Worst 2019 CFB Teams

[number2]

I’ll go with UMASS.....

I remembered it was UConn last year and then ECU the year before....betting the overs and against them was money....also opponents TT overs.

Anyone care to chime in if theres anymore bad teams to fade?

 

[M.O.T]

I’ll have to check my PRs later, but I know I have Akron in the bottom 5 along with UMass. I believe I still have UTEP down there as well but that may still be too heavily weighted on last year. I think they can move up a few spots.

 

[carolinablue]

Definitely agree on UMass and I would also toss Akron onto that trash heap, although they aren’t at UMass’ level.

 

[carolinablue]

I’ll have to check my PRs later, but I know I have Akron in the bottom 5 along with UMass. I believe I still have UTEP down there as well but that may still be too heavily weighted on last year. I think they can move up a few spots.

Great minds think alike as we must have posted at the same time.

 

[B.A.R.]

I’ll go with UMASS.....

I remembered it was UConn last year and then ECU the year before....betting the overs and against them was money....also opponents TT overs.

Anyone care to chime in if theres anymore bad teams to fade?

UMass plays a few other terrible teams this year too. Shitshows....

 

[booksbestfriend]

Georgia Tech, Rutgers, USF, VT...with FSU closely monitoring the situation.

 

[gps_3]

I meant to start a similar thread the other day, glad others think the same way. San Jose St was one last year too, I think. I made a ton of $ betting against ECU a few years ago

 

[B.A.R.]

I meant to start a similar thread the other day, glad others think the same way. San Jose St was one last year too, I think. I made a ton of $ betting against ECU a few years ago

Two years ago TTs vs ECU was like the best thing ever.

 

[M.W.]

I’ll have to check my PRs later, but I know I have Akron in the bottom 5 along with UMass. I believe I still have UTEP down there as well but that may still be too heavily weighted on last year. I think they can move up a few spots.

I believe my wife's alma mater may have climbed out of the bottom five. This week they're favored over a team that beat Tennessee.

 

[M.W.]

Don't forget UTEP and its rival NMSU.

 

[number2]

Don't forget UTEP and its rival NMSU.

Don’t these 2 teams play to the over most of the times? Seems like shit teams playing against each other, Over is the way to play it?

 

[gps_3]

College Football Team ATS Trends - All Games, 2019
Win/LossATSOver/Under
Definitions
Range: All Results 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Since 2003 Since 2004 Since 2005 Since 2006 Since 2007 Since 2008 Since 2009 Since 2010 Since 2011 Since 2012 Since 2013 Since 2014 Since 2015 Since 2016 Since 2017 Since 2018 Since 2019
Show: All AAC ACC Big 12 Big Ten CUSA Ind. I-A MAC MWC Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt
Situation: All Games After A Bye Against Ranked Opponents After A Win After A Loss After A Tie As Home Team As Away Team At Neutral Site As Favorite As Underdog As Home Favorite As Home Underdog As Away Favorite As Away Underdog With Rest Advantage With Rest Disadvantage With Equal Rest Conference Games Non-Conference Games Regular Season Games Bowl Games

