smh212
Awesomeitus Degenerate
Regular Seaon YTD: 59-45-1 +21.78
Sides: 27-23-2 +4.33
Totals: 13-8 +5.55
Teaser: 8-5+ 7.85
Parlays 1-2 +1.85
Prop : 4-1 +3.25
Half 5-5 -1.20
Team Totals: 1-1 +0.15
Playoffs: 0-0
Margin Against the Close
The MAC system requires that a teams MAC score is either + or – 40 and if they are a fade team (score in the +) they had to have covered the prior week. If they are a PLAY ON team, they had to have not covered last week. The purpose of the MAC is to measure a team’s performance against the markets expectations.
Mac Fades
Overall 14-6 +7.40
MAC Play On
Overall 11-5 +5.50
Combined: 25-11 +12.80 69%
Week 17 MAC Plays:
Fades: AZ (+57) W
Play On: TITANS (-50.5) L
My strategy in the playoffs is to filter out the media noise. The noise of "momentum", "playoff experience", "dangerous team", etc, etc, and keep the same objective stance used in the regular season.
BENGALS +3, -120 (1.25), BENGALS +130 (.25) and UNDER 46 (1.25)
My Line: Cincy -1.5 43.5
I bet this game on Wednesday, trying to get in before the books raise their limits and the pro's come in start whacking. I thought they would start whacking Cincy ASAP, and the line would drop. Looks like it took a bit longer with Pinny now showing Pitt -1.5.
Value for the most part is gone on Cincy.....I would consider a small bet at anything + money. If you like Cincy, I would wait until to closer to post as the public may come in and hammer the Pitt at a the low, "all they have to is win", number.
IMO, the loss of D'Angelo Williams is a HUGE deal. We it last year in the playoffs, when the team lost Bell. The fact is, that this offense relies on a back that has the skill sets of Bell and Williams. The offensive line, and the offense as a whole is good enough to take a "good" back like Williams, and elevate him to near pro-bowl status. However, it's not good enough (and I don't of an offense that is), to take an undrafted F.A., who has been cut multiple times, and have him make a difference. The Steelers -3 is absolutely ridiculous. The Bengals, despite losing their starting QB won the division. The Steelers, needed help to make the playoffs. Game is in Cincy, and I like a Bengals team, getting NO RESPECT to win this game. Call it 24-20.
PROP BETS:
Will there be a successful 2 pt conversion? YES +350 (.50)
Considering that Pitt is 8/11 on 2 pt conversions during the year, I will take a shot that between both squads, a 2 pt conversion will be attempted and converted.
Will be back...GL.
Sides: 27-23-2 +4.33
Totals: 13-8 +5.55
Teaser: 8-5+ 7.85
Parlays 1-2 +1.85
Prop : 4-1 +3.25
Half 5-5 -1.20
Team Totals: 1-1 +0.15
Playoffs: 0-0
Margin Against the Close
The MAC system requires that a teams MAC score is either + or – 40 and if they are a fade team (score in the +) they had to have covered the prior week. If they are a PLAY ON team, they had to have not covered last week. The purpose of the MAC is to measure a team’s performance against the markets expectations.
Mac Fades
Overall 14-6 +7.40
MAC Play On
Overall 11-5 +5.50
Combined: 25-11 +12.80 69%
Week 17 MAC Plays:
Fades: AZ (+57) W
Play On: TITANS (-50.5) L
My strategy in the playoffs is to filter out the media noise. The noise of "momentum", "playoff experience", "dangerous team", etc, etc, and keep the same objective stance used in the regular season.
BENGALS +3, -120 (1.25), BENGALS +130 (.25) and UNDER 46 (1.25)
My Line: Cincy -1.5 43.5
I bet this game on Wednesday, trying to get in before the books raise their limits and the pro's come in start whacking. I thought they would start whacking Cincy ASAP, and the line would drop. Looks like it took a bit longer with Pinny now showing Pitt -1.5.
Value for the most part is gone on Cincy.....I would consider a small bet at anything + money. If you like Cincy, I would wait until to closer to post as the public may come in and hammer the Pitt at a the low, "all they have to is win", number.
IMO, the loss of D'Angelo Williams is a HUGE deal. We it last year in the playoffs, when the team lost Bell. The fact is, that this offense relies on a back that has the skill sets of Bell and Williams. The offensive line, and the offense as a whole is good enough to take a "good" back like Williams, and elevate him to near pro-bowl status. However, it's not good enough (and I don't of an offense that is), to take an undrafted F.A., who has been cut multiple times, and have him make a difference. The Steelers -3 is absolutely ridiculous. The Bengals, despite losing their starting QB won the division. The Steelers, needed help to make the playoffs. Game is in Cincy, and I like a Bengals team, getting NO RESPECT to win this game. Call it 24-20.
PROP BETS:
Will there be a successful 2 pt conversion? YES +350 (.50)
Considering that Pitt is 8/11 on 2 pt conversions during the year, I will take a shot that between both squads, a 2 pt conversion will be attempted and converted.
Will be back...GL.
