wk 6 What are the squares thinking...

foolball

Well-Known Member
All lines are based on sportsbook.

bal / ind -4.5
- bal lost to the undefeated ten
- they also lost last monday night against pit
- they can't seem to beat good teams

indy
- they were down against hou but came back and won in the 4th
- sign of a good team
- they still having Peyton

Since Indy is a good team and at home, they should easily cover by 4.5
Accuscore predicts a 24.8 to 16.3 score. Easy cover

Pick Indy

Det / Minny
- Det is winless overall and winless on the road
- Chi smoked them at home

Minny
- they got lucky winning against NO
- they did beat Det last year by 32 pts
- 1-1 at home

This is tough. Since Minny won last night, I think they will have a let down. Det needs this win.

Pick: Det

Oak / NO -7.5
- Oak had a bye
- fired their coach
- probably have no fire to continue to play

- NO on the other hand lost a game they should've won
- 2-1 at home
- they have 1 of the best fantasy QB
- did you know at one point, Bush was clocked at 23mph running...that's fast.

Pick NO

Cin / NYJ -6
- Cin is 0-5
- they are a team in disarray
- granted, they gave Dal a run for their money but still, they can't win

- Jets are coming off a bye
- they know they can beat Cin. This is a winnable game.
- a win will put them above .500
- they have Favre
- they are 2-0 after bye weeks under Mangini

Pick Jets

More to come...
 
you can bet these will be the public plays this weekend.

1. Chicago Bears hands down (-2.5 at atlanta)
2. Dallas Cowboys (-5 at airzona)

dont know about others yet
 
Chi / Atl +2.5
- chi just beat the crap out of Det 34-7 @ Det
- they are 2-1 away
- awesome def
- didnt' they beat Philly

- Atl beat GB @ GB
- GB is without Favre
- 2-0 at home
- who's on Atl other then Michael Vick

Pick Chi

Car / TB -1.5
- Car shut out KC 34-0
- a$$ whooping
4-1 record

- TB lost to den
- they can't score
- 3-2 record but 2-0 at home

tough one but car seems to be clicking. can't ignore the shutout

Pick Car

Stl / Was -13.5
- Stl had a bye
- 0-4 record
- one of the worse teams

- Was beat Philly @ Philly
- 4-1 and 2-0 @ home

Lots of points but people are saying NFC east is strong

Pick Was

Mia / Hou -3
- Mia beat NE @ NE and SD in 2 weeks. Hou is winless

Pick Mia

more to come...
 
quick look at openin lines lopsided money should be on

bears
wash
jets
dallas
giants
 
jax / den -3.5

- jax lost to pits but with so many bad calls by the ref, they could of easily won
- I still remember them beating Indy
- 1-1 on the road

- den is 3-0 at home
- they beat tb last week
- it's tough to win at den

Pick Den

Phi / SF +5
- phi lost to was
- 0-2 away
- brian westbrook has broken ribs

- sf lost to ne
- ne is still a good team right?
- 1-2 @ home

This is tough because with Westbrook, I love Phi, without him...
Pick SF

GB / Sea -2.5
- GB lost at home against Atl
- GB should be upset
- 1-1 away

- Sea is 1-1 at home
- they got smoked at NYG last week
- 1-3 in a very weak division

Pick GB

Dal / Ari +5
- 2-0 away
- 4-1

- ari just had the game of their life against the 4-0 buf
- major letdown

NE / SD -6
- ne won in sf last week
- they beat sd like 2 or 3 times last 2 years
- ne is getting points

- sd just lost to the 1-15 miami
nuff said

pick NE

nyg / cle +9
- defending sb champs
- demolished sea
- sea is better than cle
- ny had a awesome away record last year

- cle is 0-2 at home
- cle had a bye last week

nyg too much
Pick NYG
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Dallas you think will be a heavy "public" play this week ? They lost athome to Wash then let the winless Bengals take them to the wire . Cards just blew out Buffalo who was 4-0 and made that comeback against the Jets . For some reason my thougt process would lead me to believe that Arizona gets more so callled square money . Its hard to ever not have alot of Dallas money but the closer you get to 55% for them the more I view that as unusual level of anti-Dallas flow making it sort of the same as how one would view a public play ...as in to easy ...
 
Dallas you think will be a heavy "public" play this week ? They lost athome to Wash then let the winless Bengals take them to the wire . Cards just blew out Buffalo who was 4-0 and made that comeback against the Jets . For some reason my thougt process would lead me to believe that Arizona gets more so callled square money . Its hard to ever not have alot of Dallas money but the closer you get to 55% for them the more I view that as unusual level of anti-Dallas flow making it sort of the same as how one would view a public play ...as in to easy ...

Nut I firmly believe a lot more action on Dallas by Sunday.This is Americas team and with that means inflated lines. Dallas may win but by 3 to 4. They can't stop the aerial attack and thats what zona does.
 
I think in terms of "public" thinking with Dallas is that they will see the struggles the Boys have had and think, "they are due" type of thing. They will expect a bounceback, and will still have memories of AZ's loss to the Jets b/c of the extreme score in that one
 
Thanks for the feedback guys . Guess its take a wait and see approach but Zona is overrated IMO . They were a PK with Buffalo basically and while I pounded like most it was more because the Bills arent anything special . Still dont get where people see teams throwing all over Dallas it hasnt happened yet IMO . You can throw on Dallas for sure but I havent seem them play a team who just marches up and down the field on them. @GB , vs Philly , and vs Cincy are all solid pass teams . If the Wsh game is holding some weight Santana Moss has owned the Cowboys past few years and just doesnt matter as long as the jersey says DALLAS he goes off . Plus Newman was les then 100% covering him as we now know . Look at 07 Moss 2 biggest games DAL . 9r 121 yds then 8r 115 yds . He had 3 TDs all seasonand two vs Dallas . Something like 44R 575yds 1 TD the rest of the season in 13 games. In 2006 only 1 game and quiet 4r 69yds . In 2005 5r 159yds 2 TD and 2r 73yds. Dudes killed them YOY.

Even last week was about a split % 's.

Dont you think teams can throw on Arizona and big plays is what DAL does . Favre had a bazillion TDs then Losman hit Evans for like an 87yd TD pass . Zona didnt pull away till right before half really .

The sloppy Boys scare me to back Dallas I admit but to see Zona here competing not sure I do .....

Just debating it fellas ..
 
I actually don't think I'm going to play the side, but I want to tease that total down - just don't know what to pair it with
 
I'd tease it with either Det -19 (less you think Minn gonna blow them out) or with philly over (tease down to 36-37 depending on your numb). I'm willing to play the over in the philly game straight up tho.
 
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