caboto NFL 2020

C

caboto13

Pretty much a regular
NFL 2018/19: 102-113-1 +5,52 units
NFL 2019/20: 78-89-6 +2,75 units

Hi guys,

finally Football. Though it will be weird and strange, I'm looking forward to the season.

Cautious as always first three weeks, especially with no preseason.

Chiefs - Texans under 54,5 @-110 to win 1u

I think having no offseason helps defenses more than offenses. Texans without Hopkins won't go into a shootout and no fans maybe helps Watson to control the clock and make it a low scoring game. Would like the Texans with +10 because of revenge but can't get the number. Does this game counts as a "Andy Reid off the bye"-game?

Good luck.
 
ML parlay Eagles / Steelers @100 to win 1u

Fading two of the worst teams in week one. Buy to see one of them win.
 
Week 1
Chiefs - Texans under 54,5 @-110 to win 1u
ML parlay Eagles / Steelers @100 to win 1u
Bills - Jets under 39,5 @-106 to win 1u
Browns +7,5 @-106 to win 1u
Packers +2,5 @-110 to win 1u
Cardinals +7 @-108 to win 1u
Saints -4 @-109 to win 1u
Broncos +3,5 @-110 to win 0,5u
Steelers -5,5 @-111 to win 1u
6-3 +2,38u

Week 2
Packers -6 @-110 to win 1u
Packers - Lions over 48,5 @-110 to win 1u

The Lions let Trubisky leading the Bears to 21 points in the 4th quarter and win. What might Rodgers do, if he's playing like week 1? Stafford will throw a lot as always and I think Packers will win a shooutout. Something like 34-27.
 
Added another unit on the Packers:
Packers -6 @-110 to win 1u
Cardinals -7 @-110 to win 1u
Pats +4,5 @-118 to win 1u
ML parlay: Chiefs / Ravens / Packers / Steelers / Cardinals @288 to win 2,16u
 
Week 2
Packers -6 @-110 to win 2
Packers - Lions over 48,5 @-110 to win 1u
Cardinals -7 @-110 to win 1u
Pats +4,5 @-118 to win 1u
ML parlay: Chiefs / Ravens / Packers / Steelers / Cardinals @288 to win 2,16u
4-1 4,98u
Overall: 10-4 +7,36u ROI: 22,84u/15,48u = 1,48 => +48%
 
Week 3
Pats -5,5 @-105 to win 1u
Cowboys +5 @-110 to win 1u
Panthers +6,5 @-105 to win 1u

Chargers shouldn't be favoured by nearly a td with a rookie qb under center. Cowboys will put up points against a Seahawks defense defense that gave up 25 and 30 points against Falcons and Pats. I rank the Cowboys offense slightly better, so if they score 30+ points they should cover the number. Defense simply cannot be as bad as last week vs. the Falcons.

Pats after a loss 9 - 4 ATS (not sure, but definitely above .5) and I see the Raiders in a huge letdown spot at the east coast in an early game.

Like some unders, but probably can't get good numbers anymore....

Got Broncos - Bucs under 43 @-110 to win 1u
 
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Card looked better until Trubisky was benched and Falcons collapsed second time in a row. Ruined the parlay and the Falcons ATS bet

Memo to me: Don't bet against a team because of the qb, if this team has a good qb , who can come into the game from the bench.
 
Week 3
Pats -5,5 @-105 to win 1u
Cowboys +5 @-110 to win 1u
Panthers +6,5 @-105 to win 1u
Broncos - Bucs under 43 @-110 to win 1u
Falcons -2,5 @-110 to win 1u
Pats -6,5 @-110 to win 1u
ML parlay: Pats / Falcons / Colts / Cardinals @265 to win1.98u

4-3 +1,05u
Overall: 14-7 +8,41u
 
Week 4
Bucs -1 & under 49 @100 to win 1u
Texans -3,5 @-110 to win 1u
Texans -3 @-118 to win 1u
Cardinals -3 @-110 to win 1u
Ravens -14 @-105 to win 1u
Parlay: Cowboys -4,5 / Ravens -14 / Rams -13,5 @600 to win 3u
ML parlay: Seahawks / Bills / Packers @193 to win 1,93u
 
