Week of 1.19

[SportsNut]

Same theme hopefully alot better decisions and less risk :cheers:

1/02 -670
1/03 +1935
1/04 +800
week +2065

1/05 +768
1/06 +872
1/07 +412
1/08 +240
1/09 +56
1/10 -480 (-544 on teaser & ML parlay / +64 rest)
1/11 +362
week +2230

1/12 +340
1/13 -516
1/14 -148 (-240 teaser / +92 rest)
1/15 -190 ( -96 Player Prop)
1/16 -1,254 (-360 ML parlay & Teasers)
1/17 -2,884 (-120 Parlay )
1/18 -258
week -4910

1/19 +24
1/20 -1328
1/21 +4
1/22 -210
1/23 -1102
1/24 -348 (+200 CBB )
1/25 +3690
week +730

Notes :
On 1/13 fading ORL vs Sac cost me -970 , on 1/11 fading ORL vs SAS cost me -700 on 1/10 the loses steam for a ML parlay and 3 team teser which I never do but did that day cost me about -560....

1/14 lose SAS by 1 pt , wiz by 1 point , lose Kings under due to OT , push the DET 4th Q on a shot to force OT , lose Det by 1 in OT

1/15 started well but faded on the Suns game . Start of a bad trend for me ignoring caution flags as Suns w/o Shaq should have been avoided..

1/16 start off great and nail the 1st two games go up about 900 but the end of the nights have been just killing me and seemingly discilpine has gone out the window at that point ...

1/17 mostly a day of win the smaller players and lose the bigger ones and with such a wide range of value that can hurt at the end of the day ...had a late 3 team parlay that along with LAC and the Under in that 2nd H alf couldnt decide bewteen SJST +2 , 1st H under SJST , game over SJST or OKC +2 Sunday ?? Go with OKC +2 and it loses but all 3 others win Sat Nite ...types of things that happen when you are not winning money ..sutile differences ...

1/18 Raps up 4 pts late 1st Quarter and wind up losing by 2 catching 1. Difference bewteen +120 and -132 which maybe I pass on the OKC game later considering I have a 3team parlay riding on it ...

Review:
1.18 Sunday (-258)
1st Half Under 105 Raps (80) -88
1st Quarter Raps +1+100 (120) -120
2nd Half Tor Under 103.5 (280) WIN
OKC -115 ML (280) -322
3rd Quarter OKC +0.5 (80) -88
4th Quarter OKC +0.5 (80) WIN

1.17 Saturday :
Nets +7.5 -120 (320) ML +250 (40) -424
1st Half Nets +4 -120 (240) -288
1st Quarter NJN +2 -105(120) -126
2nd Quarter NJN +1.5 (40) -44
4th Quarter NJN +1.5 (80) +80
Over 191 (80) -88 (ends on 190)
2nd Half NJN -2.5 (280) +280
(-614)
Under 180.5 -120 Charlotte (80) -96 {OT}
Under 179 -120 Charlotte (400) -480 {OT}
TT Under 87.5 Charlotte (80) -88
(-664)
1st Quarter Portland -0.5 -115 (80) -88
2nd Quarter Charlotte +0.5 (80) -88 {Lost by 1}
1st Half Portland Charlotte +1.5 (160) +160
3rd Portland -0.5 (80) +80
4th Quarter Charlotte +0.5 (80) +80
Blazers ML -140 (80) -112
(+32)
Over 176 Pistons (160) PUSH (How?)
NOH ML -140 (200) +200
(+200)
Knicks +3 -120 (160) -192
1st Half Knicks +1 -105 (200) -210 ( 3 at the buzzer to trail by 2)
Over 210 (200) -220
1st Half over 106.5 (80) -88
4th Quarter Philly PK(80) PUSH ..LOL
1st Quarter Over 54 +100 (80) -80
(-790)
Heat +4 -120 (120) -144
1st Half Heat +2 -115(80) -88
Under 186.5 (120) +120
(-112)
Bulls +4 -120 (200) -240 ( only lost by 5 !)
Over 195 (200) -220
1st Half Bulls +1.5 +100 (120) +120
1st Half over 95.5 (80) -88
(-428)
Nuggets ML -115 (400) Nuggets -1 (160) -636
1st H -0.5 -115 (160) +160
Under 210 (200) +200
2nd Quarter Nuggets -0.5 (80) +80
3rd Quarter Nuggets -0.5 (40) -44
4th Quarter Nuggets PK (80) -88
(-328)
Over 192 Bucks (160) vs Under 192.5 -120 (200) -80(over hits on layup with 3 seconds to fall on 193!!)
LAC +3.5 -120 (320) +320
1st Half LAC +1.5 (120) +120
1st Quarter LAC +1 (40) +40
2nd Quarter LAC +0.5 (80) -88
4th Quarter LAC +0.5 (80) +80
TT Under 97.5 MILW (80) +80
(+472)
(-2332)
2nd Half :
Under 91 Charlotte (200) -220 {OT}
Over 87 Det (160) +160
NOH -1 (80) +80
Over 104 Philly (160) -176 (ends on 102 !)
NYK +0.5 (40) -44
Bulls +3 -115 (240) -276 ( lose by 5 )
Over 98.5 Bulls (200) -220
Mavs -1.5 (320) +320
Under 102.5 (160) -176
Nuggets -0.5 (400) -440
LAC +2 (320) +320
Under 95 (240) +240
Parlay: LAC +2 , Under 95 LAC and OKC +2 full game on Sunday (120 for 720)
(-552)

Friday 1.16
Sixers +3 -120 (280) Win
1st Half Sixers +1.5 -115 (160) Win
+440
Washington ML -140 (240) Win
1st Half Wash -1.5 -120 (120)Win
Under 1st Half 105.5 (80)Win
+440
NOH +3 -120 (160) -192
3rd Quarter NOH +0.5 (80) Win
4th Quarter NOH +0.5 (120) -132
Under 185 (120) Win
TT Under 94 Cavs (80) Win
-44
1st Half Pistons -2.5 (120) -132
Pistons -4 -120 (120) -144
Over 189 (80) -88
-364
ML Parlay : Pistons -200 , LAL -180 and Jazz -185 (120) -120
Teaser : Wolves +15 , Magic +11.5 , NOH +9.5 (200) -240
-360 ( I will not fuck around with ML parlays and teasers !!..0 FOR 09!)
Wolves +8 (80) Win
4th Quarter Wolves +1.5 (80) Win
1st Half Suns -4.5 (120) -132
+28
1st Half Memphis +2.5 (80) -88
-88
4th Quarter Bucks PK (120) -132
2nd Quarter PK Bucks (80) -88
1st Quarter Bucks +0.5 (40) Win
Over 206 (120) Win
-60
Under 217 -120 GSW (200) -240 (OT)
1st Quarter GSW +0.5 (80)Win
1st Half GSW +0.5 +100 (160) Win
GSW +2.5 -120 (80) Win
+80
1st Quarter Orl +1 +100 (120) -120
2nd Quarter LAL -1 (80) Win
3rd Quarter LAL -1 (120) -132
4th Quarter LAL -0.5 (80) -88
4th Quarter Under 52.5 (80) -88
1st Half Orl +2 (120) -132
LAL ML -180 (80) -144
Under 216 -120 (200) +Win
Over 214 LAL -120 (80) -96
-440
Second Half Plays :
Under 102.5 Wash (80) Win
Pistons -4 -115 (200) -230
Over 93.5 (120) -132
Over 100.5 Memphis (80) -88
NOH -3.5 -115 (160) -184
Under 103.5 Kings (80) -88
GSW +2 (120) Win
Under 110 (40) -44
Lakers +0.5 (200) -220
-806

1.15 Thursday:
Nets +2.5 -120 (200) -240
1st Quarter NJN +0.5 (80) WIN
1st Half Nets +1 (200) WIN
3rd Quarter Blazers -0.5 (80)WIN
TT Over 93 NJN (80) WIN
TT Under 95 Portland (40) -44
+156
Bulls +9 -120 (200) ML +280 (40) +8.5 -125 (40) Net +352
1st Half Bulls +4.5 (280) hedged Cavs -4.5 +100 (80)WIN (net +200)
1st Quarter Bulls +2.5 (80) -88
4th Quarter Cavs -1.5 (80) -88
+376
Suns +2 -115 full game (200) Suns +3.5 -120 (160) , ML +130 (40) -462
1st Quarter Nuggets -1 (120) -132 (figures 0-5 ATS previously now 1-5 ATS)
3rd Quarter Suns +0.5 (80) -88
4th Quarter Suns +0.5 (40) Win +36
Under 219 -120 (120) Over 217-115 (40) Net -104
Prop: Amare Over 22.5 pts -120 (80) -96 (ends on 22)
-844
2nd Half(both DEN plays essentially hedges)
Under 95.5 NJN (80) -88
Bulls +4.5 -115 (40) WIN
Over 107 Denver (80) Win
Nuggets -3.5 -115 (100) Win
+132

1.14 WED Plays :
Teaser: Bucks -2 and SA +1 (200) -240
-240
1st Quarter Raptors -1.5 (40) -44
2nd Quarter Bulls + 1 (40) -44
1st Half Bulls +2 +100 (80) +80
Bulls Full Game +5 -120 (200) +200
TT Over 97.5 Bulls (40) +40
+232
1st Quarter Pacers -0.5 (80) +80
1st Half Pacers -0.5 (40) +40
3rd Quarter Pistons +0.5 (40) +40
4th Quarter Pistons PK (80) PUSH
Pistons Full Game +3 -120 (40) -48 (lost in OT by 4 )
+112
1st Half Sixers +1 (80) +80
Sixers Full game +2.5 -120 (120) +120
+200
Wizards full game +5 -120 (200) -240 (lost by 6 !)
1st Quarter Wizards +1.5 -115 (80) -92
-332
Bucks -5.5 -120 (280) -336
1st Half Bucks -3 (80) -88
3rd Quarter Bucks -1.5 (80) -88
4th Quarter Bucks -1 (80) +80
-432
OKC +6 -115 (120) +120
+120
1st Quarter Mavs +1-105 (80) +80
4th Quarter NOH -1 (160) +160
+240
Spurs ML -140 (120) -2 -120 (160) +120 /-192 net -72 (FUCK ME SAS win by 1 !)
Over 199 (80) +80
TT Over 101 SAS (80) +80
+88
Under 227 GSW (160)-172
1st Quarter Kings +1.5 (80) +80
Kings +6 -120 (120) +120
1st Half Under 114 (80) +80
4th Quarter Under 55 (80) +80
+188
1st Half LAC +2 (80) -88
2nd Q LAC +1 (80) -88
4th Q LAC +1 (80)-88
LAC +4.5 -120 (160)-192
Under 191 (80) +80
-376
Over 189 NJN (80) +80
4th Quarter Nets +2.5 (80) -88
-8
2nd Half :
Hedge : Over 112 GSW (60) +60
+60
Net -148 (-240 teaser / other +92 )

1.13Tuesday (recap)
Bobcats +8 -130 (200) +200
1st H Bobcats +4 (40) -44
4th Quarter Bobcats +1.5 (40) +40
+196
1st Half Grizz +5 (120)+120
Grizz +9 (80) -88
+32
Heat ML -120 (120) +120
1st Q Minnesota +0.5 (80) +80
+200
Rockets +5 -120 (240) PUSH
1st Half Houston +2 -105 (80) +80
+80
1st Half Suns -4 (120) PUSH
Over 213.5 Suns (120) -132
-132
Kings +8 -120(360) ML +280 (40) -472
1st Half +4.5 -120 (160) -192
3rd Quarter Kings +2 (80) -88 (lose by 3 !)
-752
2nd Half :
Dallas -0.5 -115 (80) +80
Kings -2.5 (200) -220


Monday 1.12 Plays :
Over 192 Bucks & Wiz (120) -132 (188 pts)
1st Half @Washington Over 96 (80) -88 (93 pts)
-220
OKC +7 -120 (160) +160
+160
Raps +10 -120 (320) +320
1st Half Raps +5.5 (80) +80
1st Quarter Raps +3 (80) +80
Under 187 120 Raps (80) -96
+384
Knicks +11.5 (160) +160
1st Half NYK +6.5 (80) +80
+240
Bulls +3 -120 (160) -192
1st Quarter Bulls +0.5 -105 (80) +80
Under 194 Bulls (80) -88
-200
1st Half Over 113.5 Indiana (80) +80
Over 115 TT Utah (80) +80
+160
(Net : +524)
Second Half :
Over 96.5 @ Washington (200) -220 (95 pts)
Over 93.5 Boston (80) +80
Jazz -3.5 (40) -44
(-184)

 

[SportsNut]

MLK Plays :

Bulls +3 -120 (160)
Over 208 NYK (80)
1st Quarter Over 53 NYK (40)
1st Half Over 106 (40)

Sixers -3 -120 (200)
1st Quarter -1 Sixers (120)
1st Half Sixers -1.5 -115 (120)
Under 200 (120)

Under 178 Charlotte (400)
1st half Charlotte +3 (200)
1st Quarter Under 43.5 (80)

1st Quarter Raps +2.5 (120)
2nd Quarter ATL -2 (80)
3rd Quarter ATL-2 (160)
Under 196 ATL (160)

Rockets ML -150 (280)
1st Half Rockets -1.5 -115 (120)
TT Over 98 Houston (80)
TT Under 95 Denver (80)

Early session ...Good Luck:cheersLooking to see what happens in the 1st H @ MSG not crazy confident in Da Bulls )

 

[JPicks]

GL today Mike. Might join you with those Rockets. Hoping 2.5 comes back.
:cheers:

 

[SportsNut]

GL today Mike. Might join you with those Rockets. Hoping 2.5 comes back.
:cheers:

Really like them today just not impressed with DEN w/o Melo at all lately . Would play -3 at + money ....:cheers:

 

[Marlo]

Nut glad to see you on that under in Char.

 

[SportsNut]

Nut glad to see you on that under in Char.

Lets see if SA really is back to basics (as in playing defense) and if Diop plays much ..:cheersPS: I played the UNDER last game and while it was borderline for most of the game the late rally to force OT killed me / it ):cheers:GL

 

[tuck321]

Not clear why you are reversing system in Houston. Its Houston first half after a loss. After a win the dog dominates in the first half. Second day you have flipped system there?

 

[SportsNut]

Not clear why you are reversing system in Houston. Its Houston first half after a loss. After a win the dog dominates in the first half. Second day you have flipped system there?

Please elaborate I dont think I am aware of this . If you have the time to. Thanks.:shake:

 

[tuck321]

We have talked about this a number of times before and you were playing it very happily. Houston at home after a loss comes out very strong and dominates the first half. They also usually cover the first quarter. 1 loss this season with a 56-56 tie with Denver. After a win they have covered 1 spread at home in the first half this season.

 

[SportsNut]

I was actually thinking that's what you meant . Play on Houston at home aftre a SU loss but I am little fuzzy this afternoon . I did not know they had just 1 ATS win at home (1st H) though following a win ....Thank You ...

