zigzag theory.. anybody have stats that track this?

[georgioly]

when does this situation really apply? anyone have stats?

if the previous winner is a DOG SU winner then take the fave next game right.. and if the fave covered the spread then take the dog next game.. but

what if the DOG won the previous game only ats but lost SU?

what if the Fave won the previous game SU but lost ATS?

 

[emkee]

It used to work great 10 years ago, books somewhat adjust now

 

[nbafan88]

Well this system is somewhat similar and going strong


Monday/Tuesday NBA system:
First 2 rounds of NBA playoffs, game #2 for home team if that team lost game #1 by 4-8 points: 14-0 SU/ATS. Won all games by 6+, 13/14 by double digits, last 10 by 13+.
Two games from this system last season, both times home team covered by 20+pts.
PLAY ON: Clippers -8, Indiana -7, Toronto-4.5. (big plays)

 

[nbafan88]

I guess Houston doesn't qualify. Lol

 

[divol]

It used to work great 10 years ago, books somewhat adjust now

I don't think that one point correction to the lines, can really make a difference.

 

[divol]

It used to work great 10 years ago, books somewhat adjust now

I don't think that one point correction to the lines, can really make a difference.

 

[emkee]

I don't think that one point correction to the lines, can really make a difference.

Will have to dig up the numbers but if you compare 10 years ago to the last 8 or so years it's a big difference. Last 8 years it's hitting around 50%. Still okay but not great.

 

[emkee]

Zig-zag ATS results (1991-2013)

Overall: 745-661-36 (52.9%)

Game 2: 186-147-13 (55.8%)

Game 3: 188-151-6 (55.4%)

Game 4: 153-155-7 (49.6%)

Game 5: 117-118-6 (49.7%)

Game 6: 72-67-2 (51.7%)

Game 7: 29-23-2 (55.7%)

(2000-2013) 434-412-26 as opposed to (1991-2000) 311-249-10

 

[emkee]

Best zig-zag scenario, imo is in Game 2 when the home team is off a Game 1 loss.

 

[divol]

Will have to dig up the numbers but if you compare 10 years ago to the last 8 or so years it's a big difference. Last 8 years it's hitting around 50%. Still okay but not great.

Sometimes the league itself changes.
I read an article a year ago, about how both in Europe and in the NBA, in the last few years, home court means much less than it was back in the old days (stats wise).

The main question is how much the ATS percentage would have changed if we add one point to the teams (for or against).
Obviously the voids would have been losses, but other than that... I don't know...