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Week 4
Bucs -1 & under 49 @100 to win 1u
Texans -3,5 @-110 to win 1u
Texans -3 @-118 to win 1u
Cardinals -3 @-110 to win 1u
Ravens -14 @-105 to win 1u
Parlay: Cowboys -4,5 / Ravens -14 / Rams -13,5 @600 to win 3u
ML parlay: Seahawks / Bills / Packers @193 to win 1,93u
Bears-Colts over 42.5 @-110 to win 2u
Rams -13 @-115 to win 2u
Packers -5 @-110 to win 1u

2-7-1 -6,45u
Overall: 16-14-1 +1,96u

Week 5 (to get back on track)
Bucs -3 @-120 to win 1u
 
ML parlay Texans / Cardinals / Rams / Steelers / Saints @287 to win 2.87u
Steelers -7 @-110 to win 1u
Falcons - Panthers over 54 @-106 to win 1u
Texans -4,5 @-115 to win 1u

Parlay with fading the Jets and Washington as two of the worst football teams against (on paper) superior opponents. The Saints have a good record when playing in October, the Steelers are rested and the Eagles flying across the country after a good win on the road. And yeah the Texans are heavily favoured as a 0-4 team just firing their head coach, don't really get it, but think Vegas wants us to take the Jags as a road dog. But even against a 0-4 team that's playing with Watson I can't take them. Maybe the Jags cover, but I do think, the Texans will get back on track, at least with the first W.

Add: Texans ATS, talked myself into Watson throwing at will against a bad Jags defense.
 
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Week 5
Bucs -3 @-120 to win 1u
ML parlay Texans / Cardinals / Rams / Steelers / Saints @287 to win 2.87u
Steelers -7 @-110 to win 1u
Falcons - Panthers over 54 @-106 to win 1u
Texans -4,5 @-115 to win 1u

3-2 +2,61
Overall: 19-16-1 +4,57u
 
I love these Biden commercials where some asshole blabbers on abound what he trust Joe Biden to do and while I have no dog in this stupid fight but I don’t trust Joe Biden to properly wipe his ass after taking a shit let alone run a country!!!
 
Still can’t believe I bet dallas vs cards who one my favorite teams!! Lol. I dreamed of a ginger water pistol the other night who told me he was gonna take over Daks job for 20 million a year and lead them to the pinnacle!!!

not a championship but to the prestigious champions of the nfc least!!! Much like he often lead those Bungals to the 1st round ass kickings!!
 
Omg ginger. That was not good!! Couldn’t have been luckier not to be a pick 6. The over kinda needed it tho.
 
Week 5
Bucs -3 @-120 to win 1u
ML parlay Texans / Cardinals / Rams / Steelers / Saints @287 to win 2.87u
Steelers -7 @-110 to win 1u
Falcons - Panthers over 54 @-106 to win 1u
Texans -4,5 @-115 to win 1u
Bills -3.5 @-103 to win 0.5u

3-3 +2,09
Overall: 19-17-1 +4,05u

Week 6
Dolphins -8 @-110 to win 1u
Packers -2 @-109 to win 1u
Lions -3 @-111 to win 2u
ML parlay PIT/NE/TEN/BAL @255 to win 2.55u
Bills-Chiefs over 54.5 @-110 to win 1u
Cowboys-Cardinals over 54.5 @-108 to win 1u

2-4 -1,27u
Overall: 21-21-1 +2,83u
 
caboto13 said:
Alywals welcome! Think there is no one who have not posted the wrong place at least once. Is that phrase correct? Not a native speaker!
Click to expand...

im the wrong person to ask and certainly not to judge. I once had a counselor tell me I wasn’t good enough at English to take Spanish! I said to her “wtf you mean, I speak it bitch!”.,, lol
 
Week 7
Eagles -4,5 @-110 to win 1u

Giants 15-4 ATS when playing not in MetLife Stadium. 7-0 last 7. Regression to the mean is coming. Giants not a good football team. Eagles banged up, but they will take a division game.
 
Panthers +7 @-110 to win 1u
Chargers -7@-110 to win 2u
Lions ML @186 to win 2,79u (Special offer at one of my bookies called odd-boost with limited stakes but I'll take it)
Bucs -3,5 @-105 to win 1u
 
Try some teasers:
Panthers +14 / Lions +7 / Steelers +7 @151 to win 1.51u
Chiefs ML / Bills -3 / Chargers -1 / 49ers +10 @204 to win 2.04u
 
Week 7
Eagles -4,5 @-110 to win 1u
Panthers +7 @-110 to win 1u
Chargers -7@-110 to win 2u
Lions ML @186 to win 2,79u (Special offer at one of my bookies called odd-boost with limited stakes but I'll take it)
Bucs -3,5 @-105 to win 1u
Parlay Steelers +2,5 / Lions +2,5 / WFT - Cowboys over 43,5 @533 to win 13,33u
Panthers +14 / Lions +7 / Steelers +7 @151 to win 1.51u
Chiefs ML / Bills -3 / Chargers -1 / 49ers +10 @204 to win 2.04u

6-2 +8,24
Overall: 27-23-1 +11,07u

Somehow the Lions ML won :)
 
Like too many dogs. Try some teasers after they cashed last week.

Parlay: Steelers +10 / Dolphins +10 / Packers ML @146 to win 1.46u
Parlay: Broncos +10 / 49ers +10 / Eagles -4 @123 to win 1.23u
Saints - Bears under 42,5 @-109 to win 1u

Leans: Rams, Pats, Steelers, Titans, 49ers, Broncos plus the points and maybe ML, Colts ATS
 
Won a risk-free parlay : Steelers +4,5 / Pats +4,5 / Colts ML / Packers -5,5 / Dolphins +4,5 @1672 2,5u to win 41,8u (stakes will be refundes if parlay loses)
 
Raiders ML @110 to win 1,1u
Pats +4,5 @-109 to win 1u
Steelers +4 @-110 to win 1u
Dolphins +3,5 @-110 to win 1u

Rams with wins against the NFC East and the Bears maybe overrated. Flying east coast back and back again. Short week, Dolphins rested after a bye. Like the Dolphins.
Pats in a must-win-game, which doesn't mean they'll win, but hopefully keep it close. McDermott 0-6 against Bellichek.
Steelers are 6-0 and should be able to keep it close with their good defense.
Raiders must show up after their game against the Bucs. They beat the Chiefs, so they should be able to beat the Browns without OBJ and Chubb. Browns almost lost against the Bengals. Missed the better number and the points, so I take the ML.

If this will be a favs week, I'm screwed, but had a good week last week, so will be above 0 even with an 0-9 week. Parlay for fun, wouldn't play it with own money, but risk-free I have a try.

Will add late games, if some of my bets of the early games win. Like Niners and Broncos. Good luck all.
 
Week 8
Panthers -2,5 @-108 to win 1u
ML parlay Panthers / Packers @127 to win 1,27u
Parlay: Steelers +10 / Dolphins +10 / Packers ML @146 to win 1.46u
Parlay: Broncos +10 / 49ers +10 / Eagles -4 @123 to win 1.23u -> won 0,73u 49ers counted as push
Saints - Bears under 42,5 @-109 to win 1u
risk-free parlay : Steelers +4,5 / Pats +4,5 / Colts ML / Packers -5,5 / Dolphins +4,5 @1672 2,5u to win 41,8u (stakes will be refundes if parlay loses)
Raiders ML @110 to win 1,1u
Pats +4,5 @-109 to win 1u
Steelers +4 @-110 to win 1u
Dolphins +3,5 @-110 to win 1u
Broncos +3 @-106 to win 1u

6-5 +1,56u
Overall: 34-28-1 +13,63u (only single bets: 27-19-1 overall 10-3 last two weeks)
 
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