ADDING
PORTLAND STATE -2.5 115 (5 Dimes line and juice) - This one will be to win 1 unit like all the rest of my plays, so this one is the real deal tonight.
PSU has won 7 straight vs Sac State, and 17 of the last 19 in the series. In fact, they have beaten Sac State 9 straight times at home, and I look for Jerry Glanville to bounce back and put on a show for the home fans in this one, after they had their disappointing second half collapse vs UC Davis in their home opener last weekend.
Even though PSU is 0-2, I think that Colorado transfer Brian White was much more comfortable with the offense last week, since he was actually able to start the game, vs coming in vs McNeese State in week one due to an injury to the opening day starter Tygue Howard. Senior RB Olaniyi Sobomehin also did a nice job getting his shot in the starting lineup as he shattered his career marks for rushing yards vs UC Davis. Again, he isn't the opening day starter (they also lost starting TB to injury in week 1) but getting that starting experience in game 2, should really help the offense flow a lot better this weekend.
Jerry Glanville knows that season ticket sales are at an all time high at PSU and he also knows that the fans are expecting a big win this week, and we all know that Glanville will not pass up the chance to stomp these guys into the ground early and often in order to remove the bad taste that was left after the loss last week in the home opener.
At the end of the day, I think Portland State wins this one big as the value in the line lies in the fact that they are 0-2 and are relegated to backups at 2 key positions (QB and RB), but both of these backups showed that they are more than capable of stepping up and delivering, and I see them getting more and more comfortable as the season goes on.
Sac State has a horrible offense (3pts vs Fresno even though Fresno gift wrapped field position multiple times via 3 untimely fumbles), and will be lucky to eclipse 150 passing yards in this one as their redshirt QB is gonig to need a few weeks to get used to the new offense they are implementing there. First year head coach Marshall Sperbeck may have been Northern California Football Conference Champions in his old gig at Foothill College, but this is the big time and he is in for a long season, starting today, as he is facing a hungry and desperate PSU team that needs a win bad, so Sac State is basically in the wrong place at the wrong time.
I think Portland State wins by DD today, so nice value in this line IMO.
