2020 MLB PLAYOFFS

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

​

Plays Tuesday... 932 Cleveland Indians* -104 vs New York Yankees 5/4.81 931 New York Yankees/Cleveland Indians* Under 6½ -115 5/4.35 934 Minnesota Twins* -1½ +133 vs Houston Astros 3/3.99 934 Minnesota Twins* -161 vs Houston Astros 2.5/1.55 936 Tampa Bay Rays* -1½ +110 vs Toronto Blue Jays 5/5.5 936 Tampa Bay Rays* -183 vs Toronto Blue Jays 2.51/1.37 937 Chicago White Sox* -117 vs Oakland Athletics 5/4.27 937 Chicago White Sox/Oakland Athletics* Over 7½ +100 4/4

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[B.A.R.]

Kill it this postseason Mr...

 

[2daBank]

I like them all other than cws. Gl this postseason

 

[Yanks27Sox9]

good call with tampa. i was dead wrong on that.

 

[mrpickem]

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940 Cleveland Indians* +118 vs New York Yankees 4/4.72 939 New York Yankees/Cleveland Indians* Under 8 -115 4.6/4 944 Tampa Bay Rays* -1½ +155 vs Toronto Blue Jays 4/6.2 944 Tampa Bay Rays* -134 vs Toronto Blue Jays 5/3.73 946 Oakland Athletics* -120 vs Chicago White Sox 4.8/4 949 St. Louis Cardinals* +1½ -145 vs San Diego Padres 5/3.45 952 Atlanta Braves* -120 vs Cincinnati Reds 4.8/4 953 Milwaukee Brewers* +215 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4/8.6

 

[mrpickem]

​	ALSO TAKING FISH AND A COUPLE SERIES PLAYS...​
	947 Miami Marlins* +146 vs Chicago Cubs 4/5.84 1809 Miami Marlins (Series)* +170 vs Chicago Cubs (Series) 2/3.4 1814 Atlanta Braves (Series)* -138 vs Cincinnati Reds (Series) 2.07/1.5

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[mrpickem]

Model had decent Sept...much better than me :rofl:

But usually the model doesn't identify much value in playoffs.

But fwiw...

 

[mrpickem]

Chasing the line wasn't very good this year finishing down 1.5% ROI on sides, down 2% on unders and up 3.1% on overs...meh

The playoffs edition has been hot going 12-6 L18 and 20-12 L32



Totals have never shown any conclusive trends with this angle...

 

[mrpickem]

​	​
	958 Atlanta Braves* -1½ +155 vs Cincinnati Reds 2.4/3.72 958 Atlanta Braves* -133 vs Cincinnati Reds 3.99/3 967 St. Louis Cardinals* +146 vs San Diego Padres 3/4.38 981 Miami Marlins* +177 vs Chicago Cubs 3/5.31

 

[C-MAN]

Hope you sweep! GL today

 

[mrpickem]

adds​
	956 Los Angeles Dodgers* -1½ +100 vs Milwaukee Brewers 4/4 956 Los Angeles Dodgers* -215 vs Milwaukee Brewers 4.3/2 964 Oakland Athletics* +101 vs Chicago White Sox 4/4.04

 

[lfhlaw]

Any thoughts on the TB/NYY series? TB has really had NY's number this year. Part of me thinks Chance TB sends the Yanks home.

 

[wiseplayer]

Any thoughts on the TB/NYY series? TB has really had NY's number this year. Part of me thinks Chance TB sends the Yanks home.

If TB doesn't get overwhelmed by the stage, they should win this series, especially if it get deep. Yanks just don't have the pitching

 

[mrpickem]

​	​ ​
	971 Miami Marlins* +1½ -125 vs Chicago Cubs 2.5/2 971 Miami Marlins* +184 vs Chicago Cubs 4/7.36 977 St. Louis Cardinals* +106 vs San Diego Padres 4/4.24 977 St. Louis Cardinals/San Diego Padres* Over 9 -120 3/2.5

 

[mrpickem]

Any thoughts on the TB/NYY series? TB has really had NY's number this year. Part of me thinks Chance TB sends the Yanks home.

I definitely like Rays vs NYY and to make the WS as well. I think they matchup best with Doyers...at least on paper. I'm on the A's to handle stros fwiw

:cheers3:

 

[mrpickem]

Model mostly just rides favs in playoffs. Zzzzzzz

 

[mrpickem]

and then there were 8...

