2daBank
Voice of Reason
This will be mostly props, maybe some team totals or a side here or there, last year bowl season managed to do pretty well with the props, certainly doesn’t mean I will again but I’ll try my damndest.
Play #1
Bahama bowl
Aveon Smith ov 59.5 rush yards. . The Miami Ohio qb has hit this number in 4 of his last 5 games he has started amd facing a uab d who can struggle stopping the run. What I really like about this is as we know sacks count against the qb rush total in ncaa, Miami-Ohio has not done a good job in protection so smith been hitting this number despite taking some sacks, the good news is UAB ranks 104th in the country in sack percentage so hopefully won’t see many negative plays pushing the total backwards. Uab is a significant favorite here so if that plays out smith be dropping back plenty which often leads to him taking off so should be ample chances to hit this number (even tho I don’t really expect uab to cover). Regardless of game script Smith often leads the team in Carries when he starts so I think there several different paths to cashing here, whether it late garbage time or early on while he running as part the structured offense. Assuming we can avoid many sacks this number feels way low.
Just for extra degen fun a little sgp action
Smith ov 59.5 rush/smith rush td/Miami-Ohio+ 10.5
DK actually added “td scorer” to the bowls like they have nfl, all year you had to take rush or rec td which sucks for running backs (couldn’t tell ya how many times my running back caught td when I had rush td!). I’ll be taking advantage of that at some point but far as smith goes he a qb so it seems silly to pay -115 for anytime td when ov .5 rush td is +120, odds of him catching a td not real good!! Smith has 6 rushing tds while splitting starts w Gabbert, I think for Miami Ohio to cover we probably need him to run for at least one score so feel like this sgp correlates pretty nicely, these sgp when I add them just be small risk w 1-2 unit payout upside unless noted differently.
Play #1
Bahama bowl
Aveon Smith ov 59.5 rush yards. . The Miami Ohio qb has hit this number in 4 of his last 5 games he has started amd facing a uab d who can struggle stopping the run. What I really like about this is as we know sacks count against the qb rush total in ncaa, Miami-Ohio has not done a good job in protection so smith been hitting this number despite taking some sacks, the good news is UAB ranks 104th in the country in sack percentage so hopefully won’t see many negative plays pushing the total backwards. Uab is a significant favorite here so if that plays out smith be dropping back plenty which often leads to him taking off so should be ample chances to hit this number (even tho I don’t really expect uab to cover). Regardless of game script Smith often leads the team in Carries when he starts so I think there several different paths to cashing here, whether it late garbage time or early on while he running as part the structured offense. Assuming we can avoid many sacks this number feels way low.
Just for extra degen fun a little sgp action
Smith ov 59.5 rush/smith rush td/Miami-Ohio+ 10.5
DK actually added “td scorer” to the bowls like they have nfl, all year you had to take rush or rec td which sucks for running backs (couldn’t tell ya how many times my running back caught td when I had rush td!). I’ll be taking advantage of that at some point but far as smith goes he a qb so it seems silly to pay -115 for anytime td when ov .5 rush td is +120, odds of him catching a td not real good!! Smith has 6 rushing tds while splitting starts w Gabbert, I think for Miami Ohio to cover we probably need him to run for at least one score so feel like this sgp correlates pretty nicely, these sgp when I add them just be small risk w 1-2 unit payout upside unless noted differently.
