caboto NFL 2019

Vikings -15 @-108 to win 2u

Fade the Redskins against a good defense. Maybe 21 points are enough to cover for the Vikings.
 
Eagles ML @114 to win 1.14u
Bucs ML @122 to win 1.22u
Raiders +13 & over 45.5 @100 to win 1u
Colts -5 @-108 to win 1u
Panthers +6 @-111 to win 1u
ML parlay Lions / Seahawks / Rams / Pats @130 to win 3,9u

I pay to see the Giants win at Detroit or the Ryan-less Falcons beat the Seahaks after their loss to the Ravens or 0-7 Bengals beat the Rams or the Browns walk into Boston an beat the 7-0 Pats. Really can't see any of those four teams losing, so stick with the parlay.

I'm still not sold on the Bills, who beat the Jets, Giants, Bengals, Dolphins and Titans who have combined 6-27 record. The Eagles are not as bad as they looked last week against the Cowboys, so try the ML dog here.
 
Like your ML Parlay.... I have the same but swapped Detroit for the Who Dats!!

GL today.
 
Saved the parlay with Browns ML @630 live to win 3.15u.

So +3.4u Pats win or +0.15u with Browns win. Too many strange things happen in the NFL.
 
Vikings -15 @-108 to win 2u
Eagles ML @114 to win 1.14u
Bucs ML @122 to win 1.22u
Raiders +13 & over 45.5 @100 to win 1u
Colts -5 @-108 to win 1u
Panthers +6 @-111 to win 1u
ML parlay Lions / Seahawks / Rams / Pats @130 to win 3,9u. Saved the parlay with Browns ML @630 live to win 3.15u.

Week 8: 3-4 (including 1-0 parlays) +0,19u ROI: 11,04/10,85 -> +1,8%
Overall: 34-39 (including 3-9 parlays) -4,06u ROI: 80,02/84,08-> -4,8%

Parlays excluded: 31-30 -2,93u ROI: 68,76/70,83 -> -2,9%

Week 9:
Played on Monday thinking the line would hit 4 or more
Packers -3,5 @-103 to win 2u

Given the last three or four games I can't see the Packers win by less than a td. Second game otr doesn't matter for me, because I think the difference in quality of qb, defense, offense, coaching is too big to make it a close game.
 
0-1 week 9

Sunday:
Jaguars - Texans over 46,5 @-118 to win 3u
Packers -3,5 @-103 to win 2u
ML parlay Eagles / Bills / Panthers @165 to win 3,3u

Will play the Vikings ATS but game off the board right now. Assuming Mahomes won't play, a two unit game. Also like the Jaguars ML, but missed better numbers, now -116, pass.
 
49ers -10 @-108 to win 1u
Jaguars - Texans over 46,5 @-118 to win 3u
Packers -3,5 @-103 to win 2u
ML parlay Eagles / Bills / Panthers @165 to win 3,3u
Lions +7 & over 44,5 @100 to win 1u
Bucs +11 & over 46,5 @100 to win 1u
Week 9: 2-3-1 (including 1-0 parlays) -2,38u ROI: 8,3/10,68 -> -22,3%
Overall: 36-42-1 (including 4-9 parlays) -6,44u ROI: 88,32/94,76-> -6,8%

Parlays excluded: 32-33-1 -7,75u ROI: 71,76/79,51 -> -9,75%
 
Raiders +2.5 @-111 to win 1u
Raiders +7 & over 43 @100 to win 1u

Don't trust the Chargers after one good game and win.
 
2-0 so far

Sunday:
Browns -3 @-105 to win 1u
ML parlay: Ravens / Saints / Colts / Cowboys @143 to win 1.43u
Titans +6,5 @-111 to win 1u
Bucs - Cardinals over 51,5 @-115 to win 1u
Ravens -4,5 & over 38 @100 to win 1u
 
I think, Lexington125 is right and the Bills will have problems stopping the run. So Browns could really win, if they rely on Chubb and theirrunning game. as mentioned the Bills have beaten only weak teams on the road. Obviously the Browns do not really qualify as a quality opponent, but they have a good or really good runnigback and could move the ball against the Bills. Let's see.

Titans also have a good running game and the Chiefs aren't really good against the run. The Chiefs will win with Mahomes back, but trust the Titans to keep it close and get the backdoor cover.

Parlay with good teams against weak teams or a team with a quarterback who is not good against teams with a winning record (Cousins). Can't see the winless Bengals beat the Ravens who just beat the Patriots, possible letdownspot, but trust Harbough as coach to get the win. Sainst vs Falcons obviously with the better team off the bye at home against a 1-7 division rival. And the Dolphins may keep it close, but the Colts will take of business and win. Pay to see the Dolphins win.

Allen and Winston will pass the whole day against weak pass defenses, see a 33-30 type of game here.

Good luck all.

Depending on the early games maybe add the Packers and/or the Steelers later.
 
Hit the wrong button and bought off the parlay GB/LAR for 0.62u so count it as a 0.38u loss. Didn't want to but happened. Don't think the Rams come back 2nd half to cover the -5 or win at all. Should have stuck with the initial thoughts and bet the Steelers. Anyway a winning week.
 
Week 9
Raiders +2.5 @-111 to win 1u
Raiders +7 & over 43 @100 to win 1u
Browns -3 @-105 to win 1u
ML parlay: Ravens / Saints / Colts / Cowboys @143 to win 1.43u
Titans +6,5 @-111 to win 1u
Bucs - Cardinals over 51,5 @-115 to win 1u
Ravens -4,5 & over 38 @100 to win 1u
ML parlay Packers / Rams @107 to win 1.07u
Rams -5 @105 to win 1u

Week 10: 5-3-1 (including 0-2 parlays) +2,57u ROI: 12,04/9,47 -> +27,1%
Overall: 41-45-2 (including 4-11 parlays) -3,87u ROI: 100,36/104,23-> -3,72%

Parlays excluded: 37-34-2 -3,80u ROI: 83,18/86,98 -> -4,37%
 
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Numbers disappeared? Will update later.

Steelers ML @123 to win 1.23u
Steelers +9 & under 47.5 @100 to win 1u

Have to take the better defense. Saw the Browns last week against the Bills and can't imagine that they beat the Steelers. 23-17 away win.
 
0-2 so far.

Week 11
Dolphins +6,5 @-111 to win 1u
Dolphins +7 @-115 to win 1u
ML parlay Raiders / Vikings / Saints / Panthers @183 to win 1,83u
ML parlay Jaguars / Dolphins @644 to win 3.22u
Jaguars ML @117 to win 1,17u
Jets ML @117 to win 1,17u
Broncos TT under 12,5 @140 to win 1,4u
 
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Week 10
Steelers ML @123 to win 1.23u
Steelers +9 & under 47.5 @100 to win 1u
Dolphins +6,5 @-111 to win 1u
Dolphins +7 @-115 to win 1u
ML parlay Raiders / Vikings / Saints / Panthers @183 to win 1,83u
ML parlay Jaguars / Dolphins @644 to win 3.22u
Jaguars ML @117 to win 1,17u
Jets ML @117 to win 1,17u
Broncos TT under 12,5 @140 to win 1,4u
Cowboys -7 @-111 to win 1u
Cardinals +16.5 & over 38.5 @100 to win 2.5u
ML parlay Pats / Rams @-107 to win 2u
Chiefs TT over 33.5 @160 to win 1.6u

Week 11: 4-9 (including 1-2 parlays) -2,09u ROI: 13,42/15,51 -> -13,5%
Overall: 45-54-2 (including 5-13 parlays) --5,96u ROI: 113,78/119,74-> -5%

