2nd Half Monday Night Football - Falcons at Saints




Fondybadger

CTG Partner
2006 NFL Overall 103-75-4 +$2119.85
Preseason 54-36-3 +$1042.10
Week Onee 17-11 +$688
Week Twoo 9-15 +$240.50
Week Three 13-13-1 +$149.25

1st Quarter 13-12-1 +$123.60

1Q Fave 9-5 +$88.30
1Q Dog 1-1 +$30.10
1Q Over 3-6-1 +$5.20

First Half 18-10-1 +$967
Faves 15-5 +$1160
Dogs 3-1 +$159
Over 0-4-1 -$352

Second Half 2-2 +$34.25
Fave 0-1 -$20.75
Dogs 1-0 +$100
Over 1-1 -$45

Full Game 70-51-2 +$995

Faves 35-24-1 +$458
Dogs 19-13-1 +$531
ML 1-1 -$85
Over 1-6 -$344
Unders 14-7 +$435

Props 1-4 -$74.75

An interesting weekend, just seemed to keep splitting my plays all day. Would hit my big play then lose a big play - win a few small plays, lose a few small plays... Ah well... Lets finish tonight off with a few winners.

MONDAY NIGHT THOUGHTS
The first thing I look at with this game is skill position players and gamebreakers. Would you rather have Deuce, Brees, and Bush or Dunn, Vick, and Crumpler? To me I'd much rather have the speed and game management that New Orleans has. Crumpler can't be a big part of the game if Vick can't him the ball, which seems to be a problem year after year. The trading of TJ Duckett, I think has hurt Atlanta in picking up some short yards to extend drives, thus turning TD's into FG's. Both teams will look for field position early in this game and will look to control the clock and keep possession with the running game. No matter how I want to look past the team returning to New Orleans and the effect it will have on the game, I can't. Although I'd hope it wouldn't provide New Orleans' players any extra motivation, you know that guys like Joe Horn want to come out and show the world "they care." Also, I'm going to go off on a conspiracy rant, but isn't it human nature to cheer for the "underdog," the city that is trying to rebuild itself? Now I know NFL officials are "professionals" but a part of me can't help but wonder if their's a questionable call that needs to be made that subconsciously the officials won't lean towards the side of New Orleans? Hehe... I don't know if I believe that, but I'm sure I'll get some responses on that. Should be a close ball game - as the Saints have proven they're not afraid of coming back from a deficit. A concern in this game is that New Orleans has turned the ball over 5 times in two games, compared to I believe once for Atlanta (might be twice). You can't cap turnovers, but when a team shows they have trouble holding onto possession you should take that into account.

Game Plays
$200 New Orleans +4 (Waiting as I think it will go to 4.5 at either Pinny/local)
$75 NO/ATL under 44

1st Half Plays
$75 New Orleans +3 -110 (bought .5, most places are +2.5 +110 or so)
$50 NO/ATL under 21.5 +100

1st Quarter Play
$10 NO/ATL under 7.5

Props
$35 Mike Vick Rushing Yards OVER 60.5 -118
$25 Mike Vick Completions under 12.5 +125
$50 Reggie Bush -18.5 yards receiving over Alge Crumpler +100
$15 Reggie Bush receptions OVER 5.5 -182
$10 Drew Brees 1st Pass incomplete +170
$10 Mike Vick 1st Pass incomplete +135

There was a reason I never played props until last night... I've unleashed a monster...
 
GL TONIGHT!!! I really want to play the ML Saints but I think thats just the emotional side of me.

Been really busy with school but just finished with my test, going to relax for a few hours and watch the game on TV. My friend and I had tickets until this morning. The people who were going to give them to us decided they wanted to go.

Watch for a GREAT National Anthem and Halftime show.
 
yeah Brees is liable to throw a pick, didn`t he throw 3 against GB...Thats one thing that bothers me .I think Deuce MaCalister needs to set the tone early ...People have forgotten the hes a stud and now healthy.
 
I was looking at leading receiver numbers and Crumpler has consistenly put up 75 or more on NO...it was kind of weird u mentioned it cause I just about took Crumpler OVER 56.5 yds at great vig instead of the side...lol...


Good health tonight bro...
 
ADDING:
$25 Falcons lead by 1-10 at half +190
Figure it goes well with New Orleans +3 first half, have a chance to middle on a Falcons 1-2 point lead, only way I lose both is if Falcons are up 11 or more, and the odds are great. Expect a low scoring game, so it looks real nice to me.
 
Holy shit Fondy, you gonna add any more props tonight? Gad to see we are on the same side and total. Good luck dude!
 
You know I'll be watching this all night when I should be studying for my LSAT on Saturday... Can't watch the game without a few beers either... guess I'll have to have a bloody mary before my test so I take the test in the same form I study...
 
Fondybadger said:
I know NFL officials are "professionals" but a part of me can't help but wonder if their's a questionable call that needs to be made that subconsciously the officials won't lean towards the side of New Orleans?

Dont doubt it. We saw what happened in the SB with Bettis last game, Cowher finally getting *his due*. Happens all the time.

Anyone betting the Dirty Fucks in this game, isnt betting with the officials. Which doesnt mean ATL cant win, but means its gonna be tough, tough, tough.
 
2006 NFL Overall 106-78-4 +$2334.85
Preseason 54-36-3 +$1042.10
Week Onee 17-11 +$688
Week Twoo 9-15 +$240.50
Week Three 16-16-1 +$364.25

1st Quarter 13-13-1 +$113.60

1Q Fave 9-5 +$88.30
1Q Dog 1-1 +$30.10
1Q Over 3-6-1 +$5.20
1Q Under 0-1 -$10


First Half 19-11-1 +$992
Faves 15-5 +$1160
Dogs 4-1 +$234
Over 0-4-1 -$352
Under 0-1 -$50


Second Half 2-3 -$40.75
Fave 0-2 -$95.75
Dogs 1-0 +$100
Over 1-1 -$45

Full Game 72-51-2 +$1270

Faves 35-24-1 +$458
Dogs 20-13-1 +$731
ML 1-1 -$85
Over 1-6 -$344
Unders 15-7 +$510

Props 3-9 -$183.60

------------------------------------------------

3-3 +$215 on totals/sides
2-5 -$108.85 on props

MNF total 5-8 +$106.15

4 more Vick yards, and a missed 51 yarder before that half would have been about $200 more in profit but I'll take it I guess...



 
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