4th of July Total!!!!!

[hile75]

Over/Unders 54-20-2
Favs (-140 or less) 29-12
Doggies 8-7
R/L 4-4

Twins/Yanks UNDER 8

Just as the Yanks win a couple of games, and sore some runs, here comes Santana to shut that down....Santana is 3-0 with sub 1 ERA and WHIP in his last 3.........I dont think I need to brag about Santana..THe twins have scored 1 run in there last 3 games, and things dont get much easier for them either...Mussina has looked real good in his last start and now going against a slumping lineup....Most nights I wouldnt play this under, but this is the perfect setup for this one.......UNDER is 4-1 this year between these 2 teams, and as hot as the Yanks have been, they have never beaten Johan Santana.


GL today everyone

 

[Troutman]

Seems almost 2 easy doesnt it. I think that johan holds them down for sure. I really cant trust Mussina though he seems like he always on teh cusp of getting rocked for 5 or six. I think the Twins is a great play, but betting against the Yankess at home on the 4th of July is a tough bet as well.

 

[hile75]

trout, it does seem to easy....almost scary.....thats why i said normally i ever play this one, but all the little factors i consider when i choose a total scream the under...I just cant seem to get away from this one

 

[Santacapper]

GL hile, right now Im laying off as the for some reason the Twins bats wake up when their best SP is on the hill of late, giving him 9 runs of support in those same L3 starts he has the WHIP and ERA below 0, all three going over the total.

Over 5-3 vs the Yanks in Santana starts, then on the other side Mussina has 5 straight starts vs the Twins going under and the Yanks bats dormant vs lefties of late, .199 in L10 and it shows under tendencies... (shrug).

GL today man

 

[hile75]

Santa, in the same breath, before those 3 starts, his run support was 3, 1, and 2......and all 3 of those went under the totals.....anf two of those 3 pitchers the Twins lit up were Byung Hyun Kim and Jorge Sosa.....I cant really justify them tagging Verlander, lol

 

[Santacapper]

Like playing devils advocate from time to time, lol.

Good points about the SP the Twins have faced... one note about Moose's under history this season (9-3) is that he has yet to have a total of 8 set in his starts... ump is also putting a bit of a hesitancy in my with his start to the season

I like to check in more depth if I havent played one of your totals to see if I was missing something, and all that said I do 'like' the play with alot of pluses going for it.

 

[MountainMan]

Jusr a heads up on the NYY under today.............

Looks like rain in NY this afternoon. Can cause a problem for the under 8 if pitching changes are made after rain delays.



GL

MM

 

[AgainstThePublic]

I don't give a rats ass. The man has been on fire and I am tailing. If it loses, it loses. GL Hile.

 

[reNew Orleans]

GL today hile, this jumped out to me as well. keep on doin your thing.

 

[DopeSmokingMORON]

good luck with the under play, i think it may rain a lot of doggies today too??

 

[STEED]

good luck hile. and happy holiday

 

[frankiegotti]

GL hile, i got to my computer too late, but i will be pulling for you.

 

[redbearde]

fuckin 2 runs in the 9th pushed you. bad luck, bro.

Get em next time.

 

[Hawaiiguy]

Great call, just an unfortunate 2 out / 2 strike pull home run by a .182 / 1HR hitter to give us the push:spank:

 

[outstanding]

fucking moose'd

 

[hile75]

i'll take the draw.....no regrets.....it was the right side of the bet.....i'll win tomorrow

 

[mutosufan]

I tailed you but got it at 8 1/2 w/ -120 juice at vip.

Keep them coming.

 

[Blue_Chip]

i'll take the draw.....no regrets.....it was the right side of the bet.....i'll win tomorrow

:shake:

 

[BetCrimes1984]

bad luck, Hile. Impressive as always.

 

[tee*dub]

i'll take the draw.....no regrets.....it was the right side of the bet.....i'll win tomorrow

:smiley_acbe: "A good capper is on the right side of many bets that he loses" (or pushes in this instance)

I can't recall who said it but it always inspires me.

 

[cogenman]

look forward to your total pick tomorrow.

:shake: