions to win Grey Cup +750
0.2* Hamilton to win Grey Cup +1000 - not looking as dumb as it once did
0.25* Justin McInnis under 1200.5 rec yards - 334 yards through 6 games - on pace for 1002 yds
0.25* Shemar Bridges under 1050.5 rec yards - 85 yards through 5 games - on pace for 306 yds
 
1.5* BC Lions +1 -110

BC is starting to look like the team we thought they could be with Rourke at the helm. The OL is playing just good enough and the defence is decent enough that Rourke can will this team to victory. Now they get a Sask team who has been overrated all year as Calgary showed us last week. Sask also has 3 DBs dinged up and problems with their OL. Who are they to lay points on the road to anyone let alone BC. Theyve already opened up the upper deck for this game so should be a big home crowd. This is a big mispricing IMO. I made it BC -3.5
 
2 best bets

Calg+4
BC+1

.25 unit pregame under 51 Al’s/Argos.

Additionally, my focus will be on the 4th Q under but I want to see this game develop..

After such a big scoring game last time out for the Argos and a bye week. The line suggests that the Argos will have problems scoring. Argos are still running the totals over since 2022 at 29-15. They haven’t run the ball and if the game isn’t close Montreal might shut this down. The Argos if they have difficulty through 3 quarter might try a back up QB.

I probably should have asked but is Kelly back for the Argos? I’ll see this in game anyways.

Im off tomorrow so having something to cheer for and focus on will be needed.

The ALS started the season scoring and giving up points. The last 2 weeks have flip flopped.

Under 51 and super bet if the 4th quarter sets up well
 
0.5* TOR / MTL 1H under 27 -124

This looks like an under game anyway but with the storms blowing through right now, there is a good chance the first half will be marred by rain and wind. I bought up to 27 to key on a key number.

Good luck to everyone tonight.
 
spottie2935 said:
2 best bets

Calg+4
BC+1

.25 unit pregame under 51 Al’s/Argos.

Additionally, my focus will be on the 4th Q under but I want to see this game develop..

After such a big scoring game last time out for the Argos and a bye week. The line suggests that the Argos will have problems scoring. Argos are still running the totals over since 2022 at 29-15. They haven’t run the ball and if the game isn’t close Montreal might shut this down. The Argos if they have difficulty through 3 quarter might try a back up QB.

I probably should have asked but is Kelly back for the Argos? I’ll see this in game anyways.

Im off tomorrow so having something to cheer for and focus on will be needed.

The ALS started the season scoring and giving up points. The last 2 weeks have flip flopped.

Under 51 and super bet if the 4th quarter sets up well
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Kelly ruled out...Arbuckle starts once again

One boost for your Calgary bet is that receiver Dalton Schoen and T Stanley Bryant will both be out for the peg tomorrow.
 
The books are keeping the in game total lines very high. I guess they are protecting or predicting late scoring ?

47.5 live after 1st Q Score 3-3
 
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Hulu said:
0.5* TOR / MTL 1H under 27 -124

This looks like an under game anyway but with the storms blowing through right now, there is a good chance the first half will be marred by rain and wind. I bought up to 27 to key on a key number.

Good luck to everyone tonight.
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You’re a winner 🏆
 
0.25* Live Montreal ML +490

Taken with 13 mins left in 4th. MTL down 11

eta...corrected to .25
 
Not sure if anyone heard the after game interview but Davis Alexander says he will be 'out for a bit' after tweaking his hamstring again
 
Ok I’m off the Lions this week. I looked at next weeks lines and Sask is -9 these are quality dogs. I have a middle at this point.

Need Calgary and waiting for the over on Ottawa. Yes a flip from last weeks wind fest. Just a lean on that total for now



Calgary +3.5 is my only risk at the moment BC Sask is a middle. Lean Sask but only at +3 or more.
 

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BC getting some help back on the DL tonight as their best run stopper, Tavai returns after missing 3 games and Kamoka Turay returns after his 1 game suspension.

Sask also not as banged up as early week reports suggested. Tevaughn Cambpell, Rolan Milligan and Marcus Sayles will all be in the lineup after missing practices this week. The Riders also get back Sam Emilus to bolster the receiving corps. But LT Johnson is out and they will start a rookie in his first game at that all-important spot. However, Trevor Harris is such a quick release QB, he is less bothered by pressure than many QBs
 
After re-evaluating tonight's game, I think the correct line is BC -2.5. I'll stand pat with my +1 but if it were to get to 3.5, I will hedge with Sask. That's a big move but the public loves Rourke so its not impossible.
 
