Carolinablue Week 4 CFB Plays

carolinablue

College Football Guru
Hopefully this will be the last time I have to quote good 'ol JR and use the bowling shoe ugly reference when speaking about my week, but ended up 14-12 for +0.96 units when all the account math is added up, so I will take it, but man what I would give for a nice and easy sweep of the board in week 4. Hitting the Two Kings Casino was nice in the sense that I can now say that I have been there, but no reason for me to go back until they step up the temp game or build the actual place as the temporary stuff is straight garbage at this point.

Week 3 --> 14-12 +0.96 units
YTD --> 42-39-2 -2.33 units

Thursday 9/22 Plays
7:30pm Coastal Carolina -1 118 (BM)
- Not sure short week can help GSU rebound from the Charlotte game

Friday 9/23 Plays
9pm Boise State -16.5 115 (BOL)
- seeing 15's and 16's now after it hit 17, so oh well

Saturday 9/24 Plays
12pm Michigan -17 115 (BOL)
- seeing 16's now....what do I know...
12pm Clemson at Wake O57 110 (BOL) - was hoping to get 10 with Wake, but actually like the total better as Hartman will get Wake at least into the mid 20's
12pm Indiana at Cincinnati O55 110 (BOL) - seeing 54's now

2pm UMass +10.5 120 (BM) - As I noted below, Temple should not be favored by 10 vs anyone, even UMass...Warner's son ain't that good!
2:30pm North Texas at Memphis O68 115 (BOL) - expected to see this one open at 70

3:30pm JMU +9 110 (BOL) - was hoping for 10, but was happy at anything 8 or higher

3:30pm UNC PK 110 (MB) - can't believe I will be out of the country this weekend
3:30pm UNC +2 110 (BOL) - opened here and would have taken it up to -2.5
3:30pm UNC TT O29 125 (MB) - I expect us to hit mid 30's at least, especially if we can get our running game going
In case you guys can't tell, I REALLY like UNC in Week 4. Yes, I am a homer, so tail at your own risk!
I put the $250 MB FP all on UNC PK 110 to win $227.27


6pm Rice +17.5 116 (BOL) - sure Houston may blow them out 45-17, but they also could easily lose SU, so I'll take my chances
6pm Liberty -26.5 120 (BOL) - Akron fade, nothing more, nothing less

7pm UNLV -.5 115 (BOL) - no overthinking this one
7pm Marshall -2.5 130 (BM) - not gonna even try to pretend like I can figure out the psyche of 18-21 year olds...
7:30pm Ohio State -17 125 (MB) - like this one at anything under 21 as I get that Wisky will try to slow it down, but good luck with that...
8pm Oklahoma -12.5 116 (BM) - hopefully the real OU shows up again
8pm NMSU ML 128 (MB) - Yeah, they are bad, but I will take my chances against this Hawaii team actually winning one SU on the road (line now -6)

10:15pm Wyoming +21.5 120 (BM) - line now 22.5 so guessed wrong on this one, but as long as it doesn't hit 24 I won't sweat it too much
10:30pm Utah -14 126 (BM) - ASU fade as this one has 35-10 written all over it IMO
 
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MB actually has a few week 4 lines up already. Only 1 I took so far was Ohio State -17 125 because I think that one is more likely to hit 20 than 14, so will take my chances with the early 17.
 
MB lines that were up around 8:15am (All are still available, no movement as of yet)

Wake +7 vs Clemson
SMU +1 vs TCU
UNC +1.5 vs ND
Tenn -6.5 vs Florida
App -8.5 vs JMU
OSU -17.5 vs Wisky
OU -10.5 vs KSU
Oregon St +5.5 vs USC
 
MB lines that were up around 8:15am (All are still available, no movement as of yet)

Wake +7 vs Clemson
SMU +1 vs TCU
UNC +1.5 vs ND
Tenn -6.5 vs Florida
App -8.5 vs JMU
OSU -17.5 vs Wisky
OU -10.5 vs KSU
Oregon St +5.5 vs USC
They just adjusted the Minn ML +148 to -120. Still have Tenn -6.5, its 7.5 at DK. OU is -10.5 at Myb, -13 at DK. More lines being posted now as MyB copying additions by DK
 
Also tempted on Michigan as I was hoping for 17 but don't hate 20. Another case of waiting and seeing what BOL comes out at though as maybe the over might be the better play in this one and also Clemson Wake, not sure yet though.
 
As I wait for lines to come out (MB has taken everything down) here is a sneak peek of the ones I will be focused on, as I have a specific number for each of these that will trigger a play, so hopefully some of the opens hit where I hope they do....As Karrion Kross would say..."tick tock"...

NMSU
Coastal
Boise
Michigan
Wake
UMass
JMU
ODU
A&M
Marshall
Wyoming
ULL
UCF
La Tech


And yes, I am well aware that I am potentially putting my money on some pretty bad teams, but don't worry I have a clothespin ready for when I hit that submit button!
 
like that Ohio St -17 - put 2u on it at Circa. Michigan only -16.5 right now - I played 2u on O59.5 so far. that's about it.
 
still there right now at Circa. Looks like it opened 20 so lot of money on Terps which I don't get. Love the over - Maryland ain't stopping anyone and they're the first offense with a pulse Michigan has faced.

Lines not moving at all at Circa after initial.
 
Issue is I already have a play on UNC PK so don't wanna have to root for ND points to go 2-0 so that may keep me off of that one
 
Once BM and MB come out, the following will potentially be plays if priced at 130 or less...

NMSU PK
ULL -9.5
Marshall -3
JMU +10.5
Coastal PK
UMass +10.5
ODU -2.5
A&M PK
UCF -16.5
 
You guys know if there is any truth to the rumor I was just texted which stated the BOT is negotiating Harsin's exit for this week?
 
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