Aztec4Life
Montezuma Mesa Survivor
YTD NCAAF Sides: 43-33-3 [+7.0 Units]
YTD NCAAF M/L Plays: 2-4 [-0.8 Units]
YTD NCAAF Totals: 1-0 [+1.0 Units]
YTD NCAAF Overall: +7.2 Units
Maybe I'm crazy...but is there any reason not to LOVE USF -2.5? Is this a trap or something? I mean, on the surface, North Carolina looks awful. But they've played Miami, Clemson, Virginia Tech, and Rutgers. That's a brutal start, which is mostly what scares me (maybe they aren't so bad, but their competition has been so tough?). Their lone win coming against Furman in a shootout. Do you think they can keep it close with the Bulls?
And how about Cal -7 (buying half a point)? Tedford and his gang are on a serious ATS roll right now, and I don't really see it stopping this week. The Cougars stats are perhaps slightly misleading due to games against Idaho, Stanford, and Baylor. They did play USC tough, but I think the Golden Bears are playing better than the Trojans right now (at least offensively...by a mile). Longshore looks solid, and even with Lynch out, Forsett is just as scary IMO. I don't really see this as a let down week either. Cal had that in Week 1 against Tennessee already. Cal high 30's, Cougs low 20's?
I know this might be an unpopular play, but I like Minnesota +10.5. They have the running game to keep them in it with just about anyone (save the Cal game earlier this year). And, this is a big revenge game for the Golden Gophers. Can we forget that insane, shocking, heartbreaking loss at the hands of the Badgers last year? Minnesota ALMOST covered against Michigan (lost by 14) and lost by 1 point to Penn State last weekend. I wouldn't be shocked if Minny won SU. But then again, I haven't exactly been on fire lately.
I like Maryland -5.5...would probably still take them at -6.
Pitt -10 looking juicy.
I thought Houston would be at PK. Could be a good ML play.
How about Utah -3.5 @ Wyoming? I thought the Utes would be much heavier faves than this. Is there something fishy with this? I know the Cowboys statistically have a good defense. But...they've played teams who can't pass worth a shit. I think Utah will be the toughest offense they will have faced so far this year (perhaps with the exception of Boise State). Utes should win this one by 10+ I'm thinking.
More leans to come. :cheers:
YTD NCAAF M/L Plays: 2-4 [-0.8 Units]
YTD NCAAF Totals: 1-0 [+1.0 Units]
YTD NCAAF Overall: +7.2 Units
Maybe I'm crazy...but is there any reason not to LOVE USF -2.5? Is this a trap or something? I mean, on the surface, North Carolina looks awful. But they've played Miami, Clemson, Virginia Tech, and Rutgers. That's a brutal start, which is mostly what scares me (maybe they aren't so bad, but their competition has been so tough?). Their lone win coming against Furman in a shootout. Do you think they can keep it close with the Bulls?
And how about Cal -7 (buying half a point)? Tedford and his gang are on a serious ATS roll right now, and I don't really see it stopping this week. The Cougars stats are perhaps slightly misleading due to games against Idaho, Stanford, and Baylor. They did play USC tough, but I think the Golden Bears are playing better than the Trojans right now (at least offensively...by a mile). Longshore looks solid, and even with Lynch out, Forsett is just as scary IMO. I don't really see this as a let down week either. Cal had that in Week 1 against Tennessee already. Cal high 30's, Cougs low 20's?
I know this might be an unpopular play, but I like Minnesota +10.5. They have the running game to keep them in it with just about anyone (save the Cal game earlier this year). And, this is a big revenge game for the Golden Gophers. Can we forget that insane, shocking, heartbreaking loss at the hands of the Badgers last year? Minnesota ALMOST covered against Michigan (lost by 14) and lost by 1 point to Penn State last weekend. I wouldn't be shocked if Minny won SU. But then again, I haven't exactly been on fire lately.
I like Maryland -5.5...would probably still take them at -6.
Pitt -10 looking juicy.
I thought Houston would be at PK. Could be a good ML play.
How about Utah -3.5 @ Wyoming? I thought the Utes would be much heavier faves than this. Is there something fishy with this? I know the Cowboys statistically have a good defense. But...they've played teams who can't pass worth a shit. I think Utah will be the toughest offense they will have faced so far this year (perhaps with the exception of Boise State). Utes should win this one by 10+ I'm thinking.
More leans to come. :cheers:
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