🏈 BOWL GAMES

[mrpickem]

I know Army/Navy isn't a bowl game, but it's getting included anyway. Early start to the bowls, with the "IS4S Salute to Veterans Bowl" in Montgomery, Ala.


SATURDAY
3.30/3 Texas -2½ -110
4/4.00 Texas u50½ +100
3.42/3 Penn St +3½ -114
4/3.48 8922 South Dakota State -21 -115
4/3.64 8925 Villanova +11 -110
4/3.64 8928 MONTANA STATE -17 -110
4/3.64 8930 South Dakota -16½ -110
4/3.74 8935 LEHIGH +13½ -107
4/3.64 8975 SOUTHERN U +14½ -110

Season [215-227 -114.55u]
Week 15 [4-7 -11.77u]
LAST [3-6 -11.44u]

SATURDAY​

• 3.15/3 ARMY -6 -105
• 4/3.81 ARMY u39 -105
• 5/4.76 South Alabama o58 -105

randoms...

ARMY 10-2 ATS L12 CONFERENCE GAMES ​

USA 11-5 TO OVER L16 NON-CONFERENCE​

 

[mrpickem]

TUESDAY​

• 4/3.81 Memphis -4 -105

randoms...

BOWL TEAMS WITH OVER 3 MORE WINS THAN OPP 9-2 ATS L5 YEARS​

​

 

[mrpickem]

SATURDAY
3.15/3 ARMY -6 -105
4/3.81 ARMY o39 -103
5/4.76 South Alabama o58 -105

TUESDAY
4/3.81 Memphis -4 -105

Season [216-227 -110.74u]
BOWLS [2-2 -0.53u]
LAST [1-0 +3.81u]

WEDNESDAY​

• 5/4.76 Western Kentucky +7½ -105
• 4/3.81 Western Kentucky o51 -105
• 3.24/3 California +3 -108
• 4/3.67 UNLV u48 -109

​

randoms...

UNDER 11-3-1 IN CAL L15

​

UNDER 10-4-1 IN UNLV L14 ON TURF​

UNLV FINISHED SEASON WINNING 5 OF L7 BUT ONLY 2-5 ATS​

JMU 2-7 ATS L9 ON GRASS​

WKU has won L3 bowls and are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS under Helton. JMU made 1st bowl last year/lost to Air Force 31-21, Bob Chesney took over this year as HC it's his first bowl. WKU opened season with expected loss to Bama, then won 7 of 8 with loss coming at BC where they were up 10 @half. They scored only 7 w/215 yds in loss to LA Tech, also allowed 419 rush in loss to Liberty then had a great situation vs Jax St, who had already clinched CUSA Title game, but still barely prevailed 19-17 @home...then when rematched last week, they were dominated 52-12, outgained 562-229 while allowing 386 rush. WKY has allowed 310 rush ypg in L5. JMU entered the season w/new head coach in Bob Chesney and opened 4-0 with 3 wins by 20+ pts including a 70-50 win @UNC. JMU started season 8-2 but lost first 2 SBC roadies (ULM and GA Southern) and finished season losing @App St by 14 and to Marshall 35-33 in OT to finish 8-4. Alonza Barnett was their QB hitting 60% w/26-4 ratio...but it seems likely we see Billy Akins starting tonight. Barnett was also the #2 rusher (458, 3.4). JMU’s rush attack finished strong(214 ypg (4.9) L4 games). WKU has over 20 players in the portal including QB Veltkamp(Will play), 5 defensive starters and All-CUSA K Carneiro...but Helton has let departing players play in the bowl games the last 3 years and they won all 3. JMU QB Barnett was inj in the finale, tonight's starter;Billy Atkins started 1 game in ‘22 and threw 4 picks. He is a vet of the program with a big arm and runs well. Very likely many of WKU’s players will play in this bowl game...adding some value, but still many questions in this one...line seems pretty sharp but I'll ride with the dog in a close game.​

 

[mrpickem]

WEDNESDAY
5/4.76 Western Kentucky +7½ -105
4/3.81 Western Kentucky o51 -105
3.24/3 California +3 -108
4/3.67 UNLV u48 -109

BOWLS [3-5 -9.10u]
LAST [1-3 -8.57u]

THURSDAY​

• 4/2.11 GEORGIA SOUTHERN -190

randoms...

SHU 1-5 ATS in L6​

Georgia Southern had a great year at 8-4(9-3-1 ATS) with 2 of their 4 losses coming vs Boise St (12-1) & Ole Miss (9-3). In L5 years since Helton took over as HC, they've been 2-3 in bowls(1-4 ATS). Sam Houston (9-3) has been rocked by the transfer portal, especially on defense, a strength where they've limited L5 foes to less than 22 pts. Add in the departure of HC Keeler, who has taken over at Temple and the Bearcats likely struggle today in the program's first bowl game. ​

 

[mrpickem]

Today & tomorrow

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
4/2.11 GEORGIA SOUTHERN -190

BOWLS [3-6 -13.10u]
LAST [0-1 -4.00u]

FRIDAY​

• 5/4.63 Ohio -6 -108
• 5/4.76 Jacksonville State u58 -105
• 4/3.64 Florida -10 -110
• 4/3.81 Tulane o49 -105
• 4/3.48 Indiana +7 -116
• 4/3.81 Notre Dame u52 -105

randoms...

IRISH ONLY 1-13 SU / 3-11 ATS IN BOWLS VS TEAMS >66% WINS​

BOWL TEAMS OFF SHUTOUT WIN OF 44-0 OR BETTER (IU) 13-3 SU & ATS​

IND 8-2 ATS IN L10 (8-3 ON SEASON)​

IRISH 10-2 ATS THIS YEAR​

 

[B.A.R.]

GL on the action today mista

 

[mrpickem]

FRIDAY
5/4.63 Ohio -6 -108
5/4.76 Jacksonville State u58 -105
4/3.64 Florida -10 -110
4/3.81 Tulane o49 -105
4/3.48 Indiana +7 -116
4/3.81 Notre Dame u52 -105

BOWLS [6-9 -13.89u]
LAST [3-3 -0.79u]

SATURDAY​

• 4/3.81 PENN STATE -8 -105
• 3/2.86 SMU o52 -105
• 4/3.70 TEXAS -13 -108
• 4/4.00 TENNESSEE +7 +100
• 2/4.80 TENNESSEE +240
• 4/3.81 TENNESSEE o46 -105

randoms...

B10 12-2 SU / 11-3 ATS VS ACC IN BOWLS L7 YEARS​

B10 8-18 SU / 11-15 ATS VS SEC IN BOWLS L7 YEARS​

SEC 14-7 SU / 12-8 ATS VS ACC IN BOWLS L7 YEARS​

TEX 4-0 ATS OUTSIDE SEC THIS YEAR​

TEN 4-0 ATS OUTSIDE SEC THIS YEAR​

TEX 13-20 ATS IN POSTSEASON SINCE 1980(4-2 L7 YEARS)​

CLEM 21-18 ATS IN POSTSEASON SINCE 1980(4-5 L7 YEARS)​

PNST 20-14 ATS IN POSTSEASON SINCE 1980(3-3 L7 YEARS)​

SMU 5-7 ATS IN POSTSEASON SINCE 1980(0-4 L7 YEARS)​

TEN 19-15 ATS IN POSTSEASON SINCE 1980(3-2 L7 YEARS)​

OHST 18-24 ATS IN POSTSEASON SINCE 1980(3-5 L7 YEARS)​

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

SATURDAY
4/3.81 PENN STATE -8 -105
3/2.86 SMU o52 -105
4/3.70 TEXAS -13 -108
4/4.00 TENNESSEE +7 +100
2/4.80 TENNESSEE +240
4/3.81 TENNESSEE o46 -105

BOWLS [9-12 -11.57u]
LAST [3-3 +2.32u]

MONDAY​

• 4.20/4 UTSA u56 -105
• 5/4.76 Northern Illinois -3½ -105
• 4/3.81 Fresno State u39½ -105

randoms...

• POSTSEASON NUMBERS:
  
  • FAVS OVER 7 HAS CASHED 58% ATS (40-29) L5 YEARS
  • FAVS OVER 7 HAS CASHED 73.7% ATS (14-5) L2 YEARS
  • DOGS OF +1½ TO +7 CASHED 58.5% ATS (31-22) L2 YEARS

 

[mrpickem]

MONDAY
4.20/4 UTSA u56 -105
5/4.76 Northern Illinois -3½ -105
4/3.81 Fresno State u39½ -105

BOWLS [10-14 -15.01u]
LAST [1-2 -3.44u]

TUESDAY​

• 4/3.81 South Florida +3 -105

​

randoms...

• DOGS OF +1½ TO +7 CASHED 58.5% ATS (31-22) L2 YEARS
• SJST 5-0 ATS OUTSIDE OF CONFERENCE THIS SEASON
• American Athletic 6-1-1 ATS last 720 days vs Mountain West, BUT only 2-15 ATS in the 17 before that dating back to 2016
• Nick Nash, a consensus All-American WR, has opted out of the Hawaii Bowl. He was the Spartans best player and won the college receiver triple crown...leading the nation w/104 catches, 1,382 yards and 16 TDs
• The Bulls travel roughly 4700 miles for this game in Honolulu, making it one of the longest road trips possible.

Decent info on transfer portal here.

 

[mrpickem]

TUESDAY
4/3.81 South Florida +3 -105

CFB Record:

Last 12 days = Bowl Season + Army/Navy

THURSDAY​

• 4/3.81 Pittsburgh -7 -105
• 5/4.76 Toledo u50 -105
• 4/3.81 Rutgers +7 -105
• 5/4.76 Kansas State u52 -105
• 5/4.76 Bowling Green -8½ -105
• 5/4.63 Bowling Green u53½ -108

randoms...

• POSTSEASON NUMBERS:
• FAVS OVER 7 HAS CASHED 58% ATS (40-29) L5 YEARS
• FAVS OVER 7 HAS CASHED 73.7% ATS (14-5) L2 YEARS
• DOGS OF +1½ TO +7 CASHED 58.5% ATS (31-22) L2 YEARS
• AKST 1-3 ATS OUTSIDE OF CONFERENCE
• KAST 4-8 ATS THIS YEAR (0-2 OUTSIDE CONFERENCE)
• PIT 4-0 ATS OUTSIDE CONFERENCE
• POSTSEASON FAV>7 W/MODERATE TOT(46-64) IS 54-31 63.5% ATS L7+ YEARS (6-0 THIS YEAR)

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

FAVORITES RECORDS BY YEAR IN THE POSTSEASON



POSTSEASON CONFERENCE RECORD L5 YEARS (VS NON-CONF FOE)







TODAYS GAMES (LINES A FEW DAYS OLD)

 

[mrpickem]

Friday, December 27th​

Birmingham Bowl - Protective Stadium - Birmingham, AL - Georgia Tech/Vanderbilt
A nice non-playoff matchup. Other than GT's WR Eric Singleton, opt-outs were minimal. Both teams should be motivated especially Vanderbilt, who had low expectations but the addition of QB Diego Pavia paid off big...upsetting VT, AUB, UK & Bama but then only beat Ball St by 10 as they performed much worse in chalky role. Tech put up better numbers (+0.5 vs -0.7 ypp margin) but Vandy played a tougher schedule and went 7-2 ATS as a dog this year with 4 SU wins.


Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX - Oklahoma/Navy
Huge line movement here with OU opening as high as a -10 and now only laying a FG. Sooners will be missing 10 starters w/24 in the portal. OU moved to SEC this year and started 3-0 in non-conf games, but then their offense struggled in SEC play with QB Arnold benched in the 2H loss to Tenn. QB Arnold came back as starter and they led at half @Ole Miss. They hosted Bama, got 2 pick-6’s, held a 325-234 yd edge and won 24-3...but then lost @LSU 37-17 in finale. Arnold entered portal so Hawkins (63%, 1-2, 143 rush) is back as starter. They'll likely be without #1 rusher, 3 of their top 4 receivers, AA LB Danny Stutsman and All-SEC S Billy Bowman. They will still have a stout D after allowing just 106 rush (2.9) while holding foes 97 ypg below their avg. Navy will miss ZERO starters with only one player in the portal. Navy was better at stats (+0.1 vs -0.7 in ypp margin) but Oklahoma played a much tougher schedule (#7 vs #91). Michael Hawkins will start at QB for OU, so you can expect a rush-heavy attack. Line movement be damned, I just can't back Navy vs OU even if this is the Sooners worse year in a long time...they did beat bama.

Liberty Bowl - Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium - Memphis, TN - Arkansas/Texas Tech
Both teams ravaged by opt outs. Tech will miss 7 starters including QB & both coordinators. Huge Freshman prospect Will Hammond will get his 1st start at QB. Arkansas appears worse missing 12 starters with a whopping 27 hitting the portal. Both teams have played a similar strength of schedule with Arky better at +1.0 in ypp margin (TT -0.49). Would be on Hogs but with all the players missing, have slight lean to Tech

​

Holiday Bowl - Snapdragon Stadium - San Diego - Syracuse/Washington State
Biggest line move this bowl season...SYR opened as low as -2½ and is now 16-17 chalky favorites. The Orange has minimal opt-outs per HC Fran Brown. WAZU on the other hand has been decimated more than any other team, missing 13 starters including QB and 28 players in portal. Need more fuel...their head coach, both coordinators and multiple assistants have all left the program. w(°o°)w Not sure how this plays out, but I could only back the Orange, even after the ridiculous move.

Las Vegas Bowl - Allegiant Stadium - Las Vegas - Texas A&M/USC
One of the best non-playoff games if only both teams were at full strength. A&M down 5 starters including 3 D-linemen and their D was already playing much worse over last few games. USC down 6 starters including 3 WRs, but still have enough depth at WR to field 4 better than any 4 the Aggs can muster. USC is better than their 6-6 record as they played the 5th toughest schedule. A&M currently on a 5-15-1 ATS run for L21 games. Trojan or bust! One of my strongest play...so beware

​

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
4/3.81 Pittsburgh -7 -105
5/4.76 Toledo u50 -105
4/3.81 Rutgers +7 -105
5/4.76 Kansas State u52 -105
5/4.76 Bowling Green -8½ -105
5/4.63 Bowling Green u53½ -108

BOWLS [12-18 -27.39u]
LAST [1-5 -20.19u]

FRIDAY​

• 5/4.63 OKLAHOMA -2 -108
• 4/3.64 NAVY u43½ -110
• 4/3.81 VANDERBILT +3 -105
• 4/3.81 VANDERBILT u50 -105
• 5/4.76 ARKANSAS +2 -105
• 3.15/3 Syracuse -17½ -105
• 5.40/5 USC +4 -108
• 4/3.70 USC u52½ -108

randoms...

• POSTSEASON NUMBERS:
  • FAVS 93-75-3 55.4% ATS L5 YEARS
  • FAVS OVER 7 HAS CASHED 57.98% ATS (62-45) L5 YEARS
  • FAVS OVER 7 HAS CASHED 68.2% ATS (15-7) L2 YEARS
  • DOGS OF +1½ TO +7 CASHED 58.2% ATS (32-23) L2 YEARS
• UNDER 20-8-1 IN OKL L29 DECEMBER GAMES
• UNDER 20-6-1 IN NAVY L27 DECEMBER GAMES

 

[mrpickem]

Saturday, December 28th​

Fenway Bowl - Fenway Park - Boston - North Carolina/Connecticut
NC fired HC Mack Brown, so TE coach Freddie Kitchens(former Browns HC) will serve as the interim. Obviously, the Heels have been in the news with the shocking hire of Belichick. For this game, UNC will be without 6 starters, including 3 D-linemen and their top player on offense in RB Hampton. UConn loses 5 starters. Looks to be cold but no wind or precip. NC played a tougher schedule (#67 vs #119) and I think that's the right side at -2½ to 3.

Pinstripe Bowl - Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY - Nebraska/Boston College
Only fitting that the both bowl games at Red Sox and Yankees stadiums are going to be played at the same time. NEB is making their first bowl game in 8 years! Even with BC much closer, there will be a large contingent of Nebraska fans. BC has slight edge in stats (+0.1 vs -0.1 in ypp margin) but NEB did play a tougher schedule (#40 vs #54). NEB will miss 4 starters, with a total 24 players on the portal. They will also be without their DC. Too close to call.

Pop Tarts Bowl - Camping World Stadium - Orlando - Miami, FL/Iowa State
The one-huge-factor is: Will Miami QB Cam Ward play? Indications are he will play...but for how long? MIA had better stats (+2.4 toe +0.3) and one of the most explosive offenses in the nation, with WARD. ISU did play the tougher schedule (#36 vs #65). Both teams have announced minimal opt-outs or transfers. Miami WR Xavier Restrepo may still decide to sit per rumors.

Arizona Bowl - Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ - Miami, OH/Colorado State
Interesting matchup here, although both will be without several key players. MIA will be without 5 starters including top 2 WRs. Colorado State loses 6 starters. With similar strength in schedules, MIA produced the better stats (+1.3 to +0.2). There's been UNDER money in the market, but not much on sides. I also like the UNDER and will also back MIA.

Military Bowl - Navy-Marine Corps Stadium - Annapolis - NC State/East Carolina
Solid in-state matchup. ECU has removed the interim tag from Blake Harrell, and he will coach his first bowl game. ECU had better stats (+0.9 vs 0.0) while NCS played the much tougher schedule (#59 vs #125). State will be without DC Tony Gibson(Gone to be HC @ Marshall). ECU will be missing 5 starters (NC State 1). State's the play as far as I can see, and the total seems too high IMO.

Alamo Bowl - Alamodome - San Antonio, TX - Colorado/BYU
Conference foes who didn’t play this season get the chance in BG today. Key factor revolves around COL QB Shedeur Sanders and the Heisman Trophy winner WR/CB Travis Hunter. They say they will play, and the current number (Colorado -3) reflects that. Will they play a full-game? Doubtful. Both teams only lose a couple starters. BYU had a slight edge in ypp margin (+1.3 vs +1.0). COL played a little tougher schedule (#31 vs #46). I think the QB will play as long as needed to help get Deion the W. I'm in up to -3.

Independence Bowl - Independence Stadium - Shreveport, LA - Army/Louisiana Tech
Army originally scheduled to play Sun Belt Champ Marshall, but the Thundering Herd tapped out with so many players in the portal. Army instead gets left with a 5-7 Louisiana Tech that may be better than their record. They were 2-5 in games decided by 7 points or less but did cover their last 5 games and were +0.2 in ypp margin. Army is without top RB Udoh who transferred to ASU. Their OL coach left to become the head coach at CMU, but I still think Army bounces back...just can’t see laying 17.

 

[mrpickem]

FRIDAY
5/4.63 OKLAHOMA -2 -108
4/3.64 NAVY u43½ -110
4/3.81 VANDERBILT +3 -105
4/3.81 VANDERBILT u50 -105
5/4.76 ARKANSAS +2 -105
3.15/3 Syracuse -17½ -105
5.40/5 USC +4 -108
4/3.70 USC u52½ -108

BOWLS [16-22 -26.33u]
LAST [4-4 +1.06u]

SATURDAY​

• 4/3.60 NORTH CAROLINA u54 -111
• 4/3.81 NEBRASKA -3½ -105
• 5/5.00 TCU -10 +100
• 6/5.45 TCU o58½ -110
• 6/5.74 MIAMI OHIO u40½ -105
• 5/4.76 NC State -7 -105
• 4/3.81 COLORADO -3 -105
• 4/3.70 COLORADO u55½ -108
• 6/5.50 ARMY -14 -109
• 5/4.76 LOUISIANA TECH o43½ -105

randoms...

POSTSEASON NUMBERS: ​

FAVS 11-6 ATS THIS YEAR / TOTAL 10-7​

FAVS 93-79-3 54.1% ATS L5 YEARS​

FAVS OVER 7 HAS CASHED 56.9% ATS (33-25) L5 YEARS​

LTCH 8-4 ATS THIS SEASON(3-1 OUTSIDE CONF)​

NCAR 3-8-1 ATS THIS YEAR (0-3-1 OUTSIDE CONF)​

NCST 4-7-1 ATS THIS YEAR (0-3-1 OUTSIDE CONF) BUT 4-1 L5​

BYU 3-0 ATS OUTSIDE CONF & 9-3 OVER TOTAL IN ALL GAMES​

COL 9-3 SU & ATS THIS YEAR INC 9-1 IN L10​

COST 8-4 SU & ATS THIS YEAR INC 8-1 IN L9​

MIAF 8-4 ATS THIS YEAR (4-0 OUTSIDE CONF)​

 

[mrpickem]

GOES MONDAY 30DEC.

Iowa +3 over Missouri

​

 

[mrpickem]

SATURDAY
4/3.60 NORTH CAROLINA u54 -111
4/3.81 NEBRASKA -3½ -105
5/5.00 TCU -10 +100
6/5.45 TCU o58½ -110
6/5.74 MIAMI OHIO u40½ -105
5/4.76 NC State -7 -105
4/3.81 COLORADO -3 -105
4/3.70 COLORADO u55½ -108
6/5.50 ARMY -14 -109
5/4.76 LOUISIANA TECH o43½ -105

BOWLS [21-27 -30.72u]
LAST [5-5 -4.39u]

TUESDAY​

• 6/5.71 ALABAMA -16 -105
• 5/4.55 MICHIGAN u45 -110
• 5/4.55 LOUISVILLE -110
• 5/4.76 Washington u49½ -105
• 5/4.76 South Carolina -8½ -105
• 4/3.81 South Carolina o49 -105
• 4/3.81 LSU +4 -105
• 4/3.70 BOISE ST +11 -108
• 4/3.81 Penn State o53½ -105

​

randoms...

POSTSEASON NUMBERS: ​

FAVS 19-21 ATS THIS YEAR / TOTALS 23-17 57.5%​

FAVS 158-142 52.7% ATS L5 YEARS​

FAVS OVER 7 HAS CASHED 57.7% ATS (64-47) L5 YEARS​

FAVS OVER 7 HAS CASHED 88.9% ATS (8-4) THIS SEASON​

MICH 2-6 ATS L8 BOWLS​

WASH UNDERS: ​

13-3 L13 NEUTRAL SITE GAMES​

23-8 L31 AS DOG​

12-5 L17 OVERALL​

LSU 6-1-1 L8 VS BIG 12​

BOISE 10-4-2 ATS L16 ON GRASS​

PENN ST OVERS 7-1 L8 NEUTRAL SITE / 8-2 L10 DEC GAMES​

​

​

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

I just came across this, already have today's action locked in but thought I would share. Nothing huge but a bit odd that in SEC vs B10 Bowl matchups when total is over 42 for the history of SDQL or since 1989, both the SEC ATS covers and the OVERS are both exactly the same at 28-18-2 or 60.9%. Of note, the SEC has not been as dominant over last few years but they do still get the best of B10

 

[mrpickem]

Continuing my stunning performance as the best fade on CTG.



TUESDAY
6/5.71 ALABAMA -16 -105
5/4.55 MICHIGAN u45 -110
5/4.55 LOUISVILLE -110
5/4.76 Washington u49½ -105
5/4.76 South Carolina -8½ -105
4/3.81 South Carolina o49 -105
4/3.81 LSU +4 -105
4/3.70 BOISE ST +11 -108
4/3.81 Penn State o53½ -105

BOWLS [24-33 -45.81u]
LAST [3-6 -15.09u]

WEDNESDAY​

• 7.70/7 TEXAS -12½ -110
• 4.20/4 TEXAS o51 -105
• 4/4.00 OREGON +2½ +100
• 4.44/4 OREGON u56 -111
• 5/4.39 GEORGIA -114
• 4.20/4 GEORGIA u45 -105

​

randoms...

POSTSEASON NUMBERS:​

FAVS 20-25 ATS THIS YEAR / TOTALS 25-20 55.6%​

FAVS 159-146 52.1% ATS L5+ YEARS​

FAVS OVER 7 HAVE CASHED 57.0% ATS (65-49) L5 YEARS​

FAVS OVER 7 HAVE CASHED 60.0% ATS (9-6) THIS SEASON​

​

​

 

[mrpickem]

WEDNESDAY
7.70/7 TEXAS -12½ -110
4.20/4 TEXAS o51 -105
4/4.00 OREGON +2½ +100
4.44/4 OREGON u56 -111
5/4.39 GEORGIA -114
4.20/4 GEORGIA u45 -105

BOWLS [25-36 -57.95u]
LAST [1-3 -12.14u]

THURSDAY​

• 7/6.54 GEORGIA +1 -107
• 3.15/3 GEORGIA u45½ -105
• 4/3.81 Ole Miss -17½ -105

randoms...

• POSTSEASON NUMBERS:
  • FAVS 21-26 44.7% ATS THIS YEAR / TOTALS 27-20 57.4%
  • FAVS 160-147 52.1% ATS L5+ YEARS
  • TOP10 RANKED FAVS 38-29 56.7% ATS L5+ YEARS
  • FAVS OVER 7 HAVE CASHED 56.5% ATS (65-50) L5 YEARS
  • FAVS OVER 7 HAVE CASHED 56.2% ATS (9-7) THIS SEASON

 

[mrpickem]

Closing in on the end of the season, gents with only 7 games.








​

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
7/6.54 GEORGIA +1 -107
3.15/3 GEORGIA u45½ -105
4/3.81 Ole Miss -17½ -105

BOWLS [27-37 -58.14u]
LAST [2-1 -0.19u]

FRIDAY​

• 6/5.00 TEXAS STATE -13½ -120
• 4/3.81 NORTH TEXAS o63½ -105
  

randoms...
POSTSEASON NUMBERS:

FAVS 23-26 46.9% ATS THIS YEAR / TOTALS 28-21 57.1%​

FAVS 162-147 52.4% ATS L5+ YEARS​

TOP10 RANKED DOGS 19-28 40.4% ATS L5+ YEARS (2019-24)​

FAVS OVER 7 HAVE CASHED 56.9% ATS (66-50) L5 YEARS​

FAVS OVER 7 HAVE CASHED 58.8% ATS (10-7) THIS SEASON​

NTX 0-5 ATS IN L5 & 4-8 THIS SEASON
MIN 6-1-1 ATC IN L8 & 8-2-2 THIS SEASON
AAC 5-2 ATS IN BOWL GAMES THIS SEASON
AAC TOP CONFERENCE IN NATION IN BOWL ATS 15-8 65.2% (2021-24)
SUN BELT CONFERENCE BOWL GAMES GO OVER TOTAL 64.3% L5 YEARS
ACC IN BOWLS L5 YEARS A PATHETIC 14-26 35% (1-9 THIS YEAR)

 

[mrpickem]

FRIDAY
6/5.00 TEXAS STATE -13½ -120
4/3.81 NORTH TEXAS o63½ -105

BOWLS [27-39 -68.14u]
LAST [0-2 -10.00u]

THURSDAY​

• 5/5.00 NOTRE DAME -1 +100

randoms...

POSTSEASON NUMBERS: ​

FAVS 24-27 47.1% ATS THIS YEAR / TOTALS 28-23 54.9%​

FAVS 163-148 52.4% ATS L5+ YEARS​

TOP10 RANKED DOGS 19-28 40.4% ATS L5+ YEARS (2019-24)​

IRISH 11-3 ATS THIS YEAR IN 9-1 L10​

​

​

​

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
5/5.00 NOTRE DAME -1 +100

BOWLS [28-39 -63.14u]
LAST [1-0 +5.00u]

FRIDAY​

• 5/4.76 OHIO STATE -6 -105

randoms...

POSTSEASON NUMBERS: ​

FAVS 24-28 46.2% ATS THIS YEAR / TOTALS 29-23 55.8%​

FAVS 163-149 52.2% ATS L5+ YEARS​

TOP 10 RANKED DOGS 20-28 41.7% ATS L5+ YEARS ​

FAVS OVER 7 HAVE CASHED 56.8% ATS (67-51) L5 YEARS​

FAVS OVER 7 HAVE CASHED 57.9% ATS (11-8) THIS SEASON​

PLAYOFF FAVS OFF ATS COVER OVER 3 VS OPP WITH AVG LINE AT LEAST 21 LOWER THAN GAME LINE: 12-2 ATS AND OSU COVERED SAME VS OREGON LAST GAME
​

​

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

randoms...
POSTSEASON NUMBERS:

FAVS 25-28 47.2% ATS THIS YEAR / TOTALS 29-24 54.7%​

FAVS 186-177 51.2% ATS L7 YEARS​

FAVS OF 7 OR MORE 11-8 57.9% ATS THIS YEAR​

FAVS OF 7 OR MORE 84-66 56% ATS L7 YEARS​

FAVS OF 7 OR MORE w/LOWER WIN% 20-13 60.6% ATS L7 YEARS​

FAVS OVER 7 HAVE CASHED 57.9% ATS (11-8) THIS SEASON​

FAVS OVER 8 PTS RANKED OVER 3 SPOTS LOWER THAN OPP ARE 10-1 ATS POSTSEASON IN SDQL HISTORY(SINCE 1990)​

FAVS WITH AVERAGE LINE MORE THAN 20.5 HIGHER OFF ATS COVER >3 PTS 13-2 ATS IN SDQL HISTORY​

FAVS AVERAGING > 20% MORE POINTS 49-38 56.3% ALL SEASON 2024

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
5/5.00 NOTRE DAME -1 +100

FRIDAY
5/4.76 OHIO STATE -6 -105

BOWLS [29-39 -58.38u]
LAST [1-0 +4.76u]

MONDAY - CHAMPIONSHIP GAME​

• 4.40/4 NOTRE DAME +9 -110
• 1.53/5 NOTRE DAME +326
• 4/3.81 NOTRE DAME u45½ -105

Although I've had a miserable bowl season, I did win the last 2 semi-final games. Every metric I could find pointed to Ohio State, I listed many of them in my previous post. However, this shit is never that easy, so I'm fading common sense and backing good old "Notre Dame Mystique"