WEEK SE7EN

[mrpickem]

Hotlanta 7-0 ATS last 7 games :moneyeyes:
KC top offense at 30 points per game
BUF & SF tied for best D allowing 13.71 points per game
BUF by far the largest average margin at 15.57 points per game, but the insane thing is PATS are 2nd at 9.71
SEA, NYJ & NE top 3 Delta Points Scored or overperforming offense
BUF, DAL & HOU top 3 Delta Points Allowed or overperforming defense

​

WEEK 7 POWER RANKINGS

1. Buffalo Bills
2. Philadelphia Eagles
3. Kansas City Chiefs
4. Minnesota Vikings
5. Dallas Cowboys
6. New York Giants
7. San Francisco 49ers
8. Cincinnati Bengals
9. New England Patriots
10. Baltimore Ravens
11. New York Jets
12. Los Angeles Chargers
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
14. Tennessee Titans
15. Los Angeles Rams
16. Green Bay Packers
17. Indianapolis Colts
18. Atlanta Falcons
19. New Orleans Saints
20. Seattle Seahawks
21. Miami Dolphins
22. Las Vegas Raiders
23. Denver Broncos
24. Jacksonville Jaguars
25. Pittsburgh Steelers
26. Cleveland Browns
27. Arizona Cardinals
28. Washington Commanders
29. Chicago Bears
30. Detroit Lions
31. Houston Texans
32. Carolina Panthers

 

[mrpickem]

--- NFL ---
WEEK 6 [11-12 -0.57u]
SEASON [57-56 +4.56u]

LAST [2-0 +5.68u]
2/1.87 BRONCOS +4½ -107
4/3.81 CHARGERS u45½ -105

THURSDAY

• 3/3.00 SAINTS +2½ +100
• 2/1.92 CARDINALS u43½ -104

​

randoms...

• NO 38-20-1 ATS AWAY L7 YEARS(2ND BEST IN NFL) (7-5 L2 YEARS)
• NO 20-9-1 ATS AS AWAY DOG L7 YEARS(9-2-1 L3 YEARS)
• AZ 11-25 ATS AS HOME FAV L7 YEARS(WORSE IN NFL) LOSERS OF 5 STRAIGHT SU & ATS
• AZ 2-13-1 @HOME IN PRIME-TIME L10 YEARS(63% STAYED UNDER TOT)
• AZ 13-22 ATS OVERALL @HOME L4+ SEASONS
• AZ 3-8 SU & ATS SINCE 2021 @HOME (23-36-1 ATS L7 YEARS)
• NO 17-9 ATS WITH LESS THAN 6 DAYS REST L10 YEARS
• AZ 7-13-1 ATS WITH LESS THAN 6 DAYS REST L10 YEARS
• NO 16-8 ATS AWAY VS TEAMS W/LOSING RECORD L7 YEARS
• AZ 8-14 ATS @HOME VS TEAMS W/LOSING RECORD L7 YEARS

​

 

[mrpickem]

--- NFL ---
WEEK 6 [11-12 -0.57u]
WEEK 7 [0-2 -5u]
SEASON [57-57 -0.44u]

LAST [0-2 -5u]
3/3.00 SAINTS +2½ +100
2/1.92 CARDINALS u43½ -104



SUNDAY

• 4/3.54 GIANTS +3½ -113
• 3/2.86 TITANS -2½ -105
• 4/3.85 TITANS u41½ -104
• 4/3.67 RAVENS u46 -109
• 5/4.63 BUCS -13 -107
• 3/2.88 BRONCOS +1½ -104
• 3/2.86 RAIDERS u46 -105
• 5/4.81 49ERS +1 -104
• 3/2.86 49ERS u49 -105
• 3/2.86 SEAHAWKS o50½ -105
• 4/3.64 STEELERS +7½ -110
• 4/3.81 DOLPHINS u44½ -105

randoms...

• SF 16-6 ATS AS SHORT DOG OF 4 OR LESS L5 YEARS
• KC 10-16-1 ATS AS SHORT FAV OF 4 OR LESS L5 YEARS
• SD 16-27-1 ATS AS HOME FAV L7 YEARS
• JAX 8-14 ATS AS HOME FAV L7 YEARS
• BAL 21-30-1 ATS AS HOME FAV L7 YEARS
• CAR 8-12 ATS AS HOME DOG L7 YEARS
• DEN 16-8-3 ATS AS HOME DOG L7 YEARS
• DAL 17-7 ATS L2 YEARS (4-2 THIS SEASON)
• DAL 14-4 ATS IN CONF L2 YEARS (3-1 THIS SEASON)
• DAL 6-0 ATS VS TEAMS W/LOSING RECORD L2 YEARS
• DET 12-4 ATS AS DOG >3 L2 YEARS (2-0 THIS SEASON)
• JAX 7-16 ATS L2 YEARS (0-7 VS NFC)
• CIN 18-9 ATS L2 YEARS
• CAR 6-17 ATS L2 YEARS (4-13 VS NFC)
• TB 4-0 ATS VS CAR L3 YEARS

View attachment 69649

in case anyone needs it: http://nflstreams.today/

 

[mrpickem]

--- NFL ---
WEEK 7 [7-7 +0.23u]
SEASON [64-62 +4.79u]

LAST [7-5 +5.23u]
4/3.54 GIANTS +3½ -113
3/2.86 TITANS -2½ -105
4/3.85 TITANS u41½ -104
4/3.67 RAVENS u46 -109
5/4.63 BUCS -13 -107
3/2.88 BRONCOS +1½ -104
3/2.86 RAIDERS u46 -105
5/4.81 49ERS +1 -104
3/2.86 49ERS u49 -105
3/2.86 SEAHAWKS o50½ -105
4/3.64 STEELERS +7½ -110
4/3.81 DOLPHINS u44½ -105

MONDAY

• 4/3.81 PATRIOTS -8 -105
• 3/2.86 PATRIOTS u40½ -105
• 2/1.83 1H PATRIOTS u20 -109

Pats have been solid lately, cashing 3 straight ats. They rank #5 in the NFL YPP margin (+0.5). Zappe has stepped right in and has a passer rating over 110 in limited action since Mac Jones got hurt. The Bears are off a tough loss to WaAS last Thursday where they out-gained the Commanders 392-214. It will be tough to back 2nd-year starter Justin Fields against Bellichick, especially considering only AZ is worse than the BEars on net yards per pass at 5.2(NE def ranks 9th defensively allowing 5.8 net YPP). Even with the mix at QB NE avg 7.3 net YPP(4th). The Bears D has been good so far, allowing only 19.7 PPG but the problem is the offense only avg 15.5 PPG (30th). Everything considered, you get a better coach with a better team at home...it may be square but I can't help but back the Patriots! I seriously envision a 20-6 type of game so I'll be on under as well.​

randoms...

• NE 11-4 ATS L7 YEARS WHEN TOTAL UNDER 42 (6-1 @HOME)
• NE 37-21-2 ATS AS FAV OF 7 OR MORE L7 YEARS (23-11-1 @ home)
• NE 6-3 ATS AS FAV OF 7 OR MORE POST-BRADY (5-1 @ home)
• CHI 3-11 ATS AS DOG OF 7 OR MORE L4 YEARS (11-17-1 L7 YEARS)
• CHI 2-8 ATS IN L10 PRIME-TIME GAMES
• CHI 11-17-1 ON TOTAL L7 YEARS IN PRIME-TIME
• NE 14-20 ON TOTAL L7 YEARS IN PRIME-TIME
• NE 8-3-1 AS HOME FAV IN PRIME-TIME L7 YEARS
• CHI 4-8 ATS AS ROAD DOG IN PRIME-TIME L7 YEARS (1-5 IN L6)

:rofl: