Week 9

[mrpickem]

​	Rough week last week - [5-10 -9.65u] 2020 Season - [53-66 -46.53u]​
	301 Green Bay Packers -6½ -110 vs San Francisco 49ers 3/2.73 301 Green Bay Packers/San Francisco 49ers Under 48½ -105 2/1.91 301 Green Bay Packers -220 vs San Francisco 49ers for 1st Half 2/.91 301 Green Bay Packers/San Francisco 49ers Under 24 +107 for 1st Half 1.2/1.28

Tough game to cap tonight after Packers shit the bed last week, Niners have covered 3 of L4 prime time games(7-4 ats L3+ years) but Packers also 5-3 since last year(7-10 L3+ years).



Still these aren't the normal niners, suffice their season is in the shitter anyhoo with QB out mostly rest of the way. Tonight after being hit with a COVID outbreak will start a total of one starter from opening day. This game should well have been cancelled but obviously the NFL has determined it's near impossible to reschedule these cancellations...so the show will go on. I really don't see how SF scores tonight unless the let fluke return or short field luck. Rogers likely to be in good form for nationwide audience. I'm thinking 30-12 or so.

Another angle: Road conference favorites of 3 or more off a loss as favorite vs teams off an away loss have covered 60% in SDQL history (13-1 ats L3 years)

 

[B.A.R.]

Good god, I'll be back in 5

Gl tonight

 

[mrpickem]

Thursday [2-1-1 +1.63u] Season [55-67 -44.9u]​

451 Seattle Seahawks/Buffalo Bills Over 55 -102 3.01/2.95 453 Denver Broncos +4 -108 vs Atlanta Falcons 3/2.78 455 Chicago Bears/Tennessee Titans Over 47 -104 3.02/2.9 457 Detroit Lions +3½ -112 vs Minnesota Vikings 3/2.68 460 Indianapolis Colts -1 -107 vs Baltimore Ravens 3.01/2.81 461 Carolina Panthers/Kansas City Chiefs Over 51½ -101 3/2.97 462 Kansas City Chiefs -10 -102 vs Carolina Panthers 3.01/2.95 463 Houston Texans -6½ -109 vs Jacksonville Jaguars 2.99/2.74 465 New York Giants +2½ +108 vs Washington Football Team 2/2.16 465 New York Giants/Washington Football Team Under 43 -103 3.01/2.92 467 Las Vegas Raiders -1½ -103 vs Los Angeles Chargers 2.85/2.77 469 Pittsburgh Steelers -14 -108 vs Dallas Cowboys 3/2.78 469 Pittsburgh Steelers/Dallas Cowboys Under 44 -109 3/2.75 471 Miami Dolphins/Arizona Cardinals Under 49 -101 3/2.97 473 New Orleans Saints/Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 50½ -101 3/2.97

Away dogs of 6 or less off a loss have cashed over 61% ats last 3+ years (14-4 ats this year!)​

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[mrpickem]

​	Sunday - [5-9-1 -13.43] Week 9 - [7-10-2 -11.8u]​
	475 New England Patriots -10 -101 vs New York Jets 3/2.97 475 New England Patriots -178 vs New York Jets for 1st Quarter 2.67/1.5

So I'm not really loving this pick but no way I can back the Jets. :nonono:

Pats:

• 22-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in November.

Jets:

• 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• 4-12 ATS in their last 16 vs. AFC East.

In SDQL history, divisional road favorites of 7 or more are 71.4% ATS on Monday night (31 years)