4/1 Peel
- Thread starter peelpub94
- Start date
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
Alcantara u17.5 outs (+115)
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Hmm, really? I like Sandy to be good tonight. I understand the logic with him coming off the Tommy John, if he isn’t cruising it prob more likely they get him out sooner than later, at least I would hope they don’t start pushing him to go deep so soon. Before they signed him to a deal I was convinced they didn’t plan on paying him and just didn’t care they were running him into the ground but apparently they just didn’t care! Certainly possible I could cash fish Ff, senga walks 3-4 and hopefully fish can turn that into a run or 2. Sandy goes 5 scoreless but into 80s aftsr 5 innings, he gets a few on in 6th and he gets yanked after I cash, that works for me!
I was more interested in guessing senga cause seems practically impossible, it tough to get my finger on him when he consistently pitching every so many days! He could walk 4 and still not give up a run! Just hoping fish can get me a couple as I trust Sandy to hold Mets down for at least 5 innings. I remember when he came into the league against fish, easiest k prop I ever hit! Fish were taking some the worst swings I ever saw! They did see him a few more times and at least took somewhat respectable at bats!
Im big on mize k’s but the juice sucks, I did a 2 teamer with mize ov 4.5 k’s and NRFi in that Seattle game as that price was super jacked by time these offshore pussies opened it! Parlay paid +172, not bad.,
Kinda like Eovaldi ov 5.5 k’s -110
May is very expensive w ov 3.5 -170 but with way Braves swinging and even tho he not prototypical punch out pitcher think his stuff more than good enough to get 4 k’s. Just gonna have to parlay with something
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
I lean on almost all of these as well. Think you kinda need to keep riding against the shit teams, Mariners, Brewers, etc until they find their way.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Or they just shit. The thing that I think makes baseball so beatable is books will hang on to their preseason numbers/perception til like the freaking all star break! I don’t wanna hear the “small sample” shit, yes but this a game of small samples that end up making a bigger one, by then they mostly have it figured out. Twinks a great example. They got pretty good few years ago yet were dogs over and over against teams they were clearly better than. Fast forward to this year and they look like complete garbage, shockingly Royce Lewis already hurt, just a matter of time til Buxton hits a wall wrong and on IL. That playing awful and they -160 tonight? Cause why? Cause the chisox been crap? Not saying cws is good but they playing a damn site better than twins! Probably not touching but who the hell is laying -160 w this team? Gotta be crazy! Gambling with the hope method “I sure hope these mfers start playing like they priced!”..
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
This 100% so many times over. The same kind of thoughts were running through my mind last night with Detroit and Seattle.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Seattle a touch different cause they have one the best pitching staffs in baseball, but with that shit offense just leads to all kinds of opportunities! Tigers were great yesterday as were reds. I’m not sure if reds better than rangers but the pitching mismatch was comical for reds to be dogs. Today with Eovaldi vs a journeyman gas can line makes a lot more sense. I did play a little rangers Ff -.5 today. Such a big pitching mismatch and to be up after 5 was cheap!!
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Damn, I like A’s but I have no clue wtf going on w Steele? Could be the Japan shit threw him off, the decider for me was I think A’s are actually a tough matchup even if he pitching well. That plus I’m feeling the atmosphere, didn’t do A’s any good last night but damn that was way better to watch than those awful games at that huge empty park in Oakland! Ended up on A’s tt ov 3.5 also, debated between that and the game over.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
But yanks have the torpedo bats! Lol. Joking but I promise that has something to do with it, the yanks perception got super high super fast. Everyone forgot how crappy the offense looked when Stanton was hurt and before they got Soto! Only problem for me is I’m not great w Burnes, sometimes I feel out his spots but often times I don’t trust him to be the ace he supposed to be! Could be the torpedo bats for lefties set up for that cutter!
In more serious note I never woulda believed this a few years back but i trust Kelly more than the other 2. Gallon was my guy but something ain’t been right with him, oh and be sure gallon game isn’t a day game. When I first started noticing issues with him it started with day starts on East coast. I have to look closer at yanks pitchers but I could see playing overs if the pitchers get respect!!
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
I just like the Cubs line up momentum right now.
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
You totally called the Gallen day game (on a weekend) on the road, vs Tampa last year. I remember it very well, haven't forgotten that. Luckily, all 3 are night games.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I have my moments. I checked also. Def helps it at night! Not like I hate it I just don’t really make series plays as I rather have the chance to adjust or bail depending how things go.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Can’t argue and Tucker raking. Over might be better. I hate fading Steele, always been a fan but think A’s can drive that high outside heat to oppo field. And again I’m not sure if it just a bad start or what but Steele hasn’t looked right the 10-20 pitches I’ve watched which clearly enough to make me expert!! lol. Wouldn’t shock me if Steele made me look stupid here, but even if he good I think we talking 5+ innings and 2 runs. Think A’s can get a few off the pen. If I get A’s to score 4 u can live w loss. I might end up playing the over 8 later on when I get home.
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
The more I think about it, the more I like the over too. GL on it man. I can only last for like 4 innings of that game before I pass out anyway lol.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I bet A’s live last night +900, live total screamed runs, A’s got it close and was back down to +350 before I feel asleep, thought I did good only to wake up to 18-3 or whatever! Lol. The total did scream runs!
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
I'd venture to guess if I played all 3 MLs, I'd have to eat about 30 cents of juice, not knowing which 2 games win I think insulates me from that because I do think they can win this series.
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
It's kinda the whole thing for me. I love to watch what I thought would happen pre-game play out in real time.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Fair enough
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I pay attention I just don’t watch a ton. Way more now than I will be in 2-3 weeks! lol. As we were talking bout yesterday I’m a big fan of listening on radio and when I have time go into total geek mode and watch pitch trax!! I dunno how I ever got these woman or them to stay with me. Once Theresa gone im gonna be lonely! Not sure I can pick up chicks anymore! Or if I want to put in the work! Lol
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I’m not ready to dive into hit props and among the other places offshore comes up short I can bet total bases, total hits, I can bet runs and rbis, but I can’t bet hits,runs, rbis which is my fav hitter prop to play!