Parlays excluded: 40-41-2 -6,39u ROI: 92,46/98,85 -> -6,47%

Week 11:
Jets +3 @-108 to win 3u
Seahawks +7 & over 42 @100 to win 2u
 
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Week 12:
Jets +3 @-108 to win 3u
Seahawks +7 & over 42 @100 to win 2u
ML parlay Titans / Pats @100 to win 1u
Packers +3 @100 to win 1u
Ravens -3 @-118 to win 1.5u

Week 12: 3-2 (including 1-0 parlays) +2,5u ROI: 11,51/9,01 -> +28%
Overall: 48-56-2 (including 6-13 parlays) -3,46u ROI: 125,29/128,75-> -3%
Parlays excluded: 42-43-2 -5,20u ROI: 101,97/106,86-> -4,58%

Week 13:
ML parlay Saints / Bears / Chiefs @127 to win 1.9u
Saints -7 @-105 to win 1u
Jets -3 @-115 to win 2u
Chiefs -9,5 @-111 to win 3u
 
Got a 2.5u free bet voucher.
ML parlay Ravens / Panthers / Packers @115 to win 2.3u with 2u stakes (free bet so won't count as a loss unitwise)
System bet: 5 4-leg-parlays: Broncos +3,5 / Colts - Titans over 42.5 / Cardinals +3,5 / Packers TT over 25.5 / Steelers +2,5 to win max. 5,08u with 0.5u stakes (free bet so won't count as a loss unitwise)
 
Week 13:
ML parlay Saints / Bears / Chiefs @127 to win 1.9u
Saints -7 @-105 to win 1u
Jets -3 @-115 to win 2u
Chiefs -9,5 @-111 to win 3u
Steelers +7 & over 33 @100 to win 1u - PUSH
Bengals - Jets over 42.5 @-111 to win 1u
Titans +7 & over 37 @100 to win 2u
For fun ML parlay: Steelers / Cardinals / Broncos / Jaguars @2945 to win 7,38u
Packers-6.5 @-108 to win 2u
Seahawks -3 @-105 to win 1u


off the record: ML parlay Ravens / Panthers / Packers @115 to win 2.3u with 2u stakes (free bet so won't count as a loss unitwise)
System bet: 5 4-leg-parlays: Broncos +3,5 / Colts - Titans over 42.5 / Cardinals +3,5 / Packers TT over 25.5 / Steelers +2,5 to win max. 5,08u with 0.5u stakes (free bet so won't count as a loss unitwise)

Week 13: 6-3-1 (including 1-1 parlays) +6,74 ROI: 22,99/15,75 -> +46%
Overall: 54-59-3 (including 7-14 parlays) +3,78u ROI: 148,28/144,5-> +2,6%
Parlays excluded: 47-45-2 0,39u ROI: 121,56/120,86-> +0,6%
 
Jets - Dolphins over 45.5 @-108 to win 2u
Jaguars +3 @-103 to win 1u
Vikings -7 & over 37.5 @100 to win 1u
Packers -12.5 @-111 to win 2u
 
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Obviously didn't hit the Post-button on Thursday, so her we go again. The Jets - Dolphins over should have hit, so the late games saved the bay only a little.

Week 14
Jets - Dolphins over 45.5 @-108 to win 2u
Jaguars +3 @-103 to win 1u
Vikings -7 & over 37.5 @100 to win 1u
Packers -12.5 @-111 to win 2u
Bucs - Colts over 46,5 @-117 to win 1u
Pats under 49.5 @-111 to win 1u
Titans TT over 25.5 @-101 to win 3u

Week 14: 3-4 6,74 ROI: 10,31/11,72 -1,39u -> -12%
Overall: 57-63-3 (including 7-14 parlays) +2,37u ROI: 158,59/156,22-> +1,5%
Parlays excluded: 50-49-2 -71u ROI: 131,87/132,58-> -0,5%

Week 15:
Titans -3 @100 to win 2u
Titans TT over 27,5 @106 to win 2,12u
ML parlay Ravens / Raiders / Rams @160 to win 3,2u
Redskins +6,5 @-115 to win 1u
Giants - Dolphins over 45,5 @-112 to win 1u
ML parlay Seahawks / Pats / Packers @131 to win 1,31u