Team	ATS Record	Cover %	MOV	ATS +/-
U Mass	0-3-0	0.0%	-29.0	-18.5
Michigan	0-2-0	0.0%	11.0	-17.8
UAB	1-1-0	50.0%	8.0	-16.0
Syracuse	1-2-0	33.3%	-18.0	-14.8
VA Tech	0-3-0	0.0%	4.7	-14.8
Akron	0-3-0	0.0%	-23.7	-14.2
Florida Intl	0-3-0	0.0%	-7.0	-13.5
Buffalo	0-3-0	0.0%	-7.3	-12.7
UCLA	0-3-0	0.0%	-17.7	-11.8
Nevada	1-2-0	33.3%	-20.7	-11.5
Florida St	0-2-1	0.0%	-3.7	-11.0
Boston Col	1-2-0	33.3%	5.0	-10.8
GA Tech	0-3-0	0.0%	-12.3	-10.7
Iowa State	1-1-0	50.0%	1.0	-9.5
E Carolina	1-2-0	33.3%	-7.0	-9.0
Stanford	1-2-0	33.3%	-11.0	-8.8
TX El Paso	0-2-0	0.0%	-16.5	-8.0
Bowling Grn	1-2-0	33.3%	-12.3	-7.8
S Florida	2-1-0	66.7%	-4.7	-7.8
Tennessee	1-2-0	33.3%	11.3	-7.8
New Mexico	1-1-0	50.0%	-22.0	-7.8
Troy	0-2-0	0.0%	12.0	-7.8
Minnesota	0-2-1	0.0%	4.3	-7.2
Purdue	1-2-0	33.3%	-2.0	-6.8
LA Tech	1-2-0	33.3%	1.0	-6.8
Arkansas	1-2-0	33.3%	4.7	-6.8
N Mex State	1-2-0	33.3%	-41.3	-6.7
Vanderbilt	0-2-0	0.0%	-21.0	-6.5
San Jose St	0-2-0	0.0%	-0.5	-6.0
NC State	1-2-0	33.3%	17.3	-5.7
Miss State	1-2-0	33.3%	8.7	-5.5
Indiana	1-2-0	33.3%	7.0	-5.2
Cincinnati	2-1-0	66.7%	-3.3	-5.0
Texas State	0-3-0	0.0%	-24.3	-4.8
Mississippi	1-2-0	33.3%	6.7	-4.8
UNLV	2-1-0	66.7%	-3.0	-4.7
North Texas	1-2-0	33.3%	-2.7	-4.2
GA Southern	1-2-0	33.3%	-15.7	-4.0
Connecticut	1-1-0	50.0%	-2.5	-3.5
Houston	2-1-0	66.7%	-1.7	-3.5
Fla Atlantic	2-1-0	66.7%	-16.0	-3.3
N Illinois	2-1-0	66.7%	-13.3	-3.3
Miami (OH)	1-2-0	33.3%	-5.0	-3.3
Old Dominion	1-1-0	50.0%	-5.5	-3.2
TX-San Ant	1-2-0	33.3%	-13.0	-3.0
W Kentucky	1-2-0	33.3%	-6.0	-3.0
Northwestern	0-2-0	0.0%	3.0	-3.0
Texas Tech	2-1-0	66.7%	18.7	-3.0
Colorado St	1-2-0	33.3%	-5.7	-2.8
App State	1-1-0	50.0%	25.0	-2.8
TX Christian	1-1-0	50.0%	26.5	-2.8
Ohio	1-2-0	33.3%	3.0	-2.7
Middle Tenn	1-2-0	33.3%	-7.7	-2.2
Arkansas St	1-2-0	33.3%	-12.0	-2.0
Arizona	1-2-0	33.3%	10.3	-2.0
Arizona St	1-2-0	33.3%	12.7	-2.0
Nebraska	1-2-0	33.3%	15.7	-2.0
Georgia State	1-1-1	50.0%	-11.0	-1.8
Central Mich	2-1-0	66.7%	-7.7	-1.8
Florida	1-2-0	33.3%	19.0	-1.5
Kent State	1-2-0	33.3%	-19.7	-1.2
Rutgers	1-1-0	50.0%	-1.5	-1.0
Illinois	1-2-0	33.3%	14.7	-0.7
Ball State	1-2-0	33.3%	2.7	-0.3
Wyoming	2-1-0	66.7%	6.7	0.0
Marshall	1-2-0	33.3%	11.3	0.0
Michigan St	1-2-0	33.3%	17.3	0.0
BYU	2-1-0	66.7%	-4.0	+0.2
Wake Forest	1-1-1	50.0%	9.7	+0.3
S Alabama	1-2-0	33.3%	-9.0	+0.5
