Br@ssknux
Pretty much a regular
Last week was a farce, 5-8. Brings the season total to 57-46-3 (.553). I can't get too mad about it because I auto played some games that were huge trend positives that I couldn't pass up (K State, Central Mich, Baylor). I pretty much blindly played Utah too (that was a mistake) and those went 0-4. Moving on...
Week results:
Oregon +3 WIN
Penn State -5 WIN
Nebraska -7.5 LOSS
South Carolina +15.5 WIN
BC +3 LOSS
Oklahoma State -2.5 WIN
San Diego State -3 WIN
Navy -7 WIN
Temple +11 WIN
Washington State +10 WIN
Michigan -11 LOSS
Not counting because I didn't post it earlier (missed on the cut and paste) Virginia +6 Win
8-3 for the week. Decent bounce back.
I rarely play weeknight games because I've had terrible luck with them, but I have to jump on this one.
1. Oregon +3(-115) @ Arizona State: If you take a look at this one on paper, I give a slight edge to Oregon in the stats. Oregon's issues this yer have been defensively, ranking 70th overall in yards per play, 82nd against the run and 83rd against the pass, but ASU has been just as bad offensively, with their numbers not giving them any kind of statistical advantage over the Ducks. The Devils can't run the ball, and QB Mike Bercovici has been terribly inconsistent this year, ranking only 75th in passer rating.ASU does a great job in stopping the run, but I'm not sure they'll be able to do so in this type of situation with a dynamic running QB loosening things up and their pass D has left a lot to be desired.(83rd in passer rating against). The Ducks numbers have been hurt due to the absence for a good chunk of the year of QB Vernon Adams, who came back in force last week to lead the Ducks to a familiar offensive number over a very solid Washington defense on the road, and he'll be in the lineup tonight. Both teams are off a bye, so the back to back road games shouldn't be a problem for the Ducks, and on the road is where they thrive. Both of their losses this year have been at home, and they've outgained their 3 road opponents by more than 100 yards per game. In the last 8 meetings between these two, the Ducks are 8-0 straight up and 6-1-1 ATS, and they torched the Sun Devils by 48-13, 54-20 42-31 and 43-21 scores in Tempe. As a road dog since 2010, they've only been dogged 3 times(twice this year) and naturally, they're 3-0 ATS. On the road overall, they clock in at 20-6 ATS since 2010! In my world, for ASU to be favored in this game, despite Oregon's struggles, the Sun Devils would need to be some sort of unstoppable juggernaut, or at least have some impressive statistics or evidence of dominance. They are obviously far from that. Shit, they're only 4-3!! For whatever reason, the oddsmakers and the public are overreacting to Oregon's issues, but I'll gladly take points with these guys if they want me to, based both on their history as well as the technical matchup.
Week results:
Oregon +3 WIN
Penn State -5 WIN
Nebraska -7.5 LOSS
South Carolina +15.5 WIN
BC +3 LOSS
Oklahoma State -2.5 WIN
San Diego State -3 WIN
Navy -7 WIN
Temple +11 WIN
Washington State +10 WIN
Michigan -11 LOSS
Not counting because I didn't post it earlier (missed on the cut and paste) Virginia +6 Win
8-3 for the week. Decent bounce back.
I rarely play weeknight games because I've had terrible luck with them, but I have to jump on this one.
1. Oregon +3(-115) @ Arizona State: If you take a look at this one on paper, I give a slight edge to Oregon in the stats. Oregon's issues this yer have been defensively, ranking 70th overall in yards per play, 82nd against the run and 83rd against the pass, but ASU has been just as bad offensively, with their numbers not giving them any kind of statistical advantage over the Ducks. The Devils can't run the ball, and QB Mike Bercovici has been terribly inconsistent this year, ranking only 75th in passer rating.ASU does a great job in stopping the run, but I'm not sure they'll be able to do so in this type of situation with a dynamic running QB loosening things up and their pass D has left a lot to be desired.(83rd in passer rating against). The Ducks numbers have been hurt due to the absence for a good chunk of the year of QB Vernon Adams, who came back in force last week to lead the Ducks to a familiar offensive number over a very solid Washington defense on the road, and he'll be in the lineup tonight. Both teams are off a bye, so the back to back road games shouldn't be a problem for the Ducks, and on the road is where they thrive. Both of their losses this year have been at home, and they've outgained their 3 road opponents by more than 100 yards per game. In the last 8 meetings between these two, the Ducks are 8-0 straight up and 6-1-1 ATS, and they torched the Sun Devils by 48-13, 54-20 42-31 and 43-21 scores in Tempe. As a road dog since 2010, they've only been dogged 3 times(twice this year) and naturally, they're 3-0 ATS. On the road overall, they clock in at 20-6 ATS since 2010! In my world, for ASU to be favored in this game, despite Oregon's struggles, the Sun Devils would need to be some sort of unstoppable juggernaut, or at least have some impressive statistics or evidence of dominance. They are obviously far from that. Shit, they're only 4-3!! For whatever reason, the oddsmakers and the public are overreacting to Oregon's issues, but I'll gladly take points with these guys if they want me to, based both on their history as well as the technical matchup.
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