CFB W3

BiffTFinancial

BiffTFinancial

Local Heat Tracker
Week 3
2* Houston -4'
2* Georgia Tech +6
2* Georgia -6'
2* Texas Tech -24
2* Texas Tech 1H TT over 23’
2* Air Force -3’
1* Indiana St/Indiana over 59’
1* K State/Arizona under 54’
1* Texas Tech 1H -14
1* Richmond +21'
1* Wazzu/North Texas over 58’
1* Mississippi State -38'
1* Arkansas +7 (-115)
1* ML parlay: LSU + BC + Houston (+145)
1* ML parlay: LSU + BC + Pitt (+129)

BOL to all this week.
 
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Wanted Houston -4 but moved to -4' before I could lock it in. Will wait on that to see if 4 comes back. If nothing else, Cougs are a great ML parlay piece. Wanted under in Minnesota/Cal but man is 44 low. Will definitely be on more Texas Tech once 1Hs are open.
 
Live by the early number, die by the early number... Both GT and UGA now at 4'. Oh well. Wish I'd waited on UGA, maybe I should've seen the UT buy given where consensus PRs sit but then again Kirby owns the Vols and the move doesn't change my conviction at all. Considering more UGA at lower number or maybe just leave it.
 
BiffTFinancial said:
Live by the early number, die by the early number... Both GT and UGA now at 4'. Oh well. Wish I'd waited on UGA, maybe I should've seen the UT buy given where consensus PRs sit but then again Kirby owns the Vols and the move doesn't change my conviction at all. Considering more UGA at lower number or maybe just leave it.
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I hear ya man as I have to constantly remind myself not to focus on the 2-3 early swings and misses and rather the majority of early line plays I lock in at open that result in solid value vs close. Best of luck this week!
 
carolinablue said:
I hear ya man as I have to constantly remind myself not to focus on the 2-3 early swings and misses and rather the majority of early line plays I lock in at open that result in solid value vs close. Best of luck this week!
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Yep exactly, thanks man. If UGA hits -4 I may just have to buy more. BOL to you too!
 
Week 3
2* Houston -4'
2* Georgia Tech +6
2* Georgia -6'
2* Texas Tech -24
2* Texas Tech 1H TT over 23’
2* Air Force -3’
1* Indiana St/Indiana over 59’
1* K State/Arizona under 54’
1* Texas Tech 1H -14
1* Richmond +21'
1* Wazzu/North Texas over 58’
1* Mississippi State -38'
1* Arkansas +7 (-115)
1* ML parlay: LSU + BC + Houston (+145)
1* ML parlay: LSU + BC + Pitt (+129)

10-5 +6.5u

30-20-1 +11.75u YTD

Playing the opener on UGA and the market punching me in the face had me feeling like that was a shaky pick from the start. Air Force and Richmond were both bad reads and, surprise surprise, 3-team ML parlays don't get there (just as the books' risk management software presumes that all of those will be Ls). On the other side, most of the Ws were pretty easy other than Arky so wasn't too luck-reliant this week.

Back to work on PRs and openers.
 
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