Week Long Thread

One thing that jumped out to me when looking at SA is every game this year they lost SU it was against a strong center defensively. Splitter starts but Diaw plays a lot and Duncan quickly moves to the 5 and he's going to have his hands full against the best defensive center in the league. What I like is how he's stepped up without Harden to take over offensively and carry the team for a couple games. Geesh the perception is with all the injuries Houston has no chance. I think this could be a lot closer than expected. I know revenge but Houston plays some of their best ball on the road SU wins at Portland, GS, SA. They seem to do the opposite of what you expect more so than most teams. Could be a tricky game.
 
No, never at any site I saw but happy with a push. Farmar does not have it and for no reason no Kaman
 
Agree with much of that but think to some extent their hands are tied with the home game vs Memphis. Could go either way. Pounding the Rock thought 7 was the number
 
Line just dropped a full point. Obviously Harden is playing and they will now get crushed.

Spurs -7
 
GS right now is one of the biggest frauds in the league at home.

This is how they have fared against good teams this year at home.

won by 1 giving 5 to OKC

lost by 7 to Memphis giving 5

lost by 12 to Portland giving 4

won by 2 giving 6 to Dallas

lost by 4 giving 3.5 to Houston

lost by 2 giving 7 to SA who wanted them to win

0-6 ats at home whenever they play anyone with a pulse.

LAC +3
 
Couple things about tomorrows game with the Rockets.

They haven't covered two games in a row since 11-30. On an 0-4 ats streak coming off an ats win.

I counted them as having 3 signature wins. I don't count beating the Mavs at home as a big win.

They win at Portland next night lose outright as a -13.5 to the LAL at home.

They win at SA and next game as a -7.5 lose outright at Utah.

They win at GS and next game lose by 15 as a -6.5 at Sacramento.

Now they come off another big win at SA in front of the country and now home against a Memphis team who is starting to get healthy.

Will be interested in just how high this line will be.
 
Like the Clippers quite a bit. Feels like the correct side for a number of reasons. Want 4.5. One thing was the open, what a weak number considering an 11-2 home team against an 8-8 road team that got ripped off but justice prevailed for those of us who had the point spread. You get a point for the back to back so against GS it opens at 2.5 but this opens at 4.5 with Portland having 4 days rest? Are the oddsmakers telling us there is a one point difference between GS and Portland at this moment? I have to look at some stuff and see what I am missing. I guess you could argue how high do you want to make the line it's a fair number but something doesn't sit right.
 
Closing line of -3.5 to -4.5 Blazers only 2-4 ats.

Clips off a SU loss 7-2 ats.

Clips off a SU loss on the road and following game is on the road 5-0 ats and 4-1 SU.

Just going through normal stuff I look at and quickly found this. Gotta go come back to this later.
 
Rockets 0-3 SU after an upset win. After the last win vs Spurs they lose in Utah as a 7.5 favorite
 
I've had quite a bit of success fading teams coming off 120+ scoring efforts the game before. Last time OKC scored 122 they won by 3 as a -13 pt fav. Cats have yet to lose 3 ats in a row and are well rested.

Cats +9

LAL played their hearts out against the Heat but tonight they're probably in the worst spot of anyone. Utah knows they don't have many winnable games but this is one of them. I expect a strong effort. Strongest line of the day imho.

Utah -4

44-38 ats
 
Nvm... Got it... That upper respiratory infection is not something you want to have in the high altitude of SLC.... I guess he's out


EL SEGUNDO, Calif. -- Pau Gasol did not travel with the Los Angeles Lakers to Salt Lake City on Thursday because of an upper respiratory infection.


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For more news, notes and analysis of the Lakers, check out the Lakers Index. Blog


Gasol is officially listed as day to day, meaning he could play against the Utah Jazz on Friday night if he feels improved enough to join the team via commercial flight Friday morning.


"Like anything else, you're not 100 percent physically and you're going to have shorter times of energy and stuff like that," Lakers coach Mike D'Antoni said when asked about Gasol. "He'll get over it. He'll be fine."


Gasol sat out the Lakers' 102-83 loss to the Golden State Warriors on Saturday with the same condition but had played in L.A.'s last two games, averaging 11.5 points, 8.5 rebounds and 3.0 assists in losses to Phoenix and Miami.


He did not practice with the Lakers on Thursday, using the time to visit with ear, nose and throat specialist Dr. John J. Rehm.


The 13-year veteran is averaging 14.7 points and 9.4 rebounds on 44.6 percent shooting this season.
 
I hate doing it but I have to take the Knicks at this line. My line was Knicks -2. They are 4-1 ats coming off an ats loss recently and it's hard to even argue that they'll show up or even try but sometimes you see line value.

Knicks +3.5

Hate Westbrook being out. Probably going to lose the Cats now.
 
Typical Knicks collapse.

Golden State -6.5

Pure line play, feels like a huge sucker bet taking the points. Maybe I'll play the fool but I have to pay to find out.
 
Last time TWolves scored the dreaded 120+ they lost the next game on the road by 13 as a -6 fav. Now 1-3 ats following 120+. Sure it's the Bucks but could be in a positive ark where they get some nice covers the next week.

Knicks should be a play but just can't stomach another collapse. Almost positive they'll cover.

Nets may surprise some people tonight. Again should be a play but will pass.

Utah may lose by 30 tonight.

Bucks +7.5

46-40 ats
 
Fack it.

Nets +13.5

Phoenix may win by 40. Can't remember a worse team on defense. Suns coming off an ats loss should be an auto play.
 
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