Ride the Titans again. I know the regression to the mean must have to come, but the Titans roll and have the chance to take the division with two wins over Houston, at home they should take care of business against a Houston that gave up 30+ points to Drew Lock.
The Eagles should not be favored on the road against a divisional rival at the moment and Eli in his probably last home game and Fitzpatrick should be able to put up points, weather worries a little bit, so only a 1 unit game.
Fav parlay will probably lose as always but can't see any of those lose, which means the dogs will go 2-1 outright in the Sewhawks, Packers, Pats games.
 
Down 6u with an unbelievable non-cover of the Redskins and a push at the Seahawks game. Try
Colts +15.5 & under 52.5 @100 to win 2u

Don't think we will say two highscoring games at the Dome in eight days. Colts will run a lot (6th running offense), manage the clock and I think, they won't get blown out. Sainst need a win to get the bye week and try to stay healthy. 24-20 type of game.
 
Week 15:
Titans -3 @100 to win 2u
Titans TT over 27,5 @106 to win 2,12u
ML parlay Ravens / Raiders / Rams @160 to win 3,2u
Redskins +6,5 @-115 to win 1u
Giants - Dolphins over 45,5 @-112 to win 1u
ML parlay Seahawks / Pats / Packers @131 to win 1,31u
Seahawks -6 @-108 to win 1u
Raiders -6,5 @-105 to win 1u
Colts +15.5 & under 52.5 @100 to win 2u

Week 15: 2-6-1 -7,89 ROI: 5,51/13,4 -> -58,9%
Overall: 59-69-4 (including 8-15 parlays) -5,52 ROI: 164,1/169,62-> -3,25%
Parlays excluded: 51-54-2 7,96u ROI: 135,02/142,98-> -5,6%

Week 16
For fun ML parlay Bucs / Bills / Eagles / Packers @5033 to win 25,17u
Bucs +3,5 @-123 to win 1u

Like the Bills ATS and like the under, so probably tease Bills +12 & under 44,5 @100, still thinking. Pats didn't look good last few weeks and the Bills can hang on. This season the "Don't bet against the pats at home in December rule" doesn't seem to apply.
 
Saints -3 @-108 to win 1u
Ravens -10,5 @-103 to win 1u
ML parlay Ravens / Broncos / Seahawks / Chiefs @155 to win 1,55u
Dolphins - Bengals over 45,5 @-110 to win 1u
 
+2u so far. Put them on
Packers +4,5 @-111 to win 2u - missed the +5,5 yesterday.
Packers ML @180 to win 0,9u

Take Rodgers plus points against Cousins in primetime always.
 
Week 16
ML parlay Bucs / Bills / Eagles / Packers @5033 to win 25,17u
Bucs +3,5 @-123 to win 1u
Bills +7 @-111 to win 1u
Bills win & over 36.5 @600 to win 3u
Saints -3 @-108 to win 1u
Ravens -10,5 @-103 to win 1u
ML parlay Ravens / Broncos / Seahawks / Chiefs @155 to win 1,55u
Dolphins - Bengals over 45,5 @-110 to win 1u
Packers +4,5 @-111 to win 2u - missed the +5,5 yesterday.
Packers ML @180 to win 0,9u

Week 16: 6-3-1 +4,9 ROI: 15,17/10,27 -> +48%
Overall: 65-72-5 (including 8-17 parlays) -0,6 ROI: 179,27/179,89-> -0,33%
Parlays excluded: 57-55-3 -1,56u ROI: 150,19/151,75-> -1%
 
Week 17
Redskins +12,5 @-116 to win 1u
Saints -13,5 @-110 to win 1u
Dolphins +21,5 & under 51 @100 to win 1u
Chiefs -3,5 & under 51,5 @100 to win 1u
Bucs ML @-110 to win 1u
Broncos -3,5 @-108 to win 1u
 
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