CFB ML Dogs Week 3
- Thread starter redbearde
- Start date
Wolfpack17
Treasurer of Fondy Fanclub
good luck this week red bearde...always read your threads...
JimmyHoffa
Pretty much a regular
Red---
Florida State: The trip distance, the altitude, and their injuries (specifically TE) are what could make this a close game. Otherwise, FSU lost to a good Clemson team, on foreign turf, with a new offensive system that had lots of individual errors EVERY play...and after all of those mistakes, they still are almost 2-0. Instead, they learned the hard way. I think they're growing up and learning a lot, and quickly gaining confidence. Coach Andrews is back. RB, Antone Smith is back, though he's not supposed to get as many carries...his back ups are talented. The team did practice indoors, due to weather, one day this week. I think that hurt them a lot during the Clemson week...they were not very physical. Perhaps they need an true indoor facility with all the rain they get in Tallahassee. Hope this helps with your decision on the game. I don't know too much about Colorado, besides what I've seen on ESPN.
Has the line been going up on this game?
Florida State: The trip distance, the altitude, and their injuries (specifically TE) are what could make this a close game. Otherwise, FSU lost to a good Clemson team, on foreign turf, with a new offensive system that had lots of individual errors EVERY play...and after all of those mistakes, they still are almost 2-0. Instead, they learned the hard way. I think they're growing up and learning a lot, and quickly gaining confidence. Coach Andrews is back. RB, Antone Smith is back, though he's not supposed to get as many carries...his back ups are talented. The team did practice indoors, due to weather, one day this week. I think that hurt them a lot during the Clemson week...they were not very physical. Perhaps they need an true indoor facility with all the rain they get in Tallahassee. Hope this helps with your decision on the game. I don't know too much about Colorado, besides what I've seen on ESPN.
Has the line been going up on this game?
redbearde
Pretty much a regular
Has the line been going up on this game?
My goodness, no. according to BAR, Florida St opened at -7, I think it's been as low as -3.5 offshore, and it's at -4.5 at MB and 5dimes right now...
I'm thinking this is a no play for me...was considering the low chalk on FSU...especially if I could get -3. That would rock.
Alas...
My goodness, no. according to BAR, Florida St opened at -7, I think it's been as low as -3.5 offshore, and it's at -4.5 at MB and 5dimes right now...
I'm thinking this is a no play for me...was considering the low chalk on FSU...especially if I could get -3. That would rock.
Alas...
JimmyHoffa
Pretty much a regular
I say it climbs back up a bit. I'd feel a lot safer at -3.
Aztec4Life
Montezuma Mesa Survivor
TCU @ Air Force - No.
I still can't get over this f*cking game! It wasn't even a big play...just the way it all went down. Who woulda thought? I guess we all overlooked the fact that it's a conference game, and that TCU was coming off a tough loss/4th quarter beating at the hands of Texas.
I still can't get over this f*cking game! It wasn't even a big play...just the way it all went down. Who woulda thought? I guess we all overlooked the fact that it's a conference game, and that TCU was coming off a tough loss/4th quarter beating at the hands of Texas.
TheCup
Member
Am I the only one who likes the CU ML? Granted, I'd love to see it higher than 170, but FSU's run defense looked shit to me against Clemson and Alabama-Birmingham, and I know CU can run the ball a little.
FSU's tailback also got his head concussed last week against UAB, and I don't know what they've got for depth in the backfield. Finally, FSU has 3 sacks in 2 games. My big worry with CU is the freshman quarterback, but if they're able to give him time he's got the tools to move the ball.
I see this as a field goal either way at the end. I wouldn't invest a ton in it, but if I have too many beers tonight and get in the mood to play some ML's I'll probably get on it.
FSU's tailback also got his head concussed last week against UAB, and I don't know what they've got for depth in the backfield. Finally, FSU has 3 sacks in 2 games. My big worry with CU is the freshman quarterback, but if they're able to give him time he's got the tools to move the ball.
I see this as a field goal either way at the end. I wouldn't invest a ton in it, but if I have too many beers tonight and get in the mood to play some ML's I'll probably get on it.
redbearde
Pretty much a regular
GL with that, Cup. I'm not keen on fading that Florida St defense quite yet...especially not for less than 2:1...and really, I would want more than +200 on that game.
Not saying you're wrong, but some of this is disconcerting:
of course you're right...some of this is disconcerting, too.
Not saying you're wrong, but some of this is disconcerting:
of course you're right...some of this is disconcerting, too.
macdamn
Pretty much a regular
Red, I'm loving that under in the FL-Tennessee game too.
Historically they play low scoring games like you said, also FL has some injuries already on offense. Caldwell out for the season and Harvin listed as probable with tendinitis in his achilles, which you've got too think slows him down at least a little.
Historically they play low scoring games like you said, also FL has some injuries already on offense. Caldwell out for the season and Harvin listed as probable with tendinitis in his achilles, which you've got too think slows him down at least a little.
redbearde
Pretty much a regular
East Carolina pk +114
I'm not considering this a ML even though that's what I'm playing it as. I'm thinking of it as a pick em. Here's what I'm seeing.
Against Tennessee Martin, the golden eagles rushed for 310 yards, and the QB Young passed for 11/25 for 115 yards and a TD. Against TN, they didn't rush quite so well. SURPRISE! 32 rushing attempts for 90 yards at 2.8 ypc.
Passing, S. Miss QB managed 19/36 for 254 yards, 1 TD & 1 INT.
Young certainly did better passing, but I rather doubt TN showed a helluva lot the week before the Florida game...
And a big item I like here is that ECU kept UNC to 69 yards rushing on 1.9 ypc on 33 rush attempts. I think that happens again, and I think ECU has some remarkable speed to hold the S. Miss passing attack in check.....perhaps even as well as Tennessee Martin did.....
:shake:
I'm not considering this a ML even though that's what I'm playing it as. I'm thinking of it as a pick em. Here's what I'm seeing.
Against Tennessee Martin, the golden eagles rushed for 310 yards, and the QB Young passed for 11/25 for 115 yards and a TD. Against TN, they didn't rush quite so well. SURPRISE! 32 rushing attempts for 90 yards at 2.8 ypc.
Passing, S. Miss QB managed 19/36 for 254 yards, 1 TD & 1 INT.
Young certainly did better passing, but I rather doubt TN showed a helluva lot the week before the Florida game...
And a big item I like here is that ECU kept UNC to 69 yards rushing on 1.9 ypc on 33 rush attempts. I think that happens again, and I think ECU has some remarkable speed to hold the S. Miss passing attack in check.....perhaps even as well as Tennessee Martin did.....
:shake:
Yanks27Sox9
CTG Partner
illow:
redbearde
Pretty much a regular
MLs:
2-2 +4.95 units
where were ya, UL Monroe...?:36_11_6:
Spreads:
5-7, down about 2 units
so it was a positive day. Thanks be to Willie Tuitama for his excellent fumbling abilities.
:smiley_acbe:
