Week Sixteen

[mrpickem]

--- NFL ---
WEEK 15 [11-7 +17.27u]
----------------------
DECEMBER [37-29 +34.43u]
SEASON [146-142 +15.11u]
LAST [1-1 +2.27u]

MONDAY
1.54/4 RAMS +260
4/3.81 PACKERS u39½ -105

THURSDAY

• 3.15/3 JETS -2 -105
• 4/3.85 JETS u37 -104

randoms...

NYJ 4-9 30.8% ATS @NIGHT LAST 7 YEARS (ONLY 13 NIGHT GAMES IN 7 YEARS AND 1ST THIS YEAR TONIGHT)​

JAX 2-3 40% ATS @NIGHT LAST 7 YEARS (WOW ONLY 5 NIGHT GAMES IN 7 YEARS AND FEWEST IN NFL)​

NYJ 3-4 ATS IN CLOSELY LINED GAME OF 4 OR UNDER THIS SEASON(22-25-2 L7 YEARS)​

JAX 5-5 ATS IN CLOSELY LINED GAME OF 4 OR UNDER THIS SEASON(19-37-1 33.9% L7 YEARS)​

WHEN LINE <= 6 AND TOTAL <= 42 THE UNDER GOES 99-58-2 63.1% OVER L5 YEARS https://bityl.co/GKAU​

HERE'S A HILARIOUS 1-14 ATS TREND FAVORING JAGS...IT SAYS WEEK 16 TEAMS AT 50% PLAYING A TEAM BELOW 50% AS HOME CHALK OFF A LOSS... :rofl:

 

[B.A.R.]

Looks good mista

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
3.15/3 JETS -2 -105
4/3.85 JETS u37 -104

SATURDAY

• 3.15/3 GIANTS +4 -105
• 4.32/4 SAINTS +3 -108
• 5.20/5 BROWNS u32 -104
• 4.32/4 LIONS -2½ -108
• 4.20/4 PANTHERS u43½ -105
• 5.25/5 BENGALS -3 -105
• 4.20/4 PATS u41½ -105
• 3.15/3 BILLS -8 -105
• 2.83/3 TEXANS +3 +106
• 4.16/4 TITANS u35 -104
• 5.10/5 CHIEFS u49½ -102
• 5.20/5 RAVENS u34½ -104

randoms...
WHEN LINE <=5 & TOTAL <= 42 THE UNDER IS 138-90 60.5% L7 YEARS
KC 20-25 44.4% ATS WHEN 7-14 POINT CHALK L7 YEARS (1-4 THIS SEASON)
SEA 3-2 60% ATS WHEN 7-14 POINT DOG L7 YEARS (0-1 THIS SEASON)
BUF 13-8-1 61.9% ATS WHEN 7-14 POINT CHALK L7 YEARS (3-5 THIS SEASON & 1-5 LAST 6)
CHI 10-18-1 35.7% ATS WHEN 7-14 POINT DOG L7 YEARS (3-3 THIS SEASON)
MIN 36-30-2 54.5% ATS IN GAMES LINED <=4 OVER L7 YEARS (20-10 @home)
NYG 10-7 58.8% ATS IN AWAY GAMES LINED <=4 OVER L7 YEARS (8-2 in L10 AWAY)
NYG 8-2 ATS AS DOG THIS SEASON
CLE 22-27-1 44.9% ATS IN GAMES LINED <=4 OVER L7 YEARS (5-9 IN L14)
NO 18-12 60% ATS IN AWAY GAMES LINED <=4 OVER L7 YEARS (1-4 IN L5)
NE 7-10 41.2% ATS @HOME IN GAMES LINED <=4 OVER L7 YEARS
CIN 32-24-3 57.1% ATS IN GAMES LINED <=4 OVER L7 YEARS (11-1 IN L12 & 10-1 L11 AWAY)
PIT 32-22-1 59.3% ATS IN GAMES LINED <=4 OVER L7 YEARS (7-3-1 IN L11 BUT 1-3 L3 AWAY)
LV 19-16-1 54.3% ATS @HOME IN GAMES LINED <=4 OVER L7 YEARS (5-1 IN L6 @HOME)
LV 14-9-2 60.9% ATS @NIGHT OVER L7 YEARS BUT 2-5-1 ON THE ROAD
PIT 9-15 37.5% ATS @NIGHT OVER L5 YEARS (5-12 L17)
BEST ATS IN DEC L7 YEARS: BAL 20-10, CIN 18-10, DAL 15-10, DET 16-12, LAR/KC 17-13
WORSE ATS IN DEC L7 YEARS: CAR 9-18, WA 11-16, AZ 12-17, PIT 13-18, HOU/MIN/LAC 12-16

 

[mrpickem]

These are the lowest totals of the season this week, but I still love several unders again. On the year on 2 of 15 weeks has there been more overs than under and there were 4 weeks with 69% under or more. So the books have kept lowering the totals all year with the highest avg totals in week one and the lowest this week. The FAVs haven't fared that well either with only two profitable weeks of betting all chalk. For the year FAVs 97-119-6 44.9% and UNDERS 120-98-4 55%

Also there is only 9 teams you could blindly bet all year and make money this year:



But with Cincy, Detroit, Niners and Boys you could have done real well...I been on DET since about week 5 and DAL & CIN mostly :breakdance:

 

[mrpickem]

adds...

• 3.09/3 COWBOYS -4 -103
• 4.20/4 EAGLES o48 -105
• 4.12/4 49ERS -6½ -103
• 3.27/3 STEELERS u38½ -109

 

[Gopack124]

Hell of a day my friend!

 

[bones]

Great day yesterday!

 

[mrpickem]

Wow, that was a dream day as nothing went wrong other than Detroit showing they really can't play on the road or have much run D. The Dallas cover, Cincy, and Saints hold off late charges, 4-0 on under when unders only went 6-5 on the day. What's more, I rarely play parlays or teasers, but yesterday I played my top 3 plays on both 1H and game parlays that both hit, also one other 3-way parlay, and also played 3 teasers...they all hit. Unbelievable day as the gambling gods truly blessed my Christmas Eve!

​

SATURDAY
3.15/3 GIANTS +4 -105
4.32/4 SAINTS +3 -108
5.20/5 BROWNS u32 -104
4.32/4 LIONS -2½ -108
4.20/4 PANTHERS u43½ -105
5.25/5 BENGALS -3 -105
4.20/4 PATS u41½ -105
3.15/3 BILLS -8 -105
2.83/3 TEXANS +3 +106
4.16/4 TITANS u35 -104
5.10/5 CHIEFS u49½ -102
5.20/5 RAVENS u34½ -104
3.09/3 COWBOYS -4 -103
4.20/4 EAGLES O48 -105
4.12/4 49ERS -6½ -103
3.27/3 STEELERS U38½ -109

That's a hard act to follow, so all I can do is keep grinding, but I am on a nice run so let's keep it going. opcorn:

SUNDAY

• 3.09/3 DOLPHINS -3½ -103
• 3.15/3 PACKERS o49½-105
• 5.25/5 BRONCOS -3 -105
• 4.20/4 RAMS u36½ -105
• 4.20/4 CARDINALS u40½ -105

randoms...

WHEN LINE <=5 & TOTAL <= 42 THE UNDER IS 142-90 61.2% L7 YEARS (4-0 yesterday)​

CHI 9-7-1 56.2% ATS WHEN 7-14 POINT DOG L7 YEARS (6-2 IN L8)​

TB 13-9-1 59.1% ATS WHEN 7-14 POINT CHALK L7 YEARS (0-3 THIS SEASON)​

MIA 31-23-2 57.4% ATS IN GAMES LINED <=4 OVER L7 YEARS (20-9-2 @home)​

DEN 28-36-5 43.8% ATS IN GAMES LINED <=4 OVER L7 YEARS/ TOTAL 23-45-1 33.8%​

TB 8-14-2 36.4% ATS @NIGHT OVER L7 YEARS (4-11-1 in L16)​

AZ 7-13-1 35% ATS @NIGHT OVER L7 YEARS (2-8 in L10)​

ROAD CHALK OF 4 OR MORE @NIGHT 31-24-4 56.4% L7 YEARS(6-4 IN L10)/ TOTAL 19-38-2 33.3%​

TB 3-10 ATS OVERALL THIS SEASON (1-10 ON GRASS)​

AZ 0-6 ATS @HOME IN DEC L3 YEARS​

Cardinals Cheerleader Andrea White

 

[mrpickem]

randoms...

IND 32-28-3 53.3% ATS IN GAMES LINED <=4 OVER L7 YEARS (4-5 THIS SEASON)​

LAC 16-20-2 44.4% ATS IN GAMES LINED <=4 OVER L4 YEARS (5-3-1 IN L9)​

LAC 12-6-3 66.7% ATS VS AFC SOUTH L10 YEARS​

LAC 25-20-3 55.6% ON TURF L10 YEARS (6-3-1 IN L10)​

IND 57-50-4 53.3% ON TURF L10 YEARS (4-7 IN L11)​

ROAD CHALK OF 4 OR MORE @NIGHT 31-25-4 55.4% L7 YEARS(6-4 IN L10)/ TOTAL 19-39-2 32.8%​

 

[mrpickem]

updated

Notes
CIN 7-0 ATS last 7
DAL 55% 3rd downs converted
DAL AVG 35.9 points per game (4.4 more than 2nd place PHI)
min & CHI both tied for most points allowed per game- 30.29
SF allows fewest points (11.86), fewest rush yards (61.7) and avg points margin (16.6)
CIN although not leading any category, are in the top 15% of 10 out of 19 rates cats...niners 2nd with 8 cats in top 15%
MIN leads with most pass yards allowed 309.6 and total yards allowed and is definitely a fraud