(☞ ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)☞ Playoffs

[mrpickem]

SUNDAY
4/3.81 FALCONS +3 -105
3/2.88 SAINTS u42 -104
3/2.97 BENGALS -7½ -101
2/1.92 BROWNS o37 -104
5/4.76 PATRIOTS -2 -105
3/2.86 PATRIOTS u29½ -105
4/3.81 TITANS +4 -105
5/4.81 TITANS u42 -104
4/3.81 VIKINGS o46 -105
2/3.80 PANTHERS +190
5/4.55 PANTHERS u37 -110
3/2.88 COWBOYS -13 -104
3/2.86 49ERS -4 -105
3/2.88 GIANTS +4½ -104
5/4.76 GIANTS u42½ -105
3/2.63 PACKERS -2½ -114
3/2.80 BEARS o45 -107
3/2.86 CARDINALS u47½ -105
2/2.80 BRONCOS +140
4/3.81 RAIDERS u37 -105
3/2.80 CHIEFS o35 -107
3/2.61 BILLS -2½ -115
4/3.81 DOLPHINS u48½ -105

SEASON [225-206 +17.03u]
WEEK 18 [17-11 +19.68u]
LAST [13-10 +8.41u]

SATURDAY​

• 4/3.81 BROWNS -2½ -105
• 3/2.19 BROWNS -137
• 5/4.72 TEXANS u45 -106

randoms...

• HOME DOGS(HOU) 13-4-1 ATS IN WILD-CARD ROUND SINCE 1985
• FLACCO A STOUT 11-4 ATS IN PLAYOFFS AT STARTER
• IT WILL BE TUA'S FIRST PLAYOFF START AND TEMP WILL BE BELOW ZERO
• VERSUS OTHER PLAYOFF TEAMS THIS YEAR SU / ATS:
  • MIA 1-5 / 1-5, KC 1-4 / 1-4, CLE 4-3 / 4-3, HOU 2-2 / 1-3

Philly my lowest-rated PO team:

https://www.tiktok.com/video/7322658006053784862

 

[mrpickem]

WOW, the brownies sure took it in the arse! :doggie:

• 4/3.81 DOLPHINS +5 -105
• 2.51/5 DOLPHINS +199
• 6.12/6 CHIEFS u43 -102

 

[B.A.R.]

Good luck tonight Mister.

 

[mrpickem]

SATURDAY
4/3.81 BROWNS -2½ -105
3/2.19 BROWNS -137
5/4.72 TEXANS u45 -106
4/3.81 DOLPHINS +5 -105
2.51/5 DOLPHINS +199
6.12/6 CHIEFS u43 -102

SEASON [225-206 +17.03u]
PLAYOFFS [1-5 -12.51u]
LAST [1-5 -12.51u]

SUNDAY​

• 4/3.92 PACKERS +7 -102
• 4/3.81 COWBOYS u50½ -105
• 6/6.00 RAMS +3 +100
• 5/4.76 LIONS u52 -105

Twas a rough one for me yesterday, but back for more...

 

[mrpickem]

SUNDAY
4/3.92 PACKERS +7 -102
4/3.81 COWBOYS u50½ -105
6/6.00 RAMS +3 +100
5/4.76 LIONS u52 -105

PLAYOFFS [4-6 -1.83u]
LAST [3-1 +10.68u]

MONDAY​

• 7/6.09 EAGLES -2½ -115
• 10/9.62 BUCS u43 -104
• 6/5.71 BILLS u38½ -105
• 7/6.48 STEELERS +10 -108

randoms...

• PLAYOFFS LAST 7 YEARS:
  
  • 28 GAMES LINES <=3 AND WINNER COVERED 27-0-1
    
    • OF THE 28 LINED <=3 THE DOG WON 16 SU
    • OF THE 28 LINED <=3 THE HOME TEAM WAS 11-11-1 ATS (LESS BECAUSE SB)
  • 7 GAMES LINED >=10 AND CHALK WON ALL AND COVERED 6
• ALL POSTSEASON GAMES SINCE 2021: UNDER CASHED 58.1% (18-13)
• BUF GAMES 7-3 TO UNDER IN L10 (6-1 UNDER L7 @HOME)
• BUF WHEN HOME CHALK OVER 7 HAVE CASHED UNDER 65% (13-7) L7 YEARS
• UNDER 10-2-1 IN LAST 13 PHI PLAYOFF GAMES AS CHALK

-VS OTHER PLAYOFF TEAMS THIS YEAR:

TB 1-5 SU / 4-2 ATS, PHI 6-2 SU / 6-2 ATS​

PIT 5-3 SU / 5-3 ATS, BUF 5-1 SU / 4-2 ATS​

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

The lines look pretty sharp... as expected by now...for now, I'm leaning with the Bays ondering:

 

[mrpickem]

MONDAY
7/6.09 EAGLES -2½ -115
10/9.62 BUCS u43 -104
6/5.71 BILLS u38½ -105
7/6.48 STEELERS +10 -108

PLAYOFFS [5-9 -12.21u]
LAST [1-3 -10.38u]

SATURDAY

​

• 5/4.63 TEXANS +10 -108
• 5/4.76 TEXANS o43½ -105
• 5/4.72 PACKERS +10 -106
• 4.28/4 PACKERS o50½ -107

I line the Pack myself but all the numbers I ran kept saying BAL line too high as well, so I'm backing both DD road dogs today. Also after backing under mostly all season, I'm on the overs today. LFG!

​

 

[C-MAN]

GL today. Dogs in this range have been pretty good ATS in divisional round.

 

[mrpickem]

SATURDAY
5/4.63 TEXANS +10 -108
5/4.76 TEXANS o43½ -105
5/4.72 PACKERS +10 -106
4.28/4 PACKERS o50½ -107

PLAYOFFS [7-11 -12.05u]
LAST [2-2 +0.16u]

SUNDAY​

• 4/3.81 BUCS +6 -105
• 5/4.76 LIONS u50 -105
• 4/4.08 CHIEFS +2½ +102
• 6/5.71 BILLS u45' -105

Sticking with dogs again, but back on unders today.

 

[mrpickem]

SUNDAY
4/3.81 BUCS +6 -105
5/4.76 LIONS u50 -105
4/4.08 CHIEFS +2½ +102
6/5.71 BILLS u45' -105

PLAYOFFS [8-14 -22.97u]
LAST [1-3 -10.92u]

SUNDAY​

• 5/4.55 RAVENS -4 -110
• 3/1.46 RAVENS -205
• 6/5.71 RAVENS u44½ -105
• 5/4.59 LIONS +7½ -109
• 1.36/4 LIONS +295
• 5/4.63 LIONS o51½-108

randoms...

• L4 years, #1-seed 4-1 ATS in conference title
• #1-seeds 11-5 ATS in conference title L10 years
• BAL 10-3 ATS in L13 playoff games
• KC 4-1 L5 vs BAL with the over 4-1
• Over 8-4 in L12 BAL games
• Lamar 60-22 SU as starter and 2-3 in playoffs
• Mahomes 87-25 SU as starter and 13-3 in playoffs
• DET 36-16-1 ATS overall under Campbell(12-8 as road dog)
• Over 11-5 in L16 DET games
• Purdy 20-5 SU as starter and 3-1 in playoffs
• Goff 70-53-1 as starter, 26-23-1 w/DET and 4-3 in playoffs

 

[mrpickem]

Of the Top 10 model rank, only 2 didn't make the final four...

 

[mrpickem]

SUNDAY
5/4.55 RAVENS -4 -110
3/1.46 RAVENS -205
6/5.71 RAVENS u44½ -105
5/4.59 LIONS +7½ -109
1.36/4 LIONS +295
5/4.63 LIONS o51½-108

PLAYOFFS [11-17 -17.4u]
LAST [3-3 +5.57u]

SUPER SUNDAY​

• 4.20/4 49ers -2 -105
• 3.15/3 49ers o47½ -105
• 2/2.00 1H-49ers -½ +100
• 3/2.73 1H-49ers o23 -110

Not a prop player, but throw a few out there for fun

• 2/1.82 D.Samuel rushing yards Over 15½ -110
• 2/1.82 P.Mahomes rushing yards Over 26½ -110
• 2/1.82 Yardage of longest FG made Over 47½ -110
• 2/1.43 T.Kelce pass receptions Over 6½ -140
• 2/1.72 49ers player wins Super Bowl LVIII MVP -116

randoms...

• It seems almost everyone is on the Chiefs and many of my metrics point to them, but I'm taking SF. Biggest advantage the Chiefs have is on DEF and I still believe the Niners have too many weapons. That and the fact Mahomes has one weapon (Kelce) and a serviceable RB. SF was either the best or #2 all year. They've fumbled around in the playoffs, but still salvaged 2 comeback wins. I suspect they may be able to put together a whole game. 49ERS 34 CHIEFS 27
• Since 2000 the SB team with the better record(SF) is 2-15 ATS in the big game (1-10 as fav) KillerSports.com
• KC won L5, giving up 14 ppg
• UNDER 12-4 in last 16 KC games(14-6 under on season) KillerSports.com
• Mahomes 14-3 SU as starter in playoffs
• Purdy 21-5 SU as starter, 4-1 in playoffs
• Reid 25-16 SU in playoffs, 15-7 with KC
• Shanahan 72-54 sU as head coach, 8-3 in playoffs
• DOGS 8-4 in L12 SBs
•