British Open "to win" match plays and props

[LeRinkRat]

bet a LOT of $2 to $10 "cats & dogs" this week along with a few "favorites" (bet/return)

favorites
Jon Rahm 25-1 (40/1040) (current 20-1)
Brooks Koepka 20-1 (50/1050) (current 20-1)
Tommy Fleetwood 20-1 (50/1050) (current 18-1)
Paul Casey 45-1 (22/1012) (current 30-1)
Francesco Molinari 60-1 (17/1037) (current 25-1)
Alex Noren 65-1 (16/1056) (current 25-1)
Tyrrell Hatton 75-1 (14/1064) (current 40-1)
Russell Knox 200-1 (5/1005) + (5/1005) (current 60-1)

"cats & dogs"
Matthew Fitzpatrick 80-1 (13/1053)
Rafael Cabrera-Bello 80-1 (12.50/1012.50)
Thomas Pieters 100-1 (10/1010)
Lee Westwood 125-1 (8/1008)
Haotong Li 150-1 (7/1057) + 200-1 (5/1005)
Andy Sullivan 150-1 (7/1057)
Emiliano Grillo 150-1 (7/1057)
Thorbjorn Olesen 150-1 (7/1057)
Webb Simpson 100-1 (10/1010)
Si Woo Kim 150-1 (7/1057)
Julian Suri 150-1 (7/1057)
Ryan Fox 150-1 (7/1057) + 125-1 (8/1008)
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150-1 (7/1057)
Brandon Stone 200-1 (5/1005)
Eddie Pepperell 200-1 (5/1005)
Paul Dunne 200-1 (5/1005)
Shubhankar Sharma 200-1 (5/1005)
Padraig Harrington 200-1 (5/1005)
Alex Levy 200-1 (5/1005)
Dylan Frittelli 250-1 (4/1004)
Anirban Lahiri 250-1 (4/1004)
Chris Wood 250-1 (4/1004)
Luke List 250-1 (4/1004)
Peter Uihlein 250-1 (5/1255)
George Coetzee 300-1 (4/1204)
Matt Wallace 300-1 (5/1505)
Alex Bjork 300-1 (3.50/1053.50)
Jhonatthan Vegas 300-1 (3.50/1053.50)
Eric Van Rooyen 300-1 (3.50/1053.50)
Jordan L Smith 300-1 (3.35/1008.35)
Marcus Kinhult 300-1 (3.35/1008.35)
George Coetzee 300-1 (4/1204)
Fabrizio Zanotti 500-1 (2/1002)
Gavin Green 500-1 (2/1002)
Jorge Campillo 500-1 (2/1002) + 250-1 (4/1004)

tourney match play bets
Brandon Stone +135 over Stewart Cink (37/86.95)
Thorbjorn Olesen +140 over Tony Finau (36/86.40)
Jorge Campillo +120 over Gary Woodland (50/110)
Brooks Koepka +115 over Jordan Spieth (44/94.60)
Webb Simpson+110 over Brandt Snedeker (50/105)
Ryan Fox -110 over Danny Willett (55/105)
Ian Poulter even over Phil Mickelson (50/100)
Russell Knox -105 over Bubba Watson (53/103.50)
Francesco Molinari -120 over Sergio Garcia (60/110)

"quad" group of four bets @ Westgate
Group A: Rickie Fowler +275 (40/150) over Dustin Johnson, Justin Rose & Rory McIlroy

Group C: Brooks Koepka +260 (50/180) over Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas & Tiger Woods

Group D: Tyrrell Hatton +300 (50/200) over Jason Day, Paul Casey & Patrick Reed

Group F: Russell Knox +275 (40/150) over Zack Johnson, Matt Kuchar & Bubba Watson

tourney prop bets
Bubba Watson miss the cut? YES +190 (50/145)
Phil Mickelson miss the cut? YES +220 (50/160)
playoff? YES +300 (50/200)

:shake:

 

[B.A.R.]

Love all the action.

 

[Timh]

BOL on the tourney.

 

[LeRinkRat]

a few late tack on "too win" bets

Ian Poulter 50-1 (20/1020). The "Poulter-geist" playing pretty well this season both PGA and Euro Tour. WON Houston Open
Byeong-Hun An 250-1 (5/1255) found @ Cantor Gaming. he is 125-1 every other Las Vegas sportbook. came "wicked close" T-2nd @ Memorial [-15]
Matthew Southgate 200-1 (5/1005) made the cut both Irish & Scottish and T-5th Open de France [-5]. goes off Thursday with the 2nd tee time
Ross Fisher 150-1 (7/1057) "The Fish" generally a very good links player. got 2nd in Alfred Dunhill Links last year and shot a St Andrews tourney record final round 61 doing it. he is also an early Thursday tee time

 

[KJ]

GLuck on this shit

 

[LeRinkRat]

GLuck on this shit

well with my recent Euro Tour tourney results it probably WILL come up SHIT!!! been close BUT my last "to win" hit Brooks Koepka @ US Open

 

[CHSGTMD]

good luck rrat

 

[LeRinkRat]

Ho BOY. in trouble already after the 1st round. watching the early groups I can NOT believe that Kevin Kisner leading with a [-5]. the guy was just draining EVERY putt. seems like the ONLY player that can figure out these SLOW greens. the guy had done NOTHING this season before this week. couple of my "cats & dogs" played well. Eric Van Rooyen [-4] and would have tied Kisner BUT bogied #18 and last weeks winner in Scotland Brandon Stone with a [-3]. he looked like he was gonna shoot "wicked low" again on the front side with [-3] thru #8 but backed off on the back with one birdie & one bogie after that

looking at the course I thought someone was gonna shoot really low with the burned out fairways and rough and almost NO wind but I guess it is just "Open pressure". only 7 golfers [-3] or better. big hitters like Jon Rahm actually driving some of the par fours. "Rhambo" ended up four birdie two bogie [-2] with 9 other players

ex for Van Rooyen, Stone and Rahm, none of my "top picks" doing anything. Ryan Fox with a 2 birdie 5 bogie [+3] and Tyrrell Hatton 4 bogies on the front side but birdies #18 for [+3]. I just can NOT understand "Foxy's" aversion to the Open. second year in a row where he comes in "hot" from the Irish & Scottish Opens and "blows up"

some GOOD some BAD after the 1st round in my match plays.
the GOOD
Brandon Stone +135 [-3] over Stewart Cink [+1]
Webb Simpson +110 [-1] over Brandt Snedeker [+5]
Russell Knox -105 [+2] over Bubba Watson [+4]
the BAD
Thorbjorn Olesen +140 [-1] over Tony Finau [-4]
Ryan Fox -110 [+3] over Danny Willett [-2]
the other three "wicked close"

AND all my "Group" plays are a mess. Rickie Fowler one behind Rory McIlroy in Group A, Brooks Koepka three behind Justin Thomas in Group C, Tyrrelll Hatton three behind Jason Day in Group D and Russell Knox four behind Zack Johnson in "F Troop".

the GOOD news is Bubba Watson shoots [+4] and looks like a CUT which should be around [+2] or [+3]

 

[LeRinkRat]

Friday 2nd round match plays. WHY these are DOGS does NOT makes sense [1st round scores] [bet/return]

Alex Noren +115 [-1] over Dustin Johnson [+5] (44/94.60)
Brandon Stone +115 [-3] over Stewart Cink [+1] (44/94.60)
Danny Willett +105 [-2] over Luke List -125 [-1] (50/102.50)
Kevin Kisner +105 [-5] over Thomas Pieters -125 [-1] (50/102.50)
Patrick Cantlay even [-1] over Tyrrell Hatton -120 [+3] (50/100)
Austin Cook +105 [+1] over Ross Fisher -125 [+4] (50/102.50)

 

[Rockfish]

GL Ratte
Your to win "favorites" gotta good shot

 

[LeRinkRat]

well two WIN two LOSE and two "putch" in Friday match plays

Alex Noren +115 over Dustin Johnson [even/+1] WIN
Brandon Stone +115 over Stewart Cink [+1/-1] lose
Danny Willett +105 over Luke List [even /-1] lose
Kevin Kisner +105 over Thomas Pieters [-1/+2] WIN
Patrick Cantlay even over Tyrrell Hatton [even/even] "putch"
Austin Cook +105 over Ross Fisher [-1/-1] "putch"

