2022 NASCAR Thread

[VirginiaCavs]

Since the place I write for sadly stopped its motor sports coverage, I am starting this thread for the rest of the season @He Hate Me @CPA-hole Best of luck with your bets, guys!

 

[He Hate Me]

I made a couple of Darlington Cup bets tonight. If BAS puts their lines back up before qualifying I will play some more.

1 unit:
Bell -115 over Blaney (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Bell Top 10 -105 (Bovada)

 

[CPA-hole]

I played Harvick top 10 -140. I've given up H2Hs. Just snakebit with them this year.

 

[CPA-hole]

I made a couple of Darlington Cup bets tonight. If BAS puts their lines back up before qualifying I will play some more.

1 unit:
Bell -115 over Blaney (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Bell Top 10 -105 (Bovada)

Bell top 10 this week looks solid. I think he stands a big chance this week.

 

[He Hate Me]

The matchups are not great this week. I played this at BAS so far:

1 unit:

Erik Jones -120 over Ty Gibbs

 

[He Hate Me]

BAS still has their matchups up during practice. I added these:

1 unit:

Byron -110 over Blaney
Cindric -115 over Ty Gibbs

 

[He Hate Me]

Also added:

Austin Dillon -110 over Suarez (BAS)

Suarez failed inspection 3 times and will have to do a pass through, loses pit selection, etc.

 

[CPA-hole]

Bell looks good. He fucked in xfinity practice but no such mistakes in cup.

 

[He Hate Me]

I added Bell -115 over Harvick (BAS)

If you have a BAS account, bet these. You can only bet $100 per matchup.

Erik Jones -120 over Ty Gibbs (BAS)
Byron -110 over Blaney (BAS)
Cindric -115 over Ty Gibbs (BAS)
Austin Dillon -110 over Suarez (BAS)
Bell -115 over Harvick (BAS)

 

[He Hate Me]

I also added this. Bowman hit the wall in qualifying not too damaged but he could go to a backup car. Byron is fast, although he has been running bad for close to 2 months now. -135 is my limit for matchups so this one I do not feel great about but worth betting.

Byron -135 over Bowman

 

[CPA-hole]

I also added this. Bowman hit the wall in qualifying not too damaged but he could go to a backup car. Byron is fast, although he has been running bad for close to 2 months now. -135 is my limit for matchups so this one I do not feel great about but worth betting.

Byron -135 over Bowman

They both have been garbage for the last 1/2 of the season, but Byron's car is better right now.

 

[He Hate Me]

BAS moved their lines after qualifying. Most moved too far for me to bet again. I added more to this one:

1 unit:
Austin Dillon -115 over Suarez (BAS)

Cindric is still -115 over Ty Gibbs so maybe it will move some so I can bet some more.

 

[He Hate Me]

I also played this at Bovada because I do not understand it.

0.5 unit:
Austin Dillon +220 over Cindric

 

[He Hate Me]

Added:

1 unit:
Erik Jones +140 over Cindric (BAS)
Harvick -105 over Blaney (BAS)

0.25 unit:
Austin Dillon +340 to win Group D over Bowman, Briscoe, Suarez (Bovada)
Austin Dillon +375 to win Group G over Bowman, McDowell, Suarez (Bovada)

 

[CPA-hole]

Of course I already played Harvick top 10 at -140. He's -110 now after qualifying.

I also bet Logano +1400 outright. He's +600 now.

Harvick was +2500 this morning, so I jumped on.

 

[He Hate Me]

Summary of plays for today, although you will not be able to get these lines now.

2 units:
Austin Dillon -110 & -115 over Suarez (BAS)

1 unit:
Bell -115 over Blaney (Bovada)
Erik Jones -120 over Ty Gibbs (BAS)
Byron -110 over Blaney (BAS)
Cindric -115 over Ty Gibbs (BAS)
Bell -115 over Harvick (BAS)
Byron -135 over Bowman (BAS)
Erik Jones +140 over Cindric (BAS)
Harvick -105 over Blaney (BAS)

0.5 unit:
Bell Top 10 -105 (Bovada)
Austin Dillon +220 over Cindric (Bovada)

0.25 unit each (split 0.5 unit bet)
Austin Dillon +340 to win Group D over Bowman, Briscoe, Suarez (Bovada)
Austin Dillon +375 to win Group G over Bowman, McDowell, Suarez (Bovada)

Notes:
Suarez failed inspection 3 times and will have to do a pass-through, loses pit selection, starts at the rear, etc. He will go a lap down and be behind the whole race.
Blaney missed the playoff with Austin Dillon's win last week so I am betting he will not perform well here after that letdown. He is also not that good at Darlington.
Austin Dillon was not fast in practice but qualified well. He is good at Darlington, so he is starting near the front on at one of his better tracks.
Ty Gibbs was not fast in practice and qualified mid-pack. For as much as I like Ty Gibbs this is one of the toughest tracks for drivers and he only has a few Cup races under his belt.
Logano, Byron, Reddick, Chastain, and Truex all had fast cars earlier this year at Darlington. Larson was fast too while he was running.
Cindric was fast in practice and qualified well, but this is not one of his better tracks, so there are good odds to bet against him.

 

[CPA-hole]

Blaney is in the playoffs. Truex is who got booted by Dillon.

 

[He Hate Me]

Of course I already played Harvick top 10 at -140. He's -110 now after qualifying.

I also bet Logano +1400 outright. He's +600 now.

Harvick was +2500 this morning, so I jumped on.

Pretty wild swings after practice and qualifying which is surprising since you need a good long-run car at Darlington. I see Harvick still at -150 at Bovada.

 

[He Hate Me]

Blaney is in the playoffs. Truex is who got booted by Dillon.

Damn, I had that backward. Oh well, still not a good track for Blaney.

 

[CPA-hole]

Damn, I had that backward. Oh well, still not a good track for Blaney.

Exactly. Don't think it matters. Just giving you a heads up

 

[He Hate Me]

Another issue that may screw up my anti-Suarez bets is there are showers around Darlington. Nacar could have a competition caution if it rains before the race, which would help Suarez because he may be able to get his lap back or it will make it easier.

 

[He Hate Me]

I will probably take Chastain against Logano at BM but I am waiting to see how much more it climbs. It is currently at +124 and BM Nascar lines move around a lot.

 

[He Hate Me]

Another issue that may screw up my anti-Suarez bets is there are showers around Darlington. Nacar could have a competition caution if it rains before the race, which would help Suarez because he may be able to get his lap back or it will make it easier.

A blow to my anti-Suarez bets. Also, BM took their Nascar lines down for some reason, so likely no late line movement plays.

Also, for as much as I like Bell today, you can now get Harvick against him at +140 and Logano at +110

https://twitter.com/x/status/1566514935739334657

 

[CPA-hole]

Of course I already played Harvick top 10 at -140. He's -110 now after qualifying.

I also bet Logano +1400 outright. He's +600 now.

Harvick was +2500 this morning, so I jumped on.

My bad. Logano +1400 was for the championship. Not the race today.

 

[He Hate Me]

Bowman is not going to the back for the start of the race. I made the Byron bet thinking there was a chance the Bowman goes to the rear. This along with the comp caution and my brain fart thinking that Truex made the playoffs instead of Blaney have all gone against me.

I still have great odds on almost all of my bets because BAS left their matchups up during practice and qualifying.

 

[He Hate Me]

My bad. Logano +1400 was for the championship. Not the race today.

I have done the same thing twice this year.

 

[CPA-hole]

I have done the same thing twice this year.

I did it twice last year too. SMH. But I don't hate that bet now. Logano has a big chance I believe.

 

[He Hate Me]

Added:

1 unit:
Chastain +123 over Logano (BM)

Summary of plays for today, although you will not be able to get these lines now.

2 units:
Austin Dillon -110 & -115 over Suarez (BAS)

1 unit:
Bell -115 over Blaney (Bovada)
Erik Jones -120 over Ty Gibbs (BAS)
Byron -110 over Blaney (BAS)
Cindric -115 over Ty Gibbs (BAS)
Bell -115 over Harvick (BAS)
Byron -135 over Bowman (BAS)
Erik Jones +140 over Cindric (BAS)
Harvick -105 over Blaney (BAS)
Chastain +123 over Logano (BM)

0.5 unit:
Bell Top 10 -105 (Bovada)
Austin Dillon +220 over Cindric (Bovada)

0.25 unit each (split 0.5 unit bet)
Austin Dillon +340 to win Group D over Bowman, Briscoe, Suarez (Bovada)
Austin Dillon +375 to win Group G over Bowman, McDowell, Suarez (Bovada)

 

[He Hate Me]

Caution for a rain shower was a huge break for Suarez and a bad break for my anti-Suarez bet.

 

[He Hate Me]

Added:

1 unit:
Chastain +123 over Logano (BM)

Summary of plays for today, although you will not be able to get these lines now.

2 units:
Austin Dillon -110 & -115 over Suarez (BAS)

1 unit:
Bell -115 over Blaney (Bovada)
Erik Jones -120 over Ty Gibbs (BAS)
Byron -110 over Blaney (BAS)
Cindric -115 over Ty Gibbs (BAS)
Bell -115 over Harvick (BAS)
Byron -135 over Bowman (BAS)
Erik Jones +140 over Cindric (BAS)
Harvick -105 over Blaney (BAS)
Chastain +123 over Logano (BM)

0.5 unit:
Bell Top 10 -105 (Bovada)
Austin Dillon +220 over Cindric (Bovada)

0.25 unit each (split 0.5 unit bet)
Austin Dillon +340 to win Group D over Bowman, Briscoe, Suarez (Bovada)
Austin Dillon +375 to win Group G over Bowman, McDowell, Suarez (Bovada)

+4.7 units

 

[He Hate Me]

Darlington:
Xfinity
Cup +4.7 units
Total +4.7 units

Nascar Total (2022):
Xfinity +12.87 units
Cup +62.44 units
Both +75.31 units

 

