2024 Dollaz
- Thread starter Dollaz
- Start date
Dollaz
Pretty much a regular
Someone asked me about expanding on this game so I will put it here:
First off, there is some unknown. Im trying to figure out who the ODU QB will be. Wilson got hurt 3 weeks ago, the backup played 2 series and the 4th string came in and ran for a long TD and stayed in the rest of the game (the transfer from BC was hurt). So, none of the 4 would surprise me at this point
The big plays which carried the offense have not been there this year. That has been the largest difference on the offensive end. Some of it is related to competition (SC, ECU, VT). I expect to see more and more as the level of competition defensively steps down. Excluding sacks, the running game has been fairly effective relative to competition. This despite every team selling out to stop the run. BG has some tough competition (but I looked at Furman too) and their run defense looks fairly weak (5.3 ypc). The pass defense appears to be significantly better but does allow big plays.
The BG offense has a lot of success on the ground. ODU typically does have a solid run defense though. ODU just cannot get teams off the field despite a decent run defense. I think the perception of ODUs defense is higher than performance. BG is a good offense that is balanced and can hit you with both. I expect they will move the ball on offense.
Rahne is 3-0 off bye weeks. This week is a tough test. I do think ODU has a shot at keeping it close/covering (damn near every game is 1 score), but I think the total of 51 is too low. I think we see ODUs offense move the ball better (especially if Wilson is back) and a couple big pays through the air happen. The only thing ODU has done well on defense is get turnovers and that is something I dont really cap. Lean toward ODU losing something like 34-27ish.
First off, there is some unknown. Im trying to figure out who the ODU QB will be. Wilson got hurt 3 weeks ago, the backup played 2 series and the 4th string came in and ran for a long TD and stayed in the rest of the game (the transfer from BC was hurt). So, none of the 4 would surprise me at this point
The big plays which carried the offense have not been there this year. That has been the largest difference on the offensive end. Some of it is related to competition (SC, ECU, VT). I expect to see more and more as the level of competition defensively steps down. Excluding sacks, the running game has been fairly effective relative to competition. This despite every team selling out to stop the run. BG has some tough competition (but I looked at Furman too) and their run defense looks fairly weak (5.3 ypc). The pass defense appears to be significantly better but does allow big plays.
The BG offense has a lot of success on the ground. ODU typically does have a solid run defense though. ODU just cannot get teams off the field despite a decent run defense. I think the perception of ODUs defense is higher than performance. BG is a good offense that is balanced and can hit you with both. I expect they will move the ball on offense.
Rahne is 3-0 off bye weeks. This week is a tough test. I do think ODU has a shot at keeping it close/covering (damn near every game is 1 score), but I think the total of 51 is too low. I think we see ODUs offense move the ball better (especially if Wilson is back) and a couple big pays through the air happen. The only thing ODU has done well on defense is get turnovers and that is something I dont really cap. Lean toward ODU losing something like 34-27ish.
Still liking it?
Great work!
Rusty Trombone
Pretty much a regular
Whats the ODU/CC scoop? Didn't look at game, just thought I'd wait for your pick! Lol
Dollaz
Pretty much a regular
I like the matchup but what scares me is I think ODUs starting QB will be out. The backup came in last week and won, but it was smoke and mirrors. He did nothing for a few drives and then ODU got an INT and great field position, which they scored on. The backup then scored on a legitimate drive to win the game, but it was all scrambling and he threw a ball that should have been a game ending INT.
I think the matchup really favors ODU...Vasko is not a passer and ODU can stop the run. Id still lean slightly that way but the QB situation is dicey.
I think the matchup really favors ODU...Vasko is not a passer and ODU can stop the run. Id still lean slightly that way but the QB situation is dicey.
Thanks for the thoughts.
Fun game!