Okay I was really skeptical about ZBC tonight but my detective work has me feeling better about the Lions


Home favorites that spent the last 3 games in the road (I narrowed it down to get the best results) since 2013 are 22-3 straight up. Then if I eliminate big lines these home teams are 11-2 ats if the line is tight (>-5 to -1) line greater than -5.
 
With both dogs covering and almost winning both the games this week it’s time for a favorite. This league is about favorite wins.
 
I question that the TiCats are good enough to win their 4th game in a row and their historical struggles on the road. That’s 2 bad trends not in their favor.
 
spottie2935 said:
I question that the TiCats are good enough to win their 4th game in a row and their historical struggles on the road. That’s 2 bad trends not in their favor.
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Same. My heart is with the cats but my gut says Ottawa wins this one. Look at the game last week. Hamilton won it in the end but Ottawa led most of the game and only gave it away with a late turnover that allowed the cats to score on a short field. These teams are pretty evenly matched. HFA says Ottawa.
 
0.5* Live Hamilton ML -167

Taken at the half, Hamilton leading 13-12.

With Brown out for Ottawa, Crum will make a mistake at some point. Hamilton will be able to adjust to him at the half.
 
Results through Week 7

Sides 4-8 -5.735*
Totals 3-6 -4.83*
Parlays 3-2 +1.75*
Live 3-9 -3.345*

Overall 13-25 -12.16*

3-1 this week and clawed back a bit. Onward...


Futures
0.5* Hamilton to win season series vs Toronto +200 - Hamilton leads 1-0, next game labour day
0.25* Ottawa under 10.5 RSW -104 - 1-6 after week 7
0.5* BC Lions to win Grey Cup +750
0.2* Hamilton to win Grey Cup +1000 - not looking as dumb as it once did - now at +400
0.25* Justin McInnis under 1200.5 rec yards - 362 yards through 7 games - on pace for 931 yds
0.25* Shemar Bridges under 1050.5 rec yards - 89 yards through 6 games - on pace for 267 yds
 
Week 7...one third of the way through the season.

Overs lead unders 15-12. The average total has been 50.9 while the average score has been 53.2.
 
Watch out Calgary. A back up CFL QB can get you. Montreal plays defense and runs the ball. Sustain a few good drives.

Highest line the Stamps have faced :

Ottawa @ Calgary -3

5 wins:

2 as home dogs
3 as road dogs

So that means in 2025 the favorite in Calgary games has never won. That being said Calgary probably wins a close game here I if that’s the case I should be able to get an in game line that’s higher and better than the pregame line.
 
I have to be on the lookout for 5 to 1 in game bets. Those comebacks are rare. If the dog line was 5 to 1 I’m sure the true odds were 8 to 1 or more. And if a big comeback and another big payout hits, we can use that information to our benefit.
 
spottie2935 said:
Watch out Calgary. A back up CFL QB can get you. Montreal plays defense and runs the ball. Sustain a few good drives.

Highest line the Stamps have faced :

Ottawa @ Calgary -3

5 wins:

2 as home dogs
3 as road dogs

So that means in 2025 the favorite in Calgary games has never won. That being said Calgary probably wins a close game here I if that’s the case I should be able to get an in game line that’s higher and better than the pregame line.
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I'm with you here. I made Calgary 3.5pt favs so we're getting a couple of extra points here and we might see a 6 by kickoff which would be nice.

But without Davis Alexander, I have a concern that Montreal's offensive output will fall drastically, especially against Calgary's defence. In the 2 games he missed, the MBT-led offense put up 17pts against Hamilton and then 20pts at home vs BC. That kind of scoring won't get it done.

If Montreal is to keep it close, the game will have to go under IMO because they will struggle to score 25.

Otherwise, I have yet to see anything I like this week.
 
Hulu said:
I'm with you here. I made Calgary 3.5pt favs so we're getting a couple of extra points here and we might see a 6 by kickoff which would be nice.

But without Davis Alexander, I have a concern that Montreal's offensive output will fall drastically, especially against Calgary's defence. In the 2 games he missed, the MBT-led offense put up 17pts against Hamilton and then 20pts at home vs BC. That kind of scoring won't get it done.

If Montreal is to keep it close, the game will have to go under IMO because they will struggle to score 25.

Otherwise, I have yet to see anything I like this week.
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2 weeks to get in gear. Sometimes it’s takes a few battles and then out of nowhere bam! Parody is current and when I’m successful in the CFL dogs are good teams. I’m counting on the top 6 teams to kill each other .

Argos Elks and Ottawa well they have been struggling so no need to get involved.


The thing that concerns me is all the dogs In Calgarys games. On the other hand the best teams in previous years the favorite/ dog parody was off.

I’m on Montreal good team getting points. If this is a loss they be home next week and maybe getting points.

Montreal is an uncertainty in this game. I’m betting they find a way somehow. Good teams to. Hard to predict the wildness but these are good enough dogs to support.
 
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I’m really keyed into the Calgary game but if this is a favorite game im ready to pull the trigger on Elks.

When I analyze the Sask schedule to date I have some questions. This -9 is fishy and very elevated.
 
Hulu said:
Here I was hoping for a 6 by kickoff and its already 6.5. I wonder if it gets to 7?
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I’m getting a bad feeling about this line Hulu. The higher it goes the less competitive it is being analyzed but the books.

Calgary games no favorites have hit the board.

I like meanderings in the teams and schedules and Calgary is off limits until the favorite hit then you have questions about MBT so again dark territory.

I’m just going to sit pat until pregame.

Favorites and good quality teams established the standings early in week 1-3 since then the dogs are 10-5 ats and 8-7 straight up.

Away dogs are 7-3 ats and home dogs are 3-3 ats

If the dog covers the teaser getting an additional +6 to their line since week 3 the dog is 10-1 ats

Dogs were on. 7-1 run before the last game when Hamilton took down Ottawa.

If there is a pull back in the dog dominated recent history, gut feel is stay with Calgary.


Also of note, and I’ll look it up later Calgary has been atrocious as a home favorite. That either continues or does Calgarys excellent start to the year continue.


I have more work to do. It’s early in the week and have to sort this out.

Leans dogs of course but I’m confused until I dig deeper.
 
spottie2935 said:
I’m getting a bad feeling about this line Hulu. The higher it goes the less competitive it is being analyzed but the books.

Calgary games no favorites have hit the board.

I like meanderings in the teams and schedules and Calgary is off limits until the favorite hit then you have questions about MBT so again dark territory.

I’m just going to sit pat until pregame.

Favorites and good quality teams established the standings early in week 1-3 since then the dogs are 10-5 ats and 8-7 straight up.

Away dogs are 7-3 ats and home dogs are 3-3 ats

If the dog covers the teaser getting an additional +6 to their line since week 3 the dog is 10-1 ats

Dogs were on. 7-1 run before the last game when Hamilton took down Ottawa.

If there is a pull back in the dog dominated recent history, gut feel is stay with Calgary.


Also of note, and I’ll look it up later Calgary has been atrocious as a home favorite. That either continues or does Calgarys excellent start to the year continue.


I have more work to do. It’s early in the week and have to sort this out.

Leans dogs of course but I’m confused until I dig deeper.
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I am staying away from anything pre-game on this one. I feel like 7 is way too many points to give Montreal but then you look at Calgary's wins and they haven't had a close game yet. They've won by 12,10,21,14 & 21. And 3 of those were against WPG and SSK who have good defences.

I leaned under but the number has sunk to where it should be. I liked MTL TT under but it was 22.5. I would have taken u23.5.

I just don't know how to bet this game so I'll wait until in-game to get involved.

Really tough card this week.
 
Interesting defensive ranking from CFL stats...

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I know Hamilton's defence is improving by the week but 2nd place is pretty high and I think its distorted by a few things. Also BC in 4th is hard to take. They are not a top-half defence IMO.

Although Edmonton's defence is last and deservedly so, I don't think they'll finish the season there. They have too much talent but I am starting to wonder about their new DC. The whole operation has looked disorganized at times but I think theyll start to put it together in time.
 
Ok one small bet for Thursday night...

0.5* Prop Damien Alford over 62.5 rec yds -110

Alford was forced into service after injuries to Begelton, Henry & Barnes and he has quickly developed chemistry with VAj. At 6'6 he can get over most DBs and high point the ball so the QB hasn't been afraid to throw it up to him, either by design or on a broken play where the WRs go fly. In the last 2 games, he has put up 156 & 79 yards.

When you look at Montreal's secondary, they are good but not particularly tall. 2 guys at 6'1 and the rest under 6'. I think Calgary sees that matchup and throws up a few 50/50 balls when the coverage if favourable.
 
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