I reduced it to (80) from (120) .Only keeping it because its because a small line and interested to see if the Home teams continue to start quick today ...noted for the future though..but added 1st Quarter Den +1 -115 (40)

:shake::cheers:

 

[DJ Tanner]

What are you liking for the 2nd half?

<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" align=center><TBODY><TR class=TrGameOdd><TD align=left>Jan 19</TD><TD>2501</TD><TD colSpan=2 align=left>2H DALLAS</TD><TD align=right>+½-105<INPUT value=0_234857_0.5_-105 type=checkbox name=text_></TD><TD align=right>o98½-110<INPUT value=2_234857_-98.5_-110 type=checkbox name=text_></TD><TD align=right></TD></TR><TR class=TrGameOdd><TD align=left></TD><TD align=left>2:35 PM </TD><TD>2502</TD><TD colSpan=2 align=left>2H PHILADELPHIA</TD><TD align=right>-½-115<INPUT value=1_234857_-0.5_-115 type=checkbox name=text_></TD><TD align=right>u98½-110<INPUT value=3_234857_98.5_-110 type=checkbox name=text_></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[DJ Tanner]

<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" align=center><TBODY><TR class=TrGameEven><TD align=left>Jan 19</TD><TD>2503</TD><TD colSpan=2 align=left>2H CHICAGO</TD><TD align=right>PK-115<INPUT value=0_234863_0_-115 type=checkbox name=text_></TD><TD align=right>o101-110<INPUT value=2_234863_-101_-110 type=checkbox name=text_></TD><TD align=right></TD></TR><TR class=TrGameEven><TD align=left></TD><TD align=left>2:35 PM </TD><TD>2504</TD><TD colSpan=2 align=left>2H NEW YORK</TD><TD align=right>PK-105<INPUT value=1_234863_0_-105 type=checkbox name=text_></TD><TD align=right>u101-110<INPUT value=3_234863_101_-110 type=checkbox name=text_></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[SportsNut]

Added:

- Changed the 1st Half @ Houston to just (80) and played Den 1st Q +1 -115 (40)

4th Quarter ATL -1 -120 (80)
1st Half ATL -4 (80)
- bumped the 2nd Quarter play and 3rd Quarter plays (40) more

Second Half :
Over 101 NYK (40)

Over Sixers 98.5 (80) Middle attempt for 2/3rd of my full game total
Hedge: Mavs +0.5 +100 (50)
versus my Sixers -3 -120 full game as Philly failed to put the Mavs away...

:cheers:

 

[nawlins51]

GL Nut.

 

[Marlo]

We have talked about this a number of times before and you were playing it very happily. Houston at home after a loss comes out very strong and dominates the first half. They also usually cover the first quarter. 1 loss this season with a 56-56 tie with Denver. After a win they have covered 1 spread at home in the first half this season.

looks like they still have only covered 1 spread this year.

 

[SportsNut]

Added (sorry short on time )

Under 90.5 Charlotte (320)
Charlotte +1.5 -115 (120)
Houston -2 -105 (80)
Atlanta -7 (120)


3:30
Over 194 Wolves (160)
TT Over 100 Wolves (120)
Wolves -6 -120 (40)
3rd Quarter Wolves -2 (120)
4th Quarter Wolves -1.5 (80)

1st Quarter Indy +2 (160)
1st Half +3.5 -105 Pacers (160)

GL...:cheers:

 

[SF_capper]

wow GL man. with you on a bunch

 

[SportsNut]

Should be back at half of this game..

1st Quarter Washington +1.5 (120)
2nd Quarter Washington +1.5 (120)

GL:cheers:

 

[DJ Tanner]

Should be back at half of this game..

1st Quarter Washington +1.5 (120)
2nd Quarter Washington +1.5 (120)

GL:cheers:

Darn im against you on this one...Hopefully will be on the same for the next ones

 

[SportsNut]

Add

Over 98.5 LAC (120)
NOH -4.5 (40):cheers:

 

[phatprep3]

nut just to let you know tyson chandler got hurt right before the half in that game and i doubt he returns

 

[DJ Tanner]

Add

Over 98.5 LAC (120)
NOH -4.5 (40):cheers:

Nice I took
No - 3 3rd Q
No- 1.5 4th Q

Lets get it !

 

[tru]

gl today nut. whats ur thoughts on tha det/memphis game? im on tha memphis ml

 

[tuck321]

Oops saw that too late. Laid 4 with Hornets second half.

 

[SportsNut]

2nd Half :

Memphis +1 (200)

Be back for the late games ..BOL:cheers:

 

[SportsNut]

1st Half Suns +4.5 (200)
3rd Quarter Celtics -2 (120)
4th Quarter Celtics -1.5 (40)
TT Boston Over 106.5 (40)

:cheers:

 

[SportsNut]

Cant believe PHO couldnt even play 1 good quarter . Sad ! Of course the PHO bench will outplay the C's bench in the 2nd Half to kill my other plays ...lol

1st Half Bucks +3.5 (200)
Bucks +7 -120 (280) ML +240 (40)
Over 198 (160)
Over 48.5 4th Quarter (80)
TT Over 102 Portland (80)
TT Over 96 Milw (80)

Simply fading Portland back from an East Coast trip and Milw w/o Bogut hasn not defended much of anyone.
Coach Nate McMillan told the Blazers’ official Web site that it wasn’t just Roy with the bad legs on Saturday, however. “We have to rest up,” he said. “For whatever reason we looked like we had heavy legs. … We have to recover and get rest so we can play better out there.”
Roy admitting the hammy is still plaguing him .

:cheers:

 

[SportsNut]

2nd Half :

Suns -3.5 (160)
Over 101 (120)

Hoping Barbosa and Barnes can catch fire as boston's bench is somewhat thin and both have tough stretches ahead. Looking for Boston to play the 3rd Quarter and then COAST the 4th Quarter ...:cheers:

 

[Sammy Meatballs]

Pulling for your celtics 3rd qtr bet here

 

[SportsNut]

Late game :

Lakers -4.5 -120 ( 400)
1st Half LAL -2.5 -115 (160)
3rd Quarter LAL -1 (80)
Under 202 (120)
1st half Under 101.5 (200)

GL
:cheers:
One team is more healthier then the other and also happens to have home court advantage as well. With the bonus of a decent losig streak vs Cleveland.

 

[SportsNut]

Bucks +2 (120)
Over 98.5 (80)

GL

 

[Retburj13]

hope ur havin a good day mike

let get the late ones

 

[SportsNut]

LAL -3.5 -115 (240)

 

[DanUSC]

I am on Lakers as well in the 2nd half. Let's hope Kobe starts to get agressive, which I think he will, he was tentative in the first half

 

[betman4ever]

Good hit on the Lakers game Sports, almost sweep. Hope this is the turning point for u and others who've had a rougher period lately.
Congrats also to Retburj and Dan ! It's nice to have a play that we hit collectively !
:shake:

 

[SportsNut]

Monday Recap 1.19 :

Bulls +3 -120 (160) -192 (Lost by 4 points)
Over 208 NYK (80) -88
1st Quarter Over 53 NYK (40) -44
1st Half Over 106 (40) +40
(-284)
Sixers -3 -120 (200) -240
Hedge: 2nd H Mavs +0.5 +100 (50) +50
1st Quarter -1 Sixers (120) +120
1st Half Sixers -1.5 -115 (120) +120
Under 200 (120) +120
(+170)
Under 178 Charlotte (400) +400
1st half Charlotte +3 (200) -220
1st Quarter Under 43.5 (80) -88
(+92)
1st Quarter Raps +2.5 (120) +120
2nd Quarter ATL -2 (120) -132
4th Quarter ATL -1 -120 (80) +80
1st Half ATL -4 (80) -88
3rd Quarter ATL-2 (200) +200
Under 196 ATL (160) +160
(+340)
Rockets ML -150 (280) +280 (only won by 2 so laying points lost)
1st Half Rockets -1.5 -115 (80) -98 (includes lost vig from lowering play)
1st Quarter Denver +1 -115 (40) +40
TT Over 98 Houston (80) +80
TT Under 95 Denver (80) -88
(+214)
3:30 Plays
Over 194 Wolves (160) -176
TT Over 100 Wolves (120) -132
Wolves -6 -120 (40) +40
3rd Quarter Wolves -2 (120) -132
4th Quarter Wolves -1.5 (80) -88 ( won by just 1 point)
(-488)
1st Quarter Indy +2 (160) +160
1st Half +3.5 -105 Pacers (160) +160
(+320)
1st Quarter Washington +1.5 (120) -132
2nd Quarter Washington +1.5 (120) -132
(-264)
1st Half Suns +4.5 (200) -220
3rd Quarter Celtics -2 (120) -132 ( wins by just 1 point)
4th Quarter Celtics -1.5 (40) -44
TT Boston Over 106.5 (40) -44 (ends on 104 after just 15 4th Q points)
(-440)
1st Half Bucks +3.5 (200) -220 (trailed by 5 points)
Bucks +7 -120 (280) ML +240 (40) -376
Over 198 (160) -176
Over 48.5 4th Quarter (80) +80
TT Over 102 Portland (80) PUSH
TT Over 96 Milw (80) -88
(-780)
Lakers -4.5 -120 ( 400) +400
1st Half LAL -2.5 -115 (160) -192
3rd Quarter LAL -1 (80) +80
Under 202 (120) +120
1st half Under 101.5 (200) +200
(+608)

Started up +532 (up to 3:30 starts) , lost -1652 (from 3:30 to LAL game) then came back and won +608 (LAL game) = -512 (not including the 2nd H Plays). Now the 2nd Half went similiar pattern +676 , then -420 , +280 . Again making life WAY to complicated . By 3:30 starts (granted not all the games have ended) but was up 1208 (532 + 676) , then PISSED away -2072 on just 5 games gong essentially 1-4 , and came back with +888 on the LAL game. With -1865 coming between Milw , Pho and Minny games just way to much to be losing on 1 game ...all that action and finished +24 !

Second Half Plays:
Over 101 NYK (40) -44
Over Sixers 98.5 (80) Middle attempt WIN +80
Under 90.5 Charlotte (320) +320
Charlotte +1.5 -115 (120) +120
Houston -2 -105 (80) +80
Atlanta -7 (120) +120
Over 98.5 LAC (120) -132 (ends on 97)
NOH -4.5 (40) -44
Memphis +1 (200) -220
Suns -3.5 (160) +160
Over 101 Boston(120) -132
Bucks +2 (120) -132
Over 98.5 MILW (80) +80
LAL -3.5 -115 (280) +280 (mistakenly posted as 240 was 280)
(+536) NET


Yesterday -
DJTanner - My apologies bro. I just had really not time to hang around at all yesterday . Didn't want your or anyone to think I was ignoring them just a time issue. Also good thing you were against those WASH Plays. :shake:
Nawlins - Thanks and GL the rest of the week . Hit me up when you have the time.:shake:
Marlo - Shaky for a stretch but it cashed . Congrats. :cheers:
Tuck - excellence work and thank you for the heads up . Learned something new. :shake:
TRU- Was just going to fade DET until they actually won or played a good 4th Quarter . Looked good and then they finally played a good 4th Quarter and pulled away last few minutes in what was a tied game...:shake:
Sammy - Thanks bro. Suns came out quick then went cold but Boston kinda packed in once it regained momentum near the end of the 3rd quarter and couldnt do enough to cover -2. BTW best 3rd Quarter team in the NBA so far = BOSTON. :shake:
Ret - Outside of the midafternoon to evening strecth was awesome but fatal flaw clear as day during that stretch ..:shake:
DanUsc - Glad we did exactly what you said = finish strong . Cle made that late run and LAL answered to seal it . :cheers:
PhatPrep- Thanks for the heads up on Chandler . I often miss injuries so appreciate the help. :shake:
Betman 4 Ever -Thanks . I would say turning point is going to ultimately be up to me . I made the same type mistakes again in the mid afternoon that plagued me last week but overall fairly happily still..:cheers:

Review:
Again most distressing part about anything is the fact that I again ignored warning signs or bad gut feelings . Again not suprising that was my lsoing games basically .

Had the chance to get out of the Bulls play at half time and even have a tiny middle because down 3 at half CHI was -0.5 which would have given me a clean wash of the full game play and saving me 160 of the 192 I lost or even all of it . Could have been avoided .

Dallas game pretty solid only issue I wish I middled half of my Philly play . I saw that the fact they didnt ice DAL late in the 2nd Quarter as a bad sign . As good as Philly has played to be 3 or 4 point favs vs Dallas (healthy) is kinda crazy IMO especially minus Brand even though they have played better in this stretch w/o him . I had that in the back of mind at half as well . So glad I hedged some but should have done half ...saves me another fifty spot ...

Charlotte game went very predictable and thankfully stayed UNDER . Charlotte ALMOST always as HOME DOGS does two things . The first is the split the 1st and 2nd Quarters nearly everytime. So if they lose the 1st Q which they often do they win the 2nd Quarter . Usually I play the Char 2nd Q but decided not to as home pups but of course they won the 2nd Q and nearly the half . The OTHER part is they almsot always win a HALF as home dogs . The few Home pup losses are usually a result of 1 terrible quarter but again they won the 2nd H despite losing the 1st H...

Raps game went well just was wrong about the 2nd Quarter rally which made me gun shy at halftime rather then pounding them. Raps also showing to be a poor 2nd H road team and solid 1st H team ...

Houston game happy I went with the -150 ML rather then -2.5 -120 . -2 -120 or -3 +100 because they won by just 2 points ...other then that great heads up by Tuck on the Rockets after a win in the 1st Half. As he mentioned I knew to play them off a SU loss but didnt realize how poor they were off a SU win ...lesson learned..and was cautious at half because I had such a huge game play already which I was essentially adding to by playing Houston at halftime . Good news was I won the 1st Q with Den and 2nd H small play still winning a few bucks despite sticking to a reduced 1st H Houston play Tuck warned me on

Here is the Fuck Me segment ...
Thought a little out of the box playing the Wolves over and TT over with Camby out figured the Wolves broke a 100 and that gave me some balance if LAC played better then expected ( Minny scores 100+ and 6 pt line if LAC covered that means 94++ and total was 194). The SHIT part is rather then lay the points with Minny feeling like I missed out because it was -6.5 at tip rather then -5 earlier (opened -3.5) so I got creative ...Rather then just make a small play on Wolves -6 -120 wasted literally 500 bucks on something I should wagered 80 bucks on ....KILLER ...and my own fault ..

Indiana well passed on the game play because again line dropped so much . Went 1st Q and 1st H because Indy had lost a close game vs NOH and typically is a very fast starting team playing well in the 1st Q and 1st H while NOH is usually a slow starter especially as favs lately ...so went well the only one that really did

Wash again just trying to be to creative . Thought GSW won but wasnt sure about the spread to be honest . So being they had played better and were starting a WC trip vs a team who doesnt play much defense was expecting WASH to start quick and get the trip off on the right foot so to speak ....nope ...worse is I knew GSW was the play at halftime at +1 but was just disgusted and passed ...

Det and memphis hard to take Memphis at this point and DET finds ways to piss away games in the 4th Quarter lately . I did like the UNDER but hoped for a high scoring 1st Half since again I missed the good numbers stuck with 176 alot lower then open. Of course it goes UNDER and I added Memphis +1 at Halftime....so again should have won not lost on this game

Suns game ....really pissed me of because I like Boston alot here . I thought a team like PHO would at least be able to play well for a Half even a quarter ( if Suns are down 10 at half its not that bad if you want to play Boston 2nd H) . Instead Boston smokes them from teh start and rather then having Boston -8 -120 again wind up lsoing a few hundred despite liking the winning side !!

Bucks game I overthought alot Worse part is again had the chance at half to just get out of my play down 5 the 2nd H line was 2 and I had +7 -120 . So I could have saed myself 300 bucks if I just said fuck it and gave up . Instead added some more and while I still got the total wrong probably wasted 450 I could have avoided ...

So all these minor "decisions" I fuck up and rather then choose path A continually went with Path B and probably cost myself something like a 2500 swing( lost a thousand or SO more then I should have and could have won at least a few hundred more had I kept it simple) by doing so ...Clear head and decisions are what this is all about and muffed a bunch..Games I won on took in about +2800 so just think of the type day I could have had if I didnt get to cute to often ..

REALITY = +24 :cheers:

 

[SportsNut]

Also the MLK DAY UNDER TREND proved very strong yesterday ..:shake:

 

[wizardofodd]

wow, i never knew ppl played this many games in one day. BOL though, but honestly I think you should limit the plays per day and that should help increase % of wins in your part.

 

[SportsNut]

wow, i never knew ppl played this many games in one day. BOL though, but honestly I think you should limit the plays per day and that should help increase % of wins in your part.

Winning % doesnt really interest me . It's all about making good decisions . Sounds simplistic but the hardest part about playing more games is simply be able to continually make good , sound decisions time after time. At leasts that my view . Just about every game or line has some sort of value IMO. Something is always exploitable .

I just simply piss away to much when I lost track of whats going on . Thats kind of why I breakdown everything cause what I lost wasnt something I necessarily I liked . It just what I played . Alot of days I lack patience .

The biggest LIE in sports gambling is how many plays you make deteremines your winning % . Of course the more you play the more your cost of business is ( viggorish) . People have being doing this on the stock market for a 100 years now its just the same application here . Instead of company names we trade team names and instead of guessing about future earnings and product development , etc we bet on future scores of games ....

Anyway point is I always lose to much on marginal games ..If I can cut that out I can maximize profit ..thats sort of my 2009 case study on me ..lol

Just my take. To lazy to talk about the topic further now ...:shake::cheers:

 

[DJ Tanner]

Yesterday -
DJTanner - My apologies bro. I just had really not time to hang around at all yesterday . Didn't want your or anyone to think I was ignoring them just a time issue. Also good thing you were against those WASH Plays. :shake:


No big deal pal I figured you were busy...well talk more about games and win cash soon!

 

[SportsNut]

Tuesday :

Pacers +8 -120 (280)
4th Quarter Pacers +1.5 (80)

Bulls -4 (200)
Under 199 Atlanta (80)
TT Under 97 Hawks (80)

1st Quarter -3 Denver (??)
1st half -5 Denver (??)
4th Quarter Kings +2 (??)
Over 219 (??)
1st Half Over 112.5 (??)
3rd Quarter Over 53.5 (??)

1st Half Wolves +4.5 (200)
4th Quarter Utah -2 (80)
Over 205 (200)

Interested in :
- The SAS total is tough , Indiana has one mini run of UNDERS this year and believe NO consecutive UNDERs outside of that this season and are off an UNDER yesterday (killing a long over streak) , the SAS are rededicated to defense but playing B2B , 4th in 5 days and 5th in 7 days ....I prefer the Under 208 but curious to see how it gets bet ....also both teams really deepening their rotations lately ...Worried about how INDY shakes off the buzzer beater yesterday but still lean Indiana 1st Half

- Chi should have their way near the basket with Marvin Williams and Horford still out . Chi has loads of forwards and 2 guards ...thinking about the Bulls 1st Half..3rd Q and 4th Q as well ...ATL had 3 guys play nearly the entire game yesterday and needed to rally ..like the UNDER as well with CHI playing some defense lately

- Expecting a quick start from an angry DEN team off consecutive losses including an "embarrassing" home defeat . Kings have a nice rest edge on 3 days which hopefully helps continue their 1st Q woes (also DEN is a 1st Q team) but that should give Sac an edge after the Half....interested somewhat in SAC 2nd Q though...

- Wolves playing well and Utah off a tough loss with @ Houston on deck tmrw . Minny played them tight at home earlier as well ...expecting alot of points ...

Be updating later ....:cheers:

 

[SportsNut]

Yesterday -
DJTanner - My apologies bro. I just had really not time to hang around at all yesterday . Didn't want your or anyone to think I was ignoring them just a time issue. Also good thing you were against those WASH Plays. :shake:


No big deal pal I figured you were busy...well talk more about games and win cash soon!

Sounds good. Should be around for the 10:30 session tonight:shake:

 

[tuck321]

Kings have won their last 4 first quarters on the road. GL

 

[wizardofodd]

Winning % doesnt really interest me . It's all about making good decisions . Sounds simplistic but the hardest part about playing more games is simply be able to continually make good , sound decisions time after time. At leasts that my view . Just about every game or line has some sort of value IMO. Something is always exploitable .

I just simply piss away to much when I lost track of whats going on . Thats kind of why I breakdown everything cause what I lost wasnt something I necessarily I liked . It just what I played . Alot of days I lack patience .

The biggest LIE in sports gambling is how many plays you make deteremines your winning % . Of course the more you play the more your cost of business is ( viggorish) . People have being doing this on the stock market for a 100 years now its just the same application here . Instead of company names we trade team names and instead of guessing about future earnings and product development , etc we bet on future scores of games ....

Anyway point is I always lose to much on marginal games ..If I can cut that out I can maximize profit ..thats sort of my 2009 case study on me ..lol

Just my take. To lazy to talk about the topic further now ...:shake::cheers:

understand. everyone has their way of playing. have you ever tracked your plays if you were to bet the same amount on each game? :cheers:

 

[spiderman]

Drew Gooden - F/C - Chicago Bulls - Jan 20 2009 7:52PM est - Top Rotoworld.com News
News: Drew Gooden will miss the Bulls game on Tuesday because of his sore left groin.
Impact: Gooden was clearly struggling in limited minutes on Monday, and the timing of his DNP is ideal since the Bulls don't play again until Friday. While this is bad news for Gooden's owners, it gives Joakim Noah and Tyrus Thomas a chance to post big numbers.

 

[SportsNut]

Kings have won their last 4 first quarters on the road. GL

Thanks . I am somewhat conflicted here . I was aware they had playe better away to start recently but they were absolutely terrible before that 4 game win streak . Playing them full game though ..My basic premise is Den is a quick starting team at home and angry after yesterday . GL:shake:

 

[SportsNut]

understand. everyone has their way of playing. have you ever tracked your plays if you were to bet the same amount on each game? :cheers:

I think my basic problem is organization . Shocking I have ADD and OCD ! My playing so many things I dont have especially when pressed for time at looking at one bet vs another . Like when I look book and see I lost say 700 on a certain game I am like how did I go from liking the favorite , to playing the underdog and worse losing 700 bucks doing it . Its so absurd when I review it . Anothet huge issue is the longer I wager the more I learn and understand . Which means more bets . A basketball game has 14 options to bet bewteen each Quarter side and total , 1st and 2nd Half side and total and then Full game ....So for just 4 games today there are 56 thinsg I can bet on ....Used to be so simple ...side and / or total ....

I have tracked and tried just about everything . I think I am on the right track now but still way to sloppy ...definetly feel free to throw suggestions at me . I am listening its just more complex then it sounds ..:shake:

 

[SportsNut]

Drew Gooden - F/C - Chicago Bulls - Jan 20 2009 7:52PM est - Top Rotoworld.com News
News: Drew Gooden will miss the Bulls game on Tuesday because of his sore left groin.
Impact: Gooden was clearly struggling in limited minutes on Monday, and the timing of his DNP is ideal since the Bulls don't play again until Friday. While this is bad news for Gooden's owners, it gives Joakim Noah and Tyrus Thomas a chance to post big numbers.

Thanks bro. Had a feeling he could sit seeing how limited he was yesterday . Really hoping Thomas can follow up yesterday's game and still CHI has some depth at forward but the rebounding machine will be missed :shake:

 

[betman4ever]

Pff Gooden missing is very bad news.. especially since Horford's out.
BOL Sports! Have most of your plays myself today.:cheers:

 

[SportsNut]

Tuesday :

Pacers +8 -120 (280)
4th Quarter Pacers +1.5 (80)
Over 208 SAS (160)
1st Quarter SAS -2 -120 (80)
2nd Quarter Indy +2 (120)

Bulls -4 (200) -120 (80)
1st Half Bulls -2.5 -105 (160)
4th Quarter Bulls -0.5 (80)
Under 199 Atlanta (80)
TT Under 97 Hawks (80)

1st Quarter -3 Denver (160)
2nd Quarter Kings +2.5 (40)
1st half -5 Denver (120)
4th Quarter Kings +2 (120)
Kings +10 -120 (320)
Over 219 (160)
1st Half Over 112.5 (120)
3rd Quarter Over 53.5 (40)

1st Half Wolves +4.5 (200)
4th Quarter Utah -2 (80)
Over 205 (200)
TT Over 107 Utah (120)

Notes : Really like Utah in the 2nd Half and SAC in the 2nd H both are definite plays for the amount of the 1st H plays ATS in that game IF they do NOT cover the 1st Half line and after that its a judgement call what I do...really all my ATS plays if they dont cover the 1st H line will be of strong interest in the 2nd H ..

Good Luck be back later !:cheers: