Why are the battered BILLS laying 6 to the thirsty Bengals+ the rest of wk14/CFB conference championships/NYS HS FOOTBALL

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Proud Member of Bills Mafia
What's up Family ???

If you're a fellow degen from Western New York or Southern Ontario please take a second to join the fantastic CTG community here. There are a ton of handicappers and investors far more profitable than myself to interact with.

Anyways .....

Why the hell are our battered Bills laying a TD to what should he a desperately thirsty Bengals squad that can't afford a loss ???

Going to have a difficult time not putting some good money on Cincinnati ATS and or OVER their team total ( currently 23.5) ...Sure the starting Offensive tackles might be back , but now the BILLS are down top pass rusher Joey Bosa...The Bengals are the wrong team to face when decimated on defense.

Sick to my stomach knowing this is the last weekend of NY State High School Football for almost 9 months. The playoffs have been a cash cow to the tune of 14-1 $13,680 !!! Thankfully HS football has more than covered our NFL ( -$1694/ was down over $3100 just 3 weeks ago ) and college losses ( $1330+)



Alright that's enough RAMBLING
Let's get to GAMBLING 😜
 
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MAC CHAMPIONSHIP

WESTERN MICHIGAN OVER 21.5 -110
$440/400. 2 units

So much has changed since the Redhawks clawed back to beat the Broncos 26-17 scoring 17 unanswered points in the final 11 minutes ....Miami's QB FINN left the program to get ready for the NFL 🤔🤣... Next up was Henry Hesson but he only threw for 147 yards with 3 ints, Insert 3rd stringer Gutlowski who has looked decent in 2 easy wins over UB and Ball st.

On the Flip side the Broncos love to pound the rock. The key will not be falling behind as the forward pass isn't WMU'S strength...

The difference will be the Broncos defense which might set up some short fields for Lowry ...
 
Spreading a little bit over 1 unit ($200) on the rest of the conference championship Saturday.
Highly doubt these games will exist within a year or two.

Alabama is the one that scares me as it's possible they won't make the playoffs without a win here ..Wouldn't be surprised if the Tide get a little help from the refs ...

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MONROE RED JACKETS (11-0/Section V)
13. X. 14


SLEEPY HOLLOW HORSEMEN (12-1/Section I)


From pickin splinters .

For the first time in the history of the Rochester City School District, one of its teams will have the opportunity to bring home a football state championship this weekend.

The Monroe Red Jackets are currently in the midst of their best season in program history. They are 11-0, have outscored opponents by over 460 points, and are one game away from a program-first state title. This season marked the second time in the past three years that Monroe has reached the state final four.

“It means everything,” said Red Jackets head coach Terrell Cunningham said of the state title game after Monroe’s state semifinal win. “We’ve almost accomplished our goal that we set out many years ago. Our goal was to be a championship caliber team and to bring the first state championship to the city of Rochester, RCSD.”

“This is bigger than us,” senior wide receiver Messiah Hampton said of the chance to win a state title. “This is for the future and past generations. It’s not just for Monroe. It’s for the whole city of Rochester, the whole 585.”

Sleepy Hollow (I) stands in the way of the Red Jackets. The Horsemen enter Saturday’s title tilt after winning their first sectional championship in nearly 50 years, and have won 10 straight games. A win this weekend would result in a program-first state championship.

History will be made one way or another this weekend at the JMA Wireless Dome when these two heavyweights meet. Here’s the breakdown:



How they got here: Monroe (No. 1 Class B NYSSWA) won the Section V Class B title game after taking down Honeoye Falls-Lima 40-0. In the Far West Regional, Monroe beat Lackawanna (VI) 40-14 to reach the state semifinals, and in which, they defeated Owego Free Academy (IV) 48-7. The Horsemen (No. 3 Class B NYSSWA) began their postseason run as the No. 3 seed in Section I Class B and picked up wins over Pleasantville (33-6), Ardsley (42-26), and Westlake (27-14) to win a sectional title. In the NYS playoffs, Sleepy Hollow took down Saugerties (IX) by a score of 46-26 and defeated Glens Falls (II) 42-20 in the semifinals to book a spot in the state title game.

Points scored: Monroe (45.5 PPG), Sleepy Hollow (38.7 PPG)

Points allowed: Monroe (2.9 PPG), Sleepy Hollow (16.7 PPG)

VIEW MORE PHOTOS FROM JEROME DAVIS.
Players to watch for Monroe: Messiah Hampton Sr. WR (56 catches, 1,079 yards, 12 receiving touchdowns, 259 rushing yards, four rushing touchdowns, 62 tackles, two interceptions, University of Oregon commit), Terrell “Pooty” Cunningham Jr. QB (75% completion rate, 2,773 passing yards, 38 passing touchdowns), Luis Falu Sr. WR (24 catches, 529 receiving yards, nine touchdowns); Anthony Omebe Sr. DE/WR (55 tackles, 11 sacks, three fumble recoveries, three catches, 44 yards, one touchdown), Jermaine Montgomery Jr. Sr. RB/LB (350 rushing yards, 8.4 yards per carry, three rushing touchdowns, 87 tackles, two interceptions, two fumble recoveries), Ray Garcia Jr. RB/WR (304 rushing yards, four rushing touchdowns, 28 catches, 528 receiving yards, seven receiving touchdowns), Christien Franklin Sr. SS (team-high 88 tackles, five tackles for loss, two sacks)

Sleepy Hollow: Brayden Richardson Sr. RB (2,418 rushing yards, 36 rushing touchdowns, 83 receiving yards, two receiving touchdowns, University of Rhode Island commit), Jeremiah Bowen Jr. QB (59.3% completion rate, 1,126 passing yards, 20 passing touchdowns, 391 rushing yards, four rushing touchdowns), Gilbert Onwe Sr. WR (32 catches, 809 receiving yards, 14 receiving touchdowns), Ben Meyer Sr. (149 rushing yards, two rushing touchdowns, 13 catches, 214 receiving yards, three receiving touchdowns)




The bet

MONROE -13. $1320/1200
Would bet more than this but this is my new max after collecting 1200 last week from this local....For what it's worth my prediction has MONROE winning 41-13
 
Bills -4 to -7 is where it should be at home. Its near the middle of an appropriate line in my opinion. The Jets line stands out to me more.


Respect your opinion Brother , and hope you're right.
The Bills have been solid at home but these injuries are brutal this season..
That D line is already a shell of itself without Oliver , but the Bosa loss might kill the pass rush. Id make this line no more than -3

Burrow with extra time deeply concerns me lol .
 
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I get the appeal of taking +6 with burrow and weapons….


Cincy d should worry cincy backers. No Hendrickson who will put pressure on Allen?

As rough as the bills have looked defensively the bengals are that much worse. Specifically the secondary. Bills at home are so much different than on the road and they have been tightening up down the stretch, especially 2ndh. No bosa is tough but somebody has to step up and make plays! Burrow is great at getting the ball out quick anyways. Have to limit the big play with Chase
 
I get the appeal of taking +6 with burrow and weapons….


Cincy d should worry cincy backers. No Hendrickson who will put pressure on Allen?

As rough as the bills have looked defensively the bengals are that much worse. Specifically the secondary. Bills at home are so much different than on the road and they have been tightening up down the stretch, especially 2ndh. No bosa is tough but somebody has to step up and make plays! Burrow is great at getting the ball out quick anyways. Have to limit the big play with Chase


You have extremely valid points across the board. I'm probably giving that Swiss cheese Bengals D too much credit for beating Baltimore.
Pass rush looked much better than any one of their games I've watched all season . That being said Lamar didn't look right , and I don't like the Ravens staff on either side of the ball ..

Bills secondary does play much better at home , let's hope they limit those big plays to Chase and Higgins ... Rousseau better be getting to Burrow ..
 
Regarding the line bills mov in home wins is huge and bengals road losses have all been 9+ pts. So 6 maybe isn’t so bad. Still don’t love it!
 
Just like Dallas d looked good for a couple games but we know they are trash and lions served em up. Bills SHOULD be able to do the same.

Already played tt o29.5

Prob won’t mess with spread
 
Just like Dallas d looked good for a couple games but we know they are trash and lions served em up. Bills SHOULD be able to do the same.

Already played tt o29.5

Prob won’t mess with spread

My Cowboys buddies were telling the defense was for real before the lIons game 🤔🙃🤣

You're probably right , that Bengals defense looked like it had a man in the penalty box in the 5 games I watched before the Ravens win.

That Team total over does look much better than any ATS play on the BILLS ...
 
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