Really don't see why NYY is favored in this series. Cole is the ace but his season not as dominant as last year, Snell has been very good last few outings(4ER in L4 starts inc 6 shutout inn of 1 hit ball vs Jays last time) and Blake 5-1 alltime vs NY. Plus the Rays pen is much better...NYY pen numbers away from home are damn bad 5.12/1.50. If Rays do get by Snell today, this series wont go far and maybe even a sweep or 4-1

I hate the Astros and actually like A's in series. But this game seems like a real tossup today, so I'll take the +130 with the more experienced playoff team. Both teams are sharing a hotel and there's lots of dislike between them. Fiers is the guy who outted the stros after all.

​	​ ​
	902 Tampa Bay Rays* +1½ -135 vs New York Yankees 5/3.70 902 Tampa Bay Rays* +135 vs New York Yankees 5/6.75 1822 Tampa Bay Rays (Series)* +125 vs New York Yankees (Series) 4/5 903 Houston Astros* +1½ -155 vs Oakland Athletics 4/2.58 903 Houston Astros* +132 vs Oakland Athletics 4/5.28 903 Houston Astros/Oakland Athletics* Under 8 +100 5/5

 

[mrpickem]

Even my model can see the value in Rays :tiphat3:

 

[mrpickem]

​	​ ​
	906 Tampa Bay Rays* -1½ +175 vs New York Yankees 4/7 906 Tampa Bay Rays* -115 vs New York Yankees 5/4.35 906 Tampa Bay Rays* -½ +125 vs New York Yankees for 1st 5 Innings 4/5 907 Houston Astros* +102 vs Oakland Athletics 5/5.1 907 Houston Astros/Oakland Athletics* Over 9 +105 4/4.2 909 Miami Marlins* +1½ -115 vs Atlanta Braves 5/4.35

Stanton

• Regular season, 23 G: 4 HR
• Postseason, 3 G: 3 HR

Gerrit Cole vs Rays in postseason:

• - 6 IP, 3 ER, 8 K, W (tonight)
• - 8 IP, 1 ER, 10 K, W (10/10/19)
• - 7.2 IP, 0 ER, 15 K, W (10/5/19)

:thumbsdown3:

 

[mrpickem]

adds​
	912 Los Angeles Dodgers* -161 vs San Diego Padres 8.05/5 1828 Los Angeles Dodgers (Series)* -275 vs San Diego Padres (Series) 6.6/2.4

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[mrpickem]

Plenty BS in Rays/Yanks yesterday with Boone overmanaging as usual only letting Devi go 1inn and using terrible postseason guy in Happ. Also Bucknor's strike zone is hilarious...Yanks whiffed record 18 times. Still NY was in it late with tying runs aboard with no outs in 9th only to see Fraizer and Sanchez strikeout. Honestly why is Sanchez even in there? I was sweating bullets as a Rays backer and have to give the assist to Bucknor.

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	913 Tampa Bay Rays +112 vs New York Yankees 5/5.6 916 Houston Astros -113 vs Oakland Athletics 4.99/4.42 915 Oakland Athletics/Houston Astros Under 9 -115 5/4.35 918 Atlanta Braves -205 vs Miami Marlins 5/2.44 917 Miami Marlins/Atlanta Braves Under 8½ +104 5/5.2

Still waiting patiently for them to post LA line

 

[mrpickem]

​	adding a unit each to earlier plays as lines got better in all 3 plus adding LAD
	919 San Diego Padres/Los Angeles Dodgers* Over 8½ -120 3/2.5 920 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +115 vs San Diego Padres 4/4.6 920 Los Angeles Dodgers -185 vs San Diego Padres 5.92/3.2 913 Tampa Bay Rays +122 vs New York Yankees 1/1.22 916 Houston Astros -104 vs Oakland Athletics 1.04/1 918 Atlanta Braves -188 vs Miami Marlins 1.13/.6

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[mrpickem]

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921 Atlanta Braves* -126 vs Miami Marlins 5/3.97 921 Atlanta Braves/Miami Marlins* Under 9 -105 4.62/4.4 926 New York Yankees* -1½ +145 vs Tampa Bay Rays 4/5.8 Not really sold on the Yanks but if they win it will likely be by more than 2. Prolly best chance for SD tonight but not ready to fade doyers just yet. Honestly not really feeling anything today other than Bravos...fish are toast as they had a great season and overperformed immensely. Of note.. NYY has homered in 14 straight postseason games / which ties HOU (2017-18) for the longest streak in postseason history Teams that outhomer their opponent in a game are now 19-0 this postseason

 

[2daBank]

Man I dunno how you can count fish out? They didn’t over perform, they have incredible pitching! You laying juice and facing a huge pitching mismatch imo! Sixto is lights out and wright a walk waiting to happen! I love marlins 1st 5 innings so Maybe we can both be happy! Fish up 3-1 after 5 then braces come back! Lol. That be awesome!!

 

[2daBank]

No clue on yanks so I jus bet the over since tampa hits lefties and yanks will knock around at least one of tampa pen guys they gonna throw out there! Gl

 

[mrpickem]

Man I dunno how you can count fish out? They didn’t over perform, they have incredible pitching! You laying juice and facing a huge pitching mismatch imo! Sixto is lights out and wright a walk waiting to happen! I love marlins 1st 5 innings so Maybe we can both be happy! Fish up 3-1 after 5 then braces come back! Lol. That be awesome!!

You are right, Sanchez better and fish FF is probably solid, but I just think they are happy with what they've done and they are packing it in plus Braves pen much much better

BOL

:cheers3:

 

[emg2525]

Way too much love for the Marlins F5 today across the internet. Smells too fishy for my liking

 

[2daBank]

Way too much love for the Marlins F5 today across the internet. Smells too fishy for my liking

i felt like it was ppl piggy backing off me. Lol. Maybe not tho, we shall see. Getting plus money on sixto vs wright a joke imo. Fish just have to be patient and take their walks and they will cash this!!

 

[2daBank]

You are right, Sanchez better and fish FF is probably solid, but I just think they are happy with what they've done and they are packing it in plus Braves pen much much better

BOL

:cheers3:

im perfectly happy with 2-1 fish after 5 then Braves bomb the pen!

 

[emg2525]

im perfectly happy with 2-1 fish after 5 then Braves bomb the pen!

I’m not on the Sixto bandwagon. Particularly against the capabilities of the Braves offense.

Good luck today!

 

[2daBank]

I’m not on the Sixto bandwagon. Particularly against the capabilities of the Braves offense.

Good luck today!

I been on the sixto and alcontera wagons since before anyone knew them. Particularly alcontera, killed me cards traded him away.

 

[2daBank]

This is a huge one for sixto tho. He got Braves 1st time, they got him 2nd. Now on him to adjust, id like to see him start some guys with off speed to keep them from jumping fastball like they were in 1st inning!!

 

[mrpickem]

Adding

927 Los Angeles Dodgers* -158 vs San Diego Padres 2.21/1.4

 

[mrpickem]

​	​ ​
	934 Tampa Bay Rays +1½ -120 vs New York Yankees 4/3.33 934 Tampa Bay Rays +146 vs New York Yankees 4/5.84 933 New York Yankees/Tampa Bay Rays Under 7½ -115 4/3.48

With my LAD series also cashing, pulled of the unlikely 5-0 last night.

Gonna roll with Rays and their ace Glasnow tonight. Cole has never pitched on 3 days rest...wow. Of course Glas is going on 2 but he's younger with less wear, also likely more pumped for career defining moment...plus Rays pen is way better and they likely get to pen earlier tonight with short rest. I know NY starters will be in play tonight but really, other than Cole... none have looked good until last night and them guys will have limited availability. Should be a great game, looking forward to it.

:cheers3:

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

​	​ ​
	961 Houston Astros/Tampa Bay Rays* Over 8 -109 5.00 To Win $4.59 962 Tampa Bay Rays* -1½ +155 vs Houston Astros 3.4/5.27 962 Tampa Bay Rays* -130 vs Houston Astros 5.01/3.85 1832 Tampa Bay Rays (Series)* -175 vs Houston Astros (Series) 4.9/2.8

Went 4-0 Friday including the Rays series for 2 day total of 9-0. Goes to show even a old blind mark hits the bull on occasion :breakdance:
Honestly hoping to continue run and I'm still down quite a bit on year, although the playoffs have got over half back for me so far.
Let's go RAYS!

​

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[mrpickem]

Model hot too...10-4 last 4 days to become slightly profitable in playoffs

 

[mrpickem]

​	​
	964 Tampa Bay Rays -1½ +150 vs Houston Astros 3/4.5 964 Tampa Bay Rays -128 vs Houston Astros 5/3.91 965 Atlanta Braves/Los Angeles Dodgers Under 8 -105 5/4.76 1834 Los Angeles Dodgers (Series) -215 vs Atlanta Braves (Series) 5.59/2.6

 

[mrpickem]

 

[AtlHawks]

Per your spreadsheet...

One of Today's Pitchers is not like the others

 

[mrpickem]

​	adding more...​
	964 Tampa Bay Rays* -1½ +170 vs Houston Astros 1/1.7 964 Tampa Bay Rays* -110 vs Houston Astros 3.3/3

 

[mrpickem]

REALLY ONLY 3-0 BUT SINCE I CAME BACK AND BET BOTH RAYS PLAYS AGAIN, I'LL GO WITH 5-0 :rolleyes:

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	967 Tampa Bay Rays* -108 vs Houston Astros 3/2.78 970 Los Angeles Dodgers* -130 vs Atlanta Braves 5.01/3.85 969 Atlanta Braves/Los Angeles Dodgers* Under 8½ +105 4/4.2

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

​	​
	971 Tampa Bay Rays/Houston Astros* Under 8 -108 3/2.78 974 Atlanta Braves* +1½ +100 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5/1.5 973 Los Angeles Dodgers/Atlanta Braves* Under 9½ -103 3/2.91 971 Tampa Bay Rays/Houston Astros* Under 4 +105 for 1st 5 Innings 1/1.05

 

[mrpickem]

Chasing on Rays tonight...

Chasing the Line Since 2013 ~ Playoffs Edition
SU: 34-22 (0.61, 60.7%) avg line: -142.5 / 127.7 on / against: +$675 / -$930 ROI: +7.8% / -14.2% RL: 28-28 (0.34, 50.0%) avg line: -121.8 / 105.0 on / against: -$412 / +$64 ROI: -5.6% / +1.0% OU: 29-25-2 (0.53, 53.7%) avg total: 7.4 over / under: +$236 / -$635 ROI: +3.8% / -10.2%
Runs Walks SO Hits XBH HR SII MRI IL LOB TLOB ODP SRA PU Team 4.25 3.04 9.59 8.11 1.45 1.14 2.30 1.14 3.84 14.16 None 0.61 2.54 4.59 Opp 3.64 2.93 9.61 7.45 1.29 1.07 2.20 0.88 3.11 13.21 None 0.64 2.25 5.18
Date Link Day Site Team Starter Opp Starter Final SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings Oct 14, 2020 Wed away Rays Tyler Glasnow - R Astros Zack Greinke - R -140 8.0 Oct 07, 2020 box Wed home Dodgers Clayton Kershaw - L Padres Zach Davies - R 6-5 1 W 2.5 O 11-9 0-0 3-1 -220 8.5 9 Oct 06, 2020 box Tue home Braves Max Fried - L Marlins Sandy Alcantara - R 9-5 4 W 6.0 O 12-9 1-0 5-3 -200 8.0 9 Oct 02, 2020 box Fri home Cubs Yu Darvish - R Marlins Sixto Sanchez - R 0-2 -2 L -5.0 U 5-5 0-0 0-2 -210 7.0 9 Sep 30, 2020 box Wed away Marlins Sandy Alcantara - R Cubs Kyle Hendricks - R 5-1 4 W -2.0 U 8-4 1-1 4-1 148 8.0 9 Sep 30, 2020 box Wed away Blue Jays Hyun Jin Ryu - L Rays Tyler Glasnow - R 2-8 -6 L 3.0 O 7-12 2-0 0-7 125 7.0 9 Sep 30, 2020 box Wed home Padres Chris Paddack - R Cardinals Kwang Hyun Kim - L 4-7 -3 L 2.5 O 8-13 0-1 0-4 -158 8.5 9

Chasing by season in playoffs



Not many games per year but in SDQL history since 2004 overall record is 64-41 +14.2u or 9.1% ROI

 

[number2]

Nice comeback in playoffs!!!!!!!....keep it rolling ( I meant the pics )......

 

[mrpickem]

2020 Record
YTD [443-414 -69.99u]
PLAYOFFS [50-28 +85.9u]
Yesterday [1-3 -2.72u]


977 Los Angeles Dodgers* -205 vs Atlanta Braves
5/2.44
1834 Los Angeles Dodgers (Series)* -110 vs Atlanta Braves (Series)
2.2/2
977 Los Angeles Dodgers* -½ -150 vs Atlanta Braves for 1st 5 Innings
3/2

No Tampa line yet, haven't even announced starters for either team so far

 

[mrpickem]

​	riding them RAYS...​
	975 Tampa Bay Rays* -1½ +120 vs Houston Astros 2.5/3 975 Tampa Bay Rays* -135 vs Houston Astros 4/2.96 975 Tampa Bay Rays/Houston Astros* Over 9 -117 4/3.42

 

[mrpickem]

0-5 last night ouch

902 Tampa Bay Rays* -127 vs Houston Astros
3.95/3.11
901 Houston Astros/Tampa Bay Rays* Under 8 -110
3/2.73
903 Los Angeles Dodgers* -195 vs Atlanta Braves
5.85/3