World Series

[Alan Tongue]

Again, percentage after home starter is their probability to win, number after the away starter is the expected number of runs.

Volquez 54.8% Harvey 8.31
Cueto 56.7% DeGrom 7.86
Syndergaard 55.6% Ventura 7.17
Matz 52.8% Young 7.33
Harvey 55.5% Volquez 7.12
Cuteo 56.7% DeGrom 7.86
Ventura 54.5% Syndergaard 8.37

Series: Kansas City 50.5%

Kansas City 4-0 4.5%
Kansas City 4-1 10.5%
Kansas City 4-2 16.5%
Kansas City 4-3 19.1%
NY Mets 4-3 18.7%
NY Mets 4-2 15.8%
NY Mets 4-1 11.1%
NY Mets 4-0 3.8%

 

[B.A.R.]

Cool, thanks for posting those again:shake:

 

[Timh]

Thanks Alan :shake:

 

[mrob]

very nice

 

[Paulie The Vig]

Great Stuff as always.FWIW Harvey is expected to be available for Game 1 of the World Series against the Royals despite swelling in his right tricep.

:shake:

 

[Alan Tongue]

Updated

Series: Kansas City 68.0% (-212)

Kansas City 4-0 8.2%
Kansas City 4-1 16.1%
Kansas City 4-2 22.0%
Kansas City 4-3 21.6%
NY Mets 4-3 15.8%
NY Mets 4-2 11.3%
NY Mets 4-1 5.0%
<strike>NY Mets 4-0 3.8%</strike>

 

[Timh]

Alan what kind of overlay % are you looking for on those series exact results? Do you think KC in 7 provides enough value at +400?

 

[Alan Tongue]

I'd be looking for at least 5% overlay

 

[Timh]

Thanks Alan :shake:

 

[Alan Tongue]

Updated

Series: Kansas City 84.5% (-545)

Kansas City 4-0 14.5%
Kansas City 4-1 23.2%
Kansas City 4-2 25.6%
Kansas City 4-3 21.3%
NY Mets 4-3 10.7%
NY Mets 4-2 4.8%
<strike>NY Mets 4-1</strike>
<strike>NY Mets 4-0 </strike>

 

[Alan Tongue]

Updated

Series: Kansas City 71.6% (-252)


<strike>Kansas City 4-0</strike>
Kansas City 4-1 16.2%
Kansas City 4-2 27.7%
Kansas City 4-3 27.7%
NY Mets 4-3 18.8%
NY Mets 4-2 9.5%
<strike>NY Mets 4-1</strike>
<strike>NY Mets 4-0 </strike>