2020 ~ Bowls
- Thread starter mrpickem
- Start date
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| 2020 BOWLS - [1-1 -O.23u] | |
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Memphis TT Over 29½ -134 ...Memphis has regressed slightly on offense this year, but that's because of how insanely good they were last year. Memphis still averages 31.6 PPG and 451 YPG. They have scored more than 30 points 6/10 games this year, the games they missed the mark were Tulane, Cincinnati, Navy, and SMU. QB Brady White is experienced and very effective with a stellar 28 to 9 TD/INT ratio. MEM has been ok on the ground this year but mainly rely White and future NFL WR Calvin Austin. Memphis RB Rodrigues Clark has been underused all year but makes it happen against bad defenses and should find holes in the Owls run D. FAU defensively has been fairly strong this year allowing only 16.5 PPG. With a strength of schedule of 130th in the FBS, their road to defensive success has been pretty easy. FAU has not seen an offense nearly as good as Memphis all year. Turnovers have been hard to come by for this defense with just 8 on the year, don't expect that to change much with White running the Tiger attack. Last week vs USM, FAU got torched on the ground for 45 points by an average USM offense. I can see a similar result from a solid MEM offense. Not taking Memphis to cover because of their insanely terrible D. FAU can easily keep this game close which would be even better for the Memphis total. May still hit the 1H and/or game overs as well. Early line was TT O29½ -115 but they quickly moved it to O30½ -120 so I paid a little extra juice to stay below 30 although I doubt it matters in the end.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Looks like it will be Miller Mosley, a graduate transfer from Wofford in his first season in Statesboro. He entered Saturday night's game with appearances in four games, and 1-for-1 passing for 9 yards with no rushing attempts.
That had to change when he was thrust into action Saturday. In the first half, Mosley was 1-for-3 passing for 17 yards, and four carries for 16 yards. He guided the Eagles to a 33-yard field goal by Alex Raynor on the final possession of the first half for a 17-7 lead over the Mountaineers.
He finished the game 5-for-14 passing for 122 yards, including a 78-yard touchdown to Dexter Carter Jr., along with two picks. He rushed 13 times for 49 yards.
More background on Mosley, a 5-foot-10, 190-pounder who played at St. Paul's Episcopal in Mobile, Alabama.:
Last season, he played in 12 games for the Wofford Terriers and had 22 carries for 117 yards and two touchdowns. He completed six passes for 55 yards.
He graduated in May from Wofford University and returned home to Mobile before enrolling at Georgia Southern in the fall.
In the 2018 season at Woffrod, he played QB in all 13 games and had 49 carries for 258 yards and two TDs while completing 18 of 36 passes for 343 yards and two TDs. He also played in all 13 games at Wofford in the 2017 season, both as a quarterback and as the holder on PATs and field-goal attempts
Doubt it matters as run game prevails...
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2daBank
Voice of Reason
I still can’t help but like Ga southern, mostly a fade of latech who’s offense has just looked awful this year outside playing north Texas who most can score on!!
I think FAU the 1st dog of the season I can get behind. Another terrible offense but a defense I think I can back catching more than a td. I could see them dragging Memphis into a ugly ass game like navy pulled off! They can really get after the qb so white could be in for a long day of getting scraped off the ground!!
I think FAU the 1st dog of the season I can get behind. Another terrible offense but a defense I think I can back catching more than a td. I could see them dragging Memphis into a ugly ass game like navy pulled off! They can really get after the qb so white could be in for a long day of getting scraped off the ground!!
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| WEDNESDAY [1-2] | |
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In games within 2 days of Christmas dogs getting over 4 points are 54-32-3 ATS in SDQL history(28 years)
Doesn't hurt that Houston will be without over 20 players due to COVID and other injuries.. :rubbingin:
Also their coach Dana Holgorsen is 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in 7 bowl game appearances
bones
We Must Protect Our Democracy
Nice of your wife to finish the tree today
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| THURSDAY - [3-0 +9.7u] BOWL SEASON [5-3 +5.17u] | |
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Marshall +6½ & Under 53½ ...I know MAR is missing their top RB and LB and their offense has only managed 13 points in the past 2 games combines. I know BUF is getting their #1 RB Patterson back and they have a solid #2 as well. Although MAR had trouble stopping UAB rush attack last week, truth is their D is solid and BUF is unbelievably bad. Both teams will run the ball a lot, and neither will be particularly effective imo. I expect a low scoring borefest settled within a TD either way so gimme the points and the under. Something like 24-18
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| FRIDAY - [1-1 -0.14u] BOWLS - [6-4 +5.03u] SEASON [157-153 -14.42u] | |
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UL Lafayette u34½ ...ULL has only covered this IN 2 of 10 games - @ Texas State and @ ULM. Texas State went 1-7 and had the 118th scoring defense in CFB. ULM had the 126th ranked scoring defense in CFB and went 0-9. UTSA doesn't have necessarily a great D, but they are 52nd in scoring D and held every team but Texas State and MTSU under 35. This includes opponents like BYU, UAB, FAU, and LA Tech all scoring less than 28. The 2 times when their opponent scored over 34½ was also in September and their D seems much improved since then. It's easy to see UTSA relying heavily on their rushing attack as they have all season (23rd ranked rushing offense) and possibly dominating the time of possession. I'd expect ULL to win, but I can see UTSA putting up a fight and could see them covering as well. I see this game ending something like 27-17ish.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
2-2 yesterday, still doing well for bowls so far
Crazy how this line has moved nearly 12 points from the open Fla -3 but the best players on UF are opting out and although they have some talent behind them, I don't think they have seen nearly enough reps to mesh well with Trask, so therefore I don't see Gators putting up much offense. Can't bring myself to lay 8½ at this point however so it's just tots for me.
- 315 Florida/Oklahoma Under 64½ -105
5/4.76 - 315 Florida Under 28 -115 vs Oklahoma
2.3/2
Crazy how this line has moved nearly 12 points from the open Fla -3 but the best players on UF are opting out and although they have some talent behind them, I don't think they have seen nearly enough reps to mesh well with Trask, so therefore I don't see Gators putting up much offense. Can't bring myself to lay 8½ at this point however so it's just tots for me.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
- 322 San Jose State -8½ -108 vs Ball State
3/2.78 - 322 San Jose State -300 vs Ball State
12/4
- Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
- Spartans are 8-1-2 ATS last 11 after a SU win.
- Spartans are 13-3-2 ATS last 18 after an ATS win.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS last 5 neutral site games.
- Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Bowl games.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| THURSDAY - [1-5 -21.33u] | |
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Hard to believe Spartans laid such an egg, especially when I chased with them on ML :holycow:
The lesson...don't chase :rofl:
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| 5-4 yesterday but a loser because I hit Clemson so hard...fuck dabo :doggie: | |
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