Carolinablue Week 7 CFB Plays

[carolinablue]

9-7 +1.02 units in Week 6. The losses on the Louisville TT Over and SMU v Navy Over were tough to swallow, but at least OSU and Tenn took care of business.

Wasn’t pretty in Week 6, but profit is profit, so can’t complain about another winning week.


YTD 60-43-2 (58.2%)

Week 7 Plays

Thursday 10/14
7:30pm 114 Memphis TT O30.5 160

Friday 10/15
7:00pm 118 North Texas +11.5 115
10:30pm 120 SJSU +10 121

Saturday 10/16
12:00pm 131 Michigan State ML 165
12:00pm 148 Cincinnati -20 120
12:00pm 135 Ohio +9 111

2:00pm 153 Ball State v EMU O54.5 115
2:30pm 145 Akron +20 120

3:30pm 187 Western Kentucky v ODU O67 115
3:30pm 189 Kentucky TT O9.5 145
3:30pm 126 HEELS -6.5 130
3:30pm 126 HEELS TT O35 115
3:30pm 123 BGSU +10.5 130
3:30pm 185 Kent +7.5 125

7:00pm 167 Liberty TT O43.5 120
7:00pm 183 Alabama 1H -9.5 115
7:00pm 183 Alabama -16.5 130
7:00pm 183 Alabama TT O37.5 130
7:30pm 193 Ole Miss v Tenn O79 115

9:00pm 206 UTEP +7.5 115

10:30pm 209 Hawaii v Nevada O59 115


Fun ML Dog Plays for only $25 each --
North Texas +335
SJSU +280
BGSU +275
Ohio +295
Kent +210
UTEP +210

 

[carolinablue]

Checking lines while riding in Lyft to the airport…

 

[KJ]

They dropped yet at BOL?

 

[carolinablue]

Description:
Football - NCAA - Ball State vs Eastern Michigan - Total | 153 Ball State/Eastern Michigan over 54½ -115 For Game

 

[carolinablue]

They dropped yet at BOL?

Yeah…at the airport now

 

[carolinablue]

Description:
Football - NCAA - Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion - Total | 187 Western Kentucky/Old Dominion over 67 -115 For Game

 

[carolinablue]

Description:
Football - NCAA - Mississippi vs Tennessee - Total | 193 Mississippi/Tennessee over 79 -115 For Game

 

[carolinablue]

Missed 78 and 78.5 on that Tenny total but I have that one like 45-41 so a point shouldn’t matter, although that line of thinking didn’t work out too well for me on my overs in week 6 haha

 

[carolinablue]

Description:
Football - NCAA - Louisiana Tech vs UTEP - Spread | 206 UTEP +7½ -115 For Game

 

[carolinablue]

Description:
Football - NCAA - Hawaii vs Nevada - Total | 209 Hawaii/Nevada over 59 -115 For Game

 

[carolinablue]

Added:
Alabama -16.5 130 at Bovada
MSU ML 165 at Bovada

The MSU one is obviously pricey but honestly just don’t wanna get screwed 24-23 in that one

 

[carolinablue]

Not seeing a ton I like this week but will most likely take Bama 1H at 9.5 or less and also the TT if it is reasonable.

 

[carolinablue]

Added:
Alabama 1H -9.5 115 at Bovada
Alabama TT O37.5 130 at Bovada

 

[carolinablue]

Added:
Kentucky TT O9.5 145 at Bovada

Worst case the Cats should be able to get some garbage points to get this one to 10. Best case, they soar over by halftime.

 

[carolinablue]

Added:
Liberty TT O43.5 120 at Bovada

 

[carolinablue]

That should be it outside of any FCS lines I may look into once those hit the board. Hope you guys kill it this week!

 

[HUNT]

Gl this week cb. Should be another wild Ole miss game

 

[carolinablue]

Gl this week cb. Should be another wild Ole miss game

You too man…nice work so far this year by the way, and yeah I hope to see 100+ in that one.

 

[HUNT]

You too man…nice work so far this year by the way, and yeah I hope to see 100+ in that one.

Thanks CB

 

[carolinablue]

Added:

Memphis TT O30.5 160 at Bovada

Not a fan of the 160, but it is what it is as no alt lines were available on this one. Barring turnovers, Memphis should be good for 40+ against that Navy defense.

 

[Timh]

BOL CB

 

[carolinablue]

BOL CB

Thanks Tim, you too man. Time to get this thread formatted!

 

[carolinablue]

Here's what I have so far...

Thursday 10/14
7:30pm 114 Memphis TT O30.5 160

Saturday 10/16
12:00pm 131 Michigan State ML 165

2:00pm 153 Ball State v EMU O54.5 115

3:30pm 187 Western Kentucky v ODU O67 115
3:30pm 189 Kentucky TT O9.5 145

7:00pm 167 Liberty TT O43.5 120
7:00pm 183 Alabama 1H -9.5 115
7:00pm 183 Alabama -16.5 130
7:00pm 183 Alabama TT O37.5 130
7:30pm 193 Ole Miss v Tenn O79 115

9:00pm 206 UTEP +7.5 115

10:30pm 209 Hawaii v Nevada O59 115

 

[Botanical]

Nice looking card!!

 

[carolinablue]

Nice looking card!!

Thanks man....still looking at a few that may or may not make the cut like Oregon, Cincy, Cincy TT, UNC TT (I am crazy to keep going back to that well haha), Tol/CMU Over, WSU and a few more...

 

[carolinablue]

Added:
12:00pm 148 Cincinnati -20 120

The only realistic chance Cincy has of getting into the playoff argument is to completely decimate everything in its path from this point forward, as style points do matter whether people like to admit it or not. UCF is nothing like they typically are as the backup QB struggled mightily against ECU last week, but they do have some cache, so I fully expect Cincy to roll a UCF team that will struggle to put points on the board against the Bearcats defense. Cincy sometimes starts slow out of the gate, but they have no problem piling it on in the 2H even when the game is out of reach which of course is a heavy fav bettors' dream team.

 

[rochclone]

Like Cincy and UTEP a lot as well. Hell of a job by Dimel (former Asst to Bill Snyder) to get that UTEP program turned around. Hope they get to a bowl game this year.

 

[Two Utes]

I like that KY TT. They are a good team that finally has a half decent QB.

 

[carolinablue]

Maybe blind loyalty…Heels -6.5 130

 

[Botanical]

Cincy and bama ohh boy the train is filling up quickly at ctg.. lfg

 

[carolinablue]

Cincy and bama ohh boy the train is filling up quickly at ctg.. lfg

I get my plays in so early I never notice what anyone else is on until way after the fact but yeah looks like a bunch of guys are on those two for sure. Thing is, we tend to only remember the consensus plays that crash and burn and never all the ones that hit with ease. Just the nature of the business I guess. Best of luck this weekend man!

 

[carolinablue]

145 Akron +20 120

I made some small plays on BGSU ML and Ohio ML and will also probably put a small on one on Kent as well. Will be profitable if I can hit 1 of the 3. May even sprinkle a little something on the Akron ML if BOL posts a number before kickoff, but either way, really like getting 20 against a Miami Ohio team that may not even put up 17 on Saturday. Should be an ugly game to say the least.

 

[carolinablue]

Waiting to see how the lines move on the following, but will be on them if they move in my favor between now and Friday evening...

Kent +
North Texas +
SJSU +


Will also probably throw $25 on each of these ML Dogs for fun...
UTEP
NT
Kent
SJSU

 

[carolinablue]

Here is my final $25 per play ML Dog card...Need to hit 2 out of 6 for profit

Friday 10/15
North Texas +335
SJSU +280

Saturday 10/16
Ohio +295
BGSU +275
Kent +210
UTEP +210

 

[carolinablue]

Final added plays...

Friday 10/15
7:00pm 118 North Texas +11.5 115
10:30pm 120 SJSU +10 121

Saturday 10/16
3:30pm 185 Kent +7.5 125

 

[carolinablue]

Man that SJSU was close but as the late great Gorilla Monsoon used to say “Close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades”

 

[carolinablue]

Added Heels TT O35 115 at BOL

Bovada had 33.5 170 but doesn’t make sense to me to basically pay 55 as a hedge against 34 or 35 so if it lands on either of those so be it.

 

[Br@ssknux]

Man that SJSU was close but as the late great Gorilla Monsoon used to say “Close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades”

I always thought highly of you CB, but now that you've dropped a Gorilla reference, you're in the stratosphere in my book.

I'm hoping Carolina blows past that TT like you suggest. I'll be rooting for it.

 

[carolinablue]

Week 7 --> 14-7 +4.67 Units (all those ML Dog plays were pretty much a bust outside of UTEP, although Ohio and SJSU did provide a nice tease)

 

[B.A.R.]

Well done sir.