WEEK THIRTEEN

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
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--- NFL ---
WEEK 12 [12-15 -14.76u]
SEASON [102-107 -19.32u]
LAST [0-2 -5.25u]

MONDAY
❌2.10/2 Colts -2½ -105
❌3.15/3 Colts u39½ -105

THURSDAY
  • 4/2.99 BILLS -3 -134
  • 3/2.86 PATS u43½ -105
Maybe the highest I ever paid to buy a half point, getting it to 3. :shocked:

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randoms...
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NE JUST 4-12 SU & ATS @NIGHT LAST 16 GAMES AFTER WINNING 4 STRAIGHT POST-BRADY
BUF 9-5 ATS AND 10-4 SU L14 @NIGHT
HOME DOGS 18-15 ATS @NIGHT SINCE LAST YEAR BUT TOTAL ONLY 10-22-1 31.2% KillerSports.com
ROAD FAVS 26-14 ATS WHEN GETTING OVER 7 DAYS REST BEFORE THE NEXT GAME SINCE 2020
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Of note over the last 7 games:
No team is 7-0 SU and 4 are 6-1: KC, PHI, WA, MIN
WA Perfect 7-0 ATS
NYJ has performed the best vs the number~ Average DPS - Average DPA
4 teams have converter 80% or more on 3rd down and these are your best teams, pretty much(underrated stat)~ BUF, CIN, PHI, KC

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DENVER HAS AVERAGED ONLY 13 POINTS PER GAME! :doh:

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--- NFL ---
WEEK 11 [10-9-1 +4.68u]
WEEK 12 [12-15 -14.76u]
WEEK 13 [2-0 +5.85u]
----------------------
SEASON [104-107 -13.47u]
LAST [2-0 +5.85u]


THURSDAY
✅4/2.99 BILLS -3 -134
✅3/2.86 PATS u43½ -105


SUNDAY...early
  • 4/3.51 JETS +3 -114
  • 2/2.64 JETS +132
  • 5/4.81 FALCONS u42½ -104
  • 5/4.72 COMMANDERS -2½ -106
  • 5/4.46 GIANTS u40½ -112
  • 4/3.85 STEELERS -1½ -104
  • 4/3.88 BEARS +4 -103
  • 4/3.64 PACKERS o44½ -110
  • 4/3.81 RAVENS u40½ -105
  • 4/3.85 JAGUARS +1 -104
Last 365 days sorted by ATS %

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randoms...
DAL 13-6-1 ATS AS 7-14 POINT CHALK L7 YEARS
PIT 17-5 77.3% ATS WHEN LINE UNDER 3 L7 YEARS
KC 21-9-1 70% ATS WHEN LINE 3 OR LESS L7 YEARS
WA 27-20-2 57.4% ATS WHEN LINE 3 OR LESS L7 YEARS
JAX 13-24-1 35.1% ATS WHEN LINE 3 OR LESS L7 YEARS
MIN 11-5 68.8% ATS AS HOME FAV OF 4 OR LESS L7 YEARS(TOTAL 11-4-1 IN SAID GAMES)
DET 6-8-2 42.9% ATS AS HOME FAV L7 YEARS
NYG 6-9 40% ATS AS HOME FAV OF 4 OR LESS L7 YEARS(1-4 LAST 5)
BAL 5-13 27.8% ATS WHEN 3.5 TO 9.5 POINT CHALK LAST 3 YEARS
CIN 22-10 ATS OVERALL L2 YEARS
CIN 11-3 ATS AS DOG L2 YEARS
CIN 16-6 ATS VS AFC L2 YEARS
CIN 12-2 ATS VS TEAMS W/WINNING RECORD L2 YEARS
CIN 10-1 ATS VS TEAMS W/WINNING RECORD IN 2ND HALF OF SEASON L2 YEARS
TEN 7-0 ATS w/6 OR LESS DAYS REST THIS SEASON
TEN 12-3 ATS AWAY VS NFC EAST DIV LAST 15
TEN 63-37 ATS VS NFC LAST 100
JAX 9-19 ATS OVERALL L2 YEARS
JAX 0-8 ATS VS NFC L2 YEARS
DET 12-4 ATS IN DOME L2 YEARS
DET 7-0 ATS WEEK 10-13 L2 YEARS
LV 5-14 ATS AS FAV L3 YEARS

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SUNDAY...afternoon
  • 4/3.81 RAMS +6½ -105
  • 4/3.81 49ERS -4½ -105
  • 4/3.81 49ERS u45½ -105
  • 4/3.81 RAIDERS -2½ -105
  • 4/3.85 CHARGERS o49½ -104
  • 4/3.70 CHIEFS -2½ -108
  • 3.42/3 1H-CHIEFS o26 -114
KC 21-9-1 67.7% ATS WHEN LINE 3 OR LESS LAST 7 YEARS(13-5 W/MAHOMY)

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SUNDAY night
  • 5.25/5 COWBOYS -11 -105
  • 4.20/4 COWBOYS u44½ -105
  • 2.30/2 1Q COWBOYS (DAL) -3-115

randoms...
DAL 13-6-1 ATS AS 7-14 POINT CHALK L7 YEARS​
DAL 20-9 69% ATS OVERALL LAST 2 YEARS​
DAL 9-1 90% ATS VS TEAMS WITH LOSING RECORD LAST 2 YEARS​
IND 10-3 ATS 76.9% @night last 5 years​
IND 13-11 ATS 54.2% @night last 5 years (7-2 last 2 years)​
DD FAVS @HOME ARE 20-12-1 62.5% ATS LAST 7 YEARS (9-5-1 last 2 years)​

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--- NFL ---
WEEK 13 [12-11 +4.93u]
SEASON [114-118 -14.39u]
LAST [10-11 -0.92u]

SUNDAY
❌4/3.51 JETS +3 -114
❌2/2.64 JETS +132
✅4/3.85 STEELERS -1½ -1041670250172481.png
✅5/4.81 FALCONS u42½ -104
❌5/4.72 COMMANDERS -2½ -106
✅5/4.46 GIANTS u40½ -112
❌4/3.88 BEARS +4 -103
✅4/3.64 PACKERS o44½ -110
✅4/3.81 RAVENS u40½ -105
❌4/3.85 JAGUARS +1 -104
✅4/3.81 RAMS +6½ -105
✅4/3.81 49ERS -4½ -105
❌4/3.81 49ERS u45½ -105
✅4/3.81 RAIDERS -2½ -105
❌4/3.85 CHARGERS o49½ -104
❌4/3.70 CHIEFS -2½ -108
❌3.42/3 1H-CHIEFS o26 -114
✅5.25/5 COWBOYS -11 -105
❌4.20/4 COWBOYS u44½ -105
✅3.15/3 1H-COWBOYS -7 -105
❌2.30/2 1Q-COWBOYS -3 -115

MONDAY
  • 5/4.39 SAINTS +3½ -114
  • 3.06/3 BUCS u41 -102

randoms...
Last 365 days​
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SAINTS 18-11 62.1% ATS VS TEAMS W/LOSING RECORD LAST 4 YEARS​
SAINTS 37-15-2 71.2% ATS AFTER LOSING LAST GAME TO CURRENT OPPONENT (17-5-1 77.3% away)​
LAST 15 WHEN AVENGING A LOSS SAINTS: 22-4 SU / 21-5 ATS(pictured below) plus beat the Bucs twice in that run as well​
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