324:Gaethje/Pimblett

mrpickem

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Opening card of the year as well as the Paramount era, no more PPV's so we'll see how that goes. Only 11 fights tonight after Smotherman passed out after weighing in, forcing a cancellation of his bout. Still it's likely the cards will be smaller moving forward, likely 8-10 fights will be the norm soon enough, but they will probably ease into it. A decent card that could have been exceptional if we would have got the Harrison/Nunez battle.

UFC 324:Gaethje/Pimblett​

T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

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Early prelims:

  • In the opener Ty Miller comes in undefeated at 6-0 with 1 NC. He's a highly prospect with a great mixture of speed, power and technique that should allow him to cruise versus the more experieinced Fugitt (10-5). Fugitt has shown defensivive liabilities in past fights. Miller will likely elect to keep the fight standing and potshot Adam when he tries to close distance. There is a huge athletic difference here, but Miller's inexperience may lead to an over, since the odds are too prohibitive for a simple side play.
  • Two heavies battle next with ex-NFLer Josh Hokit (7-0) battling Denzel Freeman (7-1). Both fighter won their UFC debuts last NOV, but "The Incredible Hok" has finished at 7 of his fights, 5 in R1 and 3 by sub. Hokit typically starts fast, forcing action right away while looking to chain wrestling to a takedown and deliver some good ole G-n-P while riding opponent and making them work. Freeman has shown more patience so far in his career although he does have 5 finishes. Freeman has size, a proven 15 minute gas tank and the awkwardness of a southpaw making him a live dog possibility, however I think Josh is smart enough not to gas early and do enough for a decision if he cant find the finish. Should be a fun fight.
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UFC 324:Gaethje/Pimblett​

T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Early Prelims:
  • 5/2.96 Fugitt/Miller o1½ -169
  • 5/2.08 Josh Hokit -240
  • 3.30/2 Freeman/Hokit o1½ -165
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Last year was pretty good to me as I finished with a winning record. I'm wiping the slate clean today and starting my 2026 record, hopefully even better.

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Interested your take on this Paramount Plus deal. It's fine, not like we couldn't get the matches elsewhere but I subscribe.

This is not what I'd expect for a breakthrough type card. If I was in Vegas on a Saturday night and got offered tickets, I'd probably take them for free and hope to get drinking money. No chance I'm wasting a good Sat night going to this.
 
KJ said:
Interested your take on this Paramount Plus deal. It's fine, not like we couldn't get the matches elsewhere but I subscribe.

This is not what I'd expect for a breakthrough type card. If I was in Vegas on a Saturday night and got offered tickets, I'd probably take them for free and hope to get drinking money. No chance I'm wasting a good Sat night going to this.
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Agreed it could have been better, but it's still a solid card for the hard cores...if they had Harrison/Nunez it would have been much bigger IMO
 

UFC 324:Gaethje/Pimblett​


Early Prelims:
❌5/2.96 Fugitt/Miller o1½ -169
✅5/2.08 Josh Hokit -240
❌3.30/2 Freeman/Hokit o1½ -165

Prelims:
  • 4/2.63 Charles Johnson -152
  • 4/2.50 Johnson/Perex O2½ -1560
  • 3/3.45 Nikita Krylov +115

  • Charles Johnson (18-7) bring a faster pace with simply more output. I don't really see a finish in this one so you have lay the number with the more active fighter.
  • Nikita Krylov (30-11) has a more diversified arsenal and I'm a little surprised to see him at plus money. Bukauskas (19-6) has been on a roll, winning his last 4 is likely the reason why, but I don't particularly like this matchup for "The Baltic Gladiator". Nikita has proven 3 round endurance and a wily sub game along with good standup...so for me, it's a small play on the dog.
  • Obviously Gautier and Nurmagomedov are the plays, just not sure how to play it with such high odd
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UFC 324:Gaethje/Pimblett​


Early Prelims:
❌5/2.96 Fugitt/Miller o1½ -169
✅5/2.08 Josh Hokit -240
❌3.30/2 Freeman/Hokit o1½ -165
Prelims:
❌4/2.63 Charles Johnson -152
❌4/2.50 Johnson/Perex O2½ -1560
3/3.45 Nikita Krylov +115​
  • 4/3.33 Ateba Gautier Wins in Round 1 -120
  • 3/1.70 Gautier/Pulyaev u1½ -176
  • 2.80/2 Umar Nurmagomedov by Decision -140
  • 3/2.00 Nurmagomedov/Figueiredo o2½ -150
Main Card:
  • 4/7.84 Arnold Allen +196
  • 4/2.92 Allen/Silva o2½ -137
 

UFC 324:Gaethje/Pimblett​


Prelims:
❌5/2.96 Fugitt/Miller o1½ -169
✅5/2.08 Josh Hokit -240
❌3.30/2 Freeman/Hokit o1½ -165
❌4/2.63 Charles Johnson -152
❌4/2.50 Johnson/Perex O2½ -160
✅3/3.45 Nikita Krylov +115
❌4/3.33 Ateba Gautier Wins in Round 1 -120
❌3/1.70 Gautier/Pulyaev u1½ -176
✅2.80/2 Umar Nurmagomedov by Decision -140
✅3/2.00 Nurmagomedov/Figueiredo o2½ -150
Main Card:
4/7.84 Arnold Allen +196 ​
4/2.92 Allen/Silva o2½ -137​
  • 5.20/2 Natalia Silva -260
  • 3/8.40 Derrick Lewis +280
  • 3/2.50 Acosta/Lewis o1½ -120
 
mrpickem said:

UFC 324:Gaethje/Pimblett​


Prelims:
❌5/2.96 Fugitt/Miller o1½ -169
✅5/2.08 Josh Hokit -240
❌3.30/2 Freeman/Hokit o1½ -165
❌4/2.63 Charles Johnson -152
❌4/2.50 Johnson/Perex O2½ -160
✅3/3.45 Nikita Krylov +115
❌4/3.33 Ateba Gautier Wins in Round 1 -120
❌3/1.70 Gautier/Pulyaev u1½ -176
✅2.80/2 Umar Nurmagomedov by Decision -140
✅3/2.00 Nurmagomedov/Figueiredo o2½ -150
Main Card:
4/7.84 Arnold Allen +196 ​
4/2.92 Allen/Silva o2½ -137​
  • 5.20/2 Natalia Silva -260
  • 3/8.40 Derrick Lewis +280
  • 3/2.50 Acosta/Lewis o1½ -120
Click to expand...
Finish strong!
 
This can't be positive for Dana

Half the arena is empty

Welcome to a terrible investment Paramount. Stick to soccer, it's popular.
 
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UFC 324:Gaethje/Pimblett
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Prelims:
❌5/2.96 Fugitt/Miller o1½ -169
✅5/2.08 Josh Hokit -240
❌3.30/2 Freeman/Hokit o1½ -165
❌4/2.63 Charles Johnson -152
❌4/2.50 Johnson/Perex O2½ -160
✅3/3.45 Nikita Krylov +115
❌4/3.33 Ateba Gautier Wins in Round 1 -120
❌3/1.70 Gautier/Pulyaev u1½ -176
✅2.80/2 Umar Nurmagomedov by Decision -140
✅3/2.00 Nurmagomedov/Figueiredo o2½ -150

Main Card:
❌4/7.84 Arnold Allen +196
✅4/2.92 Allen/Silva o2½ -137
✅5.20/2 Natalia Silva -260
❌3/8.40 Derrick Lewis +280
✅3/2.50 Acosta/Lewis o1½ -120
  • 3/5.70 Song Yadong +190
  • 5/2.17 Paddy Pimblett -215
  • 5/4.59 Gaethje/Pimblett O2½ -109
Need to hit Yadong, hard to profit UFC without popping some dogs

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