AFC Wild Card Discussion
- Thread starter CPA-hole
- Start date
Frank Costanza
You are what your record says you are
Bills -8.5
Chargers -3
Eagles - 4
Chargers -3
Eagles - 4
Frank Costanza
You are what your record says you are
Yup on the Chargers. Already played.
CPA-hole
Narduzzi Gives Me Second-Hand Embarrassment
Thank goodness this matchup didn't happen. Neither has any business playing in the 2nd weekend.
I do not trust Denver at all against a top-tiered offense. Bengals put up 500 yards, Ravens dropped 41. Chargers put up 20 in first half then coasted to victory. Mobile QBs have done well, too, besides just Lamar. Colts led by AR outgained them by about 310-180 yards but that stupid Jonathan Taylor fumbled totally set them back.
survive&advance
Nothing but net MFer!
Yep lac -2.5 and -148 ml for me on soft open
Buffalo should score well.
wiseplayer
Let Me Be Frank With You
Wow. That looks yummy. Some are saying the home game for Texas could be a factor. It appears Ohio State is playing at a different level regardless of location.
Eric Antrobus
The Bus Driver
Looks good, but I went with Buffalo/Balty. Seems pretty safe.
wiseplayer
Let Me Be Frank With You
Balty and how Lamar has played in postseason doesn’t make me feel comfortable. Keep Lamar in the pocket and you can shut him down.
Eric Antrobus
The Bus Driver
Worries me for sure. But the Steelers are a bad team. Balty will win that one and get smoked in Buffalo.
wiseplayer
Let Me Be Frank With You
I recall their divisional game vs Houston when it was 10-10 at half. Lamar didn’t run at all and struggled mightily in the 1st half. He finally started running in the 2nd half while Houston melted down.
Not sure if this was mentioned but head to head Pittsburgh has won last 8 of 10. Baltimore won the last game but Pittsburgh won the previous 4. Line seems too steep. GL!
Did that right off the bat as well.
C-MAN
Grass Observer
Can’t argue with Balt ML parlays but I would NOT lay the points. In fact, I will most likely be on Pitt ATS (and definitely 1H). No homerism here and I have no delusions of them making a playoff run (I actually have a large preseason wager on Balt to win the SB). But I do have friends high in the organization and they sound very confident and you can expect to see a very motivated team. Motivation can only get you so far when the other team has more talent, but I would expect a close game.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I think the Ravens would have to try really hard to get smoked by anyone with that offense.
Smallmouth_bass
Pretty much a regular
I respect people's opinions, but I believe taking the Texans and the points is the side. I think Mixon will have success, and the Texan defense will get after the Chargers. Stroud has struggled against man to man, but no team plays more zone than the Chargers.
Even better, I believe the under to be golden. This will be a defensive battle all day. Both teams will be committed in trying to run the ball. I see a field goal type of game.
Even better, I believe the under to be golden. This will be a defensive battle all day. Both teams will be committed in trying to run the ball. I see a field goal type of game.
You may well be right. That's what we are here for.
Agree this game smells like an under.
C-MAN
Grass Observer
Ravens TT at 28.5 now. Love this under. Just look at the history between these two teams. Sure, ravens scored 34 last time vs Pitt, but it took a fourth quarter pick-6 and Zay had a big game. Now no Zay and playoff Lamar in effect…. i’d be shocked if they scored more than 28 points here.
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
Lamar has something to prove here. I think 30+ incoming.
Frank Costanza
You are what your record says you are
Driving in this AM heard a crazy stat about wildcard favorites laying 8 (maybe it was 9) or more and their pretty incredible ATS record. Didn't catch the exact # but obviously applies a couple times this weekend.
ScopeY
Pretty much a regular
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
FSU24
Pretty much a regular
Speaking of the Texans, this is a CRAZY fact (just verified too)…since 2012 when they first made the playoffs as the Texans, every single WC game of theirs has been the 4:30 Saturday time slot.
That’s just amazing to me. Seems like they’re never *interesting* enough to get a prime time game, but it’s just wild to me they have always been in that time slot.
Coverdatspred
Curious About George Costanza‘s Modeling Career
So there’s massive lopsided action on the Chargers but the line has not even budged aside from some juice…….
I feel like I’m missing something in this game. To me this screams a Chargers win. I nearly unloaded a top unit bet earlier in the week at -2.5. I still haven’t pulled the trigger.
I feel like Derwin James wrecks the Houston game plan today.
I feel like I’m missing something in this game. To me this screams a Chargers win. I nearly unloaded a top unit bet earlier in the week at -2.5. I still haven’t pulled the trigger.
I feel like Derwin James wrecks the Houston game plan today.
DOUBLEUP4LIFE
Proud Member of Bills Mafia
Lamar appears to be playing with a massive chip in his shoulder ..But I hope you're rightb
Eric Antrobus
The Bus Driver
Definitely was like that before Burrow. I think that’s changed though. Hopefully we will be back next season.
Oh, no doubt.
If they had snuck in the TV slot would be different.
I'm mentioning the Red Rifle Era.
Eric Antrobus
The Bus Driver
For sure. We were always one and done then too.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I went to a Cardinals/Falcons playoff game....beak to beak in this time slot once
wiseplayer
Let Me Be Frank With You
I’ve never seen a top tier QB MVP candidate be such a poor passer of the football. His struggles in the postseason comes from when the calls are too pass oriented. Hard to trust this guy.
C-MAN
Grass Observer
No doubt, but missing his best playmaker at WR is huge.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I believe you are incorrect on all accounts here. Dude is one of the best passing QBs in history and was the best CFB passer at Louisville for two years. I don't know what you're watching.
bones
Sic Semper Tyrannis!
Now I am convinced. Took the Texans +3 the other day but now it is 2.5 so I'll ride with the big money and the book
wiseplayer
Let Me Be Frank With You
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I likely understand terrible posts because I do them a lot.
Frank Costanza
You are what your record says you are
Seems like I recall Jackson entering the playoffs with a chip on his shoulder at this exact time last year as he'd already begun to draw blanks with his playoff performance(s).
Obviously a great player. But true greatness only occurs when performing best when the lights are brightest. Seems like a good guy. Hopefully he'll get over the hump in these playoffs.
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
if pit would have beaten cincinnati, they would have played in houston this week. they had 10 days to get ready for cincy. my tinfoil hat theory is they nerfed the cincinnatti game and chose ravens over texans. again, tinfoil. tinfoil hat theory.
Hmm. Then why has the line barely budged all week?
