2025 CFL In-Game Thread

Insane that the total in this one closed at 55.5. I seriously thought about trying for a middle but I'll wait and see if we get some quick scores.
 
Been a while since I did player props in football. Took rouke to score 2+ tds. It was a boost on 365 from +250 to +300. Starting to second guess myself that that is rushing tds and not throwing. Not sure what a qbs odds in cfl normally are on td passes. Anyone know for sure?
 
Hulu said:
@spottie2935 got to hand it to you...you have been spot on all season.
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Without parody I can’t excel it’s been here in me the whole time but this league had been flawed. No balance all unders dogs can’t score, can’t fight but. Lines can’t help when teams can’t play. Why I’m still here after the last 3 seasons of crap. CFL winning Potential

I appreciate your shout out.
 
Edmonton in their two matchups has a difficulty scoring vs BC. The opposite to that is +15.5 and I’m going to pull the trigger if Edmonton scores. No matter the line


Of course I like the higher line but I gotta see competitive competition first. So far it’s not here but in the CFL things change quickly.
 
Opportunities on totals have been under 49 6-2 overs. If the total is >=49 6-9 overs. The totals have adjusted and we are seeing what is more normal to when I was winning back before 2020.

Dogs that can’t score: dogs when the total is less than 50 = 2-7 ats

Dogs when the total is 50+. = 9-4,ats

The 2 worst ats teams since August 2023
Redblacks Lions

The 2 best ats teams using the same time frame
Sask Montreal
 

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Getting in asap
Calgary + This is a still an underrated team getting little respect vs a team that should be in regression. WPG is way over file for that and Calgary , just like WPG I might add takes advantage of these lines.
 
I think BC is the play vs Sask. Certainly if I can get BC +1.5 as FanDuel has currently I would submit a bet.

Why would I BC?

2 reasons :
1) outside of the best 2 teams the favorites are vulnerable. I question Sask at the moment to be included in the top 2 on the road as a chalk against a team catching fire. BC after this last big win should be a bookie line. But since Dask only lost their last game Sask has the bettors eye still. Fade the bettors eye, Sask BC is a fade after this one not here.

2) dog next favorite. BC hone next.
 
Notes : Montreal is 3-2 su

If they lose this they will be a dog at Calgary next week.

This would make Montreal
A poor bet this week and Calgary even better
Calgary would be 5-1 if they beat Sask

Next week
Montreal 3-3 away
At Calgary 5-1
 
That leaves the close matchup and only Saturday game

TiCats -1.5
@ Ott.

For me I don’t touch this game until I see the other games. Sometimes the line moves and I want to see how many dogs have hit in the current week.

I know about the Argos issues pretty much a disaster but even if I lose this there are quality dogs behind them.

In past seasons that hasn’t been the case. This is part of the reason why the CFL when well balanced is so profitable. Bits game management and money management and trust that dogs are valuable.

We are currently here.
 
Argo’s 2025 have 3 issues as far as data.: I post a photo and explain

1)Strength if schedule look at the photo
2) points allowed.
3) points scored in the first 2 weeks. they are scoring so that has to maintain.

Montreal last two weeks 17, 20 points.

My thought is over here but only if scoring starts slow and I can get in the low to mid 40’s

I’m talking about this game as something I really like


I don’t like this game as much as the other games. I’m just talking my way though it because it’s a Thursday game.

I will have no other distractions because WNBA is off for all star game. I need to have a plan of attack so I can either make a bet or wait for something more valued in game lines.

I can at times be stubborn and around and force a play if I don’t make notes and reread my thoughts.

Right now I can make a case for both Montreal and Toronto and the best situation is to wait and see. Argos offensive numbers suggest a play but Montreal Defense can D up. Montreals low output the last 2 weeks can show up cs an Argos team that allows lots of opportunities. This could be an Argos small output and reverse the Argo trend of big points scored.

There a lot to this game.
 

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Montreal is atrocious in the 4th quarter last 3 games being out scored 23-51

To me that’s 2 things here. Montreals coaches are well aware of this. They just have to know. A bye week might help.

That might be the under opportunity late. If they have the lead it’s Montreal and under in the 4th quarter but they have to be in control of the game.
 
Calg with back to back ATS covers by 20 points that’s symbolic of a regression situation but doesn’t qualify because they are lined as a dog against a one loss team. If they cover 3 in a row that will be the inflated line.
 
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spottie2935 said:
Getting in asap
Calgary + This is a still an underrated team getting little respect vs a team that should be in regression. WPG is way over file for that and Calgary , just like WPG I might add takes advantage of these lines.
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Not that I have anything to tell you this year but I'll play devil's advocate on this one. I think this is a good spot for Calgary to regress a bit.