[captjohn67]

 

[He Hate Me]

The only bets I made prior to practice and qualifying at Kansas are:

1 unit:
Austin Dillon -115 versus Briscoe (BAS)
Bell -130 versus Blaney (BAS)

 

[He Hate Me]

Added:

1 unit:
Bowman -105 versus Chase Elliott (Bovada)

 

[He Hate Me]

Added these:

2 units:
Ty Gibbs -105 versus Suarez (BAS & BM)

1 unit:
Austin Dillon +100 versus Briscoe (BAS)
Austin Dillon -105 versus Cindric (BAS)
Bubba Wallace -130 versus Suarez (BAS)
Stenhouse +140 versus Almirola (BAS)
Haley -15 versus Custer (BAS)

 

[He Hate Me]

And these:

1 unit:
Bubba +100 versus Byron (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Bubba Top 10 -120 (Bovada)

 

[He Hate Me]

Bet Summary:

2 units:
Ty Gibbs -105 versus Suarez (BAS & BM)
Austin Dillon +100 & -115 versus Briscoe (BAS)

1 unit:
Austin Dillon -105 versus Cindric (BAS)
Bubba -130 versus Suarez (BAS)
Bubba +100 versus Byron (Bovada)
Stenhouse +140 versus Almirola (BAS)
Haley -15 versus Custer (BAS)
Bell -130 versus Blaney (BAS)
Bowman -105 versus Chase Elliott (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Bubba Top 10 -120 (Bovada)

 

[He Hate Me]

Added 1 more unit on:

Bubba -125 versus Suarez (BAS)

Bet Summary:

2 units:
Ty Gibbs -105 versus Suarez (BAS & BM)
Austin Dillon +100 & -115 versus Briscoe (BAS)
Bubba -125 & -130 versus Suarez (BAS)

1 unit:
Austin Dillon -105 versus Cindric (BAS)
Bubba +100 versus Byron (Bovada)
Stenhouse +140 versus Almirola (BAS)
Haley -15 versus Custer (BAS)
Bell -130 versus Blaney (BAS)
Bowman -105 versus Chase Elliott (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Bubba Top 10 -120 (Bovada)

 

[He Hate Me]

I doubt he wins but he has come through the field and is in 4th, Bovada has Stenhouse +25000 live. I bet $20 on him. If he is in the top 3 at the end maybe I can hedge with that potential $5,000 payout.

 

[He Hate Me]

I doubt he wins but he has come through the field and is in 4th, Bovada has Stenhouse +25000 live. I bet $20 on him. If he is in the top 3 at the end maybe I can hedge with that potential $5,000 payout.

:siren: :siren: :siren:

This is still up live at Bovada. If you have Bovada, throw $10 or $20 on it. Stenhouse is now 2nd. I added $10 more for a total of $30

 

[He Hate Me]

They just moved it to +5000, still good value but not +25000 anymore.

 

[He Hate Me]

And Stenhouse blows a right rear and hits the wall.

 

[He Hate Me]

Added 1 more unit on:

Bubba -125 versus Suarez (BAS)

Bet Summary:

2 units:
Ty Gibbs -105 versus Suarez (BAS & BM)
Austin Dillon +100 & -115 versus Briscoe (BAS)
Bubba -125 & -130 versus Suarez (BAS)

1 unit:
Austin Dillon -105 versus Cindric (BAS)
Bubba +100 versus Byron (Bovada)
Stenhouse +140 versus Almirola (BAS)
Haley -15 versus Custer (BAS)
Bell -130 versus Blaney (BAS)
Bowman -105 versus Chase Elliott (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Bubba Top 10 -120 (Bovada)

With my live Stenhouse bet I lost 0.05 units.

 

[He Hate Me]

Kansas:
Xfinity
Cup -0.05 units
Total -0.05 units

Nascar Total (2022):
Xfinity +12.87 units
Cup +62.39 units
Both +75.26 units

 

[He Hate Me]

I played these 2 for the Xfinity race tonight:

1 unit:

Austin Hill -110 over Creed (BAS)
Ryan Sieg -115 over Cassill (BAS)

 

[He Hate Me]

The Stewart-Hass Racing cars all look really strong for tomorrow night's race. Hamlin, Logano, Cindric, and Bell are other drivers I am looking to bet on.

Suarez, Austin Dillon, and Chase Elliott all look like good fades.

 

[He Hate Me]

I played these 2 for the Xfinity race tonight:

1 unit:

Austin Hill -110 over Creed (BAS)
Ryan Sieg -115 over Cassill (BAS)

+2 units

 

[He Hate Me]

I played these:

1 unit:
Briscoe Top 10 -105 (Bovada)
Cindric Top 10 +130 (Bovada)

 

[He Hate Me]

There are not many matchups at BAS the ones they have suck. The only thing that I bet was this:

Haley -120 over Burton (BAS)

Waiting on BM.

 

[He Hate Me]

I played $20 on Blaney to win at BM +1500