Northwestern -6.5 -110 (2 units)....alot has been said about the spot here and it's a very good one...Duke got their only win of the year in Evanston by six....NW outganed them nearly 2-1 by over 200 yds and that was w/out sutton...the entire offense returns this year and I love the NW squad...NW historically the last ten years have been very explosive in the spread w/ a senior playcaller...this bodes really well for NW...Cutcliffe got thaddeus lewis his second career win last week w/ a 31-7 dismantling of a good FCS squad in JMU...he's doing good things here and the crowds are showing the appreciation..weather issues keep some of them away today..NW has the better runner in Sutton and the quicker hitters the spread allows help as well...NW is going to be a good ATS squad this year and they get revenge on the game that really kept them out of a bowl game in a 6-6 campaign last year..
New Mexico ML +115 (1 unit)....enormous issues on the Oline for aggy and it reared its head in the 2nd half with a comedy of errors from the group up front and the qb spot..crybaby is back which may help, but he's still hobbled...tough times ahead for now for Sherman until they get some big upset later in the year over Texas, Mizzou, or OU...always happens...Long's group will get pressure up the middle and thats tough to overcome..Lobos have started slow last couple years and last year was the first year in five that they've been better at home than on the road...slow starts bother me w/ this group and that showed up last week vs The Frogs....but not two straight imo...good value..wrong team favored..
Oregon State +16.5 -110 (1 unit)....this was a play for me before the suspensions..but that was enough to almost push it too two units..alas though, that drubbing at Cincy last year just won't allow me to do it...Dline and Qb play caused the loss last week vs Stanford..the Oline is green on the right side and boy do those suspensions help that...Mo evans comes from that speed side and he's out...Kuroma out too and that puts PSU down three DTs..camp injuries to Devon Still and now Kuroma out kill this group...they have to have them back by Illy game or it's bad..weather issues today as well...all the great equalizers....Oregon St will have to score a bit to cover, but they have an explosive enough offense and good enough coach to get it done..way too much value...small play though as I respect the offense JoePa has this year, which has drawn comparisons to that 94 group in State College...show me..that group was insane..
Syracuse -4 -110 (2 units)...no clue what this line...respect for the MAC I suppose after the strong start and two misleading scores last week...Cuse were beat good by the Cats but they did lead after scoring 10-9 after a sutton fumble early in the third...Akron stayed w/in the number at Wisky but shoulda lost by 40...multiple miscues by wisky isnide their own redzone....Cuse will get 150 plus on the ground here...the Zips are the worst team in the mac east for sure ...number is too low...
Western Michigan -6 -110 (2 units)....I think this is the best team in the west division of the Mac and that's saying somehting w/ CMU and Balls squads this year...a pretty good drubbing last week in Bo Pelini's debut, but the Broncos three scoring drives were all 70 yds or more..that tells me a ton about them...giving up short fields but thats not going to happen nearly as often in this spot..N Illy is improved, have young and hungry coach and that showed in Minny..but that team is awful don't be fooled...Steele agrees as he has NILLY his number 3 improved school, but this line should be over ten...this will be surgical imo...
I have some more leans but I want to see some weather issues and just do a little more looking around...I've been way behind all week....the NFL opening week always does that...
GL today..
Teaser in a bit.
opcorn:
