CFB Bowls 15/16

[Timh]

YTD Record
Sides 55-37-3, +22.62u
Totals 29-23, +3.86u
2H Totals 5-4, +0.28u
2H Sides 2-1, +1.38u
Parlays 4-4, +1.42u
ML 0-2, -1.65u
FCS Sides 16-8, +6.1u
FCS Totals 10-7, +1.45u
Total 121-86-3, +35.56u

201-202 Arizona/New Mexico over 65 -105 1*
203-204 BYU/Utah under 49.5 1*
206 App. St. -7 -115 1*
211-212 WKY/USF 1H over 34.5 -105 1*
213-214 Akron/Utah State under 47.5 -103 1*
215-216 Toledo/Temple under 53 -115 1*
217-218 Boise St./N. Illinois under 57.5 1*
219-220 Ga Southern/BG over 34 -113 1*
225-226 Conn/Marshall under 43 1*
230 Washington -8.5 -107 3* and Wash -7 -120 1*
229-230 So. Miss/Wash. Live over 65.5 1*
231 Indiana -3 -115 1*
233-234 Tulsa/VT 2H over 34.5 1*
238 Navy -3 +100 1.5*
241-242 AF/Cal over 68 1*
244 NC -2.5 -105 1*
248 LSU -7 -108 2*
249 Memphis +5.5 -105 1*
252 Miss State -5.5 1*
255-256 Wisconsin/USC under 50.5 1*
257-258 Houston/FSU over 56.5 1*
259-260 Michigan St./Alabama under 49 -108 2*
260 Alabama -10 -103 1*
261-262 Oklahoma/Clemson over 63.5 -105 1*
264 NW +8.5 -107 1*
265-266 Florida/Michigan under 41 -115 1*
267-268 Notre Dame/Ohio State over 57 1*
269-270 Iowa/Stanford under 55.5 1.5*
271 Ole Miss -8.5 -108 1*
273-274 Penn St./Georgia under 43 1*
279-280 WVU/ASU 2H over 34.5 1*

20-12 Bowls +10.83u

151 Alabama -7 -108 2.5*
151 Alabama Live -1.5 1.5*
151-152 Tease Alabama -1/2, under 56.5 1.5*
151-152 Clemson/Alabama under 50.5 1*
161 Jacksonville State TT over 27 -110 1*

21-16 Bowls +5.78
Reg Season +35.56
Final +41.24

GL on the action

 

[captjohn67]

:cheers3:

 

[Timh]

Thanks Capt, have a great bowl season.

Toledo/Temple under 53 -115 1*
Conn/Marshall under 43 1*
Iowa/Stanford under 55.5 1.5*
Penn St./Georgia under 43 1*
Florida/Michigan under 41 -115 1*

 

[Timh]

LSU -7 -108 2*

 

[Yanks27Sox9]

tim :shake:

 

[cashflowmatters]

Very nice season Tim, GL on the bowl games

 

[bull]

Great season,dr tim. Keep it going.

 

[Timh]

Thanks fellas, GL on the bowls and Happy Holidays.

Quick hits from Arizona’s post-practice media availability Wednesday evening:

• It appears leading rusher Nick Wilson won’t play in the New Mexico Bowl on Saturday, as Wildcats coach Rich Rodriguez all but declared him out. “It doesn’t look very good for him for Saturday,” Rodriguez said. The official injury report is expected to be released Thursday. Senior Jared Baker likely will get the bulk of the work. QB Anu Solomon suggested slot receiver/return specialist Tyrell Johnson also could get some carries.

 

[Timh]

Arizona/New Mexico over 65 -105 1*

 

[Timh]

203/204 BYU/Utah under 49.5 1*

 

[bloodhound]

GL my friend

:cheers:

 

[Metallica]

GL Tim
:shake:

 

[Timh]

Thanks fellas, BOL.