Alabama	1-2-0	33.3%	38.3	+0.5
Pittsburgh	2-1-0	66.7%	-4.3	+0.8
Utah	1-2-0	33.3%	22.3	+0.8
Hawaii	1-2-0	33.3%	-7.3	+1.2
California	1-2-0	33.3%	7.0	+1.5
S Mississippi	2-1-0	66.7%	3.3	+1.7
Boise State	2-1-0	66.7%	15.7	+1.7
Washington	2-1-0	66.7%	21.3	+1.7
Army	2-1-0	66.7%	7.3	+1.8
Clemson	2-1-0	66.7%	29.0	+1.8
E Michigan	2-1-0	66.7%	-3.7	+2.2
W Virginia	1-1-1	50.0%	-2.3	+2.2
Colorado	2-1-0	66.7%	5.7	+2.2
Toledo	1-1-0	50.0%	15.5	+2.2
Tulsa	2-1-0	66.7%	-7.3	+2.5
USC	1-2-0	33.3%	10.0	+2.5
Memphis	2-1-0	66.7%	24.0	+2.5
Auburn	3-0-0	100.0%	21.0	+2.7
Oklahoma St	3-0-0	100.0%	25.7	+2.7
Fresno St	1-0-1	100.0%	-5.5	+3.2
Iowa	1-2-0	33.3%	18.3	+3.5
Missouri	2-1-0	66.7%	25.0	+3.8
Kentucky	3-0-0	100.0%	9.0	+4.0
Charlotte	2-1-0	66.7%	13.7	+4.0
Liberty	1-2-0	33.3%	-9.0	+4.2
S Carolina	2-1-0	66.7%	11.3	+4.2
Rice	1-1-1	50.0%	-20.7	+4.5
Texas	2-1-0	66.7%	19.7	+4.8
San Diego St	2-1-0	66.7%	12.0	+5.0
Wash State	1-2-0	33.3%	33.3	+5.0
Temple	2-0-0	100.0%	23.5	+5.2
Duke	2-1-0	66.7%	5.3	+5.3
Virginia	2-0-1	100.0%	19.3	+5.5
Texas A&M	3-0-0	100.0%	26.3	+5.7
Miami (FL)	2-1-0	66.7%	18.7	+5.8
Oklahoma	2-1-0	66.7%	36.0	+5.8
N Carolina	2-1-0	66.7%	0.3	+6.7
Penn State	2-1-0	66.7%	37.0	+6.8
Georgia	2-1-0	66.7%	41.7	+7.0
Oregon St	2-1-0	66.7%	6.3	+7.3
Coastal Car	2-1-0	66.7%	12.3	+7.3
LA Monroe	1-1-0	50.0%	10.5	+7.5
Notre Dame	1-1-0	50.0%	35.0	+8.2
LSU	2-1-0	66.7%	36.7	+8.3
Kansas	1-2-0	33.3%	8.7	+8.5
Louisville	3-0-0	100.0%	13.7	+9.5
W Michigan	2-1-0	66.7%	16.0	+9.7
Baylor	1-1-0	50.0%	44.0	+9.8
Oregon	1-2-0	33.3%	32.3	+12.5
Utah State	2-0-0	100.0%	26.0	+12.8
S Methodist	3-0-0	100.0%	19.7	+13.2
LA Lafayette	3-0-0	100.0%	27.3	+13.3
Air Force	2-0-0	100.0%	24.0	+13.8
Tulane	2-1-0	66.7%	20.7	+14.2
Central FL	3-0-0	100.0%	38.0	+15.7
Ohio State	2-1-0	66.7%	35.7	+16.2
Kansas St	3-0-0	100.0%	31.3	+17.8
Navy	2-0-0	100.0%	35.0	+20.5
Maryland	2-1-0	66.7%	39.7	+27.7
Wisconsin	2-0-0	100.0%	55.0	+33.0

 

[gps_3]

Obviously 2-3 games is a pretty small sample size, and data is skewed by poor teams playing payday games early, or good teams being overvalued, but I think worth looking at. I assume the books will do better on the P5 teams moving forward, but there will likely be a G5 team or two that never get appropriately rated, or they are just so bad it doesn't matter