AND two WIN two LOSE after the 2nd round CUT. the other four pretty doubtful right now

Webb Simpson +110 [even/-1] over Brandt Snedeker [+7/+12] CUT WIN
Jorge Campillo +120 [+4/+5] CUT over Gary Woodland [+1/+1] (50/110) lose
Ian Poulter even [+10/+12] CUT over Phil Mickelson [-2/even] (50/100) lose
Russell Knox -105 [+2/+4] CUT over Bubba Watson [+2/+6] CUT (53/103.50) WIN
freeking Knox left his PUTTER and his GAME at the Ballyliffin GC in Ireland after ROBBING my ASS two weeks ago!!!

ADND that big Basque bugger Jon Rahm DOES it AGAIN!!! "Rahmbo" back to being the "Rahm-a-lama Dong Dong" with a 2nd round triple, two doubles three bogies and three birdies [+7] for tourney [+5] CUT!!! at least Tommy Fleetwood with the low round of the day [-6] for tourney [-5] one behind both Zack Johnson and Kevin Kisner and tied with Pat Perez and "X" Schauffele. watching Johnson early in the rain he looked like he is in the same form as back in 2015 @ St Andrews when he WON the tourney in a playoff. his adjusted "to win" odds are 7-1 @ William-Hiill. Perez is 25-1 while "X" is 16-1 with Kisner 12-1 Rory McIlroy [-2] for [-4], Jordan Spieth [-4] for [-3] and Rickie Fowler [-2] for [-3] all "lurking" in range

 

[LeRinkRat]

Saturday 3rd round match plays [2nd round/tourney scores] says why (bet/return)

Rhys Enoch +225 [even/+3] over Patrick Reed -265 [-1/+3] (23/74.75) tee @ 1:25 am pacific
Brett Rumford +160 [-1/+2] over Paul Dunne -180 [+2/+2] (32/83.20) tee @ 3:00am pacific
Masahiro Kawamura +150 [-4/+2] over Shubhankar Sharma -170 [even/+2] (34/85) tee @ 3:10 pacific
Shaun Norris +220 [-3/even] over Tiger Woods -260 [even/even] (23/73.60) tee @ 3:15am pacific
Zander Lombard +195 [even/-4] over Tony Finau -230 [even/-4] (26/76.70) tee @ 7:20am pacific
Xander Schauffele +175 [-5/-5] over Rory McIlroy -200 [-2/-4] (30/82.50) tee @ 7:40am pacific

weather forecast dry partly cloudy all day with winds 5 MPH in the morning increasing to 10 mph in the afternoon

 

[LeRinkRat]

well ANOTHER two WIN, two LOSE and two "putch" BUT with the plus money make a little. REALLY pissed I did NOT chance Yusaku Miyazato +190 over Tyrrell Hatton which went [-6/+1] . was going to play Hatton for a FADE but the Japanese guy had shot [+3] 2nd round and that scared me off

Xander Schauffele +175 over Rory McIlroy (30/82.50) [-4/-1] WIN
Brett Rumford +160 over Paul Dunne (32/83.20) [+1/+2] WIN
Zander Lombard +195 over Tony Finau (26/76.70) [even/even] "putch"
Masahiro Kawamura +150 over Shubhankar Sharma (34/85) [even/even] "putch"
Rhys Enoch +225 over Patrick Reed (23/74.75) [-1 /-3] lose
Shaun Norris +220 over Tiger Woods (23/73.60) [-2/-5] lose

setting up to be one hell of a finish with Spieth, Schauffele and Kisner tied for the lead at [-9]. "Squirrely" Spieth has to be the favorite. the guy is just lucky as sin and usually does NOT lose when in the lead. "X" WON the FedEx Cup TOUR Championship the end of last season BUT "Kizz" blew the 3rd round lead in the PGA. Kevin Chapple two back in solo 4th [-7] while "The Mole" solo 5th [-6]. BOTH "Kizz" and "Chappie" were pre-tourney 150-1

a BUNCH of players tied 6th [-5] including Fleetwood, McIlroy, Kuchar, Noren, Simpson, Zack Johnson and (YIKES!!!) Tiger Woods. I have seen "Cocker Tommy", Rory, Alex and "The Mole" ALL shoot "bomber" rounds to finish tourneys in the past so ANYTHING can HAPPEN. even Justin Rose has a shot after a 3rd round [-7] for tourney [-4] the low round of the day. Spieth was [-6] Saturday along with the Japanese golfer Yusaku Miyazato while Tiger shot [-5]

 

[LeRinkRat]

Sunday final round match plays [3rd round/tourney scores] (bet/return)

Cameron Davis +220 [+2/+3] vs Brooks Koepka -260 [+4/+3] << (23/73.70)
Austin Cook +220 [-4/-4] vs Justin Rose -260 [-7/-4] << (23/73.70)
Marcus Kinhult +190 [even/+1] vs Jason Day -220 [+1/+1] << (27/78.30)
Tom Lewis +185 [-3/even] vs Marc Leishman -215 [-2/even] << (27/76.95)
Patrick Reed +120 [-3/even] vs Rickie Fowler -140 [+2/-1] << (50/110)

adjusted "to win" after 3rd round william-hill / westgate/ south point/ cantor gaming best odds
Jordan Spieth 2-1 / +175 / +150 / +180
Kevin Kisner 5-1 / 5-1 / 6-1
Xander Schauffele 5-1 / 5-1 / 5-1 / 5-1
Tiger Woods 8-1 / 14-1 / 12-1
Rory McIlroy 10-1 / 14-1 / 15-1
Francesco Molinare 12-1 / 14-1 / 11-1 / 11-1
Tommy Fleetwood 18-1 / 20-1 / 15-1 / 18-1
Kevin Chappell 20-1 / 20-1 / 25-1 / 30-1
Alex Noren 22-1 / 25-1 / 25-1 / 28-1
Zack Johnson 25-1 / 30-1 / 30-1
Justin Rose 30-1 / 30-1 / 35-1
Matt Kuchar 30-1 / 40-1 / 40-1 / 30-1
Webb Simpson 50-1 / 50-1 / 60-1
Tony Finau 75-1 / 80-1 / 70-1
Adam Scott 75-1 / 80-1 / 80-1 / 60-1
Eric Van Rooyen 150-1 / 200-1
Zander Lombard 150-1 / 250-1
FIELD 30-1 [w-h] / 40-1 [lvh] / 20-1 [nsb]
<<westgate>>
Charley Hoffman 100-1
Austin Cook 200-1
<<william-hill>>
Rickie Fowler 100-1
Thorbjorn Olesen 150-1
Louis Oosthuizen 150-1
Danny Willett 200-1
Jason Day 200-1
Pat Perez 250-1
Phil Mickelson 250-1
Thomas Pieters 300-1
Brandon Stone 300-1
Patrick Reed 300-1

note: it is a BIG DEAL for players like Erik Van Rooyen, Zander Lombard and Austin Cook to mover up into the top 10 plus ties to qualify for next year. all are current [-4] and the top 10 number [-5] after 3rd round

Oh and even though I took a Sunday match play against him, I chanced the Justin Rose adjusted "to win" @ 35-1 @ South Point off that 3rd round [-7]. leaders would have to come back to the field some BUT IF he shoots another "bomber" he could get there

 

[LeRinkRat]

all I can say is THANK YOU, "MOLE"!!! SAVES what could have been another WRECK of a tourney with his WIN!!!. makes up big time for going 2-6 on my 8 tourney match plays :sportsfanfinger:

 

[KJ]

Good job with him, made all the sense in the world

 

[LeRinkRat]

HERE'S a "Howdy Do". "The Mole" last six tourneys

May 27th WON BMW PGA [-17]
June 3rd solo 2nd Italian Open [-21]
June 17th T-25th US Open [+12]
July 1st WON Quicken Loans National [-21]
July 15th T-2nd John Deere [-19]
July 22nd WON British Open [-8]

his BEST early PGA Championship "to win" odds are 33-1 @ Cantor Gaming

 

[Timh]

Nice job on Molinari LeRink! I am kicking myself for not playing him to win. 60-1 was tremendous value there.