206 App. St. -7 -115 1*

 

[Timh]

211-212 WKY/USF 1H over 34.5 -105 1*

 

[bloodhound]

read some good stuff om Terps new OC this morning...I like what I have read overall so far....Hope U are happy with happenings
Go Terps

 

[Timh]

Thanks Blood and yes I am thrilled that they finally appear to have gotten a decent coach in there. He is putting together a very nice staff.

Akron/Utah State under 47.5 -103 1*

 

[Play2win]

BOL today Tim

 

[RetroVK]

Nice job with Akron/utahstate and temple/toledo Timh. Looking at your games and what i saw with my own eyes from the games played so far .... I think you were on the right side of every single play you made that have been played so far.

 

[Timh]

Nice job with Akron/utahstate and temple/toledo Timh. Looking at your games and what i saw with my own eyes from the games played so far .... I think you were on the right side of every single play you made that have been played so far.

Kyle thanks appreciate that. I share some of your frustration with the bowls so far (read your comment about same). The Utah game was just a bunch of fluke TO, no way to handicap that really and obviously without them Utah doesn't sniff that amount of points. WKY was a little frustrating because of their slow start in that game, but they did a great job getting their offense together in the 2H. I really enjoyed that game overall, and have to say I have a little soft spot in my heart for WK. I like the way they are coached and they really competed hard all year long. BOL on the bowls and Merry X-mas to you.

 

[RetroVK]

Kyle thanks appreciate that. I share some of your frustration with the bowls so far (read your comment about same). The Utah game was just a bunch of fluke TO, no way to handicap that really and obviously without them Utah doesn't sniff that amount of points. WKY was a little frustrating because of their slow start in that game, but they did a great job getting their offense together in the 2H. I really enjoyed that game overall, and have to say I have a little soft spot in my heart for WK. I like the way they are coached and they really competed hard all year long. BOL on the bowls and Merry X-mas to you.

I also love wky. i will be cheering for Doughty at the next level

 

[Timh]

Boise St./N. Illinois under 57.5 1*

 

[Timh]

219-220 Ga Southern/BG over 34 -113 1*

 

[Timh]

230 Washington -8.5 -107 2.5*

 

[Schrute]

Like it too Tim...GL tomorrow

 

[Timh]

Dwight I agree, should be a physical mismatch on the LOS. Washington has a ways to go with their pass offense development and qb development, but they are very solid on both lines and their running game should pound So. Miss.

Add another .5 unit on Wash.

 

[Play2win]

Agree on both plays today. BOL Tim.

 

[~Utah]

GL on your under in this first one, with you on Washington as well.

 

[Timh]

Thanks fellas, BOL today.

Add another unit on Wash -7 -120 1*

 

[Timh]

Indiana -3 -115 1*

 

[Timh]

229-230 So. Miss/Wash. Live over 65.5 1*

 

[Timh]

Tulsa/VT 2H over 34.5 1*

 

[bloodhound]

Coach Beamer insinuated that VT would play better D in the 2nd....but I still think Over
I just hope Beamer goes out a Winner

GL buddy

 

[RetroVK]

I still don't think you have had a wrong pick yet .... keep it up timh

 

[RetroVK]

Sigh VT played suuuuuper slow 2h and the fumble through the back of the EZ was ultimately our demise.

gl the rest of the way

 

[Reds4]

I assume you were about to shit yourself as I was when Petersen kicked a freaking field goal at the end of the game?! Wow! That Washington play was much more of a sweat it out finish than it should have been.

Any thoughts on the Texas Tech/LSU total?

 

[Timh]

I assume you were about to shit yourself as I was when Petersen kicked a freaking field goal at the end of the game?! Wow! That Washington play was much more of a sweat it out finish than it should have been.

Any thoughts on the Texas Tech/LSU total?

Yes I was and see my comment to VK below and his response, used the exact same words lol...

Originally Posted by Timh
Man I think they blew that FG call on Indiana, really sucks after looking at that from below view where it appeared to be inside the post. btw - I know Peterson isn't laying 8.5 but what the fuck is he doing kicking a FG with 13 seconds left. Almost shit myself there.....GL Kyle.



I was furious. I joked with a friend on aim that they would punch it in, miss the extra pt and then usm would score a td and make a two pt conversion. He called me a sicko. Then something more unlikely almost happened. That was a brutal decision by peterson.

I am more interested in LSU side play than the total. I think the total is a little tricky there as LSU should absolutely pound them on the ground with Fournette. TT def is so bad and I think a lot of it depends on how quickly LSU can score, or if they sustain longer drives.

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

Nice job with Washington, Tim. I know you get to watch quite a bit of Navy football, and was hoping to see you laying the points with the Middies. Is there something in particular keeping you off them? Their pass D, maybe? With Niumatalolo staying put, the Reynolds send-off and this being a home game, I'm hard-pressed not to lay a juiced 3 here. Would appreciate any thoughts you may have. GL the rest of the way...

 

[Timh]

Nice job with Washington, Tim. I know you get to watch quite a bit of Navy football, and was hoping to see you laying the points with the Middies. Is there something in particular keeping you off them? Their pass D, maybe? With Niumatalolo staying put, the Reynolds send-off and this being a home game, I'm hard-pressed not to lay a juiced 3 here. Would appreciate any thoughts you may have. GL the rest of the way...

Grind, I really like this Navy team and quite frankly probably a little biased towards them because I have so much respect for their program. My first thought here is that even though Pitt beat GT earlier 31-28 they gave up 376 yds rush on 40 carries for a 9.4 ypc. Doesn't bode well for them necessarily having success stopping option teams. These teams are both pretty slow pace teams (Pitt is 3 ranked in opponent plays against yielding only 63.6 plays/gm) so the possessions will be valued and I think Navy can grind out some long drives. Navy has an amazing +17 to ratio and lead the nation in TO ratio/gm at +1.5 which is amazing considering they run the triple option. Pitt is only +2 on the year in TO ratio. Navy also has a very impressive .521 points/play number which ranks 10th overall. The Navy pass defense is of some concern and probably a little over emphasized as most people seem to remember the Houston game as the most recent example. I took a look at the 4 best pass offenses they faced and compared YPA avg for the teams and what Navy gave up when facing them. Tulsa 8.8/7.5, Memphis 9.1/7.3, Houston 8.2/9.4 and ND 8.9/9.1. So in reality the only gm that really looks bad is the Houston game. I'm not overly impressed with Peterman at QB and I do agree that Tyler Boyd has had a great year (85/873/10.3/6 td) but the Pitt offense is only #71 in YPP overall. I think Navy will be well prepared and they do want to go out a winner in Reynold's last game and what better place to do it than Annapolis. I think the game is going to be fairly close though but have Navy by 6 (30-24) and will make a regular sized play on Navy -3.

Navy -3 +100 1.5*

 

[CrimsonK]

Good thoughts, Tim, thanks.

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

Thanks for sharing, Tim -- appreciate the solid analysis. I remember you being on Navy vs Houston (stalked you frequently throughout CFB season; thank you for the winners), so was curious if that game was in the back of your head a bit. Good to know that it's not. Well, I'm hopping on 1H and full-game, and looks like I'll be getting a cheaper price on FG for waiting. GL to us

 

[Timh]

Thanks CK and Grind, BOL today fellas.

 

[STEED]

Tim GL today buddy

 

[Timh]

AF/Cal over 68 1*

 

[Timh]

244 nc -2.5 -105 1*

 

[Play2win]

Agree UNC and LSU, BOL Tim

 

[Timh]

252 Miss State -5.5 1*

 

[Br@ssknux]

BOL Timmy!! I like the rest of them. If I was a totals player ID be on all of the same unders you are on, and I'm with you on Dak and company.

 

[Timh]

Thanks Brass, BOL to you and feel better.

 

[Timh]

249 Memphis +5.5 -105 1*

 

[Timh]

255-256 Wisconsin/USC under 50.5 1*