Yankees/Red Sox, Royals/Twins, Rockies/White Sox Parlay Preview Article

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MLB Parlay for Today at (+620) Feature Yankees-Red Sox Slugfest

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
Tuesday, September 13, 2022 at 7:10 p.m. ET (TBS) at Fenway Park in Boston

Who Starts for the Yankees?

Gerrit Cole starts for New York tonight.

Cole is worth fading tonight because he is pitching in Boston where he repeatedly struggles.

Last year, Cole yielded a 6.19 ERA in three starts in Boston.

This season, he yields a 7.50 ERA in one start in Fenway Park.

These more recent numbers are consistent with his negative history throughout his career in this ballpark.

Here, he suffers a 5.45 ERA in seven career starts.

Who Starts for Boston?

Nick Pivetta starts for Boston tonight.

Pertinently to my favorite play for this game, Pivetta is a strong "over" pitcher.

The "over" is hitting in 64 percent of his starts overall.

Pivetta vs. Yankee Batters

Primarily, Pivetta throws a fastball, curveball, and slider.

These three pitches make up, together, over 97 percent of his arsenal.

Yankee batters look reliable tonight because they rank fourth in slugging against Pivetta's favorite pitches from righties.

Far from struggling as they were in prior weeks, Yankee batters look dominant right now.

Their currently superb form is evident in the fact that they scored 10 runs in each of their past two games.


Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
Tuesday, September 13, 2022 at 7:40 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis

Who Starts for Kansas City?

Kris Bubic starts for the Royals today.

Bubic is coming off a tough-luck start against Cleveland in which he yielded a 4.26 ERA and a .316 BABIP (batting average of balls in play) despite doing a strong job of limiting hard contact.

His 2.80 FIP in that start reflects how well he pitched and indicates the existence of something positive for him to build off of.

Slumping Twins

Whereas Bubic is trending upward individually, the Twins are struggling mightily.

They've lost nine of their last 11 games.

Most recently, they got swept by Cleveland at home.

Bubic vs. Twin Batters

Since Minnesota's slump began on August 31, they slug .050 against Bubic's pitches -- his fastball, changeup, and curveball -- from lefties.

While Bubic gave up a lot of runs on August 15 in Minnesota, he yielded a 2.24 FIP, which reflects his ability to succeed in Minnesota.

Who Starts for Minnesota?

Joe Ryan starts for the Twins today.

Kansas City has gotten to see Ryan three times.

As measured by Ryan's FIP, the Royals have improved in every start against him.

Last time, just under a month ago, Ryan yielded a 4.43 FIP against them.


Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox
Tuesday, September 13, 2022 at 8:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago

Who Starts for Colorado?

Chad Kuhl starts for the Rockies tonight.

While Kuhl has had some notable success in his home ballpark, he is struggling outside of it.

Partly because Kuhl is worse in road games, Colorado is yielding -3.8 units in games in which Kuhl starts away from home.

Kuhl's Form

In addition to struggling generally in road games, Kuhl has been awful in his most recent starts.

In his last nine starts, if he allowed three earned runs, then he failed to last more than five innings.

Four times, he allowed five earned runs or more.

Moreover, he allowed two home runs or more in four of his past five starts.

White Sox Batters' Outlook

Whereas Kuhl is struggling, Chicago is playing strongly.

Since August 31, the White Sox are 8-3.

During this positive stretch of play, they rank ninth against Kuhl's favorite pitches -- his slider and sinker -- from righties.

Among others, look out for AJ Pollock, who is heating up.

Pollock is slugging .585 so far in September.

Who Starts for Chicago?

Chicago starts Michael Kopech today.

Kopech favors a fastball-slider combo.

He merits optimism tonight because the Rockies slug .317 against these pitches from righties away from home.

Best Bet: Parlay Yankees/Red Sox over 8.5 at +100, Royals RL at -140, & White Sox RL at +110 at +620 odds with BetOnline
 
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