WEEK-SEVENTEEN

[mrpickem]

--- NFL ---
WEEK 15 [11-7 +17.27u]
WEEK 16 [18-7 +41.35u]
-----------------------
DECEMBER [55-36 +75.78u]
SEASON [164-149 +56.46u]
LAST [2-0 +5.86u]

MONDAY
3/2.86 CHARGERS -4 -105
3.15/3 COLTS u45½ -105

Can't complain after my best week in a long time and following my 2 best weeks of the season. Hoping to push forward and keep winning. opcorn:

THURSDAY

• 3/2.86 TITANS +12½ -105
• 5/4.59 TITANS u40½ -109
• 1.25/4 1H-TITANS +320

The boys’ D has displayed signs of vulnerability in L3 games giving up an average of 32.3 points to the PHI, JAX, and HOU. TEN has been in free fall losing five in a row, their longest losing streak since '15. Titan’s margin of error is small since Malik Willis can’t seem to pass downfield and the team is down its three top o-linemen with LT Lewan, C Jones, and RG Davis likely inactive. TEN has used a league-high 80 players due to injuries. Still, I do believe the game stays un DD in a low-scoring affair. DALLAS 20-13

Here are the most profitable teams in 2022(actually the only profitable teams) :dabs:

 

[mrpickem]

 

[rambler882]

--- NFL ---
WEEK 15 [11-7 +17.27u]
WEEK 16 [18-7 +41.35u]
-----------------------
DECEMBER [55-36 +75.78u]
SEASON [164-149 +56.46u]
LAST [2-0 +5.86u]

MONDAY
3/2.86 CHARGERS -4 -105
3.15/3 COLTS u45½ -105

Can't complain after my best week in a long time and following my 2 best weeks of the season. Hoping to push forward and keep winning. opcorn:

THURSDAY

• 3/2.86 TITANS +12½ -105
• 5/4.59 TITANS u40½ -109
• 1.25/4 1H-TITANS +320

The boys’ D has displayed signs of vulnerability in L3 games giving up an average of 32.3 points to the PHI, JAX, and HOU. TEN has been in free fall losing five in a row, their longest losing streak since '15. Titan’s margin of error is small since Malik Willis can’t seem to pass downfield and the team is down its three top o-linemen with LT Lewan, C Jones, and RG Davis likely inactive. TEN has used a league-high 80 players due to injuries. Still, I do believe the game stays un DD in a low-scoring affair. DALLAS 20-13

Here are the most profitable teams in 2022(actually the only profitable teams) :dabs:

View attachment 71313

Well done the last few weeks. I was looking to play Titans tonight as well but couldn't with Henry unlikely to play. Thought was a great value until that. BOL

 

[HUNT]

gl sir, happy new year

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
3/2.86 TITANS +12½ -105
5/4.59 TITANS u40½ -109
1.25/4 1H-TITANS +320

SUNDAY

• 3.12/3 BUCS -3½ -104
• 3.24/3 STEELERS +2½ -108
• 4.24/4 RAVENS u35½ -106
• 3.15/3 CARDS +6 -105
• 4.20/4 FALCONS u41 -105
• 3.24/3 JAGS -3 -108
• 3.12/3 TEXANS u43 -104
• 4.16/4 LIONS -6 -104
• 4.20/4 DOLPHINS +2½ -105
• 5.15/5 DOLPHINS o41 -103
• 3.15/3 CHIEFS -12½ -105
• 4.20/4 CHIEFS u45 -105
• 4.16/4 COLTS o39 -104
• 5.25/5 JETS -1½ -105
• 3.15/3 RAIDERS +9½ -105
• 4.20/4 49ers o42½ -105
• 3.15/3 PACKERS -3 -105
• 5.25/5 RAMS +6½ -105
• 5.15/5 CHARGERS u41½ -103

 

[mrpickem]

Best Bets 2021-22

 

[mrpickem]

--- NFL ---
WEEK 15 [11-7 +17.27u]
WEEK 16 [18-7 +41.35u]
WEEK 17 [16-6 +37.49u]
------------------------
SEASON [180-155 +93.95u]
LAST [15-4 +37.15u]
Wow, my last couple of weeks would make a great ad for a tout service! :rosesmile:

SUNDAY
3.12/3 BUCS -3½ -104
3.24/3 STEELERS +2½ -108
4.24/4 RAVENS u35½ -106
3.15/3 CARDS +6 -105
4.20/4 FALCONS u41 -105
3.24/3 JAGS -3 -108
3.12/3 TEXANS u43 -104
4.16/4 LIONS -6 -104
4.20/4 DOLPHINS +2½ -105
5.15/5 DOLPHINS o41 -103
3.15/3 CHIEFS -12½ -105
4.20/4 CHIEFS u45 -105
4.16/4 COLTS o39 -104
5.25/5 JETS -1½ -105
3.15/3 RAIDERS +9½ -105
4.20/4 49ers o42½ -105
3.15/3 PACKERS -3 -105
5.25/5 RAMS +6½ -105
5.15/5 CHARGERS u41½ -103

MONDAY

• 3.15/3 Bills -1 -105
• 2.10/2 Bills o49½ -105

Cincy gets the #1 seed if they win out. Last week BUF turned a close game into a blowout the old-fashioned way by running for 254 yds vs CHI (BUF's highest in 6 yrs). CIN got a key fumble en route to their 7th straight win. They were up 22-0 at the half before letting the Pats back in it. BUF 5-2 SU & ATS all-time at CIN although they last visited in 2017. BUF grades slightly better in most relevant stats over L7 games: BUF 3D% 47 to CIN 45, 3D% allowed BUF 36% to CIN 40%, Total yards per game BUF 386(5th) to CIN 388(4th), Total yards allowed BUF 328 to 338, AVG TO diff BUFF +0.14 CIN -0.43. Cincy has a better ATS but BUF has dealt with an avg -7.35(3rd) to CIN -2.79(7th). This time however the line will not be a factor and I'll roll with the best team in the league IMHO.

randoms...

• BUF 1-8 11.1% ATS AWAY IN JANUARY IN LAST 20 YEARS (0-3 LAST 3 YEARS)
• cin 7-2 ATS IN JANUARY LAST 7 YEARS (4-2 @HOME AND WON LAST 5 STRAIGHT OVERALL IN JAN)
• BUF 28-21-3 57.1% ATS WHEN LINE <=4 OVER LAST 7 SEASONS (3-1-1 THIS SEASON)
• CIN 33-24-3 57.9% ATS WHEN LINE <=4 OVER LAST 7 SEASONS (9-1 THIS SEASON)
• WHEN 2 TEAMS OVER 70% WINS PLAY IN GAME 11 OR AFTER, ROAD CHALK HAS PREVAILED 6 OF LAST 8 ATS(BUF)
• THIS SEASON IN NIGHT GAMES LINED UNDER 3 THE ROAD TEAM IS 11-6 ATS(ACTUALLY 12-6 AFTER PIT LAST NITE)