They are on back to back road games with only a 6 day week in between. Winnipeg is off a bye. Their record off a bye is pretty good IIRC. They're record at home in the Collaros years is even better. Something like 28-5. I have to have an extraordinary reason to go against the Bombers at home.

I fully expected the Bombers to regress this season but through the first few games they sure didn't look like it. That is until Calgary handed it to them the first time. That time the Stamps were off a bye and had 2 weeks to plan for the Bombers. This time its reversed and I don't think the Bombers have forgotten what happened to them 2 weeks ago.

I made it -3.5 so I wouldn't bet the Bombers at the current line but I wouldn't take Calgary either. Just my opinion.
 
spottie2935 said:
I think BC is the play vs Sask. Certainly if I can get BC +1.5 as FanDuel has currently I would submit a bet.

Why would I BC?

2 reasons :
1) outside of the best 2 teams the favorites are vulnerable. I question Sask at the moment to be included in the top 2 on the road as a chalk against a team catching fire. BC after this last big win should be a bookie line. But since Dask only lost their last game Sask has the bettors eye still. Fade the bettors eye, Sask BC is a fade after this one not here.

2) dog next favorite. BC hone next.
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I took BC +1 big. I think they are starting to roll while Sask is sagging. Two teams going in opposite directions momentum-wise. Sask got pretty banged up in last weeks game too. I think the Lions win this game easily.
 
spottie2935 said:
That leaves the close matchup and only Saturday game

TiCats -1.5
@ Ott.

For me I don’t touch this game until I see the other games. Sometimes the line moves and I want to see how many dogs have hit in the current week.

I know about the Argos issues pretty much a disaster but even if I lose this there are quality dogs behind them.

In past seasons that hasn’t been the case. This is part of the reason why the CFL when well balanced is so profitable. Bits game management and money management and trust that dogs are valuable.

We are currently here.
Click to expand...

I hate betting against my team, especially when they have won 3 straight but I have to think the value is on Ottawa at this number. Hamilton won last week but Ottawa led all game until Hamilton scored with a short field after a turnover. The 2 teams are pretty close and Ottawa may be getting healthier this week. I don't see that the cats earned the right to be road favs this week. I made the Line Ottawa -1.5
 
Hulu said:
I hate betting against my team, especially when they have won 3 straight but I have to think the value is on Ottawa at this number. Hamilton won last week but Ottawa led all game until Hamilton scored with a short field after a turnover. The 2 teams are pretty close and Ottawa may be getting healthier this week. I don't see that the cats earned the right to be road favs this week. I made the Line Ottawa -1.5
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Gotcha this game is a battle and my action will depend on :

How the games went and the results in these games.

In game wager opportunities.
 
Hulu said:
Not that I have anything to tell you this year but I'll play devil's advocate on this one. I think this is a good spot for Calgary to regress a bit.

They are on back to back road games with only a 6 day week in between. Winnipeg is off a bye. Their record off a bye is pretty good IIRC. They're record at home in the Collaros years is even better. Something like 28-5. I have to have an extraordinary reason to go against the Bombers at home.

I fully expected the Bombers to regress this season but through the first few games they sure didn't look like it. That is until Calgary handed it to them the first time. That time the Stamps were off a bye and had 2 weeks to plan for the Bombers. This time its reversed and I don't think the Bombers have forgotten what happened to them 2 weeks ago.

I made it -3.5 so I wouldn't bet the Bombers at the current line but I wouldn't take Calgary either. Just my opinion.
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You are so full of respect that I encourage any and all conversations with you. I agree Calgary is in regression but winning and strong teams are not better against especially as dogs. This has been Winnipegs bread an butter since 2017. If Winnipeg has a weakness it’s as a favorite against good teams. The good teams against them have been nonexistent the last few season.

We on the same page on regression but I love good dogs and history is in support.
 
I’m off the Argo line and will try the under. If Montreal and most CFL teams cover -9 is because they D up and especially I. The late second half. Under and under late in game.
 
spottie2935 said:
I’m off the Argo line and will try the under. If Montreal and most CFL teams cover -9 is because they D up and especially I. The late second half. Under and under late in game.
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I am in Montreal this week and am currently sitting just across the river. There have been sopme vicious storms blowing through all afternoon and its crazy windy right now with an hour until kickoff. I am not feeling unders these days but with this game, it might be a good bet. Toronto gets the center piece of their defence, Wynton Mcmanis, back this week but not their QB. Thats a receipe for an under, especially against Montreal's defence.
 
Its roads are crazy and delapitated, the drivers are nuts, the infrastructure is crumbling and out of date...but the character and charm of this city, the music scene, the arts scene...I just love it here.
 
Oh and the smoked meat and jewish delis....outstanding

Smoked Meat Pete's is the best kept secret in canada
 
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