I love Bernie.
Really good points, SN. And objectively, I cannot argue with you. The numbers don't lie and I can see exactly why you'd expect what you do.
I also agree with you that the under suggests the dog with such a high spread. Really, I agree with everything you said. And, if I'm not mistaken, historically Cleveland plays Tennessee tough, just like Indy can't ever seem to score when they come to Cleveland.
And I do expect the defense to play big this week, or at least try.
But I have zero faith in this offense under Dorsey. Not even a little bit. I think Tenny has the bulk up front to stop the run, I think they're going to try to make Dorsey beat 'em, and I fear that could make for an ugly afternoon.
But I could also be too emotionally involved with this team to see it straight. That